7-7-14

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 7/7

MLB Baseball
Tampa Bay Rays -122 over the Kansas City Royals

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Capfox

MLB:
San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies -104 Open

Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners
- Minnesota Twins +170 Open

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PAUL LEINER

100* Braves -125
50* Rangers -125

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BOB BALFE

BOSTON RED SOX/CHICAGO WHITE SOX – OVER 10
(Buchholz/Carroll)

I don’t know how these pitchers still are in the rotation for these two teams. Both of these guys have been rocked this year. With the wind blowing out gusting to center field tonight what are the chances of both of them throwing a gem? Look for a lot of runs early and often this evening. Take the Over.

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Sports Insurance Adjusters
MLB
Reds RL -1.5 +125
Seattle RL -1.5 Even

Free Play: Miami -110 vs Arizona

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Harry Bondi Free Pick

MILWAUKEE -120

Philadelphia is reeling having lost 10 of its last 12 games and tonight's Phillies starter Cole Hamells is 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA in his last two starts. Take Milwaukee over the struggling Phillies.

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NonStopSportsPicks

Thought I would periodically start posting some thoughts on a few of the games as I go through them for the client card. I typically go through the card and make my "own lines" and from there see what the lines the books hang are and compare for variances. Then I try to see WHY the lines are so off and if there's merit to the books or where I put the lines. It helps a lot especially in terms of public teams. I don't care about WHO bets the Yankees (a huge public team), and so often we get VALUE on those. Remember, Vegas doesn't set lines for who they think wins….they set lines for where they think the bets will come in. In most cases, the books don't care WHO wins…they simply want to have split action with juice on either side to make money. Sometimes, the books do take a position, but it's rare.

Anyways, here's a couple MLB games I've started digging into:

- Phillies vs Brewers – The Phillies are a team who underachieves and Hamels has actually been impressive this season. That being said, where does the offense come from? They're absolutely anemic! And that's not to mention that after Hamels goes 6-7 if he has a good start, the Phillies bullpen is putrid. Early money in this one to the OVER and Brewers, which I agree with the Brewers move. If that total is coming up, that HAS to mean "they" think the Brewers can and will score off Hamels.

- KC/Tampa Bay – Off of a big win last night where Price pitched a gem (for those of you who follow me on Twitter we ca$hed a 2* bet on the UNDER 10.5 in live betting we placed after the 1st inning), the Rays have to travel home off a road trip and got in VERY late to Tampa Bay. The Royals played earlier in the day and are much more fresh. And this is the point in the season where we like to fade home teams off a road trip and the players are just like everyone else in the sense that they have families, issues to deal with, and stresses at home. So we're going to most likely have a play on KC later today, but we'll wait for the public to push this line closer to -130 and we can get + money on the Royals.

Also looking into greater detail, in no particular order, for the Rockies/Padres UNDER 10.5, CW Sox +150 and/or +1.5 R/L (who is Buckholtz to be -180 this season), the Braves, and a couple others as well.

The Giants got it done yesterday as a dog & it was posted as a FREE WINNER

I'm actually looking at them again today, but will need to find more substantiave facts to back them against Chavez (who I think has peaked and now regression sets is). Can I get the cahones to back Vogelsong?!? Looking hard into it.

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Primetime Insiders

3* Plays

Atlanta -125

Surprised to see this number only at -125 with the surging Braves agains the Mets tonight at Citi Field. The Braves bring lefty throwing Mike Minor to the mound while the Mets bring Diasuke Matsuzaka. Minor has struggled on the mound thus far this season with a record of 2-5 and an ERA sitting just south of 5 but per our system is bound for a rebound against the Mets. Diasuke was battered last time against the Braves giving up 5 earned runs and it is pointing to a similar outcome tonight. Atlanta 5 Mets 2

San Diego and Colorado Under 10.5

This number is coming in very inflated. We have the best hitting team in baseball against the worst hitting team in baseball. We know the game is at Coors Field but the wind is blowing in very strong. Kennedy is very underrated per our system and should be able to fan quite a few batters tonight as he is striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. Matzek is also underrated per our system and should be able to limit the damage against the poor hitting Padres. Colorado 4 Padres 3

2* Plays

Miami and Arizona Under 9

1* Plays

Colorado -115

Kansas City +111

Chicago and Cincinnati Under 7.5

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Goodfella

Monday Night MLB Team Total

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS OVER 4 RUNS (@BOL)

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DAVE AQUINO

Records are since July 4th.



