5-17-14

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BeatYourBookie

SATURDAY

NHL Hockey

10* Play New York Rangers +120 over Montreal (NHL TOP PLAY)

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BeatYourBookie

SATURDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Chicago White Sox +115 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Houston is 30-74 in day games the last three seasons
Houston is 32-71 in home games the last two seasons
Houston is 20-38 when playing on a Saturday the last three seasons


10* Play Seattle +105 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)

Minnesota is 30-44 vs. AL West Division Opponents the last three seasons
Minnesota is 56-77 at home when the line posted is between +125 to -125
Minnesota is 44-57 vs. left-handed starting pitchers the last three seasons

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5* Play Toronto +100 over Texas (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
5* Play Cincinnati +120 over Philadelphia (MLB EXTRA PLAY)

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Goodfella

MLB First half GOY
4* Rockies.

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Chicago at New York

The Sky head to New York tonight to face a Liberty team that is coming off a 75-54 win over Connecticut and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU victory. Chicago is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, MAY 17 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Atlanta at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 111.096; Indiana 122.495 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 11 1/2; 152 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 145 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2); Over

Game 653-654: Chicago at New York (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 105.014; New York 106.673 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 143 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5 1/2; 149 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+5 1/2); Under

Game 655-656: Tulsa at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 109.677; San Antonio 110.910 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 160 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 154 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+8 1/2); Over

Game 657-658: Seattle at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 105.617; Phoenix 119.701 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 14; 139 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 151 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8 1/2); Under

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Saturday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Few big moneyline plays

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Saturday's major league games:

Bunches of Blankings

A whopping six teams were shut out on a night where pitching shone. Boston, Texas, Kansas City, the Los Angeles Angels, Philadelphia and Arizona all finished with zeroes on the scoreboard; despite this, the Under enjoyed only a modest 6-7-1 edge on the evening.

No Help For Yu

Texas ace Yu Darvish was on the receiving end of yet another poor effort from the Rangers' lineup, which managed just three hits in a 2-0 loss to Drew Hutchison and the Toronto Blue Jays (+155). Texas has been shut out in each of Darvish's previous four losses, including his only two this season.

No Big Favorites

Expect plenty of tightly contested games Saturday, with several tight moneylines on the ledger; Toronto and Texas are both -104 while Minnesota is a narrow -108 favorite against Seattle and Houston is -115 versus the White Sox. The biggest fave of the day: the Dodgers, who are -160 at Arizona.

Pitching Notes

* Oakland Athletics left-hander Scott Kazmir has been one of the top money earners so far this season, entering the weekend ranked ninth in the majors at $504. Kazmir looks like good value Saturday as he leads the Athletics (-136, 7.5) against a Cleveland team that was thumped 11-1 in the series opener.

* Philadelphia Phillies lefty Cole Hamels is on a strong Over roll, going 5-1-1 O/U in his last seven starts dating back to last September; unfortunately, he's also 1-6 against the moneyline over that stretch. Hamels and the Phillies (-117, 7.5) entertain the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday.

Batting Notes

* Toronto outfielder Melky Cabrera singled home both runs in Friday's narrow triumph over the Rangers. The Blue Jays are 8-4 against the moneyline and 7-4-1 O/U in games in which Cabrera records at least one RBI going into Saturday's rematch with Texas.

* Braves outfielder Jason Heyward is mired in a 6-for-37 slump and hasn't recorded a multi-hit game since May 2. Atlanta, which is 5-6 against the money line and 2-8-1 O/U in that span, visits the St. Louis Cardinals (-119, 7) in a Saturday matinee game.

Totals Streak

Oakland Athletics (7-2-1 O/U): The Athletics have been running roughshod over the rest of the league, reeling off victories in seven of their last eight games while averaging better than 6.5 runs per game over that stretch - including 11-run outbursts in two of their last three contests.

Prop of the Day

The Los Angeles Angels are +220 to prevail by three or more runs against the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday. All but one of Angels starter C.J. Wilson's outings this season have been decided by three runs or more; the Angels are 4-4 overall in Wilson's starts, including a 2-2 mark at home.

Injury Notes

* Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto has been diagnosed with a strained quad but has not been placed on the disabled list. Votto has just 10 hits over his previous 55 at-bats, a major reason why the Reds are 4-11-1 O/U during his prolonged slump.

