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The Tampa Bay Rays have finally woke up and are playing good baseball, coming off an 11-game road trip where they posted a 9-2 mark. Tonight they send Jake Odorizzi (4-7, 4.18) to the mound as they face off with James Shields (8-4, 3.93) and the Kansas City Royals. The Royals have also been playing good baseball until this weekend, when they lost two of three games at Cleveland. Shields already beat the Rays in an earlier outing this season, but has struggled over his last three outings, where he is winless. Consider that the Royals are 10-2 in Shields’ last 12 starts vs. teams with a losing record and 20-6 in his last 26 road starts. The Rays are 5-11 in Odorizzi’s last 16 starts. We like Shields to bounce back with a solid performance and the Royals have been solid on the road this season, so we’re going to back them here tonight in Tampa. The Sharps say…
3 UNITS – KANSAS CITY ROYALS (+100)
Vegas SI
MONDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)
20* MLB Phillies +100 and 10* MLB UNDER 7.5
20* MLB Reds -180 and 10* MLB OVER 8
20* MLB Nationals -1.5 and 10* MLB OVER 7.5
20* MLB Padres -110 and 10* MLB UNDER 10.5
20* MLB Angels -180 and 10* MLB OVER 8.5
San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics (-142, 8)
The annual Bay Bridge Series could have two installments this year. The San Francisco Giants and host Oakland Athletics begin their usual four-game clash Monday, with both teams harboring realistic hopes of a trip to the World Series. The Athletics own the best record in baseball after finishing a four-game sweep of Toronto on Sunday and are 28-15 at home.
Oakland looks to continue its dominant pitching after allowing a total of four runs in four games against the Blue Jays, including a 1-0 win in 12 innings on Friday. San Francisco hopes its recent slide – the Giants lost 18 of 23 to slip out of first place in the National League West – has subsided after winning its final two games in San Diego over the weekend. The Giants will try to score some runs for Ryan Vogelsong as they’ve been shut out in two games he has started and scored three or fewer runs in 10 of his 17 outings.
TV: 10:05 p.m. ET, NBC Bay Area (San Francisco), CSN California (Oakland)
LINE HISTORY: Books opened the A’s as -154 home faves with a total of 8.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Giants (-185), A’s (-203)
INJURY REPORT: Giants – 3B Pablo Sandoval (Elbow/Questionable), SS Ehire Adrianza (Hamstring/DL) Athletics – 1B Brandon Moss (Ankle/Questionable)
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “The Bay Bridge series resumes tonight with the Giants visiting the A’s in Oakland. San Francisco has surrendered their NL West lead to the red-hot Dodgers by going 4-10 in their L14 with three of the wins courtesy of Tim Lincecum. The other Giant starters have been mediocre at best except for Ryan Vogelsong who toes the bump tonight. The Giant righty is off a pair of hard luck losses, 3-1 to Cincinnati and 2-0 to St Louis and Wainwright. In those games he gave up just three earned in 13 1/3 innings work with a nice 1/15 BB/K ratio. Vogelsong has pitched well against the A’s in limited opportunities. He’s 1-0 in three starts and working on 13 straight scoreless against the A’s albeit the last time he faced them was 2012. Jesse Chavez has been nothing special of late (0-1, 4.96) and is the weak link on the A’s staff at thus point after the acquisition of Samardzija and Hammel from the Cubs. Based on current form, Vogelsong might be worth a real look at a pretty substantial underdog price.” Nick Parsons
WHAT BOOKS SAY: “The battle of the Bay. The Oakland A’s are the best team in baseball at this point in the season, possessing one of the best pitching staffs in the league, ranking second in all but one pitching stats category. Today they go up against their cross bay rivals the San Francisco Giants who are battling for first place in the NL West. Right now we are seeing a 50-50 split on the action on the money line and 86 percent of the action on the A’s covering the 1.5-run line and 77 percent on the over 8 run total.” Michael Stewart, Carbon Sports.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (5-5, 3.86 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Jesse Chavez (6-5, 3.23)
Vogelsong has been the picture of tough luck lately, losing his last two times out despite posting quality starts and impressive outings. The 36-year-old held St. Louis to two runs over seven innings on Wednesday but was on the wrong end of a 2-0 decision. Vogelsong is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA in three starts against the Athletics, most recently facing them in 2012.
Chavez’s time in the starting rotation could be coming to a close thanks to the acquisition of Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel, as well as the 30-year-old’s declining performance of late. He has allowed nine runs in 10 innings over his last two starts, including a loss at Detroit on Wednesday. Chavez is 0-0 with a 7.36 ERA in four relief appearances against the Giants, whom he last faced in 2010.
TRENDS:
*Giants are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Oakland.
*Athletics are 21-6 in their last 27 home games.
*Over is 10-3 in Chavezs last 13 starts overall.
*Under is 16-6-1 in the last 23 meetings in Oakland.
