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Game of the Day: Michigan State at Wisconsin
Michigan State Spartans at Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5)
Eighth-ranked Michigan State has been ravaged by injury, but constantly changing personnel has yet to affect its ability to challenge for another Big Ten title. The Spartans, who travel to No. 24 Wisconsin on Sunday, have been forced to use 12 different lineups over the last 18 games after Keith Appling (wrist) missed the first game of his career in Thursday’s win over Penn State. Appling’s absence left Denzel Valentine as the only Michigan State regular that has yet to miss a game this season.
The Spartans, who hold a half-game lead on Michigan atop the conference standings, got a much-needed boost off the bench from Adreian Payne (foot), who returned Thursday with 12 points in 18 minutes after a seven-game layoff. With coach Tom Izzo unsure of when Appling will play again, Payne’s presence may be even more critical against the Badgers, who will looking to end a rare three-game home losing streak. After setting a school record with a 16-0 start, Wisconsin is 2-5 since – its worst seven-game run since 2008-09.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS
LINE HISTORY: The Badgers opened as 3.5-point home favorites.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Michigan State (-14.1) - Wisconsin (-10.4) + home court (+3.0) = Michigan State -0.7
INJURY WATCH: Michigan State - Keith Appling (Wrist - Questionable)
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Huge injury issue for Michigan State, as Keith Appling (15 ppg, 4.9 apg, 3.5 rpg) is questionable. If he plays, I see line being Wisconsin -1. If he cant suit up, I see the Badgers being -3. Badgers have both won and covered just two of their last seven, so I expect the book to need Wisconsin to cover." Mike Perry, Sportsbook.ag
WHAT SHARPS SAY: "What did I predict weeks ago? I told you that the Badgers were going to hit a wall because they are overplaying their starters. But what's most disconcerting is that they have lost three straight at home, an almost unthinkable streak for the Badgers in Madison." Covers Experts' Doc's Sports
WHY BET MICHIGAN STATE (20-3, 9-1 Big Ten): Payne’s box-score contribution may have been below his usual average, but the welcome he received from the Spartans’ crowd was captivating. "It was like Willis Reed coming off the bench (in reference to the New York Knicks captain's dramatic appearance in the 1970 NBA Finals),” Penn State coach Patrick Chambers told reporters after the game. "The crowd was going crazy - standing ovation." Payne is 22 points shy of becoming the 44th player in school history to score at least 1,000 points in his career.
WHY BET WISCONSIN (18-5, 5-5): The Badgers could use more offense from struggling 7-0 forward Frank Kaminsky, who set a school record with 43 points earlier in the season but has averaged six over his last three contests on 4-of-16 shooting. Freshman Nigel Hayes has picked up some of the slack, averaging 15.5 points over the last two games while converting 13 of his 14 field-goal attempts. Wisconsin connected on 43.5 percent of its 3-pointers in Tuesday’s win over Illinois – a stark contrast from the 27.9 percent the Badgers shot over their previous six contests.
TRENDS:
* Spartans are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
* Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. -
Chris Paul "50-50" to play versus Sixers Sunday
Andrew Avery
According to the Los Angeles Times, Los Angeles Clippers PG Chris Paul is looking to return to face the Philadelphia 76ers Sunday.
Paul has been out since Jan. 3 with a separated shoulder and head coach Doc Rivers told the Times that he has a "50-50" chance to play.
The point guard is second on the Clippers in scoring with 19.6 ppg and leads the team in assists with 11.2 per game.
"He’s top 3-5 player in regards to value in point spread, behind only LeBron James and Kevin Durant in my opinion," says Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag. "He's worth about three points to the spread depending on opponent."Comment
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Everton must overcome injuries versus Tottenham
Andrew Avery
Everton RB Seamus Coleman could make his return from injury at White Hart Lane as the Toffees visit Tottenham Hotspur Sunday.
But the injury list is long for the club and they could still be without Gerard Deulofeu, Romelu Lukaku, Bryan Oviedo, Darron Gibson, Arouna Koné, Antolin Alcaraz as well as January signing Lacina Traoré.
The lack of depth up front means that Kevin Mirallas, normally an attacking midfielder, could lead the line for Everton.
Tottenham is currently a +110 home fave in this battle for fifth in the table.Comment
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Creighton in mini-slump for bettors
Andrew Avery
The Creighton Bluejays are currently enjoying a four game SU winning streak, but are 0-2 ATS in their last two games - both of which were as double-digit favorites.
The Bluejays are on the road to face St. John's Sunday and are 3-point road favorites.Comment
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NBA
Hot teams
-- Oklahoma City won 12 of its last 14 games.
-- Lakers won last two games by 11-14 points, after losing seven games in row before that.
-- Boston won/covered its last three games. Mavericks won last four games, covered last three.
-- Pelicans won six of their last eight games.
-- Grizzlies won seven of their last nine games.
-- Orlando won its last four home games, covered its last six. Pacers won last four games, three by 5 or less points.
Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost three of their last four games.
-- Bulls lost three of their last four games.
-- Nets lost four of their last six games.
-- Cavaliers won/covered once in their last seven games.
