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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358530

    #31
    SPORTS WAGERS

    NHL Playoffs - Game 5
    Minnesota @ CHICAGO
    Minnesota+182

    We recommending betting the Wild to win this series at odds of 8-1 after they were down 0-2, suggesting they had been the better team in two games in Chicago and that they had a very good chance to tie it up at home. We also suggested that we could buy back or hedge if Minnesota were able to pull out two wins at home and that’s exactly where we stand right now. However, our position on buying back the Blackhawks has changed. Chicago is -220 to win this series and while we can free roll for over 5½ units on Minnesota if we sell some, we’re choosing to hold onto it because the value is too great. Even if the Blackhawks win today, there is a great chance of a Game 7 and we can then sell some back at an even lower price if we choose to do so. Furthermore, if the Wild win today, they will be a 2-1 favorite to win the series and then we could solidify our position even more. No matter the outcome of today’s game, our 8-1 position has too much value to sell.

    If you were on board with us for that series bet, we would recommend holding onto it. If you were not, we would recommend wagering on the Wild today because their chances of winning are very real. Minnesota has momentum and the knowledge that they can defeat this team. Aside from one period in Game 2 and perhaps one period in six in Minnesota, the Wild have been the better team in every area. They’ve created more chances than Chicago by a wide margin, they’ve held the Blackhawks to 22 shots on net or fewer in every game and they’ve done so by staying out of the box. In fact, Minnesota has taken just two minor penalties in each of the past three games while Chicago has taken 10. Furthermore, Brandon Bollig and Andrew Shaw, two key playoff performers that bring toughness, grit and talent, are out and that’s a bigger loss in the playoffs than it would be during the regular season. Minnesota runs out a more balanced offense, an outstanding defense and now Ilya Bryzgalov has caught fire. The Wild have that Stanley Cup swagger about them right now. They are winning the battles for loose pucks, they’re peaking at the right time and they have a ton of confidence coming into this one. The +180 price tag on Minnesota today is completely out of whack. Based on value alone, we strongly recommend a play on them if you have nothing invested in the series.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358530

      #32
      Valley Sports

      [718] Washington (-4.5 or better)Over Indiana --3 Stars
      [718] Washington/Indiana (Over 180 or better) --3 Stars
      [720] LA Clippers (-5 or better)Over Oklahoma City --3 Stars

      [960] San Diego(Erlin)Over Miami(Alvarez) --3 Stars
      [961] St Louis(Miller)Over Pittsburgh(Morton) --2 Stars
      [974] Seattle(Elias)Over Kansas City(Guthrie) --2 Stars
      [974] Seattle(Elias)/Kansas City(Guthrie)Under The Total --3 Stars
      [720] La Clippers/Oklahoma City(Over 215 or better)--3 Stars
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358530

        #33
        EAGLE EYE---RANDY ROSE
        Your Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder +5 (-110)
        Your Pick:: Phillies / Mets Over 6.5 (-115)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358530

          #34
          EAGLE EYE----DAVE MARSHALL
          Your Pick: St Louis Cardinals (-102)
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358530

            #35
            Sunday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Gonzalez struggling in underdog role

            Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Sunday's major-league action:

            Braves a Trendy Pick

            Atlanta (-162) shaded the Cubs 2-0 Saturday to extend a pair of trends, improving to 7-1 in its last eight games versus Chicago while going 2-6 O/U over that span. The Braves (-170, 7) and Cubs wrap up the weekend series Sunday afternoon.

            Gio Not Cashing as Underdog

            Washington lefty Gio Gonzalez is an underdog for the first time this season as his Nationals (+119, 7) visit Oakland. Gonzalez is 2-6 in his last eight games as a dog, with Washington scoring a total of 12 runs in that span - five of them coming in one game.

            Padres Bid Farewell to Petco

            The San Diego Padres wrap up a 10-game homestand Sunday against the visiting Miami Marlins (+102, 7). San Diego remains the strongest Under play in the league but has reversed the trend during the homestand, going 5-3-1 O/U while scoring 19 runs in its previous two games.

            Pitching Notes

            * Baltimore right-hander Chris Tillman has allowed 16 runs over his previous 21 1/3 innings; the Orioles are 4-0 against the moneyline - three of those wins coming as the underdog - and 4-0 O/U in that stretch. Tillman and the Orioles (-163, 8.5) entertain the Houston Astros on Sunday afternoon.

            * Cubs starter Edwin Jackson has been a steady bet away from Wrigley Field, going 2-8 against the moneyline and 7-2-1 O/U in his previous 10 road starts. He is also 3-7 against the moneyline in his last 10 outings as an underdog of +150 or greater.

