5-27-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PHILLY GODFATHER

Under 5 – rangers vs canadians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Tuesday, May 27

Road team won three of first four series games, with last two going to OT; Rangers are 6-3 on road in playoffs, allowing total of five goals while winning last four on foreign ice. Montreal is 8-5 in last 13 series games, but needs win here to keep series alive; they're 9-6 in the playoffs, 4-3 at home, losing three of last four home games. Rangers are 32-18 on road for season; under is 6-3-3 in their last twelve games- they had twice as many penalty minutes in Game 4, but also had a shorthanded goal. Over is 43-26-14 in playoffs, 4-2-2 this round.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, May 27

Early Tuesday forecasts are calling for scattered thunderstorms heading to the East Coast, stretching to the Midwest and putting the status of some ball games in jeopardy.

Five Major League Baseball matchups could be affected by the inclement weather. Those games (with current odds) are Miami at Washington (Nationals -114), Colorado at Philadelphia (Phillies -119), Pittsburgh at New York Mets (Mets -114), Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (White Sox -161) and Texas at Minnesota (Rangers -148).

New York versus Pittsburgh looks to be the most vulnerable since it's projected Citi Field will see thundershowers all day with a 60 percent chance of precipitation at gametime.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, May 27

Oklahoma City got big man Ibaka back in Game 3, Spurs shot 39.6% in a Thunder win; OC has now won 11 of last 15 games with San Antonio, is 8-0 in last eight series games played here. Thunder was +16 on boards in Game 3; Spurs are 28-67 from arc in series, +11 in turnovers. Eight of last eleven series games stayed under total. Thunder is 5-3 at home in playoffs. Spurs are 4-3 on road in playoffs. One guy makes a difference; Spurs shot 58%/50% in first two series games. Home team covered six of seven games in this round of playoffs so far.

Over is 46-33 in playoffs this season, 4-3 in this round..
Favorites are 30-49 in playoffs this season, 6-1 in this round.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 7 – Redsox vs Braves
100* Angels -135
50* Rangers -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo made a change of direction Monday when he rolled with the Rangers against the Twins to lower the accounts payable to a still obese 1,190 armases.

Tuesday: Mr. Aitch sure as shootin’ will go with Scherzer to shove him closer to the black against Gray and the A’s — 10 units. Also, he will play the Chisox to batter Masterson for the sale price of 10 units.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Detroit
White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Shuttlesworth

Oakland Athletics -112 Triple Star

Philadelphia Phillies -120 Triple Star

Washington Nationals -115 2 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Play

vip-picks

ABC - Oeste
Tip: ABC -0.5, 1
Odds: 1,90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Pirates -105

2* Red Sox -103

2* Tigers +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spurs look to rebound

San Antonio Spurs (72-25) at Oklahoma City Thunder (68-30)

Line and Total: Oklahoma City -3, Total: 207.5

After an important win in Game 3 of this series, the Thunder look to even the series at two games apiece when playing at home Tuesday night against the Spurs.

The return of PF Serge Ibaka to the Oklahoma City lineup certainly gave the team a big boost in a crucial 106-97 win as 2.5-point favorites on Sunday night. The defense was very impressive as San Antonio was held to just 39.6% FG in the game after it had shot 53.8% FG over the first two contests of this series. Ibaka’s presence was certainly felt, as he helped the Thunder out-rebound the Spurs 52-38 while also getting 10 blocks compared to just two by the Spurs. Both SF Kevin Durant and PG Russell Westbrook went 8-for-19 from the field for Oklahoma City while combining to score 51 points in the game. SG Manu Ginobili scored a team-high 23 points for San Antonio, as PF Tim Duncan and SF Kawhi Leonard were the only other players that reached double-digits.

Even with Sunday's loss, the Spurs are still 32-15 SU (26-21 ATS) when playing in road games while the Thunder are an impressive 39-10 SU (27-21-1 ATS) at home. Even after losing the first two games of this series, Oklahoma City is still 5-2 (SU and ATS) in this matchup this season and is 12-8 SU (13-6-1 ATS) in all meetings over the past three seasons, which includes a stellar 9-1 mark (SU and ATS) when hosting San Antonio.

But the Spurs don't usually lose twice in a row, going 20-4 SU (14-10 ATS) when following an SU loss this season, and they are also excellent with less than two days' rest, going 57-19 SU (43-33 ATS) in this scenario.

However, the Thunder are an outstanding 14-4 ATS versus very good teams (6+ PPG margin) this season and 17-5 ATS at home versus teams that force 14 or less turnovers per game in the second half over the past two seasons.

With Ibaka making his way back to the lineup, neither team has any significant injuries going into Game 4.

The Spurs have been impressive once again in these playoffs and are scoring 106.5 PPG on 49% FG (40% threes) so far in the postseason, which has improved to 110.3 PPG on 49% FG (42% threes) in the Western Conference Finals. Their defense has been stellar as well, allowing opponents to score just 98.2 PPG on 44% FG (34% threes), including 96.0 PPG on 44% FG (29% threes) this series.

