5-24-14

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369682

    #31
    STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
    SATURDAY, MAY 24th 2014
    INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

    (ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
    __________________________________________________ ___

    MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #8
    •Brewers Ice-Cold On The Road After Hot Start: The Milwaukee Brewers have been the talk of the Major League Baseball scene this season, especially in the early going. However, after starting a ridiculous 11-1 on the road, the Brewers are a terrible 3-9.... During the past 12 road games, the Brewers have been outscored 57-32 and have allowed their opponents to scored 5 or more runs 50 percent of the time.... The Brewers will travel to Miami, who holds an MLB-best 19-6 home record, Saturday.

    •Royals Rack-Up Wins With Shields' On The Mound: James Shields has become the quiet ace for the Kansas City Royals. Shields is 6-3 through his 10 starts this season and is carrying a 2.67 ERA for the Royals. Shields has been as close to automatic wins that the Royals could hope for. Over Shields' last 33 starts, the Royals have a 24-9 record (72.7%) including winning the past three in a row.

    •Orioles Can Not Find Win Column When Jimenez Starts: The Baltimore Orioles thought they were finding a calming presence in their rotation when they picked up Ubaldo Jimenez, but that has not come to fruition. In Jimenez's past four starts at Camden Yards, the O's have not picked up a single win. It does not get much better past that as the Orioles are 2-7 in Jimenez's past nine starts. Jimenez has an abysmal 4.50 ERA this season and has only two wins to his name.

    •Wood Providing No Consistency For The Cubs: The Chicago Cubs have been looking for any sort of consistency outside of Jeff Samardzija, but that certainly has not been Travis Wood. In Wood's last 27 starts following a quality start, the Cubs are 5-22. That includes a 1-3 record so far this year coming off quality starts for Wood. Wood is 4-4 this season with a 4.61 ERA and a 51/18 SO/BB ratio.

    •Drew Heads For Minor League Assignment: Shortstop Stephen Drew cleared waivers on Friday and was sent to Class A Greenville after he re-signed with the Boston Red Sox this week. Drew, who rejected a contract offer during the offseason before accepting a prorated share of a $14.1 million qualifying offer on Tuesday, is expected to be in the minor leagues about 10 days before he returns to the majors. Boston manager John Farrell told reporters that Drew would be with Greenville for four days before going to Double-A Portland or Triple-A Pawtucket. The Red Sox want Drew to get back into the swing of things with about 25 at-bats. During the Red Sox's World Series season in 2013, Drew batted .253 with 13 home runs and 67 RBIs in 124 games.

    •Ryan Braun Out Against Marlins: Ryan Braun was out of the Brewers starting lineup Friday after a flare-up of the oblique strain that sent him to the disabled list earlier this season. The Milwaukee slugger was available off the bench against Miami, and manager Ron Roenicke said he hoped Braun would be back in the lineup by Sunday. Braun left Thursday's game at Atlanta in the fifth inning because of tightness in his right side. He began the weekend hitting .289 with seven homers and 19 RBIs, but was 4 for 23 on the Brewers' current trip. Roenicke said the injury was probably a factor. "He's taking weirder swings than I've seen him take," Roenicke said. "If he's taking bad swings, something is going on.... Hopefully Saturday or the next day he's good."

    •Pirates Activate Jason Grilli From The Disabled List: Pirates closer Jason Grilli is off the disabled list after missing the past month with a strained oblique muscle. Grilli saved 33 games last season and another four games this year before going on the disabled list, but it’s possible the Pirates will ease him back into the bullpen mix in a low-leverage role because of how well Mark Melancon has fared filling in at closer. Melancon has eight saves with a 2.05 ERA and 15/5 K/BB ratio in 22 innings this season after making the All-Star team last year on the way to posting a 1.39 ERA in 71 innings.

    Betting Notes - Saturday
    •Hot Pitchers
    -- Nicasio is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts.
    -- Minor is 2-0, 1.35 in his last couple starts.
    -- Peralta has a 2.08 RA in his last four starts.
    -- Strasburg is 2-1, 2.62 in his last five starts.

    -- Chavez is 3-1, 2.81 in his last four starts. Dickey is 3-1, 4.35 in his last five.
    -- Porcello is 5-0, 2.76 in his last five starts.
    -- Kluber is 2-0, 2.51 in his last four starts. Jimenez is 2-1, 2.19 in his last four.
    -- Shields is 3-0, 1.71 in his last three starts. Shoemaker is 2-0, 2.45 in his two starts this season.
    -- Keuchel is 3-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.

    -- Vogelsong is 2-1, 1.62 in his last five starts.

    •Cold Pitchers
    -- Haren is 2-2, 5.12 in his last five starts.
    -- Turner is 0-2, 6.92 in his five starts this season.
    -- Collmenter has a 6.26 RA in his last four starts, but Arizona won three of the four games. Wheeler is 0-2, 7.53 in his last four starts.
    -- Cingrani is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts. Garcia allowed four runs in seven IP in his first '14 start, coming back from injury.
    -- Cole has a 4.74 RA in his last four starts.
    -- Wood has a 6.97 RA in his last five starts, but is 3-2 in those games. Roach allowed four runs in three IP in his first '14 start.

