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Syracuse travels to Virginia Tech tonight for their second ACC game, hoping that they give a better effort than they got this weekend in their 49-44 win over Miami. The Orange come into the game tonight at 14-0 on the season while the Hokies are 8-5 on the campaign. Even though they are still rebuilding their program, there are some things to like about what the Hokies are doing. Virginia Tech ranks sixth nationally from behind the 3-point line, shooting 42.5% on the season. They have also been tough on the defensive end, allowing an average of 62.3 ppg, 37.6 field-goal % and 28.5 3-point % in their last seven games. Syracuse has really struggled shooting from behind the arc over their past several games and only shot 36.2% from the field in the Miami game. It appears as though Tech is going to have the advantage on the glass as well, where the Hokies average 41 rebounds a game to Syracuse's 35 boards. While we will admit that Tech hasn't been real competitive with the better teams they have played this season, we think this is a spot tonight where Syracuse will get their best shot and we think they cover this number. The Sharps say...
Rhode Island won its last five games with Saint Louis, beating Billikens last two years, when Rams were combined 15-45. URI won at LSU on Saturday, big road win for 9-6 Rams, their first top 100 win. St Louis is 4-0 in true road games, winning at Valpo/Vandy- they force turnovers 23.4% of time, #11 in country. Rams turn ball over 21% of time, shoot just 29.7% from arc.
Charleston's CAA debut comes vs James Madison team that won four of last five games after a 2-8 start. Dukes turn ball over 21.4% of time, shoot just 27.4% from arc- they're 3-6 on road, but beat NC-Wilmington by 5 in CAA road opener Saturday. Cougars won six of last eight games with a win at Davidson; they turn ball over 20.7% of time, make 30.5% from the arc.
Tennessee won its last five games with LSU, winning last three visits to Baton Rouge by 2-5-5 points, but Vols are 0-2 on road this year, losing at Xavier by 4, Wichita by 9. LSU had won five in row before home loss to Rhode Island Saturday; Tigers are 2-2 vs top 100 teams, 2-3 in games decided by 7 or less points. Tennessee is 1-4 in games decided by single digit margin; they're 3-3 vs top 100 teams.
Duke is out of top 10 for first time since November 2007; Blue Devils' opponents are shooting 50.8% inside arc- they're 2-3 vs top 100 teams, but Georgia Tech is #110. Duke won 14 of last 16 games against Tech, winning last five by 19-4-22-7-16 points. Jackets never led in last game at Maryland, losing 77-61- they're 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with all five losses by 10 points, only win at home vs Illinois.
Home side won 11 of last 12 Baylor-Iowa State games; Bears lost last six visits to Ames, with all six wins by 8+ points. ISU won last three in series by 8-8-5 points. Cyclones blew 15-point halftime lead Saturday in Lubbock, beat Tech by 11; they're 5-0 vs top 100 teams, with all five wins by 7 or less points. This is first true road game for Baylor, who played at D-II Chaminade in Maui, but that doesn't count.
Kansas State swept TCU by 13-11 points in Frogs' first season in Big X LY; Wildcats won last nine games after 2-3 start, upsetting Oklahoma State at home Saturday, but this is their first true road game- they're 2-2 on neutral floors, losing two of three at Puerto Rico tourney. TCU lost its three top 100 games by 8-21-5 points, losing to West Virginia 74-69 in conference opener Saturday.
Ill-Chicago swept Youngstown LY with both wins by 5- second game went three OTs, with Penguins shooting 28.6% inside arc- they're 2-8 in last ten visits to UIC- home side won 10 of last 13 series games. UIC is 5-10, 2-3 at home, losing last four games, last three by 13+. Youngstown allowed 83.5 ppg in losing first two Horizon road tilts by 6-16 points.
Notre Dame upset Duke in its ACC debut Saturday; four of its last five games were decided by 4 or less points or in OT. Irish have to get back to business vs NC State team that lost by 11 at home to Pitt Saturday, after jumping out to 17-2 lead. It was -14 when Wolfpack's plane got to South Bend Monday; State is 2-1 on road, losing by 11 at Cincinnati, winning at Tennessee by 7.
Michigan State-Ohio State are 7-7 in last 14 meetings; Buckeyes are 2-1 in last three visits here- teams split pair of close games in last two Big Dozen tourneys. OSU is 13-0, winning road games by 17 at Marquette, 9 at Purdue; opponents are making 24.3% from arc. Spartans won last six games, opening conference play with 16-17 road wins at Penn State and Indiana- their only loss was North Carolina at home.
Houston won first two AAC games by 4-9 points after couple of weird non-league losses to San Jose/ULL; Cougars are 7-1 at home- they're 0-5 if they allow 72+ points, 10-0 if they allow 70 or less. Cincinnati gave up 55 ppg in winning first two AAC games by 8-16 points, with a big win at Memphis Saturday. Bearcats force turnovers 25.1% of time, #7 on country- they play great defense, can struggle with the ball.
