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World Cup Game of the Day: Brazil vs. Germany
Brazil v Germany (+177, +182, Draw +228)
A pair of global soccer juggernauts collide Tuesday afternoon in Belo Horizonte when host Brazil looks to carry on without its most elecrifying player in World Cup semifinal action against Germany. Brazilian fans were stunned after seeing sensational forward Neymar carried off with what turned out to be a fractured vertebrae in last week's quarterfinal win over Colombia. Germany advanced with a 1-0 triumph over France.
Neymar's absence isn't only damaging to the spectre of the event - he's the biggest star on the Brazilian roster - but also to the host team's chances of advancing. His four goals in the group stage helped mask what was at times a shaky effort by the Brazilian side, which is seeking its first World Cup crown since 2002. The Germans aren't without concerns, as well, as they look for their first championship since unification.
TV: 4 p.m. ET, ESPN
WORLD RANKINGS: Brazil: No. 3; Germany: No. 2.
INJURY REPORT: Brazil: F Neymar (broken vertebrae) is out for the remainder of the tournament; D Thiago Silva will miss the semifinal match after earning a one-game suspension for a second yellow card. Germany: D Shkodran Mustafi will miss the rest of the World Cup with a leg injury suffered against Algeria in the round of 16.
WHAT THE SHARPS SAY: "Germany will be coming into this semifinal with added confidence after brushing aside the French in Rio last Friday. Brazil were fortunate with favorable officiating going their way against Colombia. The Seleção will need play at 110% to make the final now that they're missing their star man Neymar." Covers Expert Footy Tipster
WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "I think everyone expected these to teams to make it to this point in the tournament. Brazil has been hit with a big injury to their star player Neymar and now their captain Thiago Silva has been been suspended for this match. Germany has come this far in the tournament relatively unscathed. Both Brazil and Germany are the favorites to win the World Cup with Brazil at 29-10 with 20 percent of the action and Germany is 21-10 with the 15 percent of the action to win it all. As for the game itself, Germany is seeing 55 percent of the action to win in regulation and tie in regulation is seeing 23 percent of the action, while the 2.5 goal total is seeing 63 percent of the action on the under." Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.
ABOUT BRAZIL: The biggest challenge for the home side will be replacing Neymar's offense; in addition to leading the team in goals, he tops the roster in shots (18) and shot assists (13). His absence puts even more pressure on Fred, who has had a miserable tournament and will almost certainly bear the brunt of criticism from fans and media if his side fails to advance to the final. Of the three players considered to replace Neymar, Willan represents the closest in offensive skill but is still a pale comparison.
ABOUT GERMANY: A flu bug nearly derailed the Germans' chance at a World Cup championship, but the players are collectively close to full health with minimal injury concerns. On the field, Germany needs to figure out how to generate good scoring chances against a Brazilian defense that has been one of the best in the tournament but will be missing one of its key components in Thiago Silva. Germany ranks first in the tournament in quality chances generated with 20, but has missed on 14 of them.
TRENDS:
* Brazil has five wins, two losses and two draws in nine meetings since Germany unified.
* Brazil has gone 41 matches without a loss in its home nation, last falling to Paraguay in 2002.
* Germany has reached the final six times since 1966.
* German F Miroslav Klose (15) needs one goal to become the World Cup's all-time leading scorer by himself. -
World Cup semifinal betting: Brazil vs. Germany
By Pinnacle SPORTS
Pinnacle Sports has everything you need to wager on World Cup 2014. Find odds and info on all the exciting soccer action in Brazil.
The 2014 World Cup is now at the knockout stage, read this semifinals betting preview before placing your bets.
Brazil have not always been what they were predicted to be in this World Cup. Our pre-tournament favorites to win the Cup were unconvincing in winning their opener vs Croatia 3-1 and effectively drew two of their next three matches before finally showing the pace many expected in their first half vs. Colombia in the quarterfinals.
