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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369677

    #31
    SPORTS WAGERS

    Florida State-10½ over Auburn

    The SEC was a true power this entire season. The Conference has already produced six Bowl winners this season in eight attempts with the only two losers being Alabama and Georgia. Alabama was a 17-point choice over Oklahoma and Georgia was a nine-point favorite over Nebraska. The argument against Auburn is that many of their wins were deemed lucky and that argument has merit. Auburn ramped up the late-game drama down the stretch with a miraculous 73-yard tipped touchdown reception to beat Georgia and a 107-yard touchdown return of a missed field goal to stun Alabama, victories that pushed Auburn into the SEC title game and paved a path to the BCS. Take away those two wins and two or three others that they won by four points or less and this is an 8-4 football team. No one has been able to stop the Auburn ground game of late but in order to do so, you need two things to contain or stop it: time to prepare, and fast, athletic linebackers.

    Florida State has had five weeks to put together a defensive game plan and practice containing this unusual Auburn option offense. The Seminoles have quick and talented LBs in Terrance and Telvin Smith, plus DE Christian Jones provides an athletic defender on the edge. Florida State has been exceptional against the run for most of the season and we expect nothing less here. The Seminoles barely broke a sweat this entire season. They won their first three games by a combined score of 157-26 before defeating Boston College in Week 4 by 14 points. No team would come within 27 points of FSU the rest of the way. As a 5-point choice over Clemson, FSU buried them early and walked off with a 51-14 victory. As a 21-point choice over Miami, FSU whacked them by 27. FSU is loaded with future NFLers and we’re not talking about five or six of them. We’re talking about 20 or more. Even if Auburn is the toughest opponent that Florida State will face this season is it really going to matter? The Auburn defense is ranked 104th in the nation in pass defense. Five quarterbacks threw for more than 300 yards and two had more than 400 yards on this Tigers defense. Auburn needed a last-second score to beat Mississippi State and of course those two aforementioned miracles over Georgia and Alabama. They were also 14-point losers to LSU. In that game, the Tigers gave up 457 yards (228 rushing). The Tigers were out-gained in four games this season and barely out-gained their opponents in three other games. Well, the clock has struck midnight and this Cinderella or rag to riches story is about to come to an end in a big way.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369677

      #32
      SPORTS WAGERS

      Dallas +102 over N.Y. ISLANDERS

      The Islanders are coming off a 3-2 loss to the Hurricanes on Saturday night but prior to that they had reeled off three wins in a row over Boston, Minnesota and Chicago. They also had a recent 3-0 win over the Red Wings so overall the Islanders have won four of their past six. That’s nice but this team is far too risky as the chalk because their chances of losing to superior teams are far greater than their chances of winning. The Islanders have a slew of strong offensive players but they are weak defensively and they’re weak in net. Playing a hungry team from the superior West is not the right time to be sporting a tag with this home team.

      The Stars are not in a good mood. Dallas has lost two in a row and three of four. What’s most disturbing is that the Stars have allowed 11 goals against in their past two home games against Montreal and Detroit but trust us when we tell you it was not because of poor defense. Both Dan Ellis and Kari Lehtonen have been dreadful in net recently and that’s the only reason the Stars are losing games. Dallas outshot Detroit 45-27 on Saturday in a 5-21 loss and Dan Ellis was pulled after allowing three goals on five shots. The Stars recently played a near flawless game against St. Louis and lost 3-2 after allowing just 22 shots on net. Rarely does this team get outworked or outplayed and one of these two goaltenders is going to have to step up. Dallas is too good to keep losing games at this pace and if they get any type of adequate goaltending they are going to go on a serious run. The Stars embark on a three-game trip beginning here and they figure to play a strong game in the first contest of said trip. That should be more than enough to defeat this very beatable host.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369677

        #33
        POINTWISE

        COLLEGE BASKETBALL

        (7:00) PITTSBURGH 82 - Maryland 71 (ESPN2) _____ _____

        (7:00) TEXAS TECH 66 - West Virginia 62 (ESPN2) _____ _____

        (7:00) Canisius 69 - MARIST 63 _____ _____

        BEST BET
        TEXAS TECH
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369677

          #34
          WINNING POINTS

          COLLEGE BASKETBALL
          Pittsburgh* over Maryland by 18
          Maryland is one of the ACC teams that wishes Syracuse and Pitt didn’t come over to
          the ACC from the Big East. It’ll only get harder to win games from here on out. Bad
          free-throw shooters, these Terps, who have a -2 Assist to Turnover Ratio vs. Pitt’s +7. Hello.
          PITTSBURGH, 80-62.

