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2* 922 KAN / 921 DET – OVER 7.5
Analysis: IMO this total is simply a reflection of the starting pitchers, and I get that. However, a quick check of how well each offense has fared against said starters and the weather tells me there’s more ways this gets to 8 than not. Kansas City gave up runs last night, used bullpen, and their pen hadn’t been great lately anyways. The Tigers has yesterday off, so they’re bats are rested. In fact, the Tigers have only played four games in the last week, so they’re REALLY rested, and in those four games they hit .294 and scored 29 runs. Over the last week the Royals almost six runs a game, and Porcello has never been the same on the road as he is at home. The Tigers’ bullpen the last week has and ERA of about 6.85, so it’s ALL on Porcello IMO to keep this game low scoring. Shields faced the Tigers in the first game of the year, and they’ve been the only team to get more flyball outs against him than not all season, and are the only team to score more than two earned runs against him this season. Given the situation, I do lean to the Royals a bit, but like the over even better. I doubt this goes to 7, but I suppose it could, so either keep an eye on it or maybe even buy it TO 7?
The Mavs have found a way to cover every game in this series so far and they are well positioned to do that here in game 6. They match up very well against the Spurs and they will have the raucous home crowd behind them. Not to mention they will have the extra motivation of having their backs to the wall since if they lose they are out of the playoffs. Simply can’t buck the trend of Dallas covering in this series
(Buchholz/Straily)
The A’s have been crushing the ball, Boston always is a threat to put up runs, the wind is blowing out and both starting pitchers have been awful. Look for a lot of runs. Take the Over.
Game: San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks
Time: Friday 05/02 8:00 PM Eastern
Pick: First Half UNDER 98 (-110) at Sportsbook.com
It seems that the Spurs have been focused when things get away from them. The defense has been a hallmark for this team for the entire Tim Duncan era, so I look for that to come out again tonight. San Antonio opened the series holding Dallas to 85 points. After going down 2-1 in the series, they brought the defense again to hold the Mavs to just 89 points. They now find themselves in a similar place, and that has been a call to defense for this team. The first half in the two games mentioned have seen 87, and 86 points scored by both teams, and San Antonio will be in defensive mode as they always seem to be with a must-win situation. This game should follow the San Antonio need when against the wall, and the Spurs will come out tough on defensive end to start the game. Play the first half UNDER.
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