5-19-14

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Anthony Michael (YouWinNow) - #503 Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder are in the best position here to get the cover since they are 12-4 ATS over the past few seasons against the Spurs and they are 6-1 ATS as a road under between 3 and 6 points. San Antonio is only 2-4 ATS when playing with 3 or more days of rest and they are only 5-7 ATS in the playoffs. Take the points and the Thunder here.

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Strasburg is 2-1, 2.63 in his last four starts. Leake has a 1.96 RA in his last three starts.
-- Peralta is 4-2, 2.27 in his last seven starts.

-- Kluber is 2-0, 2.08 in his last three starts. Smyly is 1-1, 1.96 in his last three.
-- Vargas is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts.
-- Richards is 2-0, 2.18 in his last five starts. Keuchel is 2-0, 1.08 in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Minor is 1-2, 4.24 in three starts this season.

-- Carroll is 0-3, 8.40 in his last three starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Leake 1-8; Strasburg 4-9
-- Peralta 0-8; Minor 1-3

-- Smyly 2-5; Kluber 3-9
-- Carroll 1-4; Vargas 1-9
-- Keuchel 1-8; Richards 1-8

Totals
-- Under is 8-3 in Cincinnati's last eleven road games.
-- Under is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Atlanta home games.

-- Over is 7-1-2 in last ten Cleveland games. Nine of last eleven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six White Sox games went over; eight of last ten KC games went under the total. .
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Angels' last six games. Last four Houston games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Washington won six of its last nine home games.
-- Braves won four of their last five home games.

-- Detroit won its last eleven road games.
-- Royals won five of their last seven games.
-- Angels won seven of their last nine games. Astros won four of their last five.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight road games.

-- Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last eight games.

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Today's MLB Picks

Milwaukee at Atlanta

Brewers head to Atlanta tonight to open their series against a Braves team that is 0-6 in Mike Minor's last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Milwaukee is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MAY 19 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 14.217; Washington (Strasburg) 15.762 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-175); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-175); Over

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.659; Atlanta (Minor) 14.794 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+110); Under

Game 955-956: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 16.483; Cleveland (Kluber) 13.933 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Under

Game 957-958: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Carroll) 15.594; Kansas City (Vargas) 14.662 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-170); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+150); Over

Game 959-960: Houston at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 15.061; LA Angels (Richards) 14.144 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-210); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+185); Over

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Today's NBA Picks

Oklahoma City at San Antonio

The Spurs open up their Western Conference finals series at home tonight against a Thunder team that is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 games against San Antonio. Oklahoma City is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

MONDAY, MAY 19 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 503-504: Oklahoma City at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.499; San Antonio 125.755 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 203 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 209 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5 1/2); Under

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Today's NHL Picks

NY Rangers at Montreal

The Canadiens look to bounce back from their 7-2 thrashing in Game 1 and come into tonight's contest with a 9-2 record in their last 11 games after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Montreal is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Canadiens favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-130). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

MONDAY, MAY 19 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 5-6: NY Rangers at Montreal (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.480; Montreal 13.807 Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-130); Under

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NBA

Monday, May 19

Oklahoma City is without big man Ibaka for rest of playoffs, a big loss; Thunder beat San Antonio in six games in playoffs two years ago, after losing first two games- they've won last five overall vs Spurs, winning all four meetings this season- they're 10-2 in last 12 series games, with six of last eight staying under total. Thunder is 4-2 on road in playoffs, with losses by 3-2 points. Spurs are 6-1 at home in playoffs, 4-3 vs spread.

Over is 43-30 in playoffs this season.
Favorites are 24-49 in playoffs this season.

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NHL

Monday, May 19

Rangers' win in Game 1 was most decisive win by road team in playoffs since 1950; game was 4-1 when Montreal goalie Price was hurt- check status here. Canadiens won seven of last ten series games, with losing side scoring zero or one goal in nine of ten games. Habs are 2-2 vs the Rangers this season- they shut New York out in four of last six meetings overall. Montreal is 8-4 in playoffs, winning four of six at home. Rangers had three power play goals in Game 1, are 5-3 on road playoffs; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

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Rangers at Canadiens: What bettors need to know

New York Rangers at Montreal Canadiens (-127, 5)

The Montreal Canadiens relinquished home-ice advantage in their Eastern Conference final after being on the business end of a 7-2 drubbing in the series opener. Looking to even the set with the New York Rangers, Montreal isn't revealing its cards on whether Carey Price will be in goal for Game 2 on Monday. The Canadian Olympian appeared to injure his right knee in a collision with New York forward Chris Kreider but remained in the contest and yielded four goals in two periods - including two in less than a minute - before sitting out the third.