Today's Selections


MLB (5-4): Tampa Bay, Miami, Colorado


WNBA (1-1): none


CFL (1-0): none

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MLB betting cheat sheet: Red Sox face big total Monday

Tim Tames Padres

Something about the San Diego Padres brings out the best in Tim Lincecum, who limited them to one run over 6 1/3 innings as San Francisco (+126) prevailed 5-3 Sunday afternoon. Lincecum is 5-0 in his last five starts versus the Padres - a stretch that includes a pair of no-hitters.

Big Total in Beantown

The Boston Red Sox (-180, 10) stare down their largest total of the season Monday as they host the Chicago White Sox. Boston has been one of the most reliable under bets on the season, going 34-51-3 O/U - including a 16-29-0 mark at Fenway Park.

Tanaka Turnaround?

New York Yankees ace Masahiro Tanaka looks to bounce back Tuesday as he faces off against the Cleveland Indians. Tanaka allowed four runs over seven innings in a victory over Minnesota last time out, snapping his streak of consecutive quality starts to begin his major-league career at 16.

Pitching Notes

* Kansas City right-hander James Shields looks to halt a three-game losing skid against the moneyline as he takes on the host Tampa Bay Rays (-122, 7) in a Monday night tilt. Shields has been a strong Over play of late, going 8-1 O/U in his previous nine starts - including 5-0 in his last five road outings.

* The Los Angeles Dodgers sent road warrior Hyun-jin Ryu to the hill Tuesday in an interleague encounter in Detroit. Ryu has been one of the most dependable road pitchers in baseball to date, going 6-1 with a 1.62 ERA and a 1-6 O/U record in seven starts away from Dodger Stadium.

Hitting Notes

* Houston Astros rookie outfielder George Springer has had an up-and-down start to his major-league career, racking up 17 homers in 268 at-bats but also striking out a whopping 105 times. Houston is 11-5 SU and 9-7 O/U when Springer goes deep entering Monday's game in Texas (-130, 9.5).

* Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Andrew McCutchen is on a tear, recording four multi-hit games in his last five outings to bump his average to .324 - good for fourth in the NL. The Pirates, who are 19-11 SU when McCutchen has more than one hit, visit St. Louis on Tuesday night.

Totals Streak

Toronto Blue Jays (1-7 O/U): The Blue Jays offense continues to sag - scoring just four runs in a four-game sweep at the hands of the Oakland Athletics - and could struggle further with the loss of slugger Edwin Encarnacion to a quad injury. Toronto is now 42-45-3 O/U for the year.

Prop of the Day

The Angels may represent the strongest blowout play of the day at +475 to win by five or more runs. The Toronto offense hasn't done much of anything so far on its West Coast swing, and now faces the daunting task of matching up against a Los Angeles team that has won 19 of its last 21 home games.

Injury Notes

* Tampa Bay hurler Jeremy Hellickson will finally make his 2014 debut Tuesday after completing his recovery from elbow surgery. Hellickson went 12-10 with a 5.17 ERA in 32 appearances last season, with the Rays going 18-14 SU and 16-14-2 O/U in those outings.

* Toronto first baseman Edwin Encarnacion is expected to miss 2-4 weeks with a strained quadriceps suffered over the weekend in Oakland. The Blue Jays are 14-6 SU and 14-6 O/U in games in which Encarnacion hits a home run.

Weather Watch

* Fenway Park faithful should expect wind blowing out to center field at 13 mph for Monday's game between the Red Sox and White Sox. Boston went 4-2 SU and 1-5 O/U in six games under similar conditions in 2013, while teams combined to average 8.5 runs - slightly below the stadium average.

