6-11-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo’s stay in negative three figures ended Monday night when the Rockies and Giants failed their modest tasks, resulting in the deficit jumping to 1,190 meusels.

Wednesday night: Mr. Aitch will use the Yankees in an attempt to ’naka a chunk off the debt — 10 units on Masahiro to muzzle the Mariners.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Reds -132
Rangers(NHL) -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Phillies -140

Braves -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Short Sheet

Wednesday, June 11

Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers, 8:05 ET
LA Kings: 8-1 SU in road games after a 4 game unbeaten streak
NY Rangers: 0-5 SU in home games revenging a loss where team got shut out

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, June 11

Trend Report

8:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
NY Rangers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

SEATTLE at INDIANA
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) after having won 3 of their last 4 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days 106-57 since 1997. ( 65.0% | 43.3 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

SEATTLE at INDIANA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) after one or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two poor defensive teams (72-76 PPG) 26-5 over the last 5 seasons. ( 83.9% | 0.0 units )

SEATTLE at INDIANA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 60.5 and 65.5 points after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days 67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve's Golf Picks

All 1*
Adam Scott
Webb Simpson
Bill Haas
Jordan Spieth
Dustin Johnson
Jimmy Walker

Head to Head
2*
Spieth -105 over Kuchar
Dustin Johnson +100 over Kuchar

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Braves(-143)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE FACTSMAN

WHIP IT OUT WEDNESDAY
St. Louis Cardinals ML-125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Giants -130
50* Royals -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

OK, before you all ask if we have lost our minds (you wouldn’t be the only ones!) in looking at the Tampa Bay Rays, at least hear us out. We are aware that the Rays have dropped 14 of their last 15 games and their offense has been completely anemic this season. We also understand that they are facing Cards stud Michael Wacha (4-4, 2.61) tonight in game two of the series. We also know that they have been shut out in three consecutive games! With all of that under consideration, we are going to recommend a play tonight on the home doggie trying to get the ship righted. The Rays will send out Erik Bedard (3-4, 3.61) who has actually been really effective for the Rays but simply hasn’t gotten the run support. The most important thing we are looking at in this game is the fact the Bedard is a lefty and the Cardinals have simply not demonstrated the ability to consistently hit left-handed pitching. The Cards are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague games against left-handed starters and they are 0-7 in Wacha’s last seven road starts. Regression to the mean and the desperate nature of this game for the Rays leads us towards the home team tonight. The Sharps say…
3 UNITS – TAMPA BAY RAYS (+115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 11TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#913 MINNESOTA @ #914 TORONTO - 12:35 PM
•Twins RH Phil Hughes (6-2, 3.46 ERA, WHIP: 1.115) - Hughes had his six-game winning streak snapped Friday, when he yielded five runs and six hits in six innings against Houston. The setback was his first since allowing four runs over five frames versus Toronto on April 15. Hughes owns a 5-7 record with one save and a 4.96 ERA in 28 career games (21 starts) against the Blue Jays.

--KEY STAT: HUGHES is 6-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line after a game where he did not walk a batter this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUGHES 4.0, OPPONENT 1.8.

--HUGHES is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUGHES 5.7, OPPONENT 5.0.

•Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (3-0, 5.40 ERA, WHIP: 1.530) - Stroman has recorded back-to-back quality starts since joining the rotation, allowing one run over six innings in each outing - both victories. The 23-year-old registered a career-high seven strikeouts against St. Louis on Friday after fanning six versus Kansas City in his debut outing. Each of his first two starts were at home, where he has posted a 5.51 ERA in five overall appearances.

#915 CLEVELAND @ #916 KANSAS CITY - 2:10 PM
•Indians RH Trevor Bauer (1-2, 4.08 ERA, WHIP: 1.291) - Bauer is winless in three starts since posting his first win of the season May 20 as he escaped with a no-decision at Texas on Friday after surrendering four runs in 6 1/3 innings. The 23-year-old allowed two runs in three of his first four outings this year but came away with a 1-2 record. Bauer, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two turns at home, never has faced the Royals.

•Royals RH Yordano Ventura (3-5, 3.41 ERA, WHIP: 1.279) - Ventura snapped a personal six-game winless streak during which he went 0-4 when he limited St. Louis to two runs over six innings Thursday after missing a start due to discomfort in his right elbow. The triumph was the 23-year-old Dominican's first since working eight scoreless frames at Baltimore on April 25 and first in seven home outings this season. Ventura settled for a no-decision is his only meeting with Cleveland last season despite allowing just one run in 5 2/3 innings.

