5-21-14

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Andre Gomes

NBA - 507 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 508 San Antonio Spurs

Play #1

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

I knew that Scott Brooks would try to surprise the Spurs in Game 1, but he really “tried” too much by playing some bizarre lineups especially w/ Durant @ center position! Without Ibaka, OKC is in a tough spot against this Spurs’ machine, but it was pretty clear for me that they don’t have a chance in playing small ball vs. SAS.

The Spurs scored at will @ paint w/ 66 points in the paint & 24-27 FG at the rim! When Brooks decided to go “ultra small”, the Spurs’ offense simply exploded!

The only bright spot for OKC in that game was in the third quarter:

“That starting lineup did a good job in that third quarter,” Brooks said. “We were up one with four minutes to go. By playing with a lot of toughness on the defensive end and using our athleticism and our speed on the offensive end. That’s always a good recipe for our success, playing defensively with good hands, good toughness, the physicality that it takes to stop a very good offensive team like San Antonio.”

OKC played their starting lineup for the first 9 minutes of the quarter and they held SAS’ offense to just 14 points in a 9-minutes span! IMO, this will be the blueprint for OKC tonight – they will try to win tonight via their defense and not by outscoring the Spurs.

I expect OKC to play less small ball tonight as S. Adams will more than the 17 minutes logged in G1. Obviously, by playing “big”, OKC offense will be “easier” to defend as the Spurs’ defense will be almost exclusively focused in stopping Durant & Westbrook.

I expect tonight’s contest to be played @ slower pace (NOTE: that 3rd quarter in G1 was the slowest paced quarter of the game, which is a good sign for this G2). I also expect Scott Brooks to ride his starting lineup a bit longer @ first & third quarter and so, I’m playing w/ Under FIRST QUARTER (once again) & UNDER FULL TIME as well.
NOTE: Split the wager!

Pick: 2 units (Double Dime Play) on 503/504 Under 53.5 FIRST QUARTER @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 2 units (Double Dime Play) on 503/504 Under 211 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada

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Larry Ness

insider Rockies

weekly wipeout Cardinals

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2Halves2Win – NBA

1* GAME: Thunder-Spurs – OVER 210.5

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Raymond Dunavant

Toronto BJays +110
Mil Brewers +129
Oakland A's -113
Min Twins +134
Baltimore O's +106

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Indian Cowboy

3 Units Pirates

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Chris James Sports

Under Pirates 7.5
Phillies +130
Angels RL +121

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Joe Gavazzi - 3% Dodgers -1.5 runs

Analysis: LA Dodgers (Ryu) (-1 ½ R, +140) at NY Mets (deGrom) 7:10 ET 3* LA Dodgers (-1 ½ R, +140) All Access tonight to both my MLB & NBA Top of the Ticket in tonight's action including my Technician's Dream Game of the Year. Consider it an investment! Build your bankroll. The Dodgers have owned this series, winning 10/11 recent games from the Mets. LAD bats have come alive of late, averaging 5.7 RPG after last night's 9-4 romp over the Metropolitans. New York has hit yet another slump with a 1-6 recent record, in which they scored only 14 runs and hit .207. deGrom will not be as successful in this outing as he was against the Yankees. Ryu takes the mound for the first time since April 27th. He has been doing rehab to alleviate shoulder inflammation. But, he has been cleared to start today with no restrictions. Ryu has been outstanding on the road this season, where in 4 starts spanning 26 IP, he has allowed only 17 BR and no earned runs. That work includes 23 Ks and a .176 BAA. In a pair of starts against the Mets, Ryu has been most successful, spanning 14 IP, Ryu has a 1.29 ERA and a .167 BAA. Run line players take note, 19 of 24 LAD wins have been by 2 or more runs, including 12 of 15 on the road. Play the Dodgers on the run line.

