7-19-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Michaels

Winning Day # 102 of 165
50 DIMER # 8 OF 12

SF Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd

40 Dime Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

'Pitching Duel'

The eyes of most baseball fans, as well as those focused on baseball betting, will be on what figures to be a pitching duel when Los Angeles Angels host Seattle Mariners Saturday night in the second of a three-game series. Angels send their top win hurler, Garrett Richards to the mound carrying a 11-2 record, 2.55 ERA over 19 starts with a profitable 15-4 team start record. One of the hottest pitchers heading into the break, Richards is undefeated in eight trips to the mound with a sparkling 1.27 ERA and Angels have won all eight starts. On the other mound, Seattle counters with ace Felix Hernandez (11-2, 2.12 ERA) sporting an 8-1 stretch his last 12 games (10-2 TSR) allowing just 1.77 runs/game. Oddsmakers have noted the possibility of a low-scoring affair and have set the opening total at 6 1/2. While some may be scared off at the low total number, that usually is a sign to jump in, so make the right call and take 'Under' knowing Richards has shown that he can keep the score low facing Mariners as each of his four career starts has gone 'Under' and that Hernandez has seen the 'Under' prevail in 7 of his last 10 starts, 14 of his last 20 July road starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at MIAMI
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games
34-14 since 1997. ( 70.8% | 22.4 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at OAKLAND
BALTIMORE is 14-6 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in Road games on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.2) , OPPONENT (3.4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

CFL

Montreal @ B.C. LIONS

Montreal +6½ -102 over B.C. LIONS

(Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)

These two met in Montreal just two weeks ago and as a three-point choice, the Lions got hammered 24-9. Now the “revenge angle” comes into play but we’re suggesting that’s an angle that has been overplayed for years, especially in this league. Fact is, we get 3½ more points than we got in that Alouettes victory and we’re more than happy to accept them. B.C. did respond with an unexpected win in Regina last week but that was its first win of the season against what is proving to be a weak Riders team. B.C. has scored just 55 points in three games. 7 of those points came on the games’ final play in Montreal. QB Kevin Glenn is not a difference maker. He’s slow, he’s making a lot of bad decisions and he’s not getting enough protection to trust as a 6½-point favorite. Furthermore, Glenn has tossed six picks, which is the most in the league through three games. His passer rating of 62.5 is also the worst in the league among starters and even in the win against Saskatchewan last week, Glenn passed for just 170 yards on 16-27 completions.

Montreal lost their season opener in Calgary 29-8 and it was as ugly as could be. But the Als responded with that aforementioned win against the Lions, followed by a game effort against the Bombers in a one-point loss. In that game, Winnipeg scored a TD with 30 seconds left to win it. So, what we have here is back-to-back game efforts by the Als. Troy Smith is looking more comfortable with each passing game and aside from that, his legs are another weapon that the Lions have to prepare for. Despite losing last week, the Als are gaining momentum. They are showing gradual improving in every department while the same can’t be said for B.C. and its inefficient offense. The Lions have scored 20, 9 and 26 points respectively in each of their three games and those are not numbers conducive to spotting 6½-points. Montreal not only has a great chance to cover, they have a chance to win this one outright.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

San Francisco @ MIAMI

San Francisco -109 over MIAMI

(Risking 2.18 units - To Win: 2.00)

The Giants took the opener last night 9-1 and they just might have another easy time of it here against one of the most overvalued starters in the game. Henderson Alvarez’s first half was profitable (6-4 – 2.63 ERA) but don't confuse it with skill, as his ridiculously high 82% strand rate is unsustainable and once it normalizes his ERA will suffer badly. Alvarez has also relied on pinpoint control to survive with just 22 walks in 120 innings. However, his 60% first-pitch strike is no better than MLB-average so his control is likely to erode. When that happens, he'll struggle to hold onto a sub-4.00 ERA. Alvarez cannot seem to turn his 93 mph fastball into strikeouts and without more K’s (or luck), don't expect his second half to match his first half. Henderson Alvarez is nothing more than an average pitcher and one should take this analysis very seriously because his surface stats are a complete mirage.

