5-18-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | CINCINNATI at PHILADELPHIA
Play On – Any team (CINCINNATI) terrible offensive team – scoring <=3.8 runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 10 runs or more
68-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 58.1% | 37.1 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | DETROIT at BOSTON
DETROIT is 11-1 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in Road games on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was: DETROIT (6.1) , OPPONENT (3.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA


Sunday, May 18


Home side won all four Miami-Indiana games this season; Heat beat the Pacers in seven games in LY's playoffs, but they had home court edge in Game 7- they don't this year. Heat lost last four visits to Indiana by 7-6-1-12 points. Five of last seven series games went over. Miami is 8-2 in playoffs, 3-1 on road; they're 6-4 as favorite in playoffs. Indiana is 8-5 in playoffs, 4-0 vs spread when getting points. Under is 29-19 in Pacers' home games this season.


Over is 42-30 in playoffs this season.
Favorites are 24-48 in playoffs this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Heat at Pacers


Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers (+2.5, 181)


The Indiana Pacers have been waiting a year for a second chance at the Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference finals after falling in seven games last spring. The Pacers had a rocky road getting back but will finally get their shot at the Heat when they host Game 1 on Sunday. Miami cruised through the first two rounds in a total of nine games while Indiana needed seven games to sneak past No. 8 seed Atlanta in the first round before fumbling past Washington in six.


The Pacers declared before the season that their intention was to secure the best record in the East to ensure that another seventh game against the Heat would be on their home court and stumbled into just that when Miami took its foot off the gas in the final week of the regular season. “Everything is behind us,” Indiana coach Frank Vogel told reporters. “Like we said when we started the playoffs, (first-half record) 33-7 means nothing, How we struggled down the stretch and took a lot of criticism, that means nothing. That’s behind us and this is where we wanted to be.” Miami is gearing up for another physical battle and is not intimidated by starting on the road.


TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC


LINE HISTORY: The Heat opened as 2-point favorites, but were quickly bet to +2.5 and the total opened at 181 and has remained steady.


INJURY REPORT: Pacers - Andrew Bynum (Out, knee)


ABOUT THE HEAT: Miami crushed Indiana 99-76 in Game 7 at home last season, putting an exclamation point on a back-and-forth series in which neither team managed consecutive wins. LeBron James averaged 29 points in that series and is coming off a semifinals against Brooklyn in which he averaged 30 points on 57 percent shooting. Chris Bosh hit a key 3-pointer in Game 4 against the Nets but is ready to get back to the physical challenge of the Pacers. “It’s back to a wrestling match now,” Bosh told ESPN.com. “For the latter half of the season, that’s how we’ve been playing. So for us, I think it will be a smooth transition.” Heat forward Udonis Haslem is expecting to get more time against a bigger Indiana front line and even center Greg Oden could be of use.


ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana wanted the matchup with the Heat but hasn’t been very impressive on its homecourt in the postseason. The Pacers dropped two at home to the Hawks in the first round and two to the Wizards in the second, including an embarrassing 102-79 Game 5 loss when they had a chance to clinch the series. David West picked the team up in the clinching game against Washington with a postseason-high 29 points, including eight in the decisive run to end the game. “It’s only going to get tougher,” West told reporters. “We’ve been talking about this series all year. We’ve had a different path than (Miami) had, but we’re here.”


TRENDS:


*Pacers are 17-37-1 ATS in their last 55 games overall
*Over is 7-1 in Heat last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest
*Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings
*Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Indiana


CONSENSUS: 69 percent bettors are on the Heat -2.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL


Sunday, May 18


Blackhawks beat Los Angeles 4-1 in LY's playoffs; they're won five in row, nine of last 11 vs the Kings, who lost last five visits here. LA is 28-20 on road this season, 5-2 in playoffs; they won Game 7 in Anaheim Friday night, left California yesterday for first time since April 10, got on plane for first time this month. Chicago won eight of last ten games since getting down 2-0 in first round to St Louis; they're 6-0 at home in playoffs, allowing total of seven goals. Under is 9-3 in Kings' last twelve visits to Windy City.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Over 8.5 - Tigers/Redsox
50* White Sox -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

9* Chicago Blachawks ML -148

10* San Francisco Giants ML -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRYAN LEONARD

3* Total Domination GOM - OVER 9.5 - Toronto vs Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diysportsbettingsystems / Sam Oconnel

Chicago Blackhawks PL-1.5 +210

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BASEBALL33

USA: MLB
Boston Red Sox - Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox

USA: MLB
Chicago Cubs - Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

10* MLB HOME COOKING
St. Louis Cardinals-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

Interesting trend here that in the Marlins last 9 road games, the OVER is 8-1 in that span and 6-1 in these teams last 7 meetings. We can see both Turner and Vogelsong giving up some early runs in this one and if we are able to get to the bullpens, we think this OVER is a really solid play. We're going to recommend a smaller position, but still really like the play. The Sharps say...

2 UNITS - MIA/SAN FRAN OVER 8.0 (+100)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux


Series bet on Spurs


Yankees (game 1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

NBA | MIAMI at INDIANA
Play Against – Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) revenging a loss vs opponent, off a road win
94-55 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.1% | 33.5 units )
13-11 this year. ( 54.2% | 0.9 units )

NBA | MIAMI at INDIANA
Play Against – Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (INDIANA) revenging a loss vs opponent, off a road win
98-57 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.2% | 40.3 units )
16-11 this year. ( 59.3% | 4.3 units )

NBA | MIAMI at INDIANA
Play Under – Any team vs. the 1rst half line as a # 2 seed in the playoffs, in the conference finals
69-35 since 1997. ( 66.3% | 30.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PSYCHIC
5* Pacers +3 (WISEGUY)

WIIZARD
8* Mariners -155

JT WALKER
Blue Jays -122

Totals 4 U
82% under 182 Ind-Mia

Iceman
2* Blackhawks -155

Genius
Pass

Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
8* Pacers +3

Michael Cash Money
Pass

The Sports Report
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
NBA Premium Picks
20* Heat/Pacers Game 1 No-Brainer on Indiana +3

The Indiana Pacers worked hard during the regular season to earn the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. They did so looking ahead to a potential Eastern Conference Finals rematch with the Miami Heat. Starting with Game 1, I look for them to put that home court to use.

Home-court advantage has been huge when these teams have gotten together recently. Indeed, the home team won all four meetings during the regular season. Dating back to the playoffs last year, the home team has now won eight straight meetings in this series.

Indiana has gone 38-10 at home this season. It is outscoring opponents by an average of 8.7 points per game at home. Miami is a mediocre 25-20 on the road this year, clearly proving to be beatable away from home.

The Pacers were the best team in the league defensively this season. They ranked first in defensive efficiency, giving up just 96.7 points per 100 possessions. To compare, Miami ranked 11th in defensive efficiency, giving up 102.9 points per 100 possessions.

When you can play defense, you give yourself a chance to win in the playoffs. No team is better suited to stop Lebron James and Dwyane Wade than the Pacers. Paul George can contain James, while Lance Stephenson does an excellent job on Wade.

The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games when playing on two days' rest. I look for Indiana to protect its home court in Game 1 as the home team wins a 9th straight meeting between these teams. Bet the Pacers in Game 1 Sunday