Play Kansas City +115 over Tama Bay----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
7:00 PM EST
James Shields has won 24 of the last 35 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has won 19 of the last 27 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. James Shields has won 8 of the last 11 games vs. AL East Division Opponents and he has won 31 of the last 45 road games.
Play Houston +110 over Texas----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll) 8:00 PM EST
Texas has lost 19 of the last 24 home games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and they have lost 33 of the last 54 games when playing in the month of July. Texas has lost 38 of the last 62 night games and they have lost 38 of the last 59 games after having lost five or six of the last seven games.
Kevin's Pick(s):
Another winner in that Blue Jays and Athletics series yesterday taking the UNDER for a second straight night and cashing it with a 4-2 final score. I've got a 5 unit play going tonight... 5 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels - ANGELS -1.5 (+120)
Listed Pitchers: Happ vs Weaver
(Note: I'm risking 5.00 units to win 6.00 units)
The Blue Jays were swept in Oakland in a four game series, scoring just 4 runs over the 4 games. They've lost 7 of their last 9 games overall and I expect the struggles to continue given their current injuries and struggles some of their hitters are going through. Tonight they face Angels Ace Jered Weaver who has a career 3.48 ERA, .224 OBA and 1.08 WHIP and 9-2 record vs the Blue Jays. He went 6.1 innings giving up just 1 earned run vs Toronto earlier this season. Weaver is 9-6 on the season with a 3.56 ERA, and he is 5-3 with a 2.75 ERA, .208 OBA and 1.06 WHIP at home. J.A. Happ will be on the mound for the Jays and he is 4-1 on the road despite a poor 5.14 ERA, .296 OBA and 1.68 WHIP. Those numbers won't hold up against the Angels who are red hot right now leading the Majors in July with a team .899 OPS and .389 OBP (in comparison the Jays are .643 and .276 in July). Happ lasted just 4.1 innings earlier this season in a loss vs Los Angeles. Take note that the Blue Jays are 0-7 in their last 7 as an underdog and 0-6 in their last 6 road games. The Angels are 20-8 in their last 28 games overall, 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs a left handed starter, 59-29 in Weaver's last 88 starts overall and 39-13 in his last 52 home starts. Also take note that the Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 vs Toronto and 7-1 in Weaver's last 8 starts vs the Jays. I'll take the red hot Angels by a pair or more tonight vs the struggling Blue Jays for 5 units at +120.
Kyle's Pick(s) 2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals - CARDINALS -1.5 (+129)
Listed Pitchers: Morton vs. Wainwright
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.58 units)
Nothing jumped out to me yesterday so decided to take a pass. Some days a no play is the best play on the board. However, we cashed in on a crazy game on Saturday where the Mariners won it 3-2 in the 14th. Let's keep the winning streak going into this week.
If there is one pitchers name that can be mentioned in the same breath as Clayton Kershaw and Felix Hernandez at the moment is Adam Wainwright. He has been leaving hitters lost at the plate improving his ERA to 1.89. That number could be even better if he didn't get hit hard on two occasions, the only time this season he's been solved, 6 runs against the Giants and 7 allowed against the Giants. Since the 7 runs given up against the Giants, Wainwright has surrendered just 4 runs in five games. Note that his ERA in his past three starts is a minuscule 0.74. Combined with a 0.76 WHIP and .218 OBP for good measure. Pretty well a reflection of his overall WHIP and OBP of 0.90 and .239. Pirates' hurler, Charlie Morton, will try and do his best to keep up with Wainwright, which isn't an easy task for any pitcher. Morton hasn't been all that bad in 2014 with a 3.30 ERA, but he leaves a lot to be desired when on the road. His ERA rises to 4.37 and only has a 2-6 record. Furthermore, his 1.28 WHIP and .322 OBP could be better. This is an important series for both teams in the NL Central. The Pirates are coming off a long home stand after ten straight at home in Pittsburgh. The Buccos are just 18-21 away, whereas, the Cardinals are 24-19 at home. Pittsburgh has had problems playing in St. Louis, 2-8 in their last ten trips there. Also, it's been a house of horrors for Morton who is 0-9 pitching in St. Louis. All things considered, -1.5 at +129 behind Wainwright looks like like a pretty solid bet for Monday night.
1000* Play Seattle -180 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)
Minnesota has lost 55 of the last 88 games vs. AL West Division Opponents and they have lost 46 of the last 68 games when playing as an underdog of +175 to +250.Minnesota has lost 34 of the last 57 games when playing in the month of July and they have lost 7 of the last 8 games when playing on a Monday.
10* Play Kansas City +115 over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY) Tampa Bay is 35-44 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs Tampa Bay is 23-33 in night games this season Tampa Bay is 5-10 after having won four or five of the last six games
10* Play Miami +110 over Arizona (MLB TOP PLAY) Arizona is 15-28 in home games this season Arizona is 22-40 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs Arizona is 10-17 when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher
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5* Play Houston +110 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY) 5* Play Colorado +100 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)
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