All Tim Hudson does is induces groundballs at a high rate (57%) and he rarely walks a batter. In 119 frames, Hudson has walked just 19 batters. His 78 K’s is of no concern either, as this savvy vet has traded in K’s for groundouts. Hudson comes in with a skills supported 2.67 ERA after 18 starts. He gives the Giants a chance every time he takes the mound. Hudson is stable, smart and studies hitters like nobody else in an attempt to find their weakest points. That figures to bode well here against a Marlins team that is pressing at the plate, as Miami has lost five in a row and has scored just nine times over that span.

Kansas City @ BOSTON

BOSTON -108 over Kansas City

(Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)

Danny Duffy has posted a nifty 2.45 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 88 IP during the last 12 months. Given his mid-90s fastball and pre-TJS upside, those marks would seem to be confirmation that he has a decent shot every time he takes the mound. We say uh-uh. Few starters have been more fortunate than Duffy over that period. A 24% hit rate, 81% strand rate and 3% hr/f all have driven those results. His base skills have been poor with a K/BB split per nine of 6/4 and an alarmingly low 32% groundball rate. Over the next 12 months, Duffy will not maintain his low ERA. Dude is getting way too much credit and will be exposed soon enough.

The Red Sox had a horrible first half because of an offense that failed to produce but they are on the brink of a strong second half. Boston has won five of six and opened the second half with a nice come from behind win yesterday. The Red Sox have scored 35 times over their last six games and they’re suddenly feeling a lot better. Rubby de la Rosa has experienced a long road back after TJ surgery in 2011. With a fastball that sits in the mid-90s, a strong changeup, and an ability to induce groundballs at a solid rate, he has the tools to make a splash. The good news about De La Rosa was his incredible first start on May 31 - 7 IP, 4 H, 8 K, 0 BB, 0 R. He was also dominating at Triple-A and he dominated the A’s back on June 21 with four hits and one run over seven complete. De La Rosa is 2-0 at Fenway with an ERA of 1.42. Over 37 innings, he has a solid BB/K split of 8/37 and those punch outs are supported by a strong 11% swing and miss rate. De La Rosa has an xERA of 3.11 and he’s a pitcher on the rise worth backing at a cheap price at home.

Texas @ TORONTO

Texas +160 over TORONTO

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.20)

1:05 PM EST. Indeed the Blue Jays have an edge on the hill today with rookie Marcus Stroman going up against Colby Lewis but right now Toronto can’t be favored by this much over anyone. The Blue Jays scored one run last night. They have scored four runs over their past three games, all losses. The Jays have just four wins over their past 16 games and have scored three runs or less in 11 of those losses. Marcus Stroman has been tough since he’s been inserted into the rotation but he’s also coming off a rough outing against the Angels and his BAA of .260 is not exactly setting the baseball world on fire. Stroman is good and he has lots of upside but he's not ready to be in this price range yet.

The Rangers aren’t winning many games lately either but they’re not the heavily favored team here. A win to start the second half is a good start. It may also surprise you to learn that Texas is fifth in the majors with a BA on the road of .266. Texas is receiving a big tag today because Colby Lewis has been awful and is coming off the worst outing of his career—11 earned runs and 13 hits allowed in 2.2 IP against the Angels. Overall, Lewis is 6-6 with a 6.54 ERA, which makes him a big-time, buy-low candidate. Masked by some awful surface stats, Lewis is not close to being as bad as his numbers suggest. Over his last four starts, he has struck out 22 batters over 21 innings without issuing a single walk. Overall, Lewis has 73 K’s in 84 innings and also has a good history against Toronto current batters with a BAA of .239. Lewis has been one of the unluckiest profiles in the majors (65% strand rate and 39% hit rate) but he’s 5-1 on the road and he doesn’t have to be great to tame this struggling lineup. Overlay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Alouettes at Lions

Montreal Alouettes at BC Lions (-6.5, 49)

The BC Lions return home to host the Montreal Alouettes on Saturday. The Lions are hoping to turn things around after dropping their home-opening contest, while Montreal is looking for its first road victory. BC defeated the Saskatchewan Roughriders to avoid starting the season 0-3 and will need to string more victories together to make up ground in the West Division.

Troy Smith is getting more comfortable as the Alouettes’ starting quarterback with each game, throwing for over 300 yards and completing three touchdowns against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers last week. Veteran pivot Kevin Glenn has yet to impress for the Lions, but completed his last start without throwing an interception after tossing six in the opening two contests. No team with three games played has fewer points than BC (55), which is facing a Montreal defence with 10 sacks.