Germany are now the favorites in many eyes, but are not without flaws. After demolishing Portugal, they only managed a draw with Ghana that exposed some questionable German defense en route to winning Group G. After a tough win vs Algeria in R16, an early goal vs France in the quarterfinals was enough.
Two world soccer powers now find themselves 180 minutes from kissing the World Cup.
Neymar
Neymar’s injury is still the talk of the tournament. Prior to it, he’d been called everything from talisman to genius, but that all disappeared for Brazil when Juan Camilo Zuniga took the 22-year old phenom out of the World Cup. Our spread markets for Brazil-Germany opened with Brazil at -0.25 2.10, while Neymar’s status for the semi-final was still in question. Even with early bettors accounting for the possibility of his exclusion from the semi-finals, once the news that Neymar was out broke, the market showed its dismay for Brazil, who can now be bet upon at 0 1.96.
Neymar’s likely replacement is Chelsea’s Willian, a direct winger who will pose a different threat to Germany’s backline. This is likely contributing to our Totals markets moving towards Under 2 goals, which opened @ 2.15 and is now @ 2.00. Germany’s greatest perceived weakness is a defense that plays four centerbacks; not having to cope with Neymar should make that defense’s task easier.
Thiago Silva
While Neymar has had the headlines, it’s Silva whose status will likely have the most effect on market movement. Brazil’s captain received his second yellow card of the tournament against Colombia, disqualifying him from playing against the Germans. Should that ruling stand, Silva’s likely replacement is Bayern Munich’s Dante, and although he is a capable replacement, Brazil will likely miss the leadership that Thiago Silva brings. Brazil has made an appeal on Silva’s second yellow card; the result of that appeal should immediately move markets for the match.
Home Field Advantage
Beyond Silva, the real question bettors must solve is just how pronounced Brazil’s home-field advantage is. This article determined the value of HFA in English Premier League, but there are some who feel Brazil’s advantage has been even more pronounced, with strong complaints from disposed opponents regarding referees not booking the Selecao for offenses a visiting nation might not get away with. As a bettor, you must determine the precise value of that advantage. Do so, and you may have your edge.
Summary
Both nations have covered the spread in 3 of 5 matches thus far in the tournament. Pinnacle Sports’ 1X2 markets have Brazil at 2.78 (a 36% probability of winning), the Germans 35.3% (35.5%) and the regulation time draw at 3.25. Enjoy the semi-final.Comment
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Weather report for Germany-Brazil
Stephen Campbell
The forecast for Tuesday's semifinal between Germany and Brazil in Belo Horizonte is currently calling for clear skies with a temperature of 72 degrees Fahrenheit. Humidity, wind and precipitation are not expected to be a factor.
Pinnacle presently lists the host Brazilians as +174 faves with a total of two.Comment
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Brazil vs. Germany Betting Preview and Pick
By: Phil Kitromilides
It is a curious thing to have reached a World Cup semifinal (4 p.m. ET, ESPN) having yet to put in a convincing performance, yet that is just the accusation that could be leveled at Brazil.
Apart from their group stage win over Cameroon - in which they still conceded an equalizer - the hosts have not looked overly comfortable in any game, and they were desperately holding on by the end of their quarterfinal clash with Colombia.
The Germans, meanwhile, have perhaps been more in control of their games, never really looking in trouble against France in the previous round, although they were given a scare by Algeria in the last 16.
It is perhaps because of these performances that for the first time this tournament we find Brazil as fractional outsiders for a match priced at +180 at the LVH SuperBook while Germany are offered at +170. The draw is available at +215.
The loss of their two best players Neymar (injured) and Thiago Silva (suspended) will also have impacted on Brazil's price and if we have hitherto seen little to inspire confidence in backing Felipe Scolari's side, they are now even more unappealing with those high profile absentees.
Germany for their part look more functional than flamboyant despite playing some attractive football and Joachim Low's men are not a side that have looked overly threatening in front of goal.