          West Virginia over Texas Tech* by 1
          West Virginia beat Texas Tech twice in the regular season a year ago, then lost to this
          horrible team in the first round of the Big 12 Tournament, 71-69. West Virginia,
          you’ll recall, lost its last seven Big 12 games last season. Huggins’ crew is still shooting
          a lot of bricks and Tech has changed coaches to Tubby Smith.
          WEST VIRGINIA, 65-64.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369677

            #35
            POINTWISE

            NBA BASKETBALL

            (7:05) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 117 - Minnesota 115 _____ _____

            (7:35) Atlanta Hawks 109 - BROOKLYN NETS 103 _____ _____

            (10:35) LA CLIPPERS 104 - Orlando Magic 89 _____ _____

            BEST BETS
            ATLANTA
            LA CLIPPERS (2)
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369677

              #36
              WINNING POINTS

              PRO BASKETBALL
              Minnesota over *Philadelphia by 4
              The young 76ers could have trouble focusing since this is their first game back from
              a six-game road trip that began on Dec. 21. This is the Timberwolves' lone road contest during a six-game span. Kevin Love entered the last couple of days of December having scored 25 or more points in 10 consecutive games.
              MINNESOTA 110-106.

              *Brooklyn over Atlanta by 5
              The Nets have rallied since their rock-bottom performance against the Bulls on
              Christmas Day. Inserting Shaun Livingston alongside Deron Williams was a very
              sharp move by rookie coach Jason Kidd, giving Brooklyn two ballhandlers.
              BROOKLYN 100-95.

              *Los Angeles Clippers over Orlando by 14
              Orlando opens a five-game road trip against the revenge-minded Clippers, who lost
              on the road to the Magic, 98-90, on Nov. 6. The Clippers missed 16 of 19 shots from
              beyond the arc in that loss.
              LA CLIPPERS 105-91.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369677

                #37
                THE GOLD SHEET

                PRO BASKETBALL
                Minnesota 116 - PHILADELPHIA 103—Philly’s recent uptick (three SU
                wins in last five thru Jan. 1) coinciding with Evan Turner’s recent scoring surge,
                but wins over fading Lakers and Nuggets are not necessarily buy signals for the
                Sixers, who had recently lost 15 of 17 SU. T-wolves will be on alert after having
                to work for 106-99 home win over Philly on Dec. 11, rallying from 19 points down
                in the process. But Minny also likely to shoot a lot better than 38% from floor,
                as it did in first meeting. Though first meeting “under” last month, lots of “overs”
                lately involving these two (Sixers 6-2 last 8; T-wolves 5-2 last seven, both thru
                Jan. 1). 13-MIN -13 106-99 (211); 12-Min +3 105-88 (188), MIN -3' 94-87 (186)

                Atlanta 107 - BROOKLYN 102—In the grab-bag Eastern Conference after
                Miami and Indiana, Atlanta was starting to look like it might be next in the
                conference ladder (though several rungs under Heat & Pacers) after SU wins in
                9 of last 13 thru Jan. 2. Although recent pectoral tear injury suffered by key
                frontliner Al Horford has tempered some of the enthusiasm in the Showcase
                City of the South. Still, even minus Horford, prefer Hawks to disjointed Brooklyn
                side now minus Brook Lopez (broken foot) and unable to count on much on a
                nightly basis from aging Paul Pierce (limited to six points in Dec. 31 loss at San
                Antonio) and Kevin Garnett (only two points, and no FGs for just second time in
                career, in the same 21-point loss at San Antonio). “Totals” alert—Hawks “over”
                13-2 last 15 thru Jan. 2. 12-ATL -3 109-95 (187), BRO -6' 94-89 (192), Bro +3'
                93-80 (189), Atl +4 105-93 (188)