PG Tony Parker (15.0 PPG, 7.0 APG in series) had just nine points (4-of-13 FG) in Sunday’s loss while having as many turnovers as assists (four). He did not get to the free-throw line in the contest and has attempted only five fould shots in his past four games combined.

PF Tim Duncan (19.0 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 1.0 BPG in series) had 16 points and eight rebounds in Game 3, and has made 11-of-12 free throws in this series so far. He has not been efficient from the floor over the past two games though, making only 12-of-29 (41%) from the field.

SG Manu Ginobili (17.3 PPG, 3.7 APG, 1.3 SPG in series) had his best game of this series on Sunday, scoring a team-high 23 points while draining 6-of-9 three-pointers and dishing out four assists. He has yet to miss a free-throw in this series (8-for-8) while making 17-of-29 shots (59%), including 10-of-15 (67%) from behind the arc.

SF Kawhi Leonard (10.0 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.0 SPG in series) had 10 points on 4-of-11 shooting on Sunday while adding a block and two steals. He now has averaged 2.6 SPG over his past five games and has at least two steals in four of those five contests.

Oklahoma City’s offense has been tremendous all season long, scoring 106.2 PPG (47% FG, 36% threes) during the regular season before dropping 107.2 PPG (48% FG, 34% threes) in the six-game series win over the Clippers. But the club has just 96.0 PPG (44% FG, 29% threes) for this series due to a weak 1.1 Ast/TO ratio (54 Ast, 48 TO) and a horrendous 8-for-42 clip (19%) from behind the arc in its past two contests.

SF Kevin Durant (22.7 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 3.3 APG in series) had a double-double (25 points, 10 rebounds) on Sunday and has made 37-of-39 free throws in his past five games. His efficiency has not been good over his past two games though, making just 14-of-35 FG (40%) and 1-of-8 threes in that time.

PG Russell Westbrook (22.0 PPG, 6.3 APG, 6.0 RPG, 1.7 SPG in series) had a great all-around performance on Sunday with 26 points, eight rebounds, seven assists, three steals and one block) in Game 3, but has struggled with turnovers all postseason, coughing up the ball 4.4 times per game. After shooting a solid 49% (35% threes) in the last series versus the Clippers, Westbrook is making only 38% FG (27% threes) over the first three games of this series.

PF Serge Ibaka (12.4 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 2.4 BPG in playoffs) gave his team a huge lift in Sunday’s win, scoring 15 points while adding seven rebounds and four blocks. He made 6-of-7 shots in Game 3 and is shooting 63% in the postseason.

PG Reggie Jackson (12.0 PPG, 3.7 APG, 3.0 RPG in playoffs) has shot well all series at 52% FG, and thrived in his starting role on Sunday with 15 points, five assists and four rebounds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
129-91 over the last 5 seasons. ( 58.6% | 28.9 units )
20-34 this year. ( 37.0% | -17.4 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (SAN ANTONIO) very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights
88-51 since 1997. ( 63.3% | 39.1 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 2.2 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play On - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) when trailing in a playoff series, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season
152-91 since 1997. ( 62.6% | 51.9 units )
7-6 this year. ( 53.8% | 0.4 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Rangers (45-31) at Canadiens (46-28)

Date: May 27, 2014 8:00 PM EDT

MONTREAL (AP) - When other parts of their game are sputtering, the New York Rangers have two key assets to fall back on - penalty killing and goaltending.

It's a combo that has put them within one victory of their first Stanley Cup final in 20 years. And it has frustrated the Montreal Canadiens, who must win Game 5 Tuesday at the Bell Centre to stave off elimination.

Against the Rangers, the Canadiens are 1 for 17 with the man advantage.

Montreal's lone power-play goal came Sunday night in a 3-2 overtime loss at Madison Square Garden. That P.K. Subban blast from the point, however, was tempered by a short-handed goal by Carl Hagelin that opened the scoring.

The Canadiens' power play went 1 for 8 on a night when the Rangers spent 14 1/2 minutes or almost 22 percent of the game a man short.

'Give credit to our killers and our goaltender,' Rangers coach Alain Vigneault said. 'They did a real good job.'

That is nothing new. Before Subban's goal, the Rangers had killed off 27 straight penalties. New York is 37 for 39 (95 percent) on the penalty kill in its past 12 games

'We had the opportunity on the power play but we didn't take advantage of it,' Montreal coach Michel Therrien. 'Yes, we scored a goal. It was a tying goal, but we gave up one, and that was the story of the game. I thought our power play had to be better.'

The Rangers' go-to forward pairing on the penalty kill is Hagelin and Brian Boyle. Hagelin uses his speed while Boyle's resume reads 'big body, blocks shots, good on faceoffs,' according to Vigneault.