Indeed perhaps a lack of a killer instinct in front of goal is the one major criticism of the side, and so bearing in mind the injury problems Brazil have, a low-scoring game could be on the cards.
UNDER 2.5 goals is offered at -175 at the LVH but more attractive is the price of 5-to-4 offered outside of Vegas for UNDER 0.5 goals in the first half.
Brazil have scored five goals in the first halves of matches at the World Cup but four of them have been scored by either Neymar or Thiago Silva. Meanwhile this selection has paid out in three of Germany's last four matches, making it a solid option at a decent price.Comment
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Germany, Brazil square off in Tuesday's semifinals
By: Brian Graham
StatFox
Only four teams remain in the 2014 World Cup, with the first semifinal on Tuesday pitting soccer giants Brazil and Germany.
Host Brazil will be playing this match short-handed, with star forward Neymar suffering a fractured vertebra in the quarterfinal win, while team captain Thiago Silva is suspended due to picking up his second yellow card in a 2-1 victory versus Colombia that put the Selecao into the semifinal round for the first time since 2002. Germany reached its fourth straight semifinal, and 10th such appearance in the past 13 World Cups, by knocking off France 1-0. This was the third straight one-goal victory for the Germans. Brazil holds a 5-2-2 advantage in the past nine meetings between these countries, which include the Selecao's 2-0 victory over the Germans in the 2002 World Cup. However, Germany topped Brazil 3-2 when they last met in a friendly in August 2011. Although Brazil will be missing two key starters on Tuesday, they are undefeated in 41 straight matches on home soil, and manager Luiz Felipe Scolari has never lost a World Cup match while leading the Selecao.
Brazil is coming off another harder-than-expected win, as a Thiago Silva's goal seven minutes in and David Luiz's top-corner rocket off a free kick held up in a 2-1 victory. During that match, 54 fouls were committed, including a tournament-high 31 fouls by Brazil. Silva and goalkeeper Julio Cesar were both given yellow cards, with Cesar quite fortunate he didn't pick up a red card when he took out Colombian star James Rodriguez in the box that resulted in a penalty kick goal. Against Colombia, the Selecao held only a slight edge in total shots (12-11), shots on goal (6-5) and possession (51% to 49%). Brazil nearly fell to Chile to open the knockout round in a match where they committed 28 fouls and were booked for four yellow cards, but prevailed in penalty kicks when Chile's final attempt hit the post. Although the Selecao held a commanding 23-13 shot advantage (13-5 shots on goal) in that match, Chile out-possessed Brazil 51% to 49%. The Selecao will certainly miss injured Neymar, who is tied for second among all goal scorers in the World Cup with four of his team's 10 tallies. David Luiz has two goals, but no other teammate has more than one tally in the tournament, with these other four goals coming from Oscar, Fred, Fernando Luiz Roza and Thiago Silva.