                LA CLIPPERS 108 - Orlando 94—Expect Clips to be ready this time after
                going flat in first meeting against Orlando at Amway Center back on Nov. 6,
                when Magic scored 98-90 upset. In particular, look for L.A. to pay better
                attention to Orlando C Nikola Vucevic, who burned Clips for 30 points and 21
                boards that night. Doc Rivers’ troops didn’t help themselves by hitting only 37%
                from floor in that loss. But Vucevic now nursing a sore ankle and status is iffy,
                which might make it hard to expect a repeat performance from Orlando and help
                Magic continue to offer good value as road dog (9-5 in role thru New Year’s)
                13- ORL +7 98-90 (208); 12-Orl +12' 104-101 (199), La -5 86-76 (185)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369677

                  #38
                  THE GOLD SHEET

                  ★★★ COLLEGE KEY RELEASES ★★★
                  WEST VIRGINIA by 10 over Texas Tech (Monday, Jan. 6)

                  PITTSBURGH 73 - Maryland 71—Maryland is back to full strength with the return of skillful soph PG Seth Allen, who missed the first 13 games due to a broken foot. With Terp HC Mark Turgeon pleased with the improving depth on his frontline, look for the experienced Terps to give Pitt a 40-minute tussle, even in hostile Petersen Events Center. UM’s dynamic team leader, 6-5 jr. wing Dez Wells (15.9 pg, 5.4 rpg), usually brings his “A” game to these nationallytelevised tilts. Plus, the Panthers have been on a pointspread slide, dropping six consecutive spread decisions (pending North Carolina State game Jan. 4).
                  12- DNP Cable TV—ESPN2

                  ★★★ West Virginia 80 - TEXAS TECH 70—WV has been itching for this Big 12 rematch ever since its 71-69 upset loss to Texas Tech in the conference tourney LY following a sweep of the regular-season meetings. The beatable Red Raiders—who failed in their only home game vs. a quality opponent (71-69 loss vs. LSU)—are coming off an emotionally-draining home contest vs. highlyranked
                  Iowa State just two 2 days prior. The Mountaineers’ smooth, multi-tasking jr. PG Juwan Staten (16.3 ppg, 6.3 apg, 1.3 spg) is undeniably the premier playmaker on this court, while 6-2 soph sidekick Eron Harris (18.3 ppg; 2.6 treys pg at 44.7%) has become a complementary lethal shooter from distance. 12- Wva -4' 77-61, WVA- 13' 66-64, Tech +8' 71-69 (CT-neut). KEY TO HOOP RATINGS: HCV—Home Court Value. CR—Current CABLE TV-ESPN
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369677

                    #39
                    StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

                    CBB CANISIUS at MARIST
                    Play On - A road team (CANISIUS) off a road win against a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%)
                    77-39 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% 34.1 units )
                    3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

                    CBB SOUTHERN U at TEXAS SOUTHERN
                    Play Against - Any team (SOUTHERN U) excellent defensive team (<=40.5%) against a horrible defensive team (>=47%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game)
                    62-64 since 1997. ( 49.2% 44.1 units )
                    3-3 this year. ( 50.0% 1.4 units )

                    CBB FURMAN at UNC-GREENSBORO
                    Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (UNC-GREENSBORO) after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
                    140-81 since 1997. ( 63.3% 50.9 units )
                    3-4 this year. ( 42.9% -1.4 units )
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369677

                      #40
                      StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

                      NBA MINNESOTA at PHILADELPHIA
                      Play Against - Underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite
                      81-40 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.9% 37.0 units )
                      2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

                      NBA MINNESOTA at PHILADELPHIA
                      Play Against - Any team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a home loss against a division rival
                      108-72 over the last 5 seasons. ( 60.0% 46.3 units )
                      3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 2.8 units )

                      NBA MINNESOTA at PHILADELPHIA
                      Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games
                      49-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.0% 27.0 units )
                      6-3 this year. ( 66.7% 2.7 units )
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369677

                        #41
                        StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

