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Detroit tossed the towel when Mocheeks was fired as head coach. Detroit enters today on an 8-22 SU slide having allowed 108 PPG including 113 PPG in their last 5 games. Key contributors Smith and Bynum are expected to miss this game. Far prefer Toronto who has dominated Detroit in previous matchups this season with wins of 101-87 and 112-91. Since the trade of Rudy Gay, Toronto has gone 39-20 SU, 38-21 ATS. A Friday night home loss sets up a situation which finds the Raptors to be 21-10 ATS following a defeat. Toronto has also been one of the best road teams in the NBA with a record of 25-14 ATS away. Play the Super Surger vs Towel Tosser in this double digit victory.
Dominic Brando's Inner Circle
NBA Indiana Pacers ML -130
NBA Toronto Raptors ML -250
MLB Pittsburgh Pirates +110
MLB LA Dodgers -115
MLB Oakland A's -130
MLB Cleveland Indians +110
MLB Detroit Tigers -135
MLB Baltimore Orioles -110
MLB Kansas City Royals -115
Colorado (Chatwood) at San Francisco (Hudson) (-150) 4:05 ET
3% San Francisco (Hudson) (-150)
The Rockies continue with a home/road dichotomy that has characterized them in recent years. Though 6-6 for the season, Colorado is 4-2 at Coors while 2-4 on the road. That includes a 1-0 victory on this field yesterday. But in the last two seasons, the Rockies are just 7-21 away following a victory. Eager to fade 1st time starter Chatwood who is coming off the DL with a hamstring injury. For San Francisco, Hudson has been reborn in his return to the Bay Area. Following 2 starts, Hudson is 2-0 with a 1.15 ERA, 11/0 KBB. This runs his recent record to 6-0 with a 2.42 ERA. FFG bounces back behind the hot starter.
LA Dodgers (Haren) (-115) at Arizona (Cahill) 4:10 ET
4% LA Dodgers (Haren) (-115)
Pure momentum play on both teams and starters. With the Dodgers 8-5 victory yesterday, they have now beaten Arizona 4 straight times this year outscoring the DBacks 24-11. LA key starters have allowed just 2 runs with a 28/3 KBB. This extends recent Dodgers series dominance to 11-3 including 7-2 at this site. Cahill was a victim of one of those LAD wins when he allowed 5 runs on 8 hits in a 7-5 Dodger victory in Australia. That poor outing is just 1 of 3 for Cahill who from this mound this season is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA and .324 BAA. It all adds up to a 0-3 season with a 7.90 ERA. No such problems for Haren who in 2 starts has a 0.75 ERA with a 10/1 KBB.
Toronto (Buehrle) at Baltimore (Jimenez) (-110) 1:35 ET
3% Toronto (Buehrle) EVEN
I really don’t get it. In 2010 while pitching for Colorado, a brilliant 1st half resulted in a 2.88 ERA for Jimenez. In 4 seasons since that time, he has authored seasons with a 4.46 ERA or higher. Yet Baltimore this spring signed him to a 4 year $50 million dollar contract. For their reward, the Birds have seen Jimenez begin 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA. Though neither pitcher has a strong history against the opposition, Buehrle is off to a far stronger spot with a record of 2-0, 0.64 ERA and 14/2 KBB. No brainer using the current form of this pitching dichotomy.
Kansas City (Vargas) (-120) at Minnesota (Correia) 2:10 ET
4% Kansas City (Vargas) (-120)
The Twins have outscored the Royals by a combined 17-2 Friday and Saturday. That is a bit head scratching considering the Royals were 15-4 against them last year. Before you line up for the home dog sweep, consider that the Royals have not been swept by the Twins since June of 2011. Consider also that in those recent 3 years, the Twins are 98-148 on this field including 38-75 as home dog. Correia has a poor history against the Royals with a 5.29 ERA, .331 BAA in 6 starts. Out of the gate this season, Correia has pitched 11 2/3 IP allowing 17 BR for a 6.17 ERA. That is pure Play Against material. Vargas, conversely, has twirled 15 IP with a 1.20 ERA and 8/2 KBB. Royals bounce back behind the current form of Vargas.
Oakland (Kazmir) (-125) at Seattle (Young) 4:10 ET
4% Oakland (Kazmir) (-125)
Oakland’s starters have been superb this season allowing 3 or less runs in 10/11 games with starters going 6+ innings in 9/11 games. The 7-4 start (4-1 away) is reminiscent of the fact that the 190 Oakland victories the last two seasons is the best in the American League. Oakland is 5-1 recently with the only loss to red hot King Felix Friday night. After a hot start to the season against LAA, Seattle has scored just 20 runs with a .202 BA in their last 7. Young makes his 1st start since 2012. In that season, he pitched for the Mets. In 20 games, Young was 4-9 with a 4.15 ERA before being shelved by arm injuries. Yet he was far from the form of previous seasons where in 2010 and 2011 Young had a sub 2.00 ERA and a .145 BAA. On a 90 pitch limit, Young will have to prove it until he gets our money. Kazmir is off to a solid start winning both games with a 2.03 ERA.
NY Mets (Colon) at LA Angels (Wilson) (-150) 3:30 ET
3% NY Mets (Colon)
I will call this our pitching dog of the day. Never easy to fade Wilson who recorded 17 wins last year with a 3.39 ERA. His most recent start provided a return to form. In a 9-2 victory vs Houston, Wilson allowed just 1 run in 8 IP. His prior start at this mound, however, was a disaster. Wilson lasted just 5 2/3 IP in an 8-3 loss to Seattle where he allowed 6 runs on 8 hits. Now he must face former Angel, Colon, who is off to a hot start and has a strong history. Since being traded by the Halos, Colon has made 9 starts against them with a record of 6-1 and 1.75 ERA. More recently, that record is 3-0 with an 0.82 ERA. No reason to think that does not continue based on his current form. After 2 starts, Colon has a 2.08 ERA with 9/0 KBB. His most recent start was a 4-0 shutout of Atlanta in which he pitched 7 innings allowing just 6 hits. With the Mets 3-2 away and the underachieving Angels 1-4 at home, we will take a Big Dog play on the hot starter.
3-unit Play #953 Washington Nationals (-120) over Atlanta Braves (1:35pm EST) 3-unit Play #956 Milwaukee Brewers (-120) over Pittsburgh Pirates (2:10pm EST)
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