4-30-14

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Maddux

Brooklyn Nets +3.5

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Game of the Day: Nets at Raptors

Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors (-3.5, 191)

Series tied 2-2.

Coming off one of the best wins in franchise history, the Toronto Raptors look to grab control of their Eastern Conference first-round series when they host the Brooklyn Nets in Game 5 on Wednesday. Toronto had not won a road playoff game since 2001 and was banged up, but it rallied to steal Game 4 in Brooklyn on Sunday by an 87-79 score, tying the series at two games apiece. The Raptors lost a 17-point lead but held the Nets scoreless over the final 4:58 to take back home-court advantage.

Perhaps the biggest key for Toronto was its ability to bottle up Brooklyn shooting guard Joe Johnson, who had seven points in 42 minutes after averaging 23.7 points in the first three games of the series. "Their defense was a big difference," Johnson told reporters after Game 4. "I mean, I looked out and there were three guys coming at me at once." DeMar DeRozan scored 24 points to lead the Raptors and is averaging 28 points over the last three contests.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBATV, WWOR (Brooklyn), TSN (Toronto)

LINE HISTORY: Toronto opened as high as a 4-point favorite but has been bet down as low as -3. The total opened 191.

INJURY REPORT: Nets - A. Anderson (Ques - Groin). Raptors - L. Fields (Ques. - Back)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Toronto showed some grit in their comeback win in Game 4 after blowing an early 17-point lead. The Raptors where held to 20 points or less in three of four quarters, so they are also fortunate that they won that game. Brooklyn scored just 12 points in the fourth quarter, so the Nets should be ready in Game 5 from the opening tip."

ABOUT THE NETS: Brooklyn has a notable advantage in terms of experience, a factor many thought would eventually decide the series, but Toronto has outscored the Nets 88-66 in the fourth quarter over the last three games. "They're a younger team that doesn't have as much proper experience, but they ain't playing like it," guard Deron Williams said Sunday. Williams missed all five of his 3-point attempts in Game 4 as the Nets went 4-of-20 from outside the arc, falling to 25 percent for the series.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS: DeRozan has played through a hand injury for weeks, Kyle Lowry is limping through the series with knee issues and other Toronto players are banged up, but the club keeps coming. "We're really nicked up right now, so it was huge courage, really courageous by those guys," Toronto coach Dwane Casey said following Game 4. Among the others on the injured front is forward Amir Johnson, who left Game 4 with a knee injury before returning to polish off a 17-point effort.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Toronto.
* Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 51 percent of bets are on Toronto -3.5 while 53 percent is on Over 191.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Boston Red Sox -110 over Tampa Bay Rays
(System Record: 18-0, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 18-12

Hockey Crusher
Los Angeles Kings +124 over San JoseSharks
(Playoff Record: 8-3, wonlast game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 99-78-2

Basketball Crusher
Dallas Mavericks +6 over San Antonio Spurs
(Playoff Record: 5-4-1, lost last 2 games and a push)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 83-90-6

Soccer Crusher
Union Espanola + Arsenal de Sarandi UNDER 2.5 (Conmebol) pending
Cerro Porteno + Cruzeiro OVER 2
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 562-20, won last game and a push)
Overall Record: 562-477-82

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Miami Marlins +102 over Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies -113 over NY Mets
Colorado Rockies +109 over Arizona


Hockey
Minnesota Wild +121 over Colorado Avalanche
Minnesota Wild + Colorado Avalanche UNDER 5
Los Angeles Kings + San Jose Sharks UNDER 5


Basketball
Brooklyn Nets +3 over Toronto
Houston Rockets + Portland Trail Blazers OVER 214
Toronto Raptors + Brooklyn Nets OVER 190.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations


PORTLAND at HOUSTON
Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, playing with 2 days rest 71-34 since 1997. ( 67.6% | 33.6 units ) 3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )


DALLAS at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (DALLAS) after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games 106-24 since 1997. ( 81.5% | 50.7 units )


DALLAS at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in April games 175-102 since 1997. ( 63.2% | 62.8 units ) 14-3 this year. ( 82.4% | 10.7 units )

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Miller is 2-0, 0.53 in his last three starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Harang is 3-1, 0.85 in five starts this season.
-- Cingrani is 2-1, 3.12 in his last three starts.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 2.49 in his last four starts. Collmenter is 1-1, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Hudson is 3-1, 2.43 in five starts this season.

-- Scherzer is 2-1, 2.45 in five starts this month.
-- Wilson is 3-1, 2.77 in his last four starts. McAllister is 3-1, 2.92 in his last four starts.
-- Chavez is 1-0, 3.24 in his last four starts.
-- Ventura is 2-1, 2.16 in four starts this season. Hutchison is 0-0, 2.08 in his last three starts.

-- Tillman is 3-1, 3.94 in four starts this season.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 2.45 in five starts this season. Gibson is 2-0, 0.63 in his two home starts this month.