LINE HISTORY: The opening line saw the Lions -5.5 before quickly being bet up to -6. It stayed a -6 for 24 hours before again jumping another half-point to -6.5.

INJURY REPORT: Alouettes: N/A Lions: QB Travis Lulay (Shoulder/Questionable)

WHAT THE CAPPERS SAY: "The first rematch of the young season sees the Lions and Als clash. In the first meeting Montreal dominated the game en route to a 24-9 with BC’s first score coming in the final 90 seconds. Despite that, the home team has covered in the last five meetings and the Alouettes got thumped 29-8 in their lone road game this season." Covers Experts' Nick Parsons

WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "Both these teams are struggling to start the year. Both are 1-2 and are looking to get on the winning track. So far the Alouettes are seeing most of the action with 74 percent on the money line, 64 percent on the +6.0 spread and the under 48.5 total is seeing 72 percent of the action." Michael Stewart of Carbonsports.ag

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-2): Montreal added backup quarterback Jonathan Crompton, who was released by the Edmonton Eskimos earlier in the season. The Alouettes also secured the services of fullback Dahrran Diedrick and linebacker Kyler Elsworth. John Bowman leads the defence with four sacks. Running back Brandon Whitaker has 203 rushing yards, helping relieve pressure on Smith.

ABOUT THE LIONS (1-2): Running back Andrew Harris took home Offensive and Canadian Player of the Week honours after recording 232 total combined yards in Week 3. Linebacker Solomon Elimimian leads the league with 19 tackles. Stefan Logan has a league-leading 398 return yards.

TRENDS:

*Under is 6-1 in Alouettes last 7 games overall.
*Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 home games.
*Alouettes are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 meetings in BC.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 55 percent of wagers are on the Lions -6.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT

#901 LA DODGERS @ #902 ST LOUIS - 4:05 PM
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (11-5, 2.73 ERA, WHIP: 1.163) - Greinke last pitched July 9 at Detroit, allowing three runs in seven innings but did strike out two in a scoreless frame during Tuesday's All-Star Game in Minnesota. Since a rocky outing at Kansas City on June 23, he has gone 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA in three starts while recording 26 strikeouts against two walks in 22 innings. Included in that run was a gem versus St. Louis at home on June 28, when he yielded a run on four hits in seven innings with 10 strikeouts to improve to 9-3 all-time against the Cardinals.

--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 11-1 (+10.5 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.3, OPPONENT 1.8.

--GREINKE is 6-19 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.4, OPPONENT 4.3.

--GREINKE is 21-8 UNDER (+12.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.7, OPPONENT 2.7.

•Cardinals RH Joe Kelly (1-1, 3.44 ERA, WHIP: 1.528) - Kelly will be making his second start since coming off the disabled list due to a hamstring strain. His first outing since the injury did not go well, as Milwaukee got to him for six runs and seven hits in three innings in a game St. Louis would rally to win 7-6. Kelly did not allow an earned run in six innings in his only home start this year and owns a 2.98 ERA in 34 games (19 starts) in his career at Busch Stadium.

--KEY STAT: KELLY is 14-5 (+8.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KELLY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.4.

--KELLY is 14-5 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KELLY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.4.

#903 COLORADO @ #904 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM
•Rockies LH Brett Anderson (0-3, 4.95 ERA, WHIP: 1.700) - Anderson yielded six runs - five in the first inning - and 10 hits while walking three in five innings of a 13-5 loss to Minnesota on Sunday. "Not many positives about the outing.... My stuff was terrible, pretty much," the 26-year-old Texas native told the Denver Post. "After the first inning, I battled and tried to give us a chance to win. I can only feel good about staying healthy, and just have to put this one behind me and go on to the next one." Anderson faces Pittsburgh for the first time.

•Pirates RH Charlie Morton (5-9, 3.32 ERA, WHIP: 1.190) - Morton received his second consecutive no-decision after allowing five runs and six hits (two home runs) while striking out six in as many innings of the Pirates' 6-5 victory at Cincinnati on Saturday. The 30-year-old New Jersey native was far more effective in his previous outing when he permitted one hit in seven shutout innings of a 1-0 loss at St. Louis on July 7. Morton is 2-0 with a 3.33 ERA in four starts against the Rockies while having little trouble with Troy Tulowitzki (1-for-10).

