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NBA
5* Orlando Magic +1.5 over the Denver Nuggets
5* Toronto Raptors -9 over the Detroit Pistons
5* Raptors/Pistons under 206.5
5* Boston Celtics +4 over the New York Knicks
5* Utah Jazz +5 over the Dallas Mavs
CBB
5* Stanford Cardinal -11.5 over the Washington State Cougars
ACC tournament (Greensboro)
Wake Forest (-1.5) beat Notre Dame 65-58 at home Jan 25, outscoring Irish 12-4 over last 2:24- ND was 2-19 from arc, Wake shot 60% inside arc. Deacons are 0-6 in ACC tourney last six years, with all six losses by 10+ points. Notre Dame won its first tourney game last five years, but last four years they had good teams. Wake is 2-9 since beating Irish, but one of wins was vs Duke. Irish lost four of their last five games.
Boston College lost nine of its last 11 games; they got swept by Georgia Tech this year, 68-60/74-71, despite turning ball over total of nine times in two games. Jackets won last two games after starting 4-12 in ACC, but they did win at Syracuse. Eagles are last in ACC defending arc; Tech was 12-27 from arc vs BC. BC won its first tourney games five of last seven years; Tech lost its last three first round games, by 16-18-20.
Pac-12 tournament (MGM Grand, Las Vegas)
Utah split four Pac-12 games with Washington, losing 59-57 in Seattle, winning rematch 786-9 Feb 6. Utes won six of last nine games; they are 2-7 on Pac-12 road, winning at USC/Cal. Utah is 1-3 in its last four first round games; their last four first round wins were all by 4 or less points. Washington won this event in '10, '11; five of its last six tourney games were decided by 4 or less points- they're 3-1 in last four games overall. .
Colorado swept USC this year, winning 83-62 at home, 83-74 Feb 16 in rematch; Buffs lost three of last four games, are 7-8 since Dinwiddie got hurt- he didn't play in either USC game. Trojans are 2-16 in Pac-12, with 11 double figure losses. Colorado is 6-3 in last nine first round games, winning last three by 2-12-6 points. USC lost last two first round games by 15-3 points. These are worst two 3-point shooting teams in Pac-12.
Oregon won its last seven games, with Arizona win likely getting them off bubble; Ducks won six of last eight games vs Oregon State; they split pair with Beavers this year, losing 80-72 in Corvallis, winning rematch 93-83 Feb 16. Ducks won this event LY; they've won three of last four first round games. Robinson is 2-3 in first round tourney games, losing by 8-7-6 points. OSU lost six of its last nine games overall.
Stanford swept Washington State this year, winning 80-48 at home, then winning rematch 69-56 Feb 15; Cardinal lost three of last four games- as a bubble team, they've got to win this game. Coogs beat UCLA by 18 in last game, snapping an 8-game skid. Stanford won its first tourney game four of last six years; Wazzu is 0-4 in last four tourney games, with all four losses by 5 or less points. Cardinal is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Mountain West tournament (Las Vegas)
Utah State swept Colorado State this year, winning 57-50 at home, then 71-62 in rematch Feb 11; Aggies lost four of last six games overall. Rams are 5-3 in last eight first round games, winning last two by 20-6 points; Utah State lost first two first round games, by 2-5 points. Colorado St. lost five of last seven games; their only two road wins in league were at San Jose/Air Force. Utah State is MWC's best 3-point team (39.9%).
Big East tournament (NYC)
Butler won its last two games by 33-17 points after starting 2-14 in first year in Big East; half of Bulldogs' four league wins were vs Seton Hall, 64-57 on road, 71-54 at home four days ago. Butler is 11-3 in conference tourney games last six years; those were different leagues with a coach who is in NBA now. Seton Hall won its first tourney games four of last five years- they've lost seven of last nine games overall.
AAC tournament (Memphis)
Rutgers lost seven of last nine games, but both wins were against South Florida, 79-69 on road, 74-73 in rematch at home 11 days ago. USF lost its last eight games, with three of its last four losses by 5 or less points. Bulls won their first tourney games three of last four years; Rutgers is 2-3 in its last five first round games. USF made only 24.8% of 3-pointers in league play- they're 2nd-to-last in AAC defending the 3.
UCF/Temple split pair of close games this year; Knights won 78-76 at home, then lost rematch 86-78 in OT at Philly eight days ago. UCF was 3-6 in C-USA tourney last seven years; Temple lost last two first round games in A-10 tourney, by 6-5 points. UCF is 3-4 in last seven games, after starting 1-10 in ACC- they scored 104 points last game. Temple won its last two games, after starting out 2-14 in its first AAC season.
SEC tournament (Atlanta)
South Carolina splt its last eight games after starting 1-9 in SEC; its only road win was Saturday at Miss State, when Martin (suspension) didn't coach team. Auburn beat Gamecocks twice this year, 79-74 in Columbia, 83-67 in rematch Feb 26th. Auburn lost seven of last eight first round games; its last six losses were by 9+ points; South Carolina is 0-5 in this event last five years, with three losses by 11+ points.
Mississippi State was 13-5 on Jan 22; they're 0-13 since, losing 55-49 at Vanderbilt Feb 1 (+6), when Vandy took 25 3's, but made 15-22 (68.2%) inside arc. Commodores lost last four games overall, three by six or less points. MSU is 3-2 in this round of SEC tournament; Vandy won six of eight games in this round. These are two worst 3-point shooting teams in SEC. Commodores actually won three conference road games.
Big X tournament (Kansas City)
Oklahoma State split pair with Texas Tech this year, losing 65-61 when Smart got shoved a Tech fan at end, winning rematch 84-62 Feb 22. OSU is 4-1 since Smart returned, losing last game in OT at Iowa State. Tech is 1-6 in its last seven games, beating Texas on Senior Day. Oklahoma State won its first tourney game last 10 years; Texas Tech is 8-3 in its last 11 first round games, with only one loss by more than four points.
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