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2Halves2win MLB *free* pick:


1* 1ST 5 INNINGS: BAL ML (-105)

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Tampasports daily picks

pittsburgh -m.line -best bet
philadelphia-m.line
milwaukee-m.line

nba -spurs

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The Delawarian 05-21-14

2* Toronto ML +113
2* Thunder/Spurs UNDER 210

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WORLD CLASS CAPPER

USA MLS- 3* Houston vs DC United – Over 2.5 goals @ +117
Starts at 7:00 PM est

MLB- 3* Orioles moneyline @ +106
Starts at 7:00 PM est

NHL- 5* Blackhawks vs Kings – Over 5 goals @ -105
Starts at 8:00 PM est

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DENVER MONEY

MLB totals
Arizona @ St. Louis – Under 7 -110
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – Over 7.5 -105
LA Dodgers @ NY Mets – Over 7 -110

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Joe Gavazzi NBA and MLB

LA Dodgers (Ryu) (-1 ½ R, +140) at NY Mets (deGrom) 7:10 ET

4% LA Dodgers (-1 ½ R, +140)

The Dodgers have owned this series, winning 10/11 recent games from the Mets. LAD bats have come alive of late, averaging 5.7 RPG after last night’s 9-4 romp over the Metropolitans. New York has hit yet another slump with a 1-6 recent record, in which they scored only 14 runs and hit .207. deGrom will not be as successful in this outing as he was against the Yankees. Ryu takes the mound for the first time since April 27th. He has been doing rehab to alleviate shoulder inflammation. But, he has been cleared to start today with no restrictions. Ryu has been outstanding on the road this season, where in 4 starts spanning 26 IP, he has allowed only 17 BR and no earned runs. That work includes 23 Ks and a .176 BAA. In a pair of starts against the Mets, Ryu has been most successful, spanning 14 IP, Ryu has a 1.29 ERA and a .167 BAA. Run line players take note, 19 of 24 LAD wins have been by 2 or more runs, including 12 of 15 on the road. Play the Dodgers on the run line.



Arizona Diamondbacks (McCarthy) at St. Louis Cardinals (Wacha) (-1 ½ R, +140) 8:15 ET

4% St. Louis (-1 ½ R, +140)

The D’Backs have shown a bit of spark, going 10-7 following their 8-22 start. Nonetheless, they have still been outscored 5.0 to 3.7 when playing on the road. McCarthy is clearly not the answer. The D’Backs have won only 1 of his 9 starts, where he has a 5.01 ERA. That is worse on the road where in 4 starts spanning 21 1/3 IP, his ERA is 5.91. The Cards have come to life, since returning home, following an early season schedule that saw them play twice as many road games as home. St. Louis enters on a 6-2 upward surge. In their last 6 games, all at home, the Cards have outscored opposition 27/15. Wacha has a solid 2.82 ERA for the season, which far belies his 3-3 record. He is off a confidence building start in which he defeated the Cubs 5-3. In that game, Wacha worked 7 innings, allowing only 2 runs. Run line players take note, since the start of last season, 54 of 66 St. Louis home wins (including 10 of 12 TY) have come by 2 or more runs. For Arizona, 10 of their 11 road losses have come by 2 or more runs



Detroit Tigers (Scherzer) (-1 ½ R, +115) at Cleveland Indians (McAllister) Noon ET

5% Detroit (-1 ½ R, +115)

Strongly favor the pitching matchup of Scherzer vs. McAllister for a resounding Detroit victory that avoids this 3-game early week sweep. McAllister has a 5.36 ERA for the season. Cleveland has lost his last 5 starts in which he allowed 22 runs in 21 2/3 IP. That includes lasting just 1 1/3 IP in his previous outing, allowing 8 runs in the process. Scherzer has a 1.83 ERA for the year backed by a 73/20 KBB. The Tigers have won his last 6 starts, in which he has worked 39 innings, allowing just 6 runs on 25 hits with 48 Ks. Run line players take note, in those 6 previous Scherzer wins, Detroit has outscored the opposition 29-10 with 5 of those wins coming by 2 or more runs. In addition, 12 of 14 recent Detroit wins have come by 2 or more runs. For Cleveland, 19 of their 25 losses have come by 2 or more runs. On a long term basis, spanning 4+ seasons, 130 of 165 Cleveland home losses have come by 2 or more runs. Lay the runs with Detroit as your Top Play of the Day.



Toronto Blue Jays (Hutchison) at Boston Red Sox (Buchholz) (-125) 7:10 ET

3% Toronto (+115)

Perception/Reality play against a Boston Red Sox team and Buchholz, who are being priced like the World Series champs and a starter who had a 12-1 record last season. Current form begs to differ! The Blue Jays enter winners of 6 of 8. The Red Sox have dropped 5 straight. Buchholz is far from the pitcher of last year. For the YTD, he has a 6.17 ERA. In his most recent starts, Buchholz is 0-2, working 10 1/3 IP, allowing 9 runs and 25 BR. In 3 starts from this mound, Buchholz has a 9.00 ERA and .371 BAA. Hutchison has done his best work on the road, where in 6 starts, spanning 40 2/3 IP, he has a 2.43 ERA. His 55/16 KBB is a positive omen. In his lone start against Boston, Hutchison worked 7 innings, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits with 5 Ks. Play the better team and better pitcher as underdog!



Baltimore Orioles (Tillman) at Pittsburgh Pirates (Rodriguez) (-110) 7:05 ET

3% Baltimore (EVEN)

With last night’s 9-2 victory, Baltimore has now won 6 straight in the series and 10/13 recent road games. The Pirates continue to look like the team of the previous 20 years, having plated 2 or less runs in 20 of their 44 starts. Rodriguez is far from the pitcher of last season. Pittsburgh has won 1 of his 5 starts, in which he has gone 0-2 with a 6.84 ERA, allowing 9 HRs in 25 IP. In a pair of home starts in a combined 10 IP, Wandy Rod has a 6.30 ERA. He is backed by a bullpen whose index is 35 points lower than LY and is the 4th worst in MLB. Tillman has been solid all season with a 3.34 ERA. Baltimore has won 5 of his recent 6 starts. That includes a complete game 4-0 whitewash of KC in his previous outing, a game in which he allowed just 5 hits. Play the better team with the better pitcher as underdog!



NBA PLAYOFFS

OKC Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-6) 9:00 ET TNT

4% OKC (+6)

Anyone who watched Game 1must feel it is virtually impossible to fade the Spurs. The 122-105 wire-to-wire victory was rarely in doubt. Durant (28/9/5) and Westbrook (25/5/7) were again brilliant. But, the other 3 starters for the Thunder totaled just 5 points. Despite knocking down 12 triples, OKC appeared disjointed on the offensive end without Ibaka. They were defenseless, especially on the interior, where the Spurs scored more than 60 points in the paint. San Antonio was again brilliant on offense with a 28/10 assist /TO ratio, resulting in 57% shooting, including an efficient 9-17 from the arc. Five Spurs scored 14 or more points led by Duncan with 27/7, Parker with 14 points and 12 assists, while Ginobili (18) and Green (16) combined to shoot 7 for 9 from behind the arc. The Spurs went on runs of 22-2 SU and 19-5 ATS to claim the best record in the league with 2 games remaining in the regular season. The inevitable letdown followed with a record of 3-5 SU, 0-7-1 ATS through Game 6 of the first round against the Mavs. Since that time, however, the Spurs have gone 6-1 SU ATS with every win and every cover by 10 or more points. Yet, we pin our hopes on Thunder HC Brooks, the adjustments he will make, and the Thunder record of 45-21 ATS following a loss, including 17-11 ATS/loss TY. In refining the zig-zag, I must note several 75% or better situations favoring Game 2 road teams to bounce back following an embarrassing high-scoring, road loss in Game 1. In one of the toughest underdog plays to make in the NBA playoffs this year, we back the Thunder as a Top Play in what can only be described as the 2014 NBA PLAYOFF TECHNICIANS DREAM GAME OF THE YEAR.

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Dominic Brando's Inner Circle

All one unit plays tonight
MLB Baltimore Orioles (Tillman/Rodriguez) +110
MLB St Louis Cardinals (McCarthy/Wacha) -160
MLB Philadelphia/Florida (Kendrick/Eovaldi) Over 7.5/-105
NBA Oklahoma City Thunder +7/-120
NBA Oklahoma City/San Antonio Under 211/-125

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Philly Godfather - 969 Toronto Blue Jays +110