5-15-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play St. Louis -140 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago has lost 29 of the last 40 games when playing with a day off and they have lost 61 of the last 91 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less.Chicago has lost 39 of the last 66 games when playing in the month of May and they have lost 98 of the last 152 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175.

================================================== ===



50* Play Milwaukee -150 over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cincinnati -120 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
A winner last night with the Rays winning 2-0. Today we've got a smaller board to look at, but I've got a play going off this afternoon.
2 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins - OVER 8.5 RUNS (+102)
Listed Pitchers: Bucholz vs Hughes
(Note: Im' risking 2.00 units to win 2.04 units)
This will be the third game in this series, and so far we've seen a split in the first two games and 14 and 13 runs scored in each contest. The Red Sox have scored 5+ runs in four straight games and 4+ runs in 6 of their last 7 games. Clay Bucholz will take the mound for Boston and he is just 2-3 this season with a 6.44 ERA, .329 OBA and 1.73 WHIP. His last time out he went 4.1 innings giving up 10 hits and 6 earned runs. In two day games this year he is 1-1 with a 8.68 ERA. Minnesota will send Phil Hughes to the mound looking to improve on his 4-1 record, 3.92 ERA, .283 OBA and 1.28 WHIP. Hughes has been very solid as of late, but he will face a Boston team that has given him problems over the years during his time in the AL East. Career vs the Red Sox Hughes has a 5.70 ERA, .283 OBA and 1.51 WHIP. Take note that the OVER is 3-1-1 in the Red Sox last 5 overall, 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing record, and 3-1-1 in Bucholz' last 5 starts. The OVER is 6-1-1 in the Twins last 8 as a home underdog, 20-8-1 in their last 29 when their opponent scored 5+ runs in their previous game, and 4-1-1 in Hughes' last 6 starts as an underdog. Head to head the OVER is also 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Minnesota, including both to start this series. I'll take the OVER this afternoon.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Toronto Blue Jays - BLUE JAYS TO WIN (-109)
Listed Pitchers: Salazar vs. Happ
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.83 units)
My 5 unit play on the UNDER 7 in the Padres/Reds game got rained out. I realize the game is being replayed early this afternoon, but the weather may not cooperate once again. If they do get the game started and there is a rain delay, both starting pitchers will get yanked. So, I am just going to stay away given the uncertainty.
Last nights meeting between the Indians and Blue Jays got out of hand late and turned into an absolute blowout. Cleveland won 15-4 in a game that produced 30 hits, 22 to the Indians' credit. The Jays' offense should be able to surpass the 4 runs they put up last night against Danny Salazar. Salazar has been serving up batting practice on the road thus far this season, posting a 6.46 ERA along with 3 home runs in 15.1 innings. The WHIP and OBP are also high at 1.50 and .343. It isn't like his home numbers are better, the ERA is a little lower, 5.06, but his WHIP and OBP are 1.69 WHIP and .371 in Cleveland. Overall then Salazar's numbers are as follows: 5.65 ERA, .360 OBP, and 1.39 WHIP. He has also already given up 6 home runs which is worth noting playing in a ballpark that collects a decent amount of dingers. I like the Jays' offense to cause some havoc tonight against Salazar. I originally liked the OVER in this game at first glance, but there is one statistic here that has me staying away. The Indians are hitting .205 against lefty pitchers! They are almost below the .200 mark, which is atrociously bad. After putting up 15 runs last night I think we see some regression out of their bats tonight. J.A. Happ has been fine other than his last start where he gave up 4 runs in only 2.1 innings pitched. But it was the first game he gave up more than a run. His ERA isn't great with a 4.63, but I think he should be able to handle an Indians team that can't hit a left-handed pitcher to save their lives. I still lean to the OVER, but I think the Blue Jays are the better bet in this situation.

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Play

Thursday card has the 94% Power system MLB Game of there Week and a 5* 23-2 NBA Double system Winner. There is also a 4* NBA Totals System cashing over 90% long term. Free MLB Matinee totals system below.


On Thursday the Free MLB Matinee totals system play is on the under in the Chicago at St. Louis game. Rotation numbers 955/956 at 1:45 eastern. These two were rained out last night so the pitching match has Hammel for the Cubs and Wacha for the Cards. Hammel has a solid 1.95 road era and has gone under in all 4 road starts. Wacha has a stellar 2.88 era this season and has stayed under in 2 of 3 vs the cubs. Home favorites of -140 or higher like the Cardinals that are off a 1 run home favored loss in their last game and scored 4 or less runs have played under 12 of 14 times the past few seasons vs an opponent off a 1 run road dog loss and also scored 4 or less run sand had 10+ hits. The Cubs have played under in 5 of 7 on the road when the total is 7 or less and hit just .222 in day games. Look for a low scoring game.. On Thursday we have a Powerful card with 2 big 5* plays. In MLB its the 94% Game of the week from a system that wins by 3 runs per game. In The NBA We have a 23-2 Double system winner and a 4* Totals from a totals system cashing over 90% long term in the NBA Playoffs. Jump on now and bang your book good tonight with the most powerful data in the industry. For the free play take the under run the Chicago at St. Louis game.GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Mlb

Blue Jays ML -106

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
3*-padres-110 game 2 of dh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodFather

STRAIGHT BET [962] TOTAL u9½+104 (CLE vrs TOR) ( D SALAZAR -R / J HAPP -L )
STRAIGHT BET [965] TOTAL o8½-118 (TAM vrs LAA) ( E BEDARD -L / T SKAGGS -L )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Ross

1* Padres +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raymond Dunavant

2* Padres +129
1* Pirates +121
1* 1H Cubs +160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferrigno

Mlb

2* Boston -125
2* KC -125
2* Yankees -110
2* Over 8 Padres/Reds Game 2
1* Giants -130
1* Angels -140
1* Under 7 Cubs/Cards
1* Under 9.5 Cleveland/Toronto
1* Over 7.5 Padres/Reds Game 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

Mlb

3* Padres -110 Game 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

Mlb

5* Angels -145

3* Yankees -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Skaggs earning the big bucks

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Thursday's major league games:

Road Rules

Bettors who put their faith in the road team were rewarded handsomely Wednesday, with a whopping 10 of 13 teams winning away from home. The only home teams to prevail: Kansas City (-132), Houston (+105) and San Francisco (-131).

Boss Skaggs

Los Angeles Angels hurler Tyler Skaggs looks to add to his already impressive money total as he faces off against the visiting Tampa Bay Rays (+138, 8.5). Skaggs ranks seventh in the majors in money won ($509) thanks in large part to a 6-1 moneyline record.

Who Are You?

The Yankees and Mets will conclude their latest Subway Series with a showdown between two pitchers making their major-league debuts. Chase Whitley takes the mound for the Yankees, while the Mets counter with fellow right-hander Jacob deGrom.

Pitching Notes

* The Boston Red Sox are a sizzling 11-0 against the moneyline in righty Clay Buchholz's previous 11 regular-season starts as a road favorite. Buchholz and the Red Sox are installed as -124 faves Thursday in Minnesota; Buchholz is 24-5 in his last 29 starts against the AL Central.

* Only once has either team scored more than four runs in any of San Diego Padres right-hander Ian Kennedy's eight starts this season. Kennedy, who is 2-6 O/U in those outings, leads the Padres (+110, 7.5) against Johnny Cueto and the host Cincinnati Reds.

Batting Notes

* Cleveland Indians outfielder David Murphy had a career-best five hits in Wednesday's 15-4 win over Toronto. The Indians, who improved to 6-0 O/U on the season when Murphy records more than one hit, resume their series with the Blue Jays (-106, 9.5) on Thursday.

* Los Angeles outfielder Mike Trout is mired in an 8-for-52 slump; the Angels haven't missed a beat - going 9-5 against the moneyline - but are just 5-8-1 O/U during that stretch. Trout will look to bounce back Thursday when the Angels (-138, 8.5) host Tampa Bay.

Totals Streak

Miami Marlins (6-0 O/U): After five straight woeful pitching efforts help the Marlins reluctantly build a nice Over streak, the offense took over Wednesday - racking up 17 hits, including a trio of homers, in a 13-3 shellacking of the Dodgers.

Prop of the Day

Taking the Pirates to sleepwalk their way though Thursday's matinee in Milwaukee may be the best bet on the ledger. Pittsburgh is a -120 bet to record fewer than 7.5 hits against the Brewers (-143, 8); the Pirates are tied with Atlanta for last in the majors with a .199 average in afternoon games.

Injury Notes

* Texas Rangers right-hander Martin Perez has a torn ligament in his pitching elbow and may require Tommy John surgery. The Rangers went 5-3 against the moneyline in his eight starts this season, but dropped his last three after he allowed 19 runs over his final 13 1/3 innings.

* Tampa Bay Rays infielder Ben Zobrist suffered a dislocated thumb Wednesday and will likely be placed on the disabled list. Zobrist is stuck in an 8-for-53 tailspin during which the Rays have gone 6-8 against the moneyline and 8-5-1 O/U.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Citi Field should expect wind blowing out to left field at 12 mph. Teams combined for 2.04 home runs in 26 games under similar conditions last season - slightly better than the stadium average of 1.84.

Umpire of the Day

Under is 7-2 in umpire Paul Emmel's last nine games behind home plate. Emmel will call balls and strikes for Thursday's matchup between Toronto and Cleveland.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:55 a.m. ET Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

TOP PLAY =-

NBA	May 15 '14 10:30p	OKC Thunder vs LA Clippers Take: Total 212 under (-105)		in 10h
20* Thunder/Clippers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 212 This series has gotten much more low-scoring as it has gone on. Game 4 and Game 5 have been the two lowest-scoring games of the series. The Thunder and Clippers combined for 200 points in Game 4 and 209 points in Game 5. As teams become more familiar with one another over the course of a series, it favors the defenses. Both of these teams know what the other is trying to do now. OKC wants to isolate Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, while LAC wants to run pick and roll with Chris Paul. The defenses have clearly made the adjustments in these past two games based off of shooting percentages. The Clippers shot 41.9% in Game 4 and 43.2% in Game 5. The Thunder shot 44% in Game 4 and 42.9% in Game 5. Plays on the UNDER on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a close home win by 3 points or less are 36-13 (73.5%) over the last five seasons. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra pick:

New York Mets -101 over the New York Yankees (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:10 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle

MLB Toronto Blue Jays (Action/Happ) -105
MLB Boston Red Sox (Buchholz/Hughes) -125
MLB Milwaukee Brewers (Rodriguez/Gallardo) -135
NBA Oklahoma City/LA Clippers Under 214/-125