4-25-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Alvarez is 1-0, 1.80 in his last two starts.
-- Santana is 2-0, 0.86 in three starts for Atlanta.
-- Miller is 1-0, 0.79 in his last couple starts. Cole is 2-1, 4.00 in his four starts this month.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts. Beckett is 0-0, 0.00 (10 IP) in his last two starts.

-- Wilson is 2-1, 3.15 in his last three starts. Kuroda is 2-1, 4.07 in four starts this season.
-- Ventura is 1-1, 3.18 in three starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 4-0, 0.64 in four '14 starts. Peavy is 0-0, 3.33 in his four starts.
-- Archer is 2-1, 3.65 in four starts this season. Johnson is 1-0, 2.31 in his last couple starts.
-- Oakland is 4-0 when Chavez starts (1-0, 2.08).
-- Porcello is 2-1, 3.05 in three starts this season.

-- Hudson is 2-1, 2.70 in four starts for the Giants.

Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg is 1-2, 6.33 in five starts. Erlin is 0-2, 5.91 in his last two starts.
-- Wheeler is 1-2, 5.40 in four starts this season.
-- Bailey is 1-1, 5.76 in four starts this season.
-- Garza is 0-1, 7.00 in his last three starts. Villanueva is 0-2, 16.43 in his last two starts.
-- Hernandez is 0-0, 7.20 in his last three starts. Collmenter is 0-2, 6.30 in two starts this season.

-- Jiminez is 0-3, 6.75 in four starts this season.
-- Peacock allowed two runs in five IP in losing his first '14 start.
-- Correia is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Ross is 1-1, 4.24 in four starts. Elias is 1-2, 4.67 in his last three starts.

-- Carrasco is 0-2, 7.88 in three starts this month.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Erlin 1-3; Strasburg 2-5
-- Alvarez 2-4; Wheeler 2-4
-- Bailey 1-4; Santana 1-3
-- Villanueva 0-3; Garza 1-4
-- Cole 0-4; Miller 0-4
-- Hernandez 2-4; Collmenter 0-2
-- Lyles 1-4; Beckett 1-3

-- Wilson 1-4; Kuroda 1-4
-- Ventura 2-3; Jimenez 1-4
-- Peavy 1-4; Buehrle 1-4
-- Archer 1-4; Johnson 2-4
-- Chavez 2-4; Peacock 1-1
-- Porcello 3-3; Correia 0-4
-- Ross 1-4; Elias 0-4

-- Carrasco 1-3; Hudson 0-4

Totals
-- Last six San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Last five Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games stayed under.
-- All twelve games at Miller Park stayed under.
-- Four of last five Pirate gamaes stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Arizona home games.
-- Last three Colorado road games stayed under.

-- 14 of 20 Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Baltimore games went over.
-- Five of last seven Boston games went over.
-- Seven of ten White Sox home games went over.
-- Last three Oakland road games went over total.
-- 11 of 15 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Texas road games stayed under.

-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine San Francisco games.

Hot teams
-- Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Braves won five of their last six home games. Cincinnati won four of its last five games overall.
-- Brewers won five of their last six games.
-- Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Colorado won five of its last seven games.


-- Bronx won eight of last 11 games. Angels are 7-5 away from home.
-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six road games.
-- Twins won eight of last 12 games. Detroit won four of their last six.
-- Rangers won eight of their last nine games.

-- Indians won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Padres are 3-7 in game following a win. Washington is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
-- Marlins lost eight of their nine road games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last seven games. St Louis lost four of last five.
-- Arizona lost its last eight home games.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last four games.

-- Kansas City lost four of its last five games.
--
Red Sox are 8-12 in their last twenty games.Toronto lost three of last four. -- White Sox lost six of their last nine games. Rays lost three of last four.
-- Astros lost eight of their last nine home games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last nine games.

-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
New York Mets -115 over Miami Marlins
(System Record: 13-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 13-12

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks +101 over St Louis Blues
(Playoff Record: 4-2, won last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 95-77-2

Basketball Crusher
Chicago Bulls +3 over Washington Wizards
(Playoff Record: 3-2, won last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 81-89-5

Soccer Crusher
Newells Old Boys + Tigre OVER 2 - (Argentiana) pending
Sampaio Correa + Icasa UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 560-20, won last 6 games)
Overall Record: 560-475-81

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Seattle Mariners -102 over Texas Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals -118 over Pittsburgh
Chicago White Sox +122 over Tampa Bay


Hockey
Philadelphia Flyers -110 over New York Rangers
Anaheim Ducks + Dallas Stars UNDER 5.5
Philadelphia Flyers + New York Rangers OVER 5


Basketball
Brooklyn Nets + Toronto Raptors OVER 191
Portland Trail Blazers + Houston Rockets OVER 215.5
Chicago Bulls + Washington Wizards UNDER 182.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
4* Brooklyn Nets -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Guaranteed picks

Raptors
Bulls
Rockets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

LA Angels at NY Yankees

The Yankees open up their series tonight against an Angels team that is 4-0 in C.J. Wilson's last 4 starts during Game 1 of a series. LA is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 25 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: San Diego at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 14.546; Washington (Strasburg) 15.917 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: Washington (-210); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-210); Under