* Citi Field will see wind blowing out to right field at 11 mph for Tuesday's showdown between the host New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves. Teams averaged just 6.46 runs while battting .220 in 15 games with the wind blowing out to right last season - well below stadium averages.

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MLB

Monday, July 7


Brandon Moss, Oakland - Ques Mon

Moss has sprained left ankle and has missed the last two games. An MRI showed that there is no structural damage and he is questionable to return on Monday against the Giants.


Indians, Masterson rolling at home

Cleveland Indians pitcher Justin Masterson has been feeling right at home at Progressive Field lately. In the righty's last six starts in Cleveland, the Tribe is 5-1. Masterson will be on the mound when the Tribe hosts the New York Yankees Monday.

The Indians are currently -145 faves with a total of nine.


Lines on the move in Pirates-Cardinals matchup

The moneyline number and total in Monday's matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals has been on the move since post.

Online sportsbook 5Dimes.eu opened the Cards as -190 home faves with a total of 6.5 Sunday, but that has moved all the way to -158 with the total currently up to 7.5.

Charlie Morton is scheduled to get the ball for the Bucs while Adam Wainwright is slated to pitch for the Cardinals.


Reds keep dominating Cubs with Leake on mound

Cincinnati Reds pitcher Mike Leake has been feasting on the light-hitting Chicago Cubs lineup recently, evidenced by the Reds posting a 5-0 record in his last five starts versus the North Siders. Leake will go for six-in-a-row when he gets the ball against the Cubbies at Great American Ball Park Monday.

Cincy is currently -164 favorites on the moneyline with an O/U of eight.


Sixth-worst money pitcher in action Monday

Tampa Bay Rays backers have been losing big with Jake Odorizzi starting this season. Through Monday, the righty ranks as the sixth-worst money pitcher in baseball with an ugly $-717. Odorizzi gets the start when the Rays host the Kansas City Royals Monday.

Tampa Bay is currently -122 faves with a total of seven.

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MLB

Monday, July 7


Cardinals owning Pirates with Morton on the mound

The St. Louis Cardinals have had Pittsburgh Pirates pitcher Charlie Morton's number. The Pirates have lost nine-in-a-row in Morton's last nine starts against the Cards. The Bucs will try to prevent that number from reaching double digits when Morton takes the mound against St. Louis Monday.

The Cardinals are currently -162 favorites with a total of 7.5.


Low scores trending between these two clubs

The scorekeeper tends to have an eventful evening when the Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks square off with one another. The Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the two clubs.

In those previous five ball games, the teams combined for a sparse 18 runs scored (Marlins eight runs, D-backs 10), which equals 3.6 runs per game.

Despite the trend, the total on the game currently sits at nine. Tom Koehler gets the ball for the Marlins while the D-backs counter with Chase Anderson.


Rangers red-hot on the Over

Bettors backing the Over in Texas Rangers games have been reaping the rewards as of late. Five of Texas' previous six contests have gone over the total.

The Rangers are presently -130 faves with a total of 9.5 for their inter-state matchup with the Houston Astros at Global Life Park in Arlington Monday.

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Simon Green

MLB Freebie

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Philadelphia Phillies -116

Free Play Philadelphia Phillies The Brewers have dropped 5 of 6 and face the Phillies best pitcher in Cole Hamels. Now I do know that the Phillies have dropped 9 of 10 but Hamels has very good career numbers against the Brewers and Brewers starter Marco Estrada has just awful numbers against the Phillies. This is a prime spot for Hamels and the Phillies to get a rare win.

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MLB

Monday, July 7


This club has been an awful bet against RHP lately

The Philadelphia Phillies have been struggling immensely against right-handed pitching recently, posting a dismal 1-12 record in their last 13 games against righties. The Phils will be in tough when they face off against right-hander Marco Estrada and the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park Monday.

The Brew Crew are currently -122 faves with a total of eight for the matchup.