Boyle can also pass a bit, finding Hagelin on a pass deep from the New York end. Hagelin broke in alone, faked a shot and tucked a backhand between the legs of Dustin Tokarski at 7:18 for his sixth goal of the playoffs. It was the Rangers' first short-handed goal in 70 playoff games, dating to 2008.

The New York penalty kill is smart and sleek. Goalie Henrik Lundqvist has worked hard on his puck handling and his defenders are positioned well.

'I think our guys do a good job whether it be on the forecheck coming back in the right positions and trying to create those battles where you've a chance to make a couple plays and get it out,' Vigneault said. 'When we don't, (our) goaltender stops the puck.'

In four games, Montreal has seven goals on 107 shots.

While Tokarski has won kudos for his play in stepping in for the injured Carey Price, Lundqvist's playoffs numbers are sparkling - a .931 save percentage and 1.98 goals-against average.

The Canadiens are going to need Tokarski to continue to play well if they want to extend their season.

'It's no secret: you start doing the right things, you start getting rewarded for it and momentum builds,' captain Brian Gionta said. 'You keep carrying that.

'A couple of teams have been able to do that this year, the Kings and the Rangers. So it's not something that can't be done and with the group we have in here, we believe we can do it. And we believe we've got better as the series goes on.'

Gionta and Tomas Plekanec were part of a Canadiens team that came back from a 3-1 deficit to upset the Washington Capitals en route to their previous trip to the conference final in 2010.

And they remain without Price, the Canadian gold medalist from the Sochi Olympics in February who suffered a possible right knee injury when New York's Chris Kreider crashed the net in the second period of the series opener.

Price skated for about 20 minutes without equipment before the team's optional practice, but Therrien said he will not be back in this series.

For Gionta, hope comes from a feeling that his team is getting better and still has time to turn things around, as they did when they fell behind 3-2 to the Bruins in the conference semifinal.

The Canadiens rebounded with their best game of the playoffs in Game 6 and closed it out in Boston two days later.

'We were able to wear (Boston's) defense down with our speed and forechecking,' he said. 'We need to get better at that and I think that's what we've gotten better at as (the New York series) went on.

'Try to take advantage of their defensemen down low, try to spend some time in the offensive zone, and start to make breakdowns and make things happen that way. Our backs are against the wall. It's win or go home. I would expect the same kind of effort as we had against Boston for sure.'

Beating Lundqvist three straight times will be tough. He has 41 career playoff wins, tying him with Mike Richter for the most in Rangers history. His counterpart, Tokarski has played all of 13 NHL games - 10 in the regular season and three in the playoffs.

Lundqvist picked up an assist on Derick Brassard's second-period goal, his first in 85 postseason games. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, he is the first Rangers goaltender to record a playoff assist since Richter on May 11, 1997.

The Rangers have allowed two goals or fewer in 13 of their 18 playoff games, including six of the past seven games.

One question for the Rangers will be whether Derek Stepan can return from his broken jaw in Game 3. Over the weekend, he dropped by the arena to see his teammates before returning home to recuperate from surgery.

Martin St. Louis is on a roll for the Rangers. His overtime winner Sunday extended his point streak to six games. He leads the Rangers with 13 points in these playoffs.

NOTE: The Rangers are 12-1 when they lead a playoff series 3-1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | HOUSTON at KANSAS CITY
Play Against - Home teams (KANSAS CITY) terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more
96-47 since 1997. ( 67.1% | 41.8 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 1.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | DETROIT at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 80-35 (+41.8 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.4)

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Play

Tuesday card has 5* NBA Triple system Playoff payoff side. In MLB We cashed another top play on Memorial day. Tonight we have a 5* MLB Game of the Month from a system that wins by nearly 4 runs per game and a solid 90% totals system. Free MLB Play below


On Tuesday the free MLB Play is on the LA. Dodgers. Game 960 at 10:10 eastern. The Dodgers have Z. Greinke going tonight and when Greinke starts and is a home favorite of -140 or higher his teams are 32-2 if he did not blow a 5 or more run lead in his last start. Greinke is 4-1 vs the Reds and 8-1 in his last 9 home starts in May. The Reds are 0-7 on the road off a 1 run road loss where they scored 4 or less runs and have lost 6 of the last 7 here in the series vs the Dodgers. This one of those games where they are hurt with the absence of Joey Votto as he hits .381 with 3 homers in 21 at bats vs Greinke. The Reds counter with A.Simon who has some solid numbers, but not as good as Greinke. The lines a tad high to unit rate but the Dodgers appear to be the right side here tonight. On Tuesday there are 3 Big Plays up led by the MLB Game of the Month from a huge system that wins by almost 4 runs per game. There is also a 90% MLB Totals system and a 5* Triple system NBA Play. Jump on and cash out. For the free play take the LA. Dodgers. GC