Germany started off its World Cup with 4-0 victory against Portugal, but have not really played up to their capabilities since that lopsided result. After a 2-2 draw with heavy underdog Ghana, they barely topped the United States by a 1-0 result, and failed to score in regulation during a 2-1 win over Algeria in the Round of 16. A Mats Hummels header off a Toni Kroos free kick at the 12-minute mark was the club's loan goal in its 1-0 quarterfinal victory over Les Blues. That was the second goal for Hummels in the tournament, putting him second on the club behind Thomas Muller, who has four of the 10 Germany goals in this tournament. He now has nine goals in 10 career World Cup matches. Andre Schurrle, Mesut Ozil, Mario Gotze and Miroslav Klose have the other tallies for the Germans, with Klose's tally marking his 15th career World Cup goal, which ties Brazil legend Ronaldo for the all-time record. In the quarterfinal win over France, possession was split equally at 50% apiece, which marks the fifth straight match that the Germans have not lost possession. They held possession advantages of 59% versus Portugal, 54% facing Ghana and a whopping 63% possession time versus both USA and Algeria. For the tournament, they hold a 27-20 edge in corner kicks on their opponents, and in the past three contests, Germany has fired 50 total shots, with 37 going on goal (74%). The players tasked with feeding the goal-scoring stars are midfielders Kroos and Lukas Podolski, who has 47 goals in his 116 caps, but did not play in the quarterfinals. Germany has allowed a mere three goals over five matches in this tournament thanks to the stellar play of goalkeeper Manuel Neuer, who is the much more highly-regarded keeper in this match. The Germans have also completed 500 more successful passes than any other World Cup team and over 1,000 more than Brazil, and will need to control possession in this match to beat a more physical Selecao club.Comment
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2Halves2Win MLB 7/8
1* GAME - CHI @ CIN: Reds ML (GAME 1)
*COMP*Comment
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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
TUESDAY, JULY 8th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Tuesday, 7/8/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #15
•Rays, Royals Love The Over: When the Tampa Bay Rays and the Kansas City Royals meet, you can expect runs to come in bunches. In the last 11 matchups between the two clubs, the Over is 8-2-1. They'll face off again at Tropicana Field Tuesday evening on Sun Sports in Tampa Bay. BetOnline.com currently lists the Royals as slight -115 road favorites with an Over/Under of 7.5.
•Under Sizzling With Braves On The Road: In the Atlanta Braves' last nine road games through Monday, the Under is a red-hot 8-1. Atlanta renews acquaintances with the New York Mets at Citi Field (7:10 PM EST) Tuesday night. The Braves are presently a -139 favorite with a total of seven, per BetOnline.com.
•Cueto, Wood Trending Opposite Ways: When the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs renew acquaintances in the first game of a double header (1:10 PM EST) Tuesday afternoon, there are a few pitching trends that need your attention. Travis Wood will be on the mound for the Cubs while Johnny Cueto takes the hill for the Reds. In Cueto's last six starts against the Cubbies, the Reds are 5-1. In Woods' last seven outings against the Reds, the Cubs are 1-6. BetOnline.com currently lists the Reds as heavy -192 favorites with a total of seven.
•Nuno To Make D-Backs Debut Tuesday: Newly acquired left-handing pitcher Vidal Nuno will make his first start for the Arizona Diamondbacks against the Miami Marlins at Chase Field at 9:40 PM EST Tuesday. In 14 starts this season with the New York Yankees, the second-year pitcher is 2-5 with a 5.42 ERA. BetOnline.com currently has the Diamondbacks as slight -107 favorites with a total of 9.5.
•Indians Acquire OF Dickerson: The Cleveland Indians acquired outfielder Chris Dickerson from the Pittsburgh Pirates for a player to be named later or cash considerations, the team announced Monday. The Indians selected his contract from the Triple-A Columbus roster and also designated catcher George Kottaras for assignment. Dickerson has spent parts of each of the last three seasons with the New York Yankees (2011-12) and Baltimore Orioles (2013).
Dickerson, 32, has appeared in 314 major league games over six seasons from 2008-13 with four different teams since debuting with the Cincinnati Reds in 2008. He was the Reds' 16th-round pick in 2003 out of Nevada-Reno. Dickerson signed with the Pirates organization in January and has spent the entire season to date with Indianapolis, hitting .309 (73-for-236) with seven home runs and 30 RBIs and in 65 games. Dickerson will be in uniform Monday night when the Indians take on the Yankees.
•Scott Carroll Holds Red Sox To One Hit In Win Monday: White Sox pitcher Scott Carroll earned a win Monday, giving up just one hit and two walks in 6 2/3 scoreless innings and striking out five in his team's 4-0 victory over the Red Sox. Carroll (3-5) delivered a season-high in strikeouts while tossing at least six scoreless innings for the second time this season. The only hit he allowed Monday was a leadoff single in the third inning, and his two walks came in the sixth and seventh innings. Carroll owns a 4.52 ERA and 31:23 K:BB ratio in 63 2/3 innings. He's scheduled to face the Indians Saturday.