Price skated for approximately five minutes but did not take part in Sunday's practice, leading to speculation that Peter Budaj may receive the start. "Today was an optional practice," Montreal coach Michel Therrien said. "It was a therapy day for Carey. We'll see if he's able to play." Defenseman Ryan McDonagh certainly was able to play on Saturday, collecting a goal and three assists to etch his name into the franchise record book as the Rangers emphatically drew first blood in the series.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE RANGERS: While New York recorded seven goals in the opener, perhaps none was more important - at least psychologically - than the one by Rick Nash. The struggling forward scored on the power play during the third period for his first tally of the postseason and just his second in 27 playoff games as a member of the Rangers. Nash's inclusion with the man advantage came as a result of the absence of Derick Brassard, who is considered day-to-day by coach Alain Vigneault after exiting Game 1 with an undisclosed injury.

ABOUT THE CANADIENS: As one might expect, former Ranger Brandon Prust and Therrien took issue with Kreider's collision with Price. "In this situation, he went skates first right into his leg," Prust said. "We call that accidentally on purpose." Prust attempted to retaliate against Kreider, but instead drew a double-minor and 10-minute misconduct that led to three power-play goals. "Let's put it this way," Therrien said. "(Kreider) didn't put much effort to avoid contact."

TRENDS:

* Rangers are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Montreal.
* Rangers are 4-0 in their last four overall.
* Canadiens are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
* Under is 5-2-1 in Canadiens last eight vs. Metropolitan.

OVERTIME:

1. McDonagh tied former Rangers captains Brian Leetch, Brad Park and Dave Maloney as defensemen to record four points in a playoff game.

2. Montreal C Lars Eller collected a goal and an assist in Game 1, increasing his team-leading point total to 11.

3. Collectively as a team, the Rangers attended the funeral of RW Martin St. Louis' mother on Sunday.

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Game of the Day: Thunder at Spurs

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-5.5, 209)

Tony Parker will be in the lineup when the San Antonio Spurs open the Western Conference finals against the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Parker suffered a hamstring injury in Wednesday’s series-clinching victory over the Portland Trail Blazers in the conference semifinals and participated in practice on Sunday and pronounced himself ready afterward. The Thunder won all four regular-season meetings with the Spurs but will be without valuable power forward Serge Ibaka (calf) for the series.

Oklahoma City standout Kevin Durant posted nine 30-point outings while averaging 31.4 points during the first two rounds of the postseason and is hoping to lead the Thunder past San Antonio in the conference finals for the second time. Oklahoma City, which is the West finals for the third time in four seasons, defeated the Spurs in six games in 2012 to reach the NBA Finals for the lone time since the franchise relocated from Seattle. San Antonio swept the Memphis Grizzlies in four games in last season’s conference finals before falling to the Miami Heat in the NBA Finals. The Spurs are hoping their vaunted veteran trio of power forward Tim Duncan, guard Manu Ginobili and Parker will hold up for another dash to the finals.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: Pinnacle Sports opened the Spurs as 4.5-point home faves, but that has since moved to -5.5. The total opened 209, dropped to 208.5 and rebounded back to 209.

INJURY REPORT: Thunder - F Serge Ibaka (out, calf). Spurs - PG Tony Parker (Probably, hamstring).

WHAT THE CAPPERS SAY: "San Antonio opened as a 4-point favorite in Game 1, but that line quickly climbed to 5.5 after the news that Thunder big man Serge Ibaka was lost for the rest of the season due to injury. As good as Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook have been over the last couple of weeks, it's a big blow for Oklahoma City, which will have its hands full now in the paint. In my opinion, Westbrook and Durant will both have to play the series of their lives for the Thunder to get by the Spurs. San Antonio fans are surely already preparing for another trip to the Finals." Covers Experts' Nick Parsons.

WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "Decent line move to game 1 and the series price when it was announced Ibaka was out for this game and series. It’s a shame, because he’s their 3rd best player and definitely hurts this Thunder team that has a very limited bench. We went straight from 4.5 to 5.5 when that injury was announced, from -175 to -200 and eventually -215 on the series price. We’re starting to see some dog money come in on the series price, I wouldn't be surprised if we closed -200. We’re seeing great, 2 way action on game 1 at 5.5, really no need for any moves at this point. We’re seeing lots of over money, we went to 209 this morning and I could see us getting to 210 at some point Monday." - Peter Childs, Sportsbook.ag

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Beating the Spurs without Ibaka will be a challenge and rookie Steven Adams and veteran Nick Collison will be asked to plug the gap. It is a huge hole to fill considering Ibaka averaged 14 points, 11.5 rebounds and four blocked shots during Oklahoma City’s season sweep of San Antonio. Adams played 40 minutes in the series-clinching victory over the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday, posting a double-double of 10 points and 11 rebounds as he displayed that he can do more than be an antagonizer. Collison averaged 11.2 minutes during the first two rounds of the playoffs and could double that amount against the Spurs.

ABOUT THE SPURS: Parker addressed San Antonio’s problems with the Thunder this season on Sunday and expressed that the club’s ball movement has to improve. “We need to execute a lot better, because against them you can’t go half-speed,” Parker told reporters. “You have to go full speed and we have to be perfect because they are younger than us and they’re more athletic than us, so everything has to be more perfect.” San Antonio will also be looking for another strong series from small forward Kawhi Leonard, who averaged 17 points, 7.6 rebounds, 2.8 steals and made 9-of-17 3-point attempts in the five-game series against Portland.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 6-1 in Spurs last seven Conference Finals games.


COVERS CONSENSUS: 53 percent of Covers Consensus wagers are on the Thunder.

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NonStopSportsPicks

Spurs vs Thunder
Series bet: 2* on Spurs to win, -190.

Pissed I didn’t release this to you guys yesterday before the news of Ibaka being out. That definitely tilts the series seriously in the Spurs favor, but costs us about 25-30 cents from what we could have got yesterday. However, people look at the series now and say the Thunder are losing 15 PPG and 8 RPG. Which is true. What’s going to hurt more is the loss of athleticism, blocking, and defense. On a Thunder team that already has defense issues, this really hurts. The Spurs have TOO many weapons, and they cruise. Maybe 5 or 6 in this one.

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VEGAS SHARP
25 Units
NBA Playoff Game of the Year #2
503 Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 over San Antonio Spurs

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StatFox Super Situations

HOUSTON at LA ANGELS
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (HOUSTON) poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.50) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) 52-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 82.5% | 31.9 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -3.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | DETROIT at CLEVELAND
DETROIT is 11-1 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in Road games on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. The average score was: DETROIT (6.1) , OPPONENT (3.0)

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StatFox Super Situations

OKLAHOMA CITY at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Home favorites (SAN ANTONIO) after having won 2 of their last 3 games against opponent hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games 151-93 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.9% | 48.7 units ) 29-21 this year. ( 58.0% | 5.9 units )

OKLAHOMA CITY at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season 97-43 since 1997. ( 69.3% | 41.6 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.6 units )

OKLAHOMA CITY at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, playing with 3 or more days rest 130-73 since 1997. ( 64.0% | 49.7 units ) 5-5 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.5 units )

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Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" won in MLB in extra innings on Sunday with the Rockies -$140/Padres.

E&B won on Sunday in the NBA Playoff's with the Pacers +2.5/Heat.

For Monday in the NBA Playoffs E&B like the Thunder +5.5/Spurs.

For Monday in the NHL Playoffs E&B are using a parlay and like the Canadians -$120 and under 5.

*** This parlay goes only if Cary Price is in goal for the Canadians***

"Mr Chalk" has Np for Monday.

Ben lee is 125-142-5 -$2561 through twenty nine weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 21-19 -$377 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.