                        NHL COLUMBUS at NY RANGERS
                        Play Against - Road teams against the money line (COLUMBUS) after allowing 6 goals or more against opponent after a blowout win by 4 goals or more
                        26-4 over the last 5 seasons. ( 86.7% 22.6 units )
                        0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.0 units )

                        NHL FLORIDA at MONTREAL
                        Play Against - Any team against the money line (MONTREAL) excellent defensive team - allowing <=2.4 goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games
                        42-25 since 1997. ( 62.7% 32.1 units )

                        NHL CALGARY at COLORADO
                        Play Against - Road underdogs against the money line (CALGARY) off a home loss by 2 goals or more, in January games
                        43-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.1% 28.8 units )
                        1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369677

                          #42
                          Football Crusher
                          nothing yet
                          (System Record: 54-4, lost last 2 games)
                          Overall Record: 54-49-1

                          Hockey Crusher
                          New York Rangers -143 over Columbus BlueJackets
                          (System Record: 51-0, lost last 2 games)
                          Overall Record: 51-32-1

                          Basketball Crusher
                          Canisius -2 over Marist
                          (System Record: 31-3, won last game)
                          Overall Record: 31-38-1

                          Soccer Crusher
                          Aris + Apollonas UNDER 2.5
                          This match is happening in Greece

                          (System Record: 503-18, lost last game)
                          Overall Record: 503-435-74

                          Here are the rest of his hockey and basketball plays for today...


                          Hockey
                          Dallas Stars +105 over NY Islanders
                          Montreal Canadiens -182 over Florida
                          Colorado Avalanche -1.5 over Calgary


                          Basketball
                          Iona +2 over Quinnipiac
                          Chattanooga -3.5 over Citadel
                          Appalachian State +14 over Elon
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369677

                            #43
                            ALLEN EASTMAN

                            7-Unit Play. Take #268 Florida State (-8.5) over Auburn (+8.5)(8:30 p.m., Monday, Jan. 6)
                            I love the Seminoles in this one!
                            This team has been the best in college football all year long. This program put a ton of players into the NFL last year and this year's team has even more future pro players on it. This program is just about back to being at the top of college football like they were in the late 80's and early 90's and this is the game that is going to get them back there. It has been a long road but this team has waited long enough. Auburn was fortunate to be in this game. They needed miracles to beat Georgia and Alabama. Both of those games were at home and they could've lost both of them. Florida State has had all month to figure out Gus Malzahn's offense. And Auburn isn't going to be able to run the ball at Florida State 50 times like they did against weaker SEC defenses. Florida State has blown teams out all year. They are a strong favorite for a reason. The public is taking the SEC team because of seven straight championships. But this Auburn team isn't even close to some of those past SEC teams. The public is going to get burned by the underdog. This one is going to be a good old fashioned BCS blowout and Florida State will win this game by more than two touchdowns. I think that you should wait to bet this game. The public money is coming in on Auburn and this spread might drop to 8.0 or 7.5 by kickoff.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369677

                              #44
                              Chad Matthews

                              3-Unit Play. #270 Florida State Seminoles -7.5 over the Auburn Tigers (Jan 6 @ 8:30pm ET)
                              The Florida State Seminoles and the Auburn Tigers face off in the BCS National Title game. Over the past few weeks the Auburn Tigers have stamped their ticket to the big game in fantasy style with heroic last minute wins against Alabama and Georgia. The Seminoles have rolled past every team it's faced this season with really no threats at all as their closest game played all season was 14 points. Obviously the Tigers are in a much tougher division than the Seminoles. The Seminoles rolled Clemson 51-14 in Death Valley which was probably their biggest test to date. I can't deny that it has not been fun to watch this Tigers team make it to the BCS game and I have rooted for them the entire way to the big show, however now they face a team in Florida State that just has too many weapons for Auburn to handle and the magic ends here as I can see this being a blowout in favor of Florida State. Take the Seminoles at -7.5 here.

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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369677

                                #45
                                Stephen Nover

                                CFB Side - Monday, Jan 6 2014 8:30PM

                                270 Florida St. -10.0(-110) triple-dime bet
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