            Hitting Notes

            * Detroit third baseman Miguel Cabrera went deep in Saturday's 9-3 win over Minnesota, improving the Tigers to 5-0 against the moneyline and 4-1 O/U this season in games in which Cabrera hits a home run. Detroit (-167, 8.5) resumes its series with the Twins on Sunday.

            * Mets third baseman David Wright is batting .429 during an eight-game hitting streak; despite this, New York is just 1-7 against the moneyline and 3-4-1 O/U over that span. Wright will try to extend the streak Sunday when the Mets (-119, 7) entertain Philadelphia.

            Total Streak

            Atlanta Braves (1-7 O/U): The offensive well has run completely dry in Georgia, with the Braves scoring just 14 runs over their previous eight games. Solid pitching has limited the damage, helping Atlanta go 3-5 in that span.

            Prop of the Day

            A big win by Colorado could mean a big payday, with the Rockies listed at +700 to beat Cincinnati by five or more runs. Five of Colorado's previous six victories have come by at least six runs, including Saturday's 11-2 drubbing of the Reds.

            Key Injuries

            * The Washington Nationals have lost first baseman Adam LaRoche to the disabled list with a strained right quad. LaRoche leads the team with a .319 batting average, helping guide the Nationals to a 19-14-3 O/U mark through their first 36 games.

            * Atlanta Braves outfielder Justin Upton left Saturday's game with a lower back contusion after being hit by a pitch. Upton's absence will hurt a Braves lineup that is already struggling to score runs, and comes into Sunday with a 12-22-1 O/U record for the season.

            Weather Watch

            * Fans at Comerica Park should expect wind blowing in from right field at 10 mph. The Tigers were a sizzling 8-1 against the moneyline and 6-2-1 O/U in nine games under similar wind conditions in 2013.

            * The breeze will be slight for Sunday night's showdown between St. Louis and Pittsburgh (-104, 7.5) at PNC Park. The Pirates were 34-18 straight up and 16-32-4 O/U in 52 home games last season with the wind blowing at less than 10 mph.

            Umpire Note of the Day

            Under is 15-6 in umpire Doug Eddings' last 21 games behind home plate featuring Colorado, and 19-6-2 in his last 27 games involving Cincinnati. The Reds (-115, 8) conclude their weekend series with the Rockies on Sunday afternoon.

            ** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:55 a.m. ET Sunday.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358530

              #36
              Sports Cash System

              extra pick:

              Cincinnati Reds -120 over the Colorado Rockies (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 1:10 PM EST
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358530

                #37
                EZWINNERS

                2* Angels +100
                2* Cubs +165
                2* Astros +145
                2* Rangers +100
                2* Nationals +115
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358530

                  #38
                  Diamond Dog Sports

                  Sides 39-34-0
                  +788

                  #959: Marlins: +100 (2*)
                  Listed Pitchers: Alvarez / Erlin

                  #961: Cardinals: +100 (1.5*)
                  Listed Pitchers: Miller / Morton


                  Totals 28-39-2
                  -2,418


                  #953/954: Over Reds: 8.5 +105 (3*)
                  Listed Pitchers: Nicasio / Bailey

                  #963/964: Over Blue Jays: 9.0 +105. (1.5*)
                  Listed Pitchers: Weaver / Hutchinson
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358530

                    #39
                    Bill Marzano

                    Pacers / Wizards Under 180.5
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358530

                      #40
                      Diamond Dog Sports

                      Pacers / Wizards Over 180.5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358530

                        #41
                        Bob Balfe

                        Boston Red Sox -120
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358530

                          #42
                          Rich Allen

                          Sunday we have two picks as we are looking short in picks this coming week.

                          1. Russia Premier Soccer.

                          CSKA Moscow
                          Minus 1.5 goals.
                          1* bet.

                          2. Czech Republic Gambrinus League

                          Sparta Prague
                          Minus 1.0 goal
                          1* bet
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358530

                            #43
                            NSA

                            20* MLB Dodgers -165
                            20* MLB Baltimore -155
                            20* MLB Boston -115
                            10* NBA OKC +5
                            10* NBA Indiana +4.5
                            10* MLB St Louis +105
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358530

                              #44
                              Sports Action 365 (FRANK "BIG MONEY" SANTILLI'S)

                              200* NBA OKC +5
                              200* NBA Indiana +4½
                              200* MLB Boston -115
                              100* MLB Detroit -145
                              100* MLB St Louis +105
                              75* NBA Indiana UNDER 180½
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358530

                                #45
                                Charlies Sports

                                Sunday's 500* NBA Playoff & MAJOR WAGER triple lock.
                                500* Clippers-5
                                500* Indiana @ Washington Over 180
                                500* Washington @ Oakland Over 7
                                30* Philadelphia+120
                                20* Arizona-105
                                10* Twins+145 Free Play
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