-- Washington lost last two games by 7ot/2 points. Kings lost eight of last ten games, but covered four of last five.
-- 76ers lost eight of their last nine games (2-7 vs spread). Clippers lost three of their last five games.
Series records
-- Thunder won seven of last nine games vs New York.
-- Lakers lost four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Mavericks won five of last six games with Boston.
-- Nets won three of last four games with New Orleans.
-- Memphis won its last four games with the Cavaliers.
-- Pacers won seven of their last eight games vs Orlando.
-- Kings won three in row vs Washington, last two by 1-2 points.
-- Clippers won/covered last four games with Philadelphia.
Totals
-- Five of last seven Thunder games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Chicago games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Dallas games went over the total; five of lasr seven Boston games stayed under.
-- Last eight New Orleans-Brooklyn games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Orlando home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Sacramento games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Clipper games went over the total.
Back to backs
-- Memphis is 5-0 vs spread if it played on road the previous night.Comment
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NCAAB
Sunday, February 9
Michigan State won its last five games with Wisconsin, winning last two visits here by total of 5 points; Spartans are 9-1 in league despite being unable to get whole team healthy- Appling missed last game- they're 5-0 on road, winning last road game in OT at Iowa. Badgers lost three home games in row, first time that has happened under Ryan. Big Dozen home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-2 vs spread.
Youngstown State (-6) beat Detroit 77-63 at home Jan 18, scoring 1.17 ppp, making 9-20 from arc, just its second win in last nine series games. Penguins lost three of last four visits here, are 1-3 in last four games, as favorites are 4-1 vs spread in their Horizon road games. Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-12 vs spread. Detroit woin three of its last five games overall, but lost three of five Horizon home games.
Indiana State (-2) won 77-73 at Drake Jan 8, game they trailed by 4 with 9:07 left; Drake lost four of last five visits to Terre Haute, losing by 12-10-12-7 points. Sycamores are 2-2 as home favorites, winning at home by 12-3-15-14 points, with loss to Wichita in last home game. Drake is 1-4 vs spread on Valley road, losing by 11-10-10-18, with lone win at So. Illinois. MVC double digit home favorites are 6-4 vs spread.
UMass is 2-3 in last five games after starting season 16-1; they won six of last seven games with Rhode Island, winning three in row by 6-28-9 points; they're 4-2 in last six visits here. Minutemen lost last three road games, scoring 62.7 ppg. A-13 home underdogs are 10-8 against spread. Dogs are 3-0 vs spread in URI's A-13 home games; Rams lost by point to Saint Louis, beat George Mason/Dayton, are 2-0 as home dogs.
Illinois lost its last eight games; its last win was 75-55 (-8.5) vs Penn St. Jan 4, holding Lions to 29.8% from floor. Illini lost last two visits here by hoop each- home teams won last five series games. Big Dozen home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-2 vs spread. Penn State won three of last four games, is 1-1 as favorite- three of its last four home games were decided by 4 or less points. Illini is 1-5 as a dog, 1-2 on foreign soil.
Western Michigan won its last eight games vs Northern Illinois, winning last three visits here by 12-25-37 points; Broncos won four of last five games, are 0-4 as MAC favorites- dogs covered seven of their first nine MAC games. NIU won/covered last three games after a 1-5 start; they're 1-3 at home, beating Miami by 12 last game for first home win. MAC home underdogs of less than 5 points are 6-3 vs spread.
Clemson is 6-3 in ACC; 5-0 in games decided by 8 or less points, with losses by 15-33-19 points. Favorites are 4-1 vs spread in their road tilts; Tigers are 2-1 as road dogs. ACC double digit home favorites are 5-7 vs spread. Syracuse is playing its first game since becoming #1 in poll that means very little; they're 1-4 as home favorites, winning in dome by 5-12-4-2-6 points. This is first series meeting as ACC rivals.
Akron won its last nine games with Bowling Green; they've won nine in a row in Falcons' gym, with five of last seven by 9+ points. Zips are 4-1 on MAC road but struggled on offense last two games, scoring 57-52 points- they're 2-5 as MAC favorites, 1-2 on road. MAC home teams are 8-7 vs spread if spread was 3 or less points. Bowling Green is 1-3 in last four games, 2-3 at home, but they upset Buffalo in last home tilt.
UConn (-11) hammered UCF 84-61 at home Jan 11, holding Knights to 31.3% from floor. Huskies are 2-3 on AAC road, 1-1 as road favorites, winning at Memphis/Rutgers, losing at Cincinnati and the Texas schools. UCF is 1-8 vs spread in league, 0-5 at home, 0-3 as home dogs, losing by 25-12-1-10 points at home, with only win vs Temple. AAC home dogs are 6-10 vs spread, 1-5 if getting 7 or less points.
Creighton won four in row, 14 of last 15 games; they beat St John's by 3 at home (-12.5) Jan 28, after blowing 18-point lead with 10:46 left- that is Red Storm's only loss in their last five games. McDermott had 39 in that game but Gibbs didn't play- he played 21 minutes Friday. Bluejays are 3-1 on Big East road with alll three wins by 13+. Big East home dogs are 5-9 against the spread. St John's covered last three games as a dog.