•Jered Weaver Exits Start With Lower Back Tightness: Angels pitcher Jered Weaver was removed from Monday's game against the Blue Jays due to lower back tightness, the team announced. Weaver threw one warmup pitch before the third inning and didn't throw another before exiting. He had turned in two perfect innings, striking out one and throwing just 24 pitches. Weaver owns a 3.50 ERA and 93:33 K:BB ratio in 118 1/3 innings. He's tentatively scheduled to pitch Saturday against the Rangers, but that'll depend on the status of his back.
•Adam Wainwright Extends Scoreless Streak To 14 2/3 Innings In No-Decision: Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright remained dominant Monday night against the Pirates, but was unable to factor into the decision. The right-hander yielded seven hits and three walks while striking out five over seven scoreless innings of a 2-0 victory. Wainwright has not allowed a run over his last 14 2/3 innings of work. He owns a 1.79 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 18 starts (131 innings). He will make his next start Saturday at Milwaukee.
•Bronson Arroyo Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery: Diamondbacks pitcher Bronson Arroyo informed reporters Monday that he will undergo Tommy John surgery, the team announced. Arroyo underwent an MRI last month, which showed that his UCL had completely come off the bone. The right-hander posted a 4.08 ERA and 47:19 K:BB ratio in 86 innings before landing on the disabled list for the first time in his 14-year career.
Who's Hot - AL Edition
The Oakland Athletics have been receiving all the buzz in the American League and deservingly so but Mike Trout and the Los Angeles have been raking the ball as well. StatSystemsSports.net Systems Analyst Larry Hertner tells us "Who's Hot" on the diamond.
The 2014 All-Star Game is just around the corner, and there are some teams which are clearly All-Star teams for Major League Baseball betting fans in our eyes. Check out the clubs who have been increasing your bankrolls all year long in the American League.
•Oakland Athletics (56-33, +$1,453) – The A's probably had one of the best teams in baseball before they made the blockbuster move of the trading season, but now that they have RHP Jason Hammel and RHP Jeff Samardzija, they certainly have an elite team which can win the AL West and make a serious play at the World Series. Samardzija was a winner in his first start with his new team to get the club up to 28-15 at home and 22-games above .500 for the season, and he is going to really look for a big time turnaround with his won/loss record after pitching so well and getting so little help with the Chicago Cubs.
Remember too, that this is the only team in baseball averaging five runs per game to boot. For a team which plays in a ballpark that is considered one of the most pitching-friendly in the game, posting 92 home runs, seventh best in the league, is no mistake. These A's are for real.
•Baltimore Orioles (49-40, +$1,207) – We still have a hard time imagining that the Orioles have the best team in the American League East right now. They just took four straight from the Texas Rangers and two out of three at Fenway Park from the Boston Red Sox, and that has propelled them to one of the best money marks in the game.
However, it's interesting to note that all of Baltimore's damage has come away from Camden Yards this year. The Orioles have the best road mark for bettors in the American League with a 25-19 record. It's playing on the road that has consistently gotten the Orioles in trouble in the rough and tumble AL East over the course of the last few seasons, but with more than half of this season gone, that doesn't seem to be an issue any longer.
The question? Does Baltimore really have the goods to go after one of the big time pitchers who could be on the trading block in the next few weeks? That could make all the difference in the world to a team with a real lack of quality at the front of the rotation.
•Los Angeles Angels (52-36, +$1049) – The Athletics had to be looking in their rearview mirrors when they pulled the trigger on the Samardzija deal, as they know that the Halos are just 3.5-games back as we near the All-Star Break.
Whereas Baltimore has been doing it on the road, the Halos have been doing it at home. They are 30-14 at the Big A this year, and what's amazing is the fact that three of those games have been lost because of blown saves. The Angels are quietly remaking their shoddy bullpen, and the move to bring in RHP Jason Grilli might end up being one of the most unheralded, yet important trades of the season. We know that LA can hit the ball. We just don't know if it can close out games when it is ahead. If not for this pen, the Angels would have the best team in baseball.
