2-2-14

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Goodfella

3* Broncos ML

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Ben Burns 10* Main Event

Denver Broncos

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Fezzik

1* under 24 first half
4th quarter -200 to outscore 1st quarter (1*)
Denver Punts OVER 4-125 (1*)
Denver Penalties UNDER 6-130 (1*)
Sea More Penalty Yards, -135 (1*)
Julius Thomas UNDER 53.5 Receiving Yards (1*)
Sea Plus 54 total yards vs. Denver (1*)

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Nover

under 47 (2*)
moreno under 24.5 rcv yards (1*),
under 4.5yrds for 1st monteball Rec (1*)
under 50.5 rcv yards for J thomas (1*)
under 4.5 reception for J thomas (1*)

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Wunderdog

2.5 Units 2nd Half Highest Scoring Half

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Mark Franco

Total QB Sacks - Under 4½

Will Either Team Score 3 Straight Times - No

Largest Lead of the Game Either Team - Under 13½

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Dave Cokin:

Seahawks +2.5

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PREDICTION MACHINE

Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
101 6:25 PM SEA "Upset Watch" "Lock of the Week" @ DEN 2.5 2.2 60.0% $80

Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
101 6:25 PM SEA vs DEN 23.8 21.5 54.8%

Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
102 6:25 PM SEA vs DEN 47 45.3 Under 52.7% $3

Super Bowl XLVIII Pick: Seattle +2.5 over Denver (Covers 60%)

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Power Sweep:
2* Under 48 Denver/Seattle

Power Plays:
2* Under 48 Denver/Seattle

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Freddy Wills
2014 Super Bowl XLVIII Top 7 Prop Bets to Wager

Denver Over 91.5 Rushing Yards -135 2.5* Play
Peyton Manning Longest Passing Completion - UNDER 37.5 Yards -110 (Risking 2 Units)
Monte Ball - Over 8.5 rushing attempts -135 1.5* play
Under 1.5 Total Interceptions +110 (Risking 1.5 Units)
Over 3.5 Field Goals +125 (Risk 1 Unit)
First Score of the game = Field Goal/Safety +120 (Risking 1 Unit)
Seahawks - UNDER 132.5 Rushing Yards -110 (Risking 1 Unit)

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STU Feiner
Denver Broncos by 10

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Colin Cowherd
Broncos 26 -23

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Peter King (Sports Illustrated Write-up)

Denver 27

Seattle 24

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Brian Edwards 20*
Seattle Seahawks

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Super Bowl

Denver/Seattle were AFC West rivals up until 2001, when Seahawks moved to the NFC. Seattle’s first-ever playoff win was 31-7 over the Broncos in the Kingdome in 1983, John Elway’s rookie year. Teams have met only three times since Seattle switched conferences, with Denver winning two of three, last of which was 31-14 Bronco win at Mile High in 2010—that also means the teams meet again next season, in the Thursday night season opener, maybe?

None of that matters here; what matters is what the weather is expected to come up better Sunday night than its been all winter in New Jersey, which favors Denver’s passing game. Broncos scored 41 ppg in winning two of three games on artificial turf this season (at Giants-Cowboys-Patriots). Seattle plays its home games on carpet. Both teams beat the Giants in this stadium this season. If they gave an over/under figure to bet on for TV ratings, I’d take the over. Lot of people are interested in this game.

Denver’s coach/QB have been in Super Bowls before, Manning has obviously won one. Seattle doesn’t have one player who has been in a Super Bowl; they have to guard against being too hyped up for the game, which you read has been a problem in previous Super Bowls. Manning spreads ball out so well, it is difficult for great Seattle defense to focus on stopping 1-2 guys, like Crabtree/Boldin with the 49ers.

This is only second time in last 20 years both #1 seeds got to this point. Underdogs covered five of last six Super Bowls, won four of six SU.

Seattle’s offense has not been as good away from home; they’re a bully team, trying to run ball down your throat. If Denver can contain the run and force Wilson to make plays to win the game, doubtful he can do it. I think the Broncos will win the game, something like 31-16.