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Scott Spreitzer | CBB Sides dime bet 647 Air Force 7.0(-110) Bookmaker.com vs 648 Fresno St.
Analysis: I'm taking the points with Air Force on Wednesday. The Bulldogs won both regular season meetings, but the second tilt got awfully close down the stretch with Air Force pulling within four points with under one minute to go in the game. Fresno finished with a 7-point win and a season sweep. But this isn't a series that's been based on major matchup advantages and we're getting value with the underdog. Air Force is getting the same amount of points in Las Vegas as they did when they played at Fresno State earlier this season. These teams look quite even in several statistical categories, but Fresno is on a 10-1 ATS run, which along with a SU up-tick has led to what I believe is an over-adjusted number. Air Force has been under-valued many times this season and they'll enter this one on a 10-2 ATS run when getting more than six points, winning five of those games, outright. I expect more of the same in this one. I'm grabbing the points with Air Force, my Wednesday Shocker. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
This one will be the second game of the day in Las Vegas as USC takes on Colorado in the Pac 12 Tournament. Last year at this time, Andy Enfield was getting his Fla Gulf Coast team ready for a magical Cinderella run, but this year is a much different story as his USC Trojans have struggled to an 11-20 mark this season. For Colorado, even with key injuries during the season, the Buffaloes have still managed to go 21-10. Much like the first game of the day in the Pac 12, the difference in this game to the Sharps is defense. USC is one of the worst defensive teams in the Pac 12, giving up almost 81 ppg this year. Colorado gives up 70.3 ppg on the season. These teams played twice this season and Colorado won both matchups by 21 and 9 points respectively. USC is just 18-36 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons and we think that Boyle will have the Buffaloes ready to play today and move on in the Pac 12 bracket. The Sharps say...
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