5-21-14

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Wednesday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Astros embracing underdog role

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Wednesday's major league games:

Interleague 'Dogs Prevail

Interleague underdogs went a perfect 3-for-3 on Tuesday night. The Baltimore Orioles (+143) cruised past the Pittsburgh Pirates 9-2 while the Chicago Cubs (+150) stunned the New York Yankees 6-1 and the Minnesota Twins (+166) rallied to beat the San Diego Padres 5-3.

Johnny Be Bad

Cincinnati Reds starter Johnny Cueto saw his streak of nine consecutive quality starts to open the season come to a shocking end Tuesday as he was tagged for six runs over six innings of a 9-4 loss to Washington (-105). Cueto fell to 0-3 in his last three starts as an underdog.

Giant Killers

The Houston Astros are 4-2 in their last six games as an underdog entering Wednesday's showdown with the host Los Angeles Angels (-189, 8). Houston comes in with the worst record in the majors at 17-29, but has lost just 454 units on the season thanks to several big upset wins.

Pitching Notes

* Los Angeles Dodgers lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu returns to the rotation Wednesday after missing the previous 3 1/2 weeks with a shoulder injury. Ryu has thrown 26 shutout innings on the road to start the season as he leads the Dodgers into New York for a date with the Mets (+118, 7).

* Cincinnati Reds righty Alfredo Simon remains one of the best bets in baseball so far, ranked 17th in pitcher money earned ($421) while posting a 1-7 O/U mark through eight starts - the most Unders in baseball. Simon and the Reds (+129, 7) face the Nationals in Washington.

Batting Notes

* Toronto first baseman Edwin Encarnacion went deep twice in Tuesday's win over Boston and has belted nine homers over his past 14 games. The Blue Jays, who are 9-5 against the moneyline and 7-6-1 O/U during that stretch, resume their series with the host Red Sox (-128, 9).

* The Tampa Bay Rays continue struggling on offense, managing just two runs in their previous three games - all losses. The Rays enter Wednesday's game against visiting Oakland (-106, 7.5) ranked 23rd in the league in home runs (35); no Tampa Bay player has hit more than four.

Totals Streak

New York Yankees (0-6 O/U): The Bronx Bombers limited the Mets and Pirates to four combined runs over a four-game stretch, then posted back-to-back subpar performances at the plate en route to losses against the Pirates and Chicago Cubs.

Prop of the Day

The Oakland Athletics are a +400 bet to beat the Rays by four or more runs. The Athletics are the hottest team in the majors, reeling off 10 wins in their last 11 games; those victories have come by an average of 5.8 runs, including three double-digit triumphs in that span.

Injury Notes

* Philadelphia Phillies left-hander Cliff Lee (elbow strain) faces a DL stint, though GM Ruben Amaro classifies the injury as "pretty mild." Philadelphia is 5-5 against the moneyline and 6-3-1 O/U in Lee's 10 starts this season.

* Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout is questionable Wednesday after leaving Tuesday's game against Houston with tightness in his hamstring. Trout finished with three RBIs in the win; Los Angeles is

Weather Watch

* Wind at PNC Park for the game between Pittsburgh and visiting Baltimore will blow out to left field at 6 mph. The Pirates went 18-7 and averaged 4.88 runs in 25 games under similar conditions last season.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 9-1 in umpire Doug Eddings' last 10 games calling balls and strikes. Eddings will be behind home plate for the game between the Cardinals and the Diamondbacks.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 11:25 a.m. ET Wednesday.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies
Time: Wednesday 05/21 8:40 PM Eastern
Pick: Game Total UNDER 10 (+100) at 5Dimes

We've got the highest total on the board tonight in Coors Field, but the Giants are in town with great pitching and defense. San Fran is on a 22-9-2 run UNDER the total and the UNDER is 34-15-3 in the Giants' last 52 vs. a team with a winning record. San Fran righty Matt Cain (3.92 ERA) is throwing well with the team 2-1 his last three starts. The last three years Jhoulys Chacin has been fine in Coors Field, with a 17-14 record and a 4.19 ERA. And he knows his opponent as the UNDER is 3-1-1 in Chacin's last five starts against the Giants. When these teams meet the UNDER is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings, including 9-1-1 UNDER the total in the last 11 meetings in Colorado. Play the Giants/Rockies UNDER.