Vanderbilt won last three games with Alabama by 1-4-10 points; they're 3-2 in last five visits here, but are 0-2 on road this year, losing by in OT at Butler by 8, at Texas by 6- they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams. Alabama is 0-6 vs top 100 teams, with all six losses by 10 or less points. Tide lost last two home games to Wichita/Xavier- they're 1-6 in games decided by 9 or less points.
Creighton won its first two Big East games by 18-13 points; they're #3 in country, making 42.7% from arc; Bluejays are 3-0 road, with wins by . 4-17-3 points. DePaul scored 55 ppg in losing first two league games by 7-10 points; Blue Demons are amazingly bad 9-95 in last 103 league games; they've turned ball over 20.7% of time. DePaul scored average of 57.8 ppg in their last four games, not good.
Syracuse is 14-0, winning by 5 at St John's in only road game- they won ACC debut 49-44 over Miami at home Saturday (trailed by by 5 at 6:11 mark)- they allowed 54.2 ppg in last five games. Virginia Tech is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Michigan State by 19, VCU by 30, winning by 5 over West Virginia. Orange are #2 in countery, forcing turnovers 25.9% of time. Hokies are #6 in country, making 42.5% from arc.
3-Unit Play. #534. Take Iowa State -6.5 over Baylor (Tuesday @ 7pm est).
Fred Hoiberg just consistently seems to have Scott Drew's number. Iowa State has beat and covered against Baylor the last 3 times and 4 of times (2 of the last 3 in which they were favored). I have Iowa State as a top as a top 15 offensive team and they come off a big win against Texas Tech on the road winning by 9 points and they have already beat Iowa this year at home who is an even better team than Baylor. If you take a look at the power rankings, you will notice that Iowa State beat an even better Michigan team ranked 18th in most power rankings by 7 and given the familiarity that Coach Hoiberg and Iowa State with Baylor - not to mention that Baylor is ranked in the top 30 in most power rankings, this is a good opportunity for Iowa State to likely win this game by about 9-10 points this evening. This is not to mention this is a decent public fade as well as most of the public is on the underdog to boot. They key difference in this contest will likely be due to the fact Iowa State is 2nd in the nation in turnover percentage with Baylor being outside the top 200. And, in a conference game and on the road at that, the possessions for Baylor will likely be extremely key here. Baylor is also outside the top 250 in the country in field goal percentage as well whereas Iowa State is top 140 in the country in field goal percentage. The Cyclones are 7-2 ATS when facing a team with a winning percentage greater than 60% this year and 6-2 ATS when facing a team with a winning road record as well.
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball
6-Unit Play. #515. Take Golden State -10 over Milwaukee (Tuesday @ 8:05pm est).
Did you know the Golden State Warriors have lost to the Milwaukee Bucks the last 3 times they have played them? Note the Warriors lost to this team both times in 2013 and in lost to them in 2012 to boot as well which means they have not beat the Bucks since 2011. I'm sure that is not lost on Coach Jackson as he faces this team today on the road. Public play or not, motivation is always key for these teams in the NBA as in different situations, different teams are able to step up. The Warriors have traditionally done well in revenge games such as beating the Magic recently on the road in a similar situation as the Magic beat this team twice last year in a sweep and the Warriors got their revenge this year beating them as -6.5 favorites which we were on. The Warriors recently got their revenge on the Heat as well winning on the road and have put together 9 straight wins in a row to boot as this road trip has been a positive one for this team. With the 9 game win streak, the Warriors have solidified their standing in the Western Conference standings this year at 23-13. With Milwaukee having lost to the likes of the Timberwolves (who were highly motivated in that game) by a score of 117-95 its not far fetched to imagine them losing to a motivated Warriors team by that margin here. The Warriors are 7-3 ATS against the Eastern Conference of late as well as being 4-1 ATS against teams with a winning percentage of less than 40% at home (meaning the Warriors are covering road contests as big chalk). If the Bucks were truly expected to do well this game, the line would be more like +7.5 or even +5.5 to get the public to bait on the Warriors. But the Warriors are expected to do well and we have this game by about a 17 point differential tonight as note the Warriors are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 contests against the Western Conference as well.
Game: Philadelphia at Cleveland (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia +4.5 (-105) at 5Dimes
There was nothing pretty about the last time the Philadelphia 76ers stepped on the floor. They were beaten badly by Minnesota by 31 points. That will have bettors running away from this team, but hold on. Teams that are bad defensively and allow over 103 points per game, and are off a 20-point loss or more actually come back strong to cover 56% of their next games (over 500 games in the sample). Good or bad, professional athletes don't like to be crushed, and usually come back with a strong effort. The Cavaliers put a lot of energy in their last game here vs. an elite Indiana team, and disappointingly, came up 4 points short, so their focus here vs the lowly Sixers should be lacking. The Cavs sport just a 6-20-1 ATS mark when playing on one day of rest in their last 27. Play on Philadelphia.
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