#917 BOSTON @ #918 BALTIMORE - 7:05 PM
•Red Sox RH Rubby De La Rosa (1-1, 2.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.184) - De La Rosa is making his third start after not looking quite so sharp in his second turn. The Dominican struck out eight in seven scoreless innings in his first outing but was reached for four runs in 5 2/3 frames of a loss at Detroit on Friday. De La Rosa has recorded 13 strikeouts against two walks in 12 2/3 total innings.

•Orioles LH Wei-Yin Chen (6-2, 4.13 ERA, WHIP: 1.321) - Chen is riding a hot streak with a total of three runs allowed in 11 2/3 innings over his last two starts. The Taiwan native has not suffered a loss since May 3 and has issued a total of 11 walks in 69 2/3 frames. Chen faced Boston twice already this season, going 1-1 while yielding a total of seven runs and 16 hits in 10 2/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: CHEN is 7-0 (+7.8 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHEN 6.6, OPPONENT 3.1.

--CHEN is 11-2 against the run line (+10.5 Units) after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHEN 5.2, OPPONENT 3.2.

--CHEN is 28-13 UNDER (+13.7 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHEN 4.3, OPPONENT 3.5.

#919 DETROIT @ #920 CHI WHITE SOX - 8:10 PM
•Tigers RH Justin Verlander (6-5, 4.19 ERA, WHIP: 1.465) - Verlander’s up-and-down campaign continued against Toronto on Thursday, when he was knocked around for six runs – five earned – on eight hits in seven innings. The former American League MVP has allowed at least five earned runs in four of his last five outings. Verlander put up back-to-back quality starts against Chicago in April, going 1-0 while yielding a total of five runs in 14 frames.

--KEY STAT: VERLANDER is 9-20 (-24.8 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 4.1, OPPONENT 4.9.

--VERLANDER is 9-19 (-23.7 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 3.8, OPPONENT 4.0.

--VERLANDER is 15-24 (-26.7 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 4.4, OPPONENT 4.6.

•White Sox LH John Danks (4-5, 4.32, WHIP: 1.333) - Danks is on a roll with a total of three runs allowed in 22 1/3 innings over his last three starts. The 29-year-old Texan held the Los Angeles Dodgers to one run and two hits while striking out five Wednesday. Danks beat Detroit by yielding one run over 6 1/3 frames on April 21 but is just 5-10 with a 5.18 ERA in 20 career starts against the division rivals.

--KEY STAT: DANKS is 34-17 UNDER (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.4, OPPONENT 4.4.

--DANKS is 40-20 UNDER (+17.7 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.4, OPPONENT 4.0.

#921 OAKLAND @ #922 LA ANGELS - 10:05 PM
•Athletics LH Tommy Milone (3-3, 3.68 ERA, WHIP: 1.257) - Milone is unbeaten in his last six starts after allowing three runs over six innings in a no-decision at Baltimore on Friday. The 27-year-old is 3-0 in that span, yielding fewer than four runs in each outing while working at least six frames on five occasions. Milone is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA in six road starts this season but owns a 5-2 record in nine career turns against the Angels.

--KEY STAT: MILONE is 31-15 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILONE 4.8, OPPONENT 3.6.

•Angels RH Jered Weaver (7-4, 3.31 ERA, WHIP: 1.150) - Weaver has won three of his last four starts and seven of 10, including a triumph over the Chicago White Sox on Friday in which he gave up two runs and struck out a season-high nine in six innings. The 32-year-old has yielded fewer than three runs in eight of his last 10 outings after surrendering at least four runs in each of his first three turns this season. Weaver fell to 11-8 in 27 career starts against the Athletics after giving up six runs - five earned - and 11 hits over six frames on June 1 at Oakland.

--KEY STAT: WEAVER is 32-8 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.3, OPPONENT 2.5.

--WEAVER is 26-7 UNDER (+18.3 Units) in home games versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.7, OPPONENT 2.6.

--WEAVER is 31-11 UNDER (+18.5 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 3.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

--WEAVER is 27-9 UNDER (+16.5 Units) in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.3, OPPONENT 2.5.

#923 NY YANKEES @ #924 SEATTLE - 10:10 PM
•Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (9-1, 2.02 ERA, WHIP: 0.957) - Tanaka continues to produce for a rotation that's been in flux with injuries to CC Sabathia, Ivan Nova and Michael Pineda. The 25-year-old allowed one solo homer over six innings in a 2-1 victory over Oakland on Thursday. Tanaka has gone at least six innings in each of his 12 starts while failing to yield more than three earned runs in any game.