    -- Danks is 1-4, 8.56 in his last five starts. Nuno is 1-1, 6.64 in his last four.
    -- Martinez is 0-0, 4.50 in three starts this season.
    -- Price is 1-3, 5.35 in his last five starts. Peavy is 0-2, 6.35 in his last four.
    -- Maurer is 1-2, 6.75 in five starts this season.

    -- Deduno is 1-1, 4.76 in three starts this season.

    •Totals
    -- Seven of last nine Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
    -- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Dodger games.
    -- Ten of last thirteen Miami games went over the total.
    -- Nine of last eleven Arizona games stayed under total.
    -- Six of last eight Cincinnati home games stayed under.
    -- Under is 14-4-2 in last twenty Atlanta home games.
    -- Six of last seven Cub games stayed under the total.

    -- Eight of last eleven Texas games stayed under.
    -- Over is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Toronto home games.
    -- Over is 12-1-2 in last fifteen Cleveland games.
    -- Three of last four Boston games went over the total.
    -- Eight of last 11 White Sox games went over. Eight of last nine Bronx games stayed under the total.
    -- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Angel games.
    -- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Houston road games.

    -- Six of last nine Minnesota games went over the total.

    •Hot Teams
    -- Pirates won seven of their last nine home games.
    -- Marlins won 13 of its last 16 home games.
    -- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games. Cincinnati won three of last four.
    -- Braves won seven of their last nine home games.
    -- Cubs won four of their last six games.

    -- Athletics won 11 of its last 14 games. Toronto won seven of last eight.
    -- Indians won four of their last five games.
    -- Rangers won their last three games.
    -- White Sox won four of their last five games.
    -- Angels won five of their last six games. Kansas City is 6-5 in their last eleven road games.
    -- Mariners won four of its last five games.

    -- Twins won five of its last seven games. San Francisco won ten of their last fourteen home games.

    •Cold Teams
    -- Nationals are 7-12 in its last 19 games.
    -- Dodgers are 6-7 in their last thirteen road games. Philadelphia lost seven of their last ten games overall.
    -- Mets lost six of their last eight games. Arizona lost five of its last seven.
    -- Brewers lost eight of their last twelve road games
    -- Rockies lost six of its last seven road games.
    -- Padres lost five of their last seven games.

    -- Tigers lost four of its last five games.
    -- Rays lost nine of last twelve home games. Boston lost nine of their last ten games.
    -- Orioles lost eight of its last twelve games.
    -- Yankees lost four of their last five games.
    -- Astros lost ten of their last thirteen road games.

    •Umpires Trends
    -- LA-Phil-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Buckminster games.
    -- Col-Atl-- Five of last seven Barksdale games went over.
    -- Mil-Mia-- Nine of ten Eddings games stayed under total.
    -- Az-NY-- Five of last six Gorman games stayed under (he umped rained out four innings last night; We’re assuming he works again here).
    -- StL-Cin-- Favorites won eight of ten Carapazza games.
    -- Wsh-Pitt-- Underdogs won five of nine Morales games.
    -- Chi-SD-- Five of last seven Cuzzi games went over total.

    -- A's-Tor-- Six of last eight Little games went over total.
    -- NY-Chi-- Four of last five Nelson games stayed under.
    -- Tex-Det-- Over is 6-1-1 in LBarrett games this year.
    -- Bos-TB-- Six of nine Vanover games went over total.
    -- Cle-Balt-- Six of eight Drake games went over total.
    -- KC-LA-- Five of six Segal games went over the total.
    -- Hst-Sea-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Barber games; over is 6-1-1 in those eight games.

    -- Min-SF-- Five of last six Meals games went over the total.

    Diamond Trends - Saturday
    •DETROIT is 11-1 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus American League teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
    The average score was DETROIT 6.7, OPPONENT 3.2.

    •PHILADELPHIA is 12-1 OVER (+11.6 Units) versus good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.9.

    •ST LOUIS is 11-28 (-24.8 Units) against the run line in road games versus a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was ST LOUIS 3.1, OPPONENT 4.3.

    •COREY KLUBER is 14-2 (+13.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was KLUBER 6.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

    •WILY PERALTA is 21-6 UNDER (+13.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

    •STEPHEN STRASBURG is 0-9 (-10.5 Units) against the run line against National League Central opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was STRASBURG 2.8, OPPONENT 4.4.

    Situation Analysis of The Day
    •Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - poor National League offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA>=5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest.
    (47-18 since 1997.) (72.3%, +33.7 units. Rating = 4*)

    The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +110
    The average score in these games was: Team 5.6, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.8)

    The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1.2 units).
    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-1, +1 units).
    Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-7, +2.1 units).

    •Play On - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+165 to -135) (MINNESOTA) - below average American League hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), in May games.
    (47-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +31.4 units. Rating = 4*)

    The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-27 over the last 5 seasons.)
    The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -120
    The average score in these games was: Team 4.5, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +0.8)
    The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 33 (55% of all games.)