Cold pitchers
-- Garza is 1-1, 5.76 in his last four starts.
-- Kendrick is 0-2, 5.70 in his last four starts.
-- Eovaldi is 1-1, 3.79 in three home starts.
-- Jackson is 1-2, 5.79 in his last four starts.
-- Erlin is 0-3, 8.44 in his last three starts.

-- Noesi is already on third AL team this month; he was 2-12, 5.82 in 18 starts for Seattle in 2012- this is his 22nd MLB start.
-- Elias is 0-1, 7.15 in his last two starts. Phelps is making first '14 start; he is 10-9, 4.73 in 23 career starts.
-- Archer is 0-1, 5.50 in three road starts this season. Doubront is 1-3, 8.20 in his last four starts.
-- Ross is 0-1, 7.15 in his last couple starts.

-- Morton is 0-3, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- Oberholzer is 0-2, 8.68 in two home starts this season. Zimmerman is 0-1, 4.85 in his last two starts.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Garza 1-5; Miller 0-5
-- Colon 1-5; Kendrick 1-5
-- Harang 0-5; Eovaldi 1-5
-- Jackson 2-5; Cingrani 3-5
-- Lyles 2-5; Collmenter 0-3
-- Erlin 2-4; Hudson 0-5

-- Scherzer 2-5; Noesi 0-0
-- Elias 0-5; Phelps 0-0
-- McAllister 2-5; Wilson 1-5
-- Archer 3-5; Doubrant 2-5
-- Chavez 2-5; Ross 1-5
-- Hutchison 1-5; Ventura 2-4

-- Morton 0-5; Tillman 0-5
-- Zimmerman 1-5; Oberholzer 2-5
-- Greinke 0-5; Gibson 2-4

Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Mets' last eight road games.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Cub road games stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Arizona home games.
-- Nine of last eleven San Diego road games stayed under.

-- Seven of last ten Bronx home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last eleven Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight White Sox games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Oakland road games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Nine of ten Angel home games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Washington road games went over.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games went over.

Hot teams
-- Mets won seven of their last nine games; Phillies won six of last nine. .
-- Braves won 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five home games.
-- Brewers won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Rockies won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Giants won five of their last six games. San Diego is 7-2 in game following its last nine losses.

-- Bronx won six of its last eight home games.
-- Red Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Texas won seven of its last ten home games, but lost last two.
-- Detroit won three of its last four games. White Sox are 4-0 in game following their last four losses.
-- Kansas City won seven of its ten home games.
-- Angels won four of their last five home games.

-- Orioles are 7-1 in game following their last eight losses.
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last eight home games.

Cold teams
-- Marlins lost five of last seven games, but are 9-4 at home.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Arizona lost 12 of its last 13 home games.

-- Mariners lost six of their last seven away games.
-- Tampa Bay lost seven of its last eight away games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of their last six games.
-- Cleveland lost its last six road games.

-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.

Umpires
-- Mil-StL-- Three of four Bellino games went over total.
-- NY-Phil-- All three O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Atl-Mia-- Last three Barber games went over the total.
-- Chi-Cin-- Three of last four Drake games went over.
-- Col-Az-- Home side won four of last five Kulpa games.
-- SD-SF-- Favorites won all four Ripperger games.

-- Det-Chi-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Wendelstedt games.
-- Sea-NY-- Favorites won all five Miller games.
-- Cle-LAA-- Underdogs won three of four Morales games.
-- TB-Bos-- Underdogs won four of five Bucknor games.
-- A's-Tex-- Underdogs won four of five Diaz games.
-- Tor-KC-- All four Wegner games stayed under total.

-- Wsh-Hst-- Underdogs won four of five Schrieber games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play WED: Dodgers -150

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Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Texas

The A's go for the road sweep today against their division rival and come into the contest with a 5-0 record in Jesse Chavez' last 5 starts as a favorite. Oakland is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 30 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Milwaukee at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Garza) 14.368; St. Louis (Miller) 16.209 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Under

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 14.836; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.483 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-105); Over

Game 905-906: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Harang) 15.946; Miami (Eovaldi) 14.533 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-120); Under

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 15.246; Cincinnati (Cingrani) 14.215 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-190); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over

Game 909-910 Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 14.382; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.274 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Under

Game 911-912: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 15.119; San Francisco (Cain) 14.298 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+155); Over

Game 913-914: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.324; White Sox (Noesi) 15.201 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 915-916: Seattle at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 13.205; NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.696 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under

Game 917-918: Cleveland at LA Angels (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 14.937; LA Angels (Wilson) 16.646 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-145); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-145); Over

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.119; Boston (Doubront) 13.995 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Chavez) 16.459; Texas (Ross) 15.159 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Over

Game 923-924: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 15.832; Kansas City (Ventura) 14.629 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Under