#905 MILWAUKEE @ #906 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Brewers RH Matt Garza (6-6, 3.69 ERA, WHIP: 1.182) - Garza held Philadelphia to two runs over 7 2/3 innings on July 10 and owns a 4-2 mark with a 2.35 ERA over his last eight starts. Opponents are batting .233 against the 30-year-old, who took a no-hitter into the seventh inning in his last outing before running into the trouble in the eighth. Garza is 0-2 with a 5.74 ERA in five career starts against Washington, including a 3-0 loss on June 23 at home when he allowed three runs over seven frames.

•Nationals RH Tanner Roark (8-6, 3.01 ERA, WHIP: 1.135) - Roark bounced back from two shaky outings with a seven strong innings against Philadelphia last Sunday in a win, allowing one run on four hits with six strikeouts. “I'm pitching with confidence, and I really didn't try to nibble,” Roark told reporters. “The changeup was the biggest thing as far as getting ahead.” The 27-year-old, who is making his first career appearance against Milwaukee, stands at 4-4 with a 2.02 ERA in nine starts at home this season.
_________________________________________

#907 SAN FRANCISCO @ #908 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Giants RH Tim Hudson (7-6, 2.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.101) - Hudson looks to find his early-season form after finishing 0-4 with a 6.07 ERA in his last five outings before being named to the NL All-Star team. The 39-year-old, who is 26 strikeouts shy of 2,000 in his career, is 14-4 with a 2.95 ERA against the Miami franchise in 25 career starts. Garrett Jones is 6-for-14 with a pair of doubles against Hudson, who boasts the best ERA among Giants starters.

--KEY STAT: HUDSON is 51-20 (+22.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.2, OPPONENT 3.1.

--HUDSON is 49-19 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

•Marlins RH Henderson Alvarez (6-4, 2.63 ERA, WHIP: 1.258) - Alvarez lost for the first time in 11 starts in his last outing, giving up six runs over five innings en route to a 7-1 loss to the New York Mets on July 11. The fire-balling Venezuelan allowed five runs (four earned) in six innings of a no-decision versus the Giants on May 16 and followed that up with nine straight starts of two runs or fewer. Gregor Blanco is 3-for-4 with three RBIs versus Alvarez.

--KEY STAT: ALVAREZ is 11-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.4, OPPONENT 3.6.

--ALVAREZ is 11-4 (+7.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.1, OPPONENT 3.7.

--ALVAREZ is 13-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.0, OPPONENT 3.3.

#909 PHILADELPHIA @ #910 ATLANTA - 7:10 PM
•Phillies LH Cole Hamels (3-5, 2.93 ERA, WHIP: 1.202) - Hamels has won just once in his past seven starts, despite posting a 2.25 ERA during that stretch while allowing three or fewer runs in each contest. The Braves would not complain about a trade that sends Hamels out of the division as he is 14-8 with a 3.41 ERA in 32 career appearances against Atlanta. Hamels pitched seven shutout innings at Atlanta on June 16, walking two and striking out six without getting a decision.

--KEY STAT: COLE HAMELS is 4-14 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HAMELS 3.2, OPPONENT 4.3.

•Braves RH Aaron Harang (9-6, 3.53 ERA, WHIP: 1.381) - Harang was charged with eight earned runs against the Phillies on June 18, but held Philadelphia to two runs over seven innings on June 29 in the middle of a four-game winning streak since then. The 36-year-old has posted a 2.57 ERA during his win streak, allowing eight earned runs in 28 innings while pitching seven or more frames three times. Harang has surrendered more than three earned runs just once in his past nine starts.

--KEY STAT: AARON HARANG is 5-14 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was HARANG 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9.

#911 CHICAGO CUBS @ #912 ARIZONA - 8:10 PM
•Cubs RH Travis Wood (7-8, 4.96 ERA, WHIP: 1.491) - Wood continued to struggle in Sunday’s 10-7 setback against the Atlanta Braves, dropping his third straight decision after matching a season high by surrendering seven runs over six innings. The 2013 All-Star handed out three more free passes – the fifth time in six outings he has walked at least that many – to increase his season total to 48 (the fifth-highest mark in the NL). Wood posted his first victory of the season after holding the Diamondbacks to one run in seven frames on April 21, but is only 2-4 with a 5.29 ERA in six all-time outings against Arizona.

