If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Play Houston +140 over Detroit----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll) 8:00 PM EST
Justin Verlander has lost 19 of the last 34 games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has lost 34 of the last 58 road games after having won five or six of the last seven games. Justin Verlander has lost 28 of the last 49 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he is 0-2 over the last three starts with an ERA of 7.23.
Play Arizona +130 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll) 10:15 PM EST
Tyson Ross has lost 25 of the last 36 night games and he has lost 6 of the last 7 games when pitching in the month of June. Tyson Ross has lost 5 of the last 7 games when pitching on a Friday and he has lost 13 of the last 19 games when pitching with five or six days of rest.
10* Play Cleveland +110 over Seattle (MLB TOP PLAY) Seattle is 37-58 when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs Seattle is 25-38 when playing on a Friday the last three seasons Seattle is 56-80 after having won two of the last three games
10* Play Cincinnati +110 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY) Cincinnati is 54-39 vs. NL West Division Opponents the last three seasons Cincinnati is 55-45 when the total posted is 7 runs or less Cincinnati is 67-56 vs. left-handed starting pitchers the last three seasons
=============================================
5* Play Houston +140 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY) 5* Play Arizona +130 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Oakland has won 86 of the last 127 games when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have won 45 of the last 65 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.Oakland has won 69 of the last 122 road games and they have won 48 of the last 77 games when playing in the 1st half of the season.
Kevin's Pick(s):
Another winner Thursday afternoon cashing on the Angels run line, although Minnesota gave us a scare in the 9th. An early play for me Friday in an afternoon game - the first of a day night double header. 2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles - ORIOLES TO WIN (-151) *Game 1*
Listed Pitchers: Colome vs Gausman
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.32 units)
No write ups for me while I'm in Vegas
Kyle's Pick(s) 2 UNIT = Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Cueto vs Bumgarner
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.67 units)
If I have to see another double play ball I'm going to vomit.
Actually, tonight I will be pleased to see plenty of double plays, unlike last night. Two of the better pitchers you're going to find in baseball will face off tonight in San Francisco. One stat that really jumped out at me when handicapping this game is how both teams have faired against right-handed and left-handed pitching recently. In their last five games the Reds are hitting only .125 against lefties. Bumgarner is one of the best in the business outside of Clayton Kershaw. Conversely, the Giants have hit only .204 against righties their last five games. That is a combined batting average of only .164. Cueto has been in the mix for a Cy Young, and with an ERA of only 1.86 I think he is a worthy candidate for that. He's been red-hot lately, and been hot all season long for that matter. His last three starts has yielded an ERA of 1.35 with a 1.10 WHIP and .284 OBP. The 1.10 WHIP and .284 OBP are actually a slow period for him, as his overall is 0.84 and .232. Cueto hasn't played the Giants since 2011. In that start he didn't give up a single run and allowed only 3 hits. Bumgarner faced the Reds recently on the 5th, there he was fantastic giving up just 1 run on 3 hits. He's been hot as well lately, entering Friday night with an ERA of only 2.45 and 1.05 WHIP. Look for it to be a pitching duel, so the UNDER 6.5 looks enticing to me here.
LAS VEGAS -- The historic Yankees-Red Sox rivalry is so heated that it will always have fans of each team feuding like the Hatfields and McCoys regardless of the standings. Tonight's matchup at Yankee Stadium will really test that theory as fourth-place Boston sits eight games out in AL East, while the third-place Yankees are three games out.
Things have changed in the AL East with Toronto and Baltimore in first and second, respectively, ahead of the perennial division bullies. The Yankees and Red Sox have combined to win eight World Series in the past 19 seasons, with New York making the playoffs 17 times and Boston 10 times in that span.
Both have been two of baseball’s elite teams the past two decades, and each time they hook up it’s a battle. But in the first of this three-game set, we get Boston's Brandon Workman against New York's Vidal Nuno. Neither starting pitcher inspires much confidence.
Nuno (1-4, 5.88 ERA) has been awful at Yankee Stadium this season and that may be putting it mildly. No starting pitcher has a worse home ERA than Nuno’s 7.09 mark. He’s gone 0-3 in seven starts and in his last two starts -- one at home and one on the road -- he’s achieved new levels of awful. In 9.1 innings against Baltimore and Oakland, he gave up 13 runs (12 earned) and served up five homers. The silver lining, if there is one, is that he only gave up 14 hits and three walks.
On the other side we have Workman (1-0, 2.88), who is making his first appearance since June 15 after serving a six-game suspension for throwing at Tampa Bay’s Evan Longoria. He’s actually been serviceable in his five starts since joining the rotation on May 25. The Red Sox have only won two of those starts, but he hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of them. His best performance came on June 10 when he went 6.2 innings, allowing no runs and one hit at Baltimore in a 1-0 win, his only victory of the season.
Boston won, 5-4, on Wednesday at Seattle to improve to 2-5 on its current 10-game road trip. Meanwhile, the Yankees ended a four-game slide -- after winning four straight -- with a 5-3 win on Wednesday at Toronto. Neither of tonight’s starters have been a part of this long rivalry, and the Yankees have taken five of the first seven games against Boston this season.
Despite the Yankees losing four of Nuno’s past five starts and seven of his last 10, he still comes in as a -108 favorite because of Boston’s recent struggles. The total is set at 9, which may be the best angle to look at tonight. Even though only three of their hook-ups this season have gone OVER, Nuno wasn't involved in any of them. Take the OVER tonight.
4 Unit Minnesota (Correia) +115 over Texas (Tepesch)
3 Unit Boston (Workman) -115 over N.Y. Yankees (Nuno)
3 Unit Cincinnati (Cueto)/San Francisco (Bumgarner) UNDER 6.5
Comment