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Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Baltimore Orioles +104 over the Pittsburgh Pirates (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:05 PM EST

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Stu Feiner

Break the Bank play on the OKC THUNDER

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Simon is 5-2, 2.63 in eight starts this season. Roark is 1-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts.
-- Santana is 4-1, 2.96 in seven starts this year. Lohse is 5-0, 3.44 in his last eight starts.
-- Ryu is 3-0, 0.00 (26 IP) in four road starts; he comes off DL here. DeGrom allowed one run in seven IP in his MLB debut.

-- Scherzer is 6-0, 1.38 in his last six starts.
-- Tepesch allowed one run in 5.1 IP in his first '14 start.
-- Milone is 1-0, 0.64 in his last two starts. Bedard is 2-0, 1.59 in his last four.
-- Hutchison is 1-1, 2.03 in his last couple starts.
-- Quintana is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 4-1, 1.86 in his last six starts.

-- Samardzija has a 2.92 RA in his last six starts, but Cubs lost all six.
-- Tillman is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Hughes is 4-0, 2.23 in his last five starts. Ross is 3-0, 3.08 in his last four.

Cold pitchers
-- Kendrick is 0-4, 5.02 in his last seven starts. Eovaldi is 0-2, 6.19 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 1-3, 7.48 in his four road starts. Wacha is 1-3, 3.82 in his last six starts.
-- Colorado is 0-3 when Chacin starts (0-2, 4.76). Cain is 1-1, 4.91 in his last four starts.

-- McAllister is 0-4, 9.14 in his last five starts.
-- Buchholz is 1-1, 7.62 in three home starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- McHugh is 0-2, 6.89 in his last three starts.

-- Whitley didn't allow a run (74 PT) in his MLB debut, but didn't finish fifth inning, either (4.1 IP).
-- Rodriguez is 0-2, 6.84 in five starts this season.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Simon 3-8; Roark 2-8
-- Kendrick 4-8; Eovaldi 3-9
-- Lohse 4-9; Santana 2-7
-- Ryu 1-7; DeGrom 0-1
-- McCarthy 2-9; Wacha 2-9
-- Cain 4-7; Chacin 2-3

-- Scherzer 2-9; McAllister 2-9
-- Young 1-7; Tepesch 0-1
-- Milone 4-7; Bedard 1-6
-- Hutchison 2-9; Buchholz 4-8
-- Quintana 1-9; Guthrie 3-9
-- McHugh 1-5; Weaver 2-9

-- Whitley 0-1; Samardzija 4-9
-- Tillman 3-9; Rodriguez 3-5
-- Hughes 2-8; Ross 3-9

Totals
-- Under is 9-4 in Cincinnati's last thirteen road games.
-- Seven of last nine Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-3-1 in last seventeen Atlanta home games.
-- Eight of last ten Miami games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eleven Colorado home games went over.

-- Over is 9-1-2 in last 12 Cleveland games. Nine of last thirteen Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Oakland games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine games at Fenway Park stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Texas home games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight White Sox games went over; eight of last 12 KC games went under the total. .
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Angels' last eight games. Five of last six Houston games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Last six games at Wrigley Field stayed under total.
-- Five of last six games at Petco Park went over.

Hot teams
-- Braves won six of their last seven home games.
-- Phillies won their last three games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games. Arizona won four of its last six road games.
-- Colorado won 13 of its last 17 home games.

-- Detroit won 11 of its last 13 road games. Indians won five of their last seven home games.
-- Blue Jays won six of their last seven road games.
-- Oakland won ten of its last eleven games.
-- White Sox are 7-4 in their last eleven road games.
-- Mariners are 9-4 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Angels won eight of their last 11 games. Astros won five of their last seven.