    The situation's record this season is: (6-2, +3.4 units).
    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-10, +16 units).
    Since 1997 the situation's record is: (81-44, +29.1 units).

    •Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 or less (TAMPA BAY) - very bad American League offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
    (38-11 since 1997.) (77.6%, +25.6 units. Rating = 3*)

    The average total posted in these games was: 6.8, Money Line=-112.7
    The average score in these games was: Team 2.6, Opponent 3.3 (Total runs scored = 5.9)
    The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 31 (63.3% of all games.)

    The situation's record this season is: (1-1, +0 units).
    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5, +19.4 units).
    Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-11, +24.6 units).
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
    Twitter@cpawsports


    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369682

      #32
      Brandon Lang

      150 DIME

      -MAX WAGER-

      NBA PLAYOFF

      GAME OF THE YEAR

      Miami Heat
      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
      Twitter@cpawsports


      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369682

        #33
        Gordon24

        $300 /MLB PLAY - CARDINALS -110
        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
        Twitter@cpawsports


        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369682

          #34
          Betsthatprofit

          2* Oakland/Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -125
          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
          Twitter@cpawsports


          Comment

          • golden contender
            Senior Member
            • Jun 2010
            • 2863

            #35
            GC: MLB Play

            Big Saturday card has a 6* NBA Play from A playoff system that has cashed an amazing 72 of 73 times. In MLB We have a 38-4 Masterpiece system in Day action a 20-0 Late MLB System and the NHL Game 3 Historical system play from the NHL Database. Free MLB Play below.


            On Saturday the free MLB Road warrior system play is on the Washington Nationals. Game 911 at 7:05 eastern. Washington has their ace in Stephen Strasburg on the mound and he has won both career starts here in Pittsburgh. Washington has won 6 of his last 8 road starts in May allowing 6 runs in 30 innings. He will face Pirates right G. Cole who has decent numbers but not as tight as Strasburg. The Nationals are 20-7 as a road favorite off a road loss. For the Power system we note that road favorites with a total of 8 or less that are off a 1 run road dog loss that scored 4 or less runs have won 20 of 20 the last 10+ seasons vs an opponent off a 1 run home favored win and scored 4 or less runs on 5+ hits with no errors. Look for Washington to bounce back and win this one. Don't miss the Saturday card with a 6* NBA Playoff system that has cashed 72 of 73 times and a 5* early 38-4 MLB Masterpiece system and a late 20-0 MLB System. In the NHL We have the Game 3 Historical system side from the NHL Playoff Database. Jump on now as Flatten your book all Memorial day weekend long. For the free MLB Play take Washington tonight. GC

            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369682

              #36
              Dave Essler

              Baltimore Orioles +1.5
              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
              Twitter@cpawsports


              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369682

                #37
                Doc mlb 5/24

                4* Yankees
                3* Tampa Bay
                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                Twitter@cpawsports


                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369682

                  #38
                  Philly Ross
                  1* Bluejuays/oak under 9

                  1* Oakland -109
                  Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                  Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                  Twitter@cpawsports


                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369682

                    #39
                    No Limit Sports

                    Rangers

                    Red Sox
                    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                    Twitter@cpawsports


                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369682

                      #40
                      Strike Point Sports

                      4* Under Blue Jays/A's
                      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                      Twitter@cpawsports


                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369682

                        #41
                        Allen Eastman

                        4* Yankees
                        3* Brewers
                        2* Under Royals
                        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                        Twitter@cpawsports


                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369682

                          #42
                          Vegas Sports Informer

                          3* Mariners
                          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                          Twitter@cpawsports


                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369682

                            #43
                            EZWINNERS

                            Added

                            3* Yankees -1.5 +140
                            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                            Twitter@cpawsports


                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369682

                              #44
                              top dog
                              under giants
                              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                              Twitter@cpawsports


                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369682

                                #45
                                Ecks and Bacon


                                "Mr Chalk" lost in MLB on Friday with the Marlins -$107/Brewers but did win his lean on the Pirates-$108/Nationals.

                                E&B are wagering across the pond and on the pitch for Saturday.

                                $25 on Real Madrid/Atletico Madrid 1st half and a draw after 90 minn.

                                Then $25 on Atletico Madrid/Real Madrid 1st half and draw after 90 minn.

                                Also wager $25 on draw in 1st half and Real Madrid/Atletico Madrid.

                                And $25 on the draw in the 1st half and Atletico Madrid/Real Madrid.

                                Finally $25 on a draw at the end of ths 1st half and 2nd half.

                                For Saturday in the NBA Playoffs E&B like the Heat -6.5/Pacers.

                                For Saturday in MLB in Interleague play "Mr Chalk" likes the Giants -$160/Twins.

                                Ben lee is 2-5 -$214 for week Thirty and 127-147-5 -$2775

                                "Mr Chalk" is 22-21 -$466 for the 2014 MLB season.

                                All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.
                                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                                Twitter@cpawsports


                                Comment

                                Working...