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Jackpot In July Huge Discounted Offer
We're just over a month away from the start of the 2014 National Football League & NCAA College Football Season and things are coming together very nicely here at StatSystemsSports.net. Along with the NBA Playoffs and MLB, an abundance of hours were spent in May and June diligently working on the upcoming football run. A number of exciting parameters were added to our state of the art database and we’ve uncovered some exciting and highly profitable Situational Analysis. We'll use them all this year and win with them I guarantee you that.
If you haven't registered for our Full-Season Package for the 2014 (NFL & NCAACF) Football Season, you can do so right now at 570-828-4091, "Where The Winning Just Never Stops!" The current rate for football is $2199.00 a 50% saving for signing up today. For those of you that invest on basketball and baseball, you may want to consider our 2014-15 All Season Profit Pass. For an additional $1400, you'll get everything we release in all three sports from July 5th, 2014 to June 30th, 2015 for only $3599. That fee breaks down to less than $300.00 dollars per month and is a number I know you call can handle.
We've got four months left in the Major League Baseball season and we're looking at our 2014 MLB Game of the Year. Normally priced at $350, you can get everything we release on the diamond in July thru the 2014 World Series as an added bonus. While also having access to all our Top-Rated Selections daily by E-mail. July isn't wasting any time so get on board today once again @ 570-828-4091.
"You'll be real Glad you did” -Stan!
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Betting Notes - Tuesday
National League
•Cubs-Reds - 1:10 PM
--Wood is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
--Cueto is 3-1, 2.55 in his last five starts.
--33-year old rookie Wada is making first MLB start; he was 9-5, 2.66 in his 16 AAA starts this year.
--Holmberg allowed three runs in 3.2 IP in his only MLB start LY; he was 0-4, 5.28 in 10 AAA starts this year.
--Cubs are 0-3 since Samardzija trade, scoring four runs.
--Cincinnati won five of its last six home games.
--Six of last eight Cincinnati games stayed under total.
•Braves-Mets - 7:10 PM
--Teheran is 2-1, 2.17 in his last four starts.
--De Grom is 1-1, 2.41 in his last three starts.
--Braves won nine of their last eleven games.
--Mets lost eight of their last twelve games.
--Four of last five de Grom starts stayed under.
•Phillies-Brewers - 8:10 PM
--Kendrick is 0-2, 4.71 in his last three starts.
--Peralta is 5-0, 4.74 in his last six starts.
--Philly lost ten of its last thirteen games.
--Milwaukee lost six of its last seven games.
--Six of last seven Peralta starts went over total.
•Pirates-Cardinals - 8:15 PM
--Worley is 2-1, 2.28 in four starts for Pittsburgh.
--Martinez is 2-0, 2.95 in four starts (only 18.1 IP).
--Pirates won 12 of their last 16 games.
--St Louis is 6-7 in its last thirteen games.
--Under is 7-2-1 in Cardinals' last ten home games.
•Padres-Rockies - 8:40 PM
--Ross is 1-2, 1.96 in his last three starts.
--Morales is 0-3, 7.54 in his last seven starts.
--Padres won six of their last eight games.
--Colorado lost 18 of its last 21 games.
--Last seven Ross starts stayed under the total.
•Marlins-Diamondbacks - 9:40 PM
--Hand is 0-1, 8.74 in three starts this season.
--Nuno was 1-3, 7.65 in his last four starts with Bronx.
--Miami is 12-8 in its last twenty road games.
--Diamondbacks lost five of their last eight games.
--Eight of last eleven Arizona games stayed under total.
American League
•Yankees-Indians - 7:05 PM
--Tanaka is 6-2, 2.30 in his last eight starts.
--Bauer is 0-1, 4.91 in his last three starts.