-- Baltimore won six of its last eight road games.
-- Cubs won their last three games.
-- Twins won six of their last eight games.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost eight of their last ten road games. Washington is 7-9 in its last 16 games.
-- Mets lost five of their last six games. Dodgers lost five of their last eight road games.
-- Miami lost eight of their last eleven games. .
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Giants lost three of their last four games.

-- Tampa Bay lost eight of last nine home games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last seven games.
-- Kansas City is 4-8 in its last twelve home games.
-- Texas lost seven of its last nine games. .

-- Pittsburgh lost six of its last eight games.
-- Bronx is 4-6 in its last ten games.
-- Padres lost three of their last four games.

Umpires
-- Cin-Wsh-- Last five Porter games stayed under total.
-- Phil-Mia-- Five of last six Carlson games went over.
-- Mil-Atl-- Underdogs won four of last seven Knight games.
-- LA-NY-- Six of seven Nauert games went over the total.
-- Az-StL-- Eight of nine Eddings games stayed under.
-- SF-Col-- Favorites won three of last four Hamari games.

-- Det-Clev-- Four of last five Timmons games stayed under.
-- Sea-Tex-- Favorites won six of eight Kellogg games.
-- A's-TB-- Three of last four BWelke games stayed under.
-- Tor-Bos-- Five of last seven Ripperger games stayed under.
-- Chi-KC-- Favorites won five of seven Hallion games.
-- Hst-LA-- Home teams won seven of eight Davis games.

-- NY-Chi-- Home side won six of last seven Demuth games.
-- Blt-Pitt-- Five of six Conroy games went over the total.
-- Min-SD-- Five of seven Wegner games stayed under total.

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Maddux MLB

Pittsburgh
Dodgers

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Matt Rivers WEDNESDAY

400,000♦ pick on Washington and Tanner Roark at home against Cincinnati and Alfredo Simon. You should specify both pitchers. The Nats are -140 as of 8:45


This is a 4:05 Eastern time start

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Anthony Redd Wednesday's Play

80 Dime selection on the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs to Go Over the Posted Total. As I release this play at 6:15am Pacific here in Vegas, the total on this game is 211 in Vegas and offshore.

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Tiger's Moves

• NBA [1507] 1H OKC THUNDER +3½-110

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Pred. Machine

29-8 for NBA playoffs

No normal plays tonight.

half bet on SA under 210 57.1%

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THE FACTSMAN

WHIPPING OUT A WEDNESDAY TOTAL!

OVER 10 – SF vs COLO
(CAIN-CHACIN)

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HARRY BONDI FREE PLAY

MLB

SAN FRANCISCO (+105) over Colorado
8:40 p.m. ET

Giants suffered one of their, and our, toughest loses of the baseball season when the Rockies scored two runs with two outs in the bottom of the ninth last night. We expect San Francisco, and the Steam Team, to bounce back big tonight and it helps that the Giants hope to have both Buster Posey and Angel Pagan back in the lineup tonight. It also helps that San Francisco is 8-2 when tonight’s starter Matt Cain starts against Colorado. Bounce back for the Giants.

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VEGAS SHARP

5 Units
507 Oklahoma City Thunder +6 over San Antonio Spurs

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Power Play Wins

Spurs -6
San Diego Padres -135
Colorado Rockies -120

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Baseball Crusher
Kansas City Royals -133 over Chicago WhiteSox
(System Record: 28-0, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 28-22

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -149 over LA Kings
(Playoff Record: system 20-1: overall 20-10, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 111-84-2

Basketball Crusher
Oklahoma City Thunder +6 over San Antonio Spurs
(Playoff Record: 14-12-3, won last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 92-97-8

Soccer Crusher
Fluminense + Sao Paulo OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 575-21, won last game)
Overall Record: 575-483-84

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Washington Nationals -140 over Cincy Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers -132 over NY Mets
San Diego Padres -143 over Minnesota


Hockey
Chicago Blackhawks + LA Kings OVER 5


Basketball
Oklahoma City Thunder + San Antonio OVER 211