Game 953-954: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 15.812; NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.275 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-105); Over

Game 955-956: Cincinnati at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.813; Atlanta (Santana) 16.440 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Under

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Villanueva) 15.635; Milwaukee (Garza) 15.167 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-190); 8 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cole) 17.121; St. Louis (Miller) 16.100 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Over

Game 961-962: Philadelphia at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 13.896; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.337 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-140); Under

Game 963-964: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 15.060; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 16.376 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Under

Game 965-966: LA Angels at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.865; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.664 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 15.108; Baltimore (Jimenez) 14.274 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Under

Game 969-970: Boston at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Peavy) 16.674; Toronto (Buehrle) 15.630 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 8 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+115); Over

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 14.118; White Sox (Johnson) 14.944 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+115); Over

Game 973-974: Oakland at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Chavez) 15.852; Houston (Peacock) 14.377 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Oakland (-190); 8 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-190); Under

Game 975-976: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.993; Minnesota (Correia) 15.973 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over

Game 977-978: Texas at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ross) 15.477; Seattle (Elias) 14.202 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under

Game 979-980: Cleveland at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carrasco) 15.056; San Francisco (Hudson) 16.456 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-165); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
It's been a streaky start to the season for me. A loser Thursday night with the under. Tonight I'm betting against Carrasco and the Indians again, this time taking the Giants on the run line at home at a nice price with Hudson on the mound.
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS -1.5 (+139)
Listed Pitchers: Carrasco vs Hudson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.78 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Blackhawks at Blues

Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues (-110, 5)

Patrick Kane is no stranger to scoring dramatic overtime goals in the postseason - see Game 6 of the 2010 Stanley Cup final if you need to refresh your memory. While the stakes weren't as high, the reigning Conn Smythe Trophy winner netted his second goal of the contest 11:17 into the extra session as Chicago skated to a 4-3 victory on Wednesday to even its Western Conference first-round series with the St. Louis Blues at two games apiece. The Central Division rivals will reconvene in St. Louis for Game 5 on Friday.

The reigning Stanley Cup champions held serve by winning both contests in Chicago after the Blues opened the series with a pair of home victories. "We're not in a bad spot. It's tied and we still have home ice," St. Louis defenseman Jay Bouwmeester said. "We still have a good opportunity here." Whether the Blues have David Backes (upper body) for Friday's tilt is a mystery, although the captain did not participate in Thursday's optional skate - prompting coach Ken Hitchcock to tell reporters to "read into it what you will."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, RDS2, FSMW (St. Louis)

LINE HISTORY: The Blues opened as small -110 home faves Thursday morning. The total opened at five.

INJURY REPORT: Blackhawks - D Brent seabrook (Out, suspension), G Nikolai Khabibulin (Out, shoulder). Blues - C David Backes (Questionable, head), LW Brenden Morrow (Out, foot).

WHAT SHAPRS SAY: "This series is back at square one but you have to think the Blackhawks have all of the momentum following back-to-back wins at the United Center. With that being said the Hawks bandwagon is also filling up once again, leading to little in the way of line value here. While I do expect Chicago to steal a game in St. Louis at some point in this series, the Blues will fight tooth and nail to avoid facing elimination in The Windy City in Game 6." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

WHY BET THE BLACKHAWKS: For the third time in four years, Jonathan Toews was named a finalist for the Selke Trophy - which is awarded to the top defensive forward. The captain, who is vying for a repeat after winning the award for the first time in 2013, was joined by Boston's Patrice Bergeron and Los Angeles' Anze Kopitar as finalists. Toews collected a goal and an assist in Game 4, has a team-high five points and won 64.2 percent of his faceoffs (68-for-106) in the series.

WHY BET THE BLUES:Vladimir Tarasenko has put his injuries woes behind him with a stellar effort versus Chicago. After missing the last 15 games of the regular season with a hand injury, the 22-year-old Russian tallied twice on Wednesday to double his team-leading goal total for the series. "Exceptional. He's been a great player every game," Hitchcock said. "Young, emerging player. Hopefully he stays with it and helps us a lot."

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Blackhawks are 0-5 in the last five meetings in St. Louis.
* Blues are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.
* Blackhawks are 7-19 in their last 26 road games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Sixty-three percent of wagers are on the home-fave Blues.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Raptors +5
Brewers (RL) -1.5(+115)