--New York won five of their last six road games.
--Indians won four of their last six games.
--Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Cleveland games.
•White Sox-Red Sox - 7:10 PM
--Danks is 4-1, 3.40 in his last six starts.
--Workman is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts.
--White Sox won four of their last five games.
--Red Sox lost 12 of their last 17 games.
--15 of last 19 games at Fenway Park stayed under.
•Royals-Rays - 7:10 PM
--Vargas is 4-1, 2.80 in his last eight starts.
--Hellickson is making first '14 start; he is 39-31, 3.70 in 95 career starts.
--Royals won 13 of their last 16 road games.
--Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 13 games.
--Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Tampa Bay games.
•Astros-Rangers - 8:05 PM
--Peacock is 0-1, 3.68 in his last four starts.
--Irwin is making first MLB start; he was 4-1, 2.01 in his last six AAA starts.
--Houston lost 15 of its last 20 games.
--Rangers lost eight of their last nine games.
--Seven of last nine Peacock starts stayed under.
•Blue Jays-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Dickey is 0-4, 5.08 in his last four starts.
--Skaggs is 0-3, 5.26 in his last four starts.
--Blue Jays lost ten of their last eleven road games.
--Angels won 13 of their last 16 games; they've won 11 in row at home.
--Eleven of last twelve Toronto games stayed under.
•Twins-Mariners - 10:10 PM
--Hughes is 1-3, 6.33 in his last four starts.
--Young is 3-0, 1.44 in his last four starts.
--Minnesota lost six of its last seven games.
--Mariners won eight of their last ten games.
--Eight of last nine Young starts stayed under.
Interleague
•Orioles-Nationals - 7:05 PM
--Norris is 4-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
--Fister is 7-2, 2.88 in his last ten starts.
--Orioles won seven of their last eight games.
--Washington won seven of its last nine games.
--Nine of last twelve Washington games went over.
•Dodgers-Tigers - 7:05 PM
--Ryu is 2-1, 2.42 in his last four starts.
--Verlander is 1-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
--Dodgers won seven of their last nine road games.
--Tigers lost their last three games, scoring eight runs.
--Under is 4-1-1 in last six Ryu starts; nine of last ten Verlander starts went over the total.
•Giants-Athletics - 10:05 PM
--Bumgarner is 1-3, 4.64 in his last five starts.
--Gray is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.
--Giants won four of their last six road games.
--Oakland won ten of its last eleven home games.
--Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Bumgarner starts.
•Umpires Trends
-- Chi-Cin-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Winters games; underdogs won five of last seven Fletcher games.
-- Atl-NY-- Six of nine Everitt games went over the total.
-- Phil-Mil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Hoberg games.
-- Pitt-StL-- Eight of last ten West games went over total.
-- SD-Col-- Underdogs won five of last nine Reynolds games.
-- Mia-Az-- 12 of last 17 Davidson games stayed under.
-- NY-Clev-- Four of last five Gonzalez games stayed under.
-- Chi-Bos-- Four of six Joyce games went over the total.
-- KC-TB-- Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Nelson games.
-- Hst-Tex-- Five of last six Carapazza games stayed under; four of the six had a 1-0 final score.
-- Tor-LA-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Rackley games.
-- Min-Sea-- Last seven Danley games stayed under.
-- Blt-Wsh-- Eight of last eleven Iassogna games stayed under.
-- SF-A's-- Favorites won eight of last ten Hernandez games.
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Justin Verlander of the Tigers is 18-4 home in his career team starts during the month of July. While Verlander has fallen off this season after leading baseball in victories over past eight years, Detroit hope his interleague dominance can continue unabated. The right-hander looks to extend his unbeaten run against National League teams to 14 straight starts Tuesday night when Detroit hosts the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Diamond Trends - Tuesday
•OAKLAND is 18-3 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games versus National League teams allowing 3.8 or less runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was OAKLAND 5.1, OPPONENT 2.6.
