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Dr. Bob Sunday NBA Miami at SAN ANTONIO (-6) San Antonio is showing that they're a better team than the Heat but after a second straight dominating performance in Miami the Spurs are in a very negative situation. Not only does Miami apply to a 54-13 ATS playoff bounce-back situation but the Spurs apply to a 5-40-2 ATS game 5 situation. The only game the Heat have covered was game 2 in San Antonio when that same 54-13 ATS situation applied and the Spurs are 1-4 ATS when they apply to that 5-40-2 ATS game 5 angle. I've passed on the two games when the situation favored Miami and even leaned with the Spurs in game 4 despite the negative situation. My ratings favor San Antonio by 8 1/2 points.
King Creole: 907 CIN / 908 MIL UNDER 8 Analysis: #908 / 2:10pm ET - 11:10am PT Cincinnati Reds w/ Leak @ Milwaukee Brewers w/ Estrada Play on: UNDER the TOTAL *This is an ACTION play.... meaning it is a play regardless of the scheduled starting pitchers.
Umpire: Getting the call behind the dish is my personal favorite 'UNDER' Umpire. DOUG EDDINGS comes into today's game tied for the BEST 'Under' Ump this sea‚son... with an overall record of 2-10 O/U. Average runs-per-game when Eddings is the Man in Blue is just 6.0. He has a GREAT strikeout-to-walk ratio (#1 in the league) of 15.7 K's to only 4.2 walks. That's 3.78 'punchouts' for every 'free pass'. And in National League games, his number are even better... at a PERFECT 0-7-1 O/U and only 4.5 runs-per-game. In addition, Eddings had gone 14-32-2 O/U in his career SUNDAY games.... 0-3-1 O/U in his last 4 Milwaukee Brewer games... and 5-19-2 O/U in his last 26 Cincinnati Reds games.
Analysis: #910 / 2:15pm ET - 11:15am PT Washington Nationals w/ Fister @ St Louis Cardinals w/ Garcia Play on: UNDER the TOTAL *This is an ACTION play.... meaning it is a play regardless of the scheduled starting pitchers.
Umpire: The Man in Blue for the Cards / Nationals game is the guy who‚ is tied with Eddings for the best 'UNDER' Umpire in all of Baseball. That would be ALAN PORTER... who also comes in with a YTD record of 2-10 O/U. Average runs-per-game when Porter has been behind the dish is just 6. After starting out the 2014 season by going OVER in his first two games, Porter has actually gone UNDER in EACH of his last TEN games in a row (0-10 O/U). Dating back to last season, Porter has gone 8-20-2 O/U. In this Washington / St Louis series... the UNDER has gone 9-1-2 in the last 11 meetings... and 0-4-1 O/U playing IN St Louis.
Analysis: #914 / 4:10pm ET - 1:10pm PT Arizona Diamondbacks w/ Arroyo @ Los Angeles Dodgers w/ Beckett Play on: UNDER the TOTAL *This is an ACTION play.... meaning it is a play regardless of the scheduled starti‚ng pitchers.
Umpire: Finishing up our trio of low-scoring Umpires is BOB DAVIDSON. This Man in Blue will be behind the dish in La-La Land for the game between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks. Davidson comes in with a YTD record of 3-9 O/U... and an average of only 6.1 combined RPG. He's in a tie as the fifth BEST 'Under' Umpire this season. Just like Eddings, he's one of only three Umps who has a K/BB ratio of more than 3 to 1 on the season (17.8 K's per game / only 5.6 walks per game). He's gone a perfect 0-4-1 O/U in his National League games, with an average of only 3.8 RPG. He's gone 0-4 O/U on Sundays... and 0-5 O/U in his last 5 Arz D'Back games.
ROB VINCILETTI The MLB Dog with Bite is on the Washington Nationals. Game 909 at 2:15 eastern. The Nationals are in asolid live dog system here today that plays on road dogs off a road favored loss that scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits, vs an opponent off ahome dog win if both played error free ball. These road dogs are winning at an 80% clip. The Nationals have won 6 of 9 on the road vs leftys and are hitting .290 against them. Today they will see lefty J. Garcia for St. Louis and he has lost his last 3 home starts allowing 13 earned runs in 19 innings and he has a 6.16 home era. The Cardinals are scoring just 2.6 runs on .216 hitting the past week. D. Fister goes for Washington and he has won his last 3 road starts allowing just 2 runs in 17 innings. Look for Washington to take the finale.
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