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Brewers - Cubs over 8

Angels +104

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play FRI NHL Anaheim -160

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JACK JONES

NBA	Apr 25 '14 7:10p	Toronto vs Brooklyn Under 192		in 1d
20* Raptors/Nets Game 3 No-Brainer on UNDER 192 I expect Game 3 to play out similar to Game 1 where the Nets beat the Raptors 94-87 for 181 combined points. I believe Game 2 was the aberration as these teams combined for 195 points in a 100-95 Toronto victory. Game 2 was playing out just like Game 1 through three quarters. They had combined for 40, 44 and 46 points in the first three quarters, respectively. However, the teams exploded for 65 combined points in the fourth quarter, which made the final score seem like less of a defensive battle than it really was. Kevin Garnett spoke openly about how Brooklyn's fourth quarter defense was unacceptable as it allowed the Raptors to put up 36 points. You can bet that the Nets will come back with tremendous intensity defensively in Game 3. Toronto will also bring it on that end of the floor like it has all season. The Raptors rank 9th in the league in defensive efficiency. This has certainly been a half-court series to this point, and I don't expect that to change in Game 3. Brooklyn ranks 25th in the league in pace at 93.7 possessions per game. Toronto ranks 23rd in pace at 94.4 possessions per game. Neither team will look to run much in Game 3, especially with the adjustments that will be made, which will favor both defenses. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

NBA	Apr 25 '14 8:10p	Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards Take: Chicago Bulls +3		in 1d
15* Bulls/Wizards Game 3 ANNIHILATOR on Chicago +3 This is the exact type of game the Chicago Bulls live for. Everyone has counted them out after losing the first two games of this series at home, and everything except the guys inside that locker room believe this series is over. This team plays its best when it is counted out. I've said it before and I'll say it again, Tom Thibodeau deserves Coach of the Year every year with what he has been able to do with this team. The players take after their head coach, who has absolutely no quit in him. He'll rally the troops and you'll see the Bulls put forth one of their best efforts of the season in Game 3. Chicago actually played some of its best basketball on the road this season posting a 21-20 record away from home. That included a 96-78 road victory in its last trip to Washington on April 5th. Washington actually owns a worse home record (22-19) than a road record (24-19) on the year. The Bulls have a lot of playoff experience on this team. They know a series isn't over until its over. Washington, meanwhile, is loaded with inexperience in terms of the playoffs. While that actually worked in the Wizards' favor in the first two games of this series as they didn't know any better, I believe it will work against them here. They will be content with their 2-0 lead and not be able to match the effort of the desperate Bulls in Game 3. Thibodeau is 39-22 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite as the coach of Chicago. Thibodeau is 32-16 ATS off a home loss as the coach of Chicago. Randy Whitman is 27-51 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less as the coach of Washington. The Wizards are 11-25 ATS in their last 36 games off two or more consecutive road wins. Chicago is 91-57 ATS in its last 148 road games when playing against a team with a winning percentage from 51% to 60%. Take

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, April 25

DeRozan bounced back from 3-13 Game 1 effort with 30 points in last game, as Raptors evened series; Toronto is -19 in turnovers (37-18) in series, but were +22 on boards in Game 2, with 19 offensive rebounds. . Nets are 11-48 from arc in series; teams split pair in this building this season. Raptors lost four of last five visits here overall. Nets lost five of last seven games, but are 24-17 vs spread at home this year.

Washington won four of five vs Bulls this season- they've won last six games overall, with last four going over total. Chicago lost three of last four visits here, losing by 13-4-3 points. Higher seeded teams that went down 2-0 in series have won only three of 27 series. Bulls lost four of last five games, with five of last six going over total. Favorites are 8-11 SU, 5-14 vs spread; over is 13-6 in NBA playoffs so far this month. .

Aldridge had 89 points, 26 boards in pair of road wins to open series; Portland won 11 of last 12 games; they've won last four home games, all by 6 or less points, but Houston won five of their last seven viits here. Blazers had lost five of last six games with Rockets before this series- last nine tilts in series went over total. Harden is 14-47 from floor this series; if that number doesn't get better, this will be quick series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Friday, April 25

Flyers lost six of seven games vs Rangers this year; they've lost six of last eight home games to Rangers, who have 36-26 edge in first period shots in series. Philly is 24-18 at home this season. Rangers are 3-16 on power play in series, Philly 2-9, but at least they had five tries last game. Under is 5-1-3 in last nine Ranger games, 0-8-2 in Philly's last ten games..League-wide, over is 18-7-6 in playoffs so far this month. Home teams are 7-9 so far in Eastern Conference, compared to 14-1 in Western Conference.

Home side is 4-0 in this series, 14-1 overall is Western Conference. Three of four Chicago-St Louis games have gone OT; Blues won first two games of series in OT, tying both games in last 2:00 of regulation- they scored four first period goals in games at home, none in two at Chicago. Blackhawks lost last four road games overall; they're 24-19 overall on foreign soil this season. St Louis is 2-21 on power play in series, Chicago 2-16; Blues are 2-8 in last ten games overall. In three OT games, home sde outshot the visitors 15-4.

Home side won all four series games; bears repeating that home side is 14-1 in west so far in playoffs. Ducks had 2-0 lead after first period in Game 4, but Dallas outshot them 16-3 in seciond period, tied game, then won game in third. Stars were +26 in faceoffs at home, after being -8 in first two games here. Ducks are 5-3 in last eight games with Dallas. Stars are 8-6 in last fourteen games overall, with eight of last 11 games staying under total; Stars are 2-17 on power play in series, Anaheim is 2-16. Home side has had edge in shots in only two of twelve periods this series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Diamondbacks on Thursday and likes the NHL Rangers on Friday.

The deficit is 140 sirignanos.