* Minnesota Twins outfielder Josh Willingham (wrist) went 0-for-4 in a minor-league rehab assignment. Minnesota is +510 units without the services of Willingham, who is expected to be activated from the 15-day disabled list sometime next week.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Wrigley Field will be treated to wind blowing out to right field at 6 mph for Saturday afternoon's game between the Cubs and the visiting Milwaukee Brewers (-117). Teams combined to average nearly 11 runs per game in 10 contests under similar conditions last season.

Umpire Note of the Day

Over is 10-1 in umpire Ed Hickox's last 11 games behind home plate involving the New York Mets. Hickox will be calling the balls and strikes as New York visits Washington (-152, 7.5).

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 4:30 a.m. ET Saturday.

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Game of the Day: Tigers at Red Sox

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox (-125, 8.5)

The Detroit Tigers are trying to get some revenge for a loss in the American League Championship Series and are off to a good start. The Tigers will try to clinch the three-game series when they visit the Boston Red Sox on Saturday. Detroit, which suffered a 4-2 loss to the Red Sox in the ALCS, took Friday’s opener 1-0 as Max Scherzer outdueled Jon Lester in a game that was played through rain.

Boston has dropped three of its last four games to drop below .500 at 20-21 and is having some problems offensively from everyone other than David Ortiz. Boston managed three hits in Friday’s setback and Jackie Bradley Jr. (.200) and Will Middlebrooks (.197) are producing very little from the bottom of the order. Torii Hunter became a key figure in the ALCS when he tumbled into the Boston bullpen trying to catch Ortiz’s grand slam in Game 2. Hunter got some personal revenge on Friday as the only player in the contest with multiple hits, including the lone RBI.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, FSN Detroit, NESN (Boston)

LINE HISTORY: The Red Sox opened as -115 favorites and have been bet to -125. The total opened at 8.5.

INJURY REPORT: Tigers - OF Andy Dicks (Out, back), SS Jose Iglesias (Out, leg) Red Sox - OF Shane Victorino (Questionable, knee)

POWER RANKINGS: Detroit (-198), Boston (-162)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RHP Rick Porcello (6-1, 3.22 ERA) vs. RHP John Lackey (5-2, 3.57 ERA)

Porcello has won five straight starts and allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last three turns. The 25-year-old has issued only six walks in 44 2/3 innings and is fully recovered from the tightness in his left side that forced him to leave a start at Baltimore on Monday after six innings. Porcello was removed from the rotation for the playoffs last October and got in one appearance in the ALCS against the Red Sox, surrendering an unearned run on two hits without recording an out.

Lackey is just as sharp as Porcello of late and has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four straight starts after holding the Texas Rangers to two runs over seven innings last weekend. The veteran struck out nine in that turn and owns 52 punchouts in 53 innings. Lackey made one start against the Tigers in the ALCS and yielded four hits and struck out eight in 6 2/3 scoreless innings to pick up the Game 3 win.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in Lackey's last four starts vs. Tigers.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Porcello's last four starts vs. Red Sox.
* Red Sox are 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Tigers are 1-4 in Porcello's last five starts vs. Red Sox.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-three percent of wagers are on the Red Sox -125.

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StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | SAN DIEGO at COLORADO
Play Against – All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (COLORADO) team with a good OBP (>=.340) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.250 to 1.300) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL)
40-21 since 1997. ( 65.6% | 26.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY
BALTIMORE is 12-4 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.8) , OPPONENT (4.1)

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BEN BURNS

10* BLUE CHIP SUPER TOTAL!
UNDER 5 -135 - NY Rangers vs Montreal

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Paul Leiner

100* Marlins +130
50* Blue Jays -115

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BOB BALFE

CINCINNATI REDS +105
(Bailey/Hamels)

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CHASE DIAMOND

10* MLB DIAMOND DOG
San Diego Padres +129

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Cappers Access

Brewers -130
Yankees -135
Red Sox(RL) -1.5(+162)

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Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" lost in MLB on Friday with the Angels -$140/Rays.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" has two in MLB in the National League

(1) Nationals -$150/Mets

(2) Rockies -$140/Padres

Ben lee is 4-5 -$90 for week twenty nine 123-140-5 -$2516

"Mr Chalk" is 20-17 -$282 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

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EZWINNERS

2* Mets +1.5 -160
2* Rangers -105
2* Marlins +120

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JEFF CLEMENT

8* Seattle Mariners -105