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Larry Ness' 10* Pitch-Perfect Play (100% multi-year situation!)
My 10* Pitch-Perfect Play is on the Pit Pirates at 7:05 ET.
It was a magical season for the Pirates in 2013, ending just over two decades of losing seasons by going 94-68 (note: Pittsburgh owned MLB's 2nd-best moneyline mark at +$2,342) and earning the team's first playoff berth (and winning season) since 1992. Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati in the wild card game and then took St Louis to six games in the NLDS. The Pirates have struggled for most of 2014 and through games played on May 20, were just 18-26. However, Pittsburgh does seem to be playing better, going 13-8 since, to reach 31-34. That leaves them just 3 1/2 games out of the No. 1 wild card spot and three games back of the No. 2 spot, with a “whole lot of season” still remaining!
Arguably, no one has been swinging a hotter bat than reigning NL MVP Andrew McCutchen. He is batting .421 with six HRs, seven doubles and 12 RBI in 10 games this month. He went deep for the third time in as many days Wednesday, finishing 2 for 2 with two RBI, two walks and his eighth stolen base in a 4-2 victory. "I'm just seeing the ball, hitting the ball," he said. "I'm in a spurt where I'm feeling really good right now." McCutchen has gone 11 for 22 with eight extra-base hits and nine RBI during a six-game hitting streak at home, where his .438 average since April 21 leads active players. "He's hot," manager Clint Hurdle said. "When he gets his pitch, he's not missing."
The Cubs and Pirates wrap up a four-game series in Pittsburgh tonight, with Pittsburgh looking to take the series (3-1) with a win. The Cubs own MLB’s worst road record at 11-23 (minus-$823) and the NL’s worst overall record at 26-37 (Tampa Bay owns MLB’s worst mark, at 25-42). Jeff Samardzija is coming off his second win in three outings, after a frustrating start to the year. The right-hander allowed two runs and five hits over seven innings to beat Miami 5-2 on Saturday, striking out eight. "The best thing as a starting pitcher you can have is consistency -- that every time you go out there your coach and your teammates know what you're going to give them," he said. "That's what I want to do."
Despite terrific numbers (85 IP / 72 hits / 75-24 KW ratio / 1.13 WHIP / 2.54 ERA / .229 opponents BA), Samardzija is just 2-5 over 13 starts, with the Cubs going a woeful 3-10 in those starts (minus-$735 vs the moneyline). His road ERA of 3.79 is more than TWO runs higher than his home mark of 1.64 and going back into last season, the Cubs are 6-19 over his last 25 starts, a 76% “go-against.” Expecting “good things” to happen when Samardzija takes the mound has been “Fool’s Gold!” Samardzija has a 3.09 ERA over his last five starts vs the Pirates, yet is 0-3 (team is 0-5!), having received a combined TWO runs of support. He scattered five hits over seven scoreless innings in a 1-0, 10-inning defeat at Pittsburgh on opening day. So what else is new?
The above are all reasons to ‘jump on’ Pittsburgh in this one but the ‘clincher’ comes in that Edinson Volquez is 5-0 with a 3.60 ERA in nine games (eight starts) against the Cubs after pitching two scoreless innings in relief against them on April 3. His teams are a PERFECT 8-0 in those starts. Book it!
I’ve waited all day long to see if we could grab SAS+6 but ultimately we didn't have any success…actually, every time the line went MIA-5.5, it moved back pretty quickly.
I understand that the Heat has a great record after losing one game in the playoffs in the Big 3 era, but the Spurs had 7 straight home games winning by +15 points and lost at home in G2, or the Heat was 8-0 at home in the playoffs but lost game 3 at home…
Miami might win tonight’s game but this spread of 5 points is just too much against this Spurs team.
Even though the Spurs crushed the Heat in the last game, it wasn’t the typical game in which MIA packed in and saved some energy for tonight…NO! The Heat gave everything in the second half! LeBron James played 40 minutes! MIA actually made a nice run in the 3rd quarter but they literally ran out of gas in the 4th quarter – a bad sign for tonight!
SAS’s role players will be the MVP of this series! Unlike MIA that has several players playing subpar basketball: Chalmers, Cole and Ray Allen, the Spurs’ role players are stepping up right now. It is weird to watch the Spurs’ killing the Heat w/ “merely OK” games from Duncan, Parker and Ginobili.
MIA needs LeBron to play like a superhuman and indeed he was a beast in G2 but the Heat barely defeated the Spurs in the game! I expect a somehow similar scenario for tonight…I have no doubt that MIA will bounce back in terms of energy and focus, but the Spurs will be ready for the challenge and they don’t deserve to be such “underdogs” in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707 San Antonio Spurs (+5.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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