•LA ANGELS are 13-0 UNDER (+13.1 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 2.5, OPPONENT 2.6.
•MINNESOTA is 1-14 (-15.8 Units) against the run line versus an American League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 3.8, OPPONENT 6.9.
•TRAVIS WOOD is 8-0 (+10.2 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.
The average score was WOOD 7.7, OPPONENT 3.6.
•CHRIS YOUNG is 10-1 UNDER (+9.2 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
The average score was YOUNG 3.1, OPPONENT 2.5.
•JOHN DANKS is 0-10 (-12.7 Units) against the run line versus terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DANKS 2.8, OPPONENT 5.4.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - team with a poor on base percentage (<=.320) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) - American League, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start.
(68-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.4%, +47.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +114
The average score in these games was: Team 4.6, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +1.5)
The situation's record this season is: (5-4, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-20, +27.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (106-74, +44.5 units).
•Play On - Any team against a 1.5 run line (SAN FRANCISCO) - poor National League hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an excellent American League starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20), ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +28.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-18 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1, money line price: +103
The average score in these games was: Team 3.8, Opponent 3.5 (Average run differential = +0.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 28 (54.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1, +5.7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5, +14.6 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (52-23, +27.4 units).
•Play Over - All teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BOSTON) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) - American League, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL.
(89-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.9%, +46.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 9.1, Money Line=-101.9
The average score in these games was: Team 5.4, Opponent 5.5 (Total runs scored = 10.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 73 (52.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (16-7, +9.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (53-27, +25.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (228-210, +11 units).Comment
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BEHIND THE BETS
World Cup Soccer
Brazil +180Comment
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Mighty Quinn
Mighty missed with the Red Sox on Monday and likes the Nationals on Tuesday.
The deficit is 307 sirignanos.Comment
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Hondo
The Royals zipped right past the Rays Monday night, which enabled Hondo to reduce his deficit to 1,350 sheldons.
Tuesday night: Hondo is counting on the Yanks to connect for a few jacks against Bauer — 10 units on Tanaka.Comment
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Gamblers Data
Free Plays Tuesday
Mariners -120
Padres +105Comment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Free Play 15-2 run TUES: Cards w/ Martinez -130Comment
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Jlb sports info
$400 *wcs * germany -ml (+183)Comment
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Today's MLB Picks
Pittsburgh at St. Louis
The Pirates look to bounce back from last night's 2-0 loss in the series opener and come into tonight's contest with a 5-0 record in their last 5 games following a defeat. Pittsburgh is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
TUESDAY, JULY 8
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. ESTGame 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wada) 14.252; Cincinnati (Holmberg) 13.294
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+125); UnderGame 953-954: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 16.978; NY Mets (deGrom) 15.383
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); OverGame 955-956: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.557; Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.032
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-170); OverGame 957-958: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 15.632; St. Louis (Martinez) 13.697
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); UnderGame 959-960: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Ross) 15.152; Colorado (Morales) 14.335
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-105); UnderGame 961-962: Miami at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Hand) 14.117; Arizona (Nuno) 16.007
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-115); OverGame 963-964: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Tanaka) 15.762; Cleveland (Bauer) 16.535
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 6
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145); UnderGame 965-966: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.294; Boston (Workman) 17.294
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); OverGame 967-968: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 15.762; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 17.353
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); UnderGame 969-970: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 14.253; Texas (Irwin) 15.789
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-125); OverGame 971-972: Toronto at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.782; LA Angels (Skaggs) 14.696
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+145); UnderGame 973-974: Minnesota at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 12.718; Seattle (Young) 16.439
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); OverGame 975-976: Baltimore at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Norris) 14.885; Washington (Fister) 16.214
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-155); OverGame 977-978: LA Dodgers at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.824; Detroit (Verlander) 15.242
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); UnderGame 979-980: San Francisco at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.645; Oakland (Gray) 16.932
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-135); UnderComment
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