Colorado (-4) lost 71-54 at Washington Jan 12 in game when Dinwiddie hurt his knee; home teams won all three series games- Huskies lost by 18 here in last visit two years ago. Pac-12 home favorites of 6 or less points are 6-7 vs spread. Buffaloes won last three home games by 21-4-5; they are 3-3 as home favorites. Washington lost its last five road games, by 9-26-12-5-9 points, but they're 3-2 vs spread as a road underdog.
Iona (-6.5) lost 85-83 at home to Canisius Jan 17, despite a 40-16 run in second half that erased a 20-point deficit; Gaels won six of last nine vs Canisius, but lost three of last four visits here. Iona won six in row since that game (5-1 vs spread); favorites are 5-1 vs spread in their MAAC away games. Canisius had 4-game win streak snapped by Manhattan on Friday. MAAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-6 vs spread.
Niagara is 11-3 in last 14 games vs Manhattan, sweeping Jaspers LY by 4-4 points; Jaspers are 1-6 in last seven visits here, but Niagara is awful, losing five of last six games- they're 2-4 at home, with three losses by 11 or more points. Jaspers won at Canisius Friday; they're 3-3 in last six games after 6-1 start. 3-3 on MAAC road, winning by 11-12-11 points. Manhattan is MAAC home underdogs are 5-10 against spread.Comment
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Gamblers Data
Free Plays Sunday
Clippers -16
Valparaiso -8Comment
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Sports Betting Champ
The NBA system bet(s) for February 9th are:
Sacramento [B] bet
New Orleans [A] bet
Philadelphia [A] bet
Dallas [A] bet
Unless any last-minute injuries take place, I can confirm that these
4 bets are official system bets that pass all the system filters!
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Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- Remember to purchase 3 points for the team you're betting on.
- If your team is still a favorite after buying 3 points, then
bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in
odds that too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you
can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread
plus 3 points as normal, but do not continue betting on the series
if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters.
Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out.
I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing
injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make
wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot
make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every
single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may
hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later
in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters
of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage
that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best
player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.Comment
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Ohio Valley Sports
COLLEGE BB
HOUSTON -2.5
TULANE -2
ILLINOIS STATE -1Comment
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Cappers Access
Michigan St +3
Penn St -3
Clemson +14Comment
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Big Sky Sports -
15 Units NetsComment
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Moose Picks -
NBA Private Plays
76ers, Pelicans, Mavericks (ML)Comment
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Basketball Crusher
New Orleans Pelicans +6 over Brooklyn Nets
(System Record: 44-6, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 44-57-2
Soccer Crusher
Newells Old Boys + Boca Juniors UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 523-18, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 523-448-75
Basketball
Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 over Ny Knicks
Oklahoma City Thunder + New York Knicks UNDER 200.5
Philadelphia 76ers + Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 218.5Comment
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POINTWISE
COLLEGE KEY RELEASE
MICHIGAN ST over Wisconsin (Sun) RATING: 1
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SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 9 SCORE
(1:00) Michigan State 60 - WISCONSIN 57 (CBS)
(2:00) HOUSTON 72 - Temple 61 (ESPNN)
(2:00) BRADLEY 69 - Evansville 59
(2:00) TULANE 76 - Marshall 65
(2:00) SO MISSISSIPPI 77 - Charlotte 54 (CBSC)
(2:00) DETROIT 64 - Youngstown State 63
(2:30) VALPARAISO 78 - Oakland 60
(3:00) INDIANA STATE 71 - Drake 61
(4:00) Illinois State 62 - LOYOLA-CHICAGO 57
(4:00) Massachusetts 73 - RHODE ISLAND 72 (CBSC)
(4:15) PENN STATE 64 - Illinois 59 (BIG10)
(4:30) Western Michigan 70 - NORTHERN ILLINOIS 62
(6:00) SYRACUSE 79 - Clemson 64 (ESPNU)
(6:00) Akron 67 - BOWLING GREEN 66
(6:00) Connecticut 77 - CENTRAL FLORIDA 63 (ESPN2)
(7:00) ST JOHNS 68 - Creighton 67 (FOX 1)
(7:00) ARIZONA 85 - Oregon State 64 (ESPN)
(8:00) COLORADO 70 - Washington 61 (ESPNU)
BEST BETS: MICHIGAN ST, SO MISS, ILLINOIS ST, WESTERN MICHIGAN
SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 9 NBA SCORES
(1:00) OKLAHOMA CITY 126 - New York 120 (ABC)
(3:30) Chicago Bulls 103 - LA LAKERS 98 (ABC)
(6:05) New Orleans Pelicans 102 - BROOKLYN NETS 98
(6:05) Memphis Grizzlies 106 - CLEVELAND CAVS 102
(6:05) Dallas Mavericks 109 - BOSTON CELTICS 94
(6:05) WASHINGTON WIZARDS 108 - Sacramento 103
(6:05) Indiana Pacers 109 - ORLANDO MAGIC 98
(9:35) LA CLIPPERS 118 - Philadelphia 76ers 108
BEST BETS: NEW ORLEANS (3), DALLASComment
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