•Mariners RH Chris Young (5-3, 3.42 ERA, WHIP: 1.215) - Young allowed three runs in five innings and matched a season high by issuing five waks in a 4-0 loss to Tampa Bay on Friday. The 36-year-old owns a stellar 6-0 mark with a 2.84 ERA in nine career starts at Safeco Field. Young improved to 2-0 in his career versus the Yankees after permitting two runs on three hits in 5 2/3 innings in a 6-3 win on April 29.

--KEY STAT: YOUNG is 27-11 UNDER (+14.9 Units) in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was YOUNG 3.4, OPPONENT 3.9.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Behind The Bets
Indians
Twins
WNBA Indiana -5
Rangers/ Kings Over 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Marlins big 'dogs in record-breaking game

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Wednesday's major league games:

Dogs Dominate

It was a banner day for underdogs Tuesday, as they went a stunning 11-3 against the moneyline. The only favorites to prevail: Atlanta (-118), which beat Colorado 13-10; Arizona (-133), which prevailed 4-1 over Houston; and St. Louis (-132), which fended off punchless Tampa Bay 1-0.

Miami Mangles AL

The Miami Marlins (+152) continued their stunning interleague run Tuesday, defeating the Texas Rangers 8-5 to run their winning streak over American League teams to 13. That equals the longest such streak in league history; the Marlins (+188, 8.5) will look to break the mark Wednesday in Arlington.

Tyler Time

Tyler Matzek makes his major-league debut Wednesday as he takes the mound for the Rockies (+131, 10) against visiting Atlanta. He'll be facing Braves righty Julio Teheran, who is on a four-start winning streak and has been one of the league's top Under pitchers at 3-10 O/U.

Pitching Notes

* New York Yankees ace Masahiro Tanaka looks to build upon his already impressive units won tally as he leads his club into Seattle (+155, 6.5). Tanaka is off to a 9-1 start and has yielded $676 in value to date, good for ninth in the majors.

* Philadelphia lefty Cole Hamels looks for his first Under of the season as the Phillies (-132, 7) welcome the San Diego Padres to Citizens Bank Park. Hamels is 6-0-3 O/U for the year despite allowing one run or fewer in four of those nine starts.

Hitting Notes

* Braves catcher Evan Gattis is on an 11-game hitting streak, batting .395 with five home runs and 13 RBIs in that span. The Braves are 6-5 S/U and 2-9 O/U over that stretch as they resume their series at Coors Field.

* The Tampa Bay Rays have been held scoreless for a franchise-record 28 consecutive innings, a stretch that includes three straight shutouts. The Rays rank 27th in runs scored and 23rd in OPS as they finish their series with St. Louis (-128, 7).

Totals Streak

San Diego Padres (2-8 O/U): The league's strongest Under unit is back to its old self following a brief dalliance with the Over. The offense is the culprit yet again, scoring two runs or fewer in five of the last eight games.

Prop of the Day

It may be worth taking a chance on Arizona -2.5 at Houston; that wager stands at +310. The Diamondbacks are tied for top spot in the majors with a .304 team batting average in June and ranks 11th in the league with a .265 average against lefties.

Injury Notes

* Atlanta outfielder Justin Upton left Tuesday's game with a strained left hamstring and is considered day-to-day. Upton leads the Braves with 14 home runs; the Braves are 10-3 S/U and 9-4 O/U when he goes deep; they're just 24-26 SU and 14-33-3 O/U when he doesn't.

* Washington catcher Wilson Ramos was forced out of Tuesday's win over San Francisco with a strained hamstring. The Nationals are 17-15 SU and 17-13-2 O/U in the 32 games Ramos has missed this season.

Weather Watch

Wind is expected to blow in from center field at 6 mph for Wednesday's game at PNC Park between host Pittsburgh (-117, 7.5) and the Chicago Cubs. Teams combined to hit just three home runs in five games under similar conditions a season ago.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 8-2-2 in umpire Paul Emmel's last 12 games behind home plate involving the Braves. Emmel will call the balls and strikes for Wednesday's Atlanta-Colorado tilt.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:05 a.m. ET Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball's worst money pitcher on the hill Wednesday
Andrew Caley

Arizona's Brandon McCarthy takes the hill Wednesday and that has spelled trouble for Diamondbacks bettors.

McCarthy is baseball's worst money pitcher, netting a whopping -$1,024 units so far this season and the team is 2-11 in games he starts. Today he faces the Houston Astros as a +111 underdog.

To make matters worse he is facing Astros' starter Dallas Keuchel, who is third ranked money pitcher at $783 units.