--KEY STAT: WOOD is 8-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOOD 7.1, OPPONENT 4.3.

--WOOD is 16-6 UNDER (+9.5 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOOD 3.1, OPPONENT 4.1.

•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (5-6, 4.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.236) - After going 3-6 with a 4.78 ERA in 17 starts through the end of June, Miley improved to 2-0 with a 1.25 ERA in three July outings after tossing seven scoreless frames in a 2-0 victory over the San Francisco Giants last Saturday. The 27-year-old, who hasn’t pitched at home since June 24, has struck out 22 batters over his last three outings and is unbeaten over his last seven turns. Despite permitting five runs (three earned) in a no-decision versus the Cubs on April 23, Miley is 2-1 with a 3.90 ERA in four all-time starts against Chicago.

--KEY STAT: MILEY is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 3.0, OPPONENT 2.8.

#913 NY METS @ #914 SAN DIEGO - 8:40 PM
•Mets RH Dillon Gee (4-1, 2.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.056) - Gee made a triumphant return from a two-month absence due to a strained lat, allowing one run and six hits over seven innings in a victory over Atlanta on July 9. The 28-year-old was just as impressive prior to the injury, going 3-1 while yielding three runs or fewer in each outing during a five-start span — including three scoreless efforts of six or more frames. Gee is 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA in three career starts against San Diego, giving up a total of three runs over 20 innings.

--KEY STAT: GEE is 12-2 OVER (+10.5 Units) in road games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 5.4, OPPONENT 5.3.

•Padres RH Tyson Ross (7-10, 2.85 ERA, WHIP: 1.180) - Ross once again was the victim of little-to-no run support Sunday as he suffered the loss in a 1-0 defeat at the Los Angeles Dodgers despite allowing just one run in seven innings. The 27-year-old All-Star has yielded fewer than three earned runs 14 times this season but is just 6-6 in those outings and has received two or fewer runs of support in 11 turns, going 1-9 in those contests. Ross made his only career start against New York on Aug. 15, 2013, but did not factor in the decision despite giving up one run in seven innings.

--KEY STAT: ROSS is 14-3 UNDER (+10.6 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ROSS 2.9, OPPONENT 2.8.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Arizona -140 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago has lost 45 of the last 69 games when playing on a Saturday and they have lost 48 of the last 79 games vs. NL West Division Opponents.Chicago has lost 70 of the last 112 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have lost 88 of the last 153 games after having lost five or six of the last seven games.

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50* Play Tampa Bay -145 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Toronto -160 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime
SATURDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL

5000* Play British Columbia -6.5 over Montreal (TOP CFL PLAY)

Montreal has lost 11 of the last 17 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have lost 8 of the last 11 games against the spread when playing in the 1^st month of the season.Montreal has lost 28 of the last 41 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they are only averaging 21 points a game on offense this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie
SATURDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Kansas City +110 over Boston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Boston is 23-33 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs
Boston is 19-24 when playing as a home favorite of -110 or higher
Boston is 11-15 vs. AL Central Division Opponents


10* Play New York Mets +120 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Diego is 31-43 vs. right-handed starting pitchers
San Diego is 28-39 when the total posted is 7 runs or less
San Diego is 16-24 when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher

=============================================

5* Play Houston +115 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Seattle +120 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB BONUS PL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks
SATURDAY

TOP CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAYS---BIG PLAY

• Play British Columbia -6 over Montreal---RISK 20% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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TOP ARENA FOOTBALL PLAYS

• Play Jacksonville +10 over Cleveland---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• Play Iowa +14 over Pittsburgh---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• Play New Orleans +11 over Orlando---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• Play San Antonio +6 over Los Angeles Kiss---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

SATURDAY BASEBALL

• Play Kansas City +110 over Boston----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Danny Duffy has won 4 of the last 5 games when pitching on a Saturday and he has won 4 of the last 5 games vs. AL East Division Opponents. Danny Duffy has won 5 consecutive games when