Game 925-926: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.132; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.713 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 8 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-135); Under

Game 927-928: LA Dodgers at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 16.390; Minnesota (Gibson) 14.819 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-165); Over

Game 929-930: Washington at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 13.920; Houston (Oberholtzer) 15.066 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Washington (-155); 8 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+133); Over

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Today's NBA Picks

Dallas at San Antonio

The venue shifts back to the Spurs home court tonight for the pivotal Game 5 in the series and has the Mavericks coming in with a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games at San Antonio. Dallas is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 30 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 513-514: Brooklyn at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 118.910; Toronto 124.991 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 186 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 191 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3); Under

Game 517-518: Dallas at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 124.735; San Antonio 127.919 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 205 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 198 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+6 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Portland at Houston (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.715; Houston 124.401 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 3 1/2; 209 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 5 1/2; 214 Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5 1/2); Under

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Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at San Jose

The Kings forced a Game 7 with a 4-1 win over the Sharks on Monday and head back to San Jose tonight carrying a 14-4 record in their last 18 games following a victory. Los Angeles is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+120). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 30 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 83-84: Los Angeles at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.483; San Jose 11.591 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-140); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+120); Over

Game 87-88: Philadelphia at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.587; NY Rangers 11.944 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-140); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-140); Under

Game 89-90: Minnesota at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.494; Colorado 12.068 Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-140); 5 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-140); Under

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NBA

Wednesday, April 30

All four Toronto-Brooklyn games were decided by 8 or less points, as teams went 1-1 in each arena. DeRozan scored 30-30-24 points in last three games, but is just 27-76 from floor in series. Toronto was +6 last game in turnovers; they're -19 (64-45) in series. Nets are 22-88 from arc in series. Nets lost six of last nine games, are 19-24 vs spread on road this season. Over is 26-17 in Toronto home games this season.

Dallas lost 11 of last 13 games vs Spurs, but they've covered all four in this series and last five games overall; Nowitzki/Ellis were combined 13-39 from floor in Game 4 loss, when Spurs outscored Dallas 32-13 in second quarter. Spurs' bench outscored Maverick subs 50-30 last game, now Dallas' big man sub Blair is suspended after kicking Splitter in last game. Over is 28-15 in Maverick road games this season.

Three of four Rocket-Blazer games went OT; Aldridge scored 29+ in all three Portland wins, was held to 23 in the loss. Portland won 11 of last 14 games; they're 27-16 vs spread on road this season- over is 26-17, as last 11 series games also went over, helped by OTs in series. Harden is 36-103 from floor this series, not good for Rockets, who covered once in their last five games as a favorite. Over is 24-18-1 in Rocket home tilts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, April 30

First back/back of playoffs, as Flyers staved off elimination last night, scoring three times in second period. Rangers outshot Philly 71-53 in first period in this series; they're 24-21 at home this season; over is 2-0-1 in last three home games. Flyers lost seven of ten games vs Rangers this season; over is 3-1-2 in this series. Rangers are 3-28 on power play in series, 0-16 in last four games, 3-15 at home; Philly is 6-19 on power play, 4-10 in last three games, 3-10 on road. Over is 10-1-2 in last thirteen Philly games. New York scored two of less goals in three series losses, 4+ in its wins.

Avalanche scored 13 goals in three series home games, only three in losing three road games. Home side won all six Minnesota-Colorado games; home teams are 20-4 in western half of the NHL, with two losses in OT. Colorado is 2-22 when it has man advantage, Minnesota 3-18. Wild is 20-24 on road this season; seven of their last nine games went over total, inclduing all three series games in this building. Colorado lost its last five games; their last road win was on April 10 in Vancouver. League-wide, over is 27-10-8 in playoffs so far.

After scoring 17 goals in winning first three games of series, San Jose scored four in losing last three. Kings won last three games 6-3/3-0/4-1, now huge amount of pressure on Sharks to win Game 7 in Shark Tank, avoiding momumental gag job- theyr'e 32-12 at home this season. LA scored 19 goals in previous eight games before scoring 13 in winning Games 4-6. Kings are 24-20 on road this season- over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over is 4-1-1 in this series. Sharks are 4-26 on power play in series, 2-14 at home. Kings are 5-17, 1-4 on road.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Nets +3.5
100* Royals -140
50* Over 7 - Cardinals/Brewers

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BOB BALFE

BOSTON REDSOX/TAMPA RAYS - OVER 8.5
(Doubront/Archer)

Doubront has been awful for the Red Sox this year and it is about that time the Rays start hitting again. The Rays have not hit left handed pitching well this year, but Doubront doesn’t seem to have his best stuff going right now. The Rays also have a suspect bullpen and Archer has not looked hot himself. Both teams could use some offensive help right now. I don’t think this game sails over, but none of these pitchers are in position to throw a gem right now. Take the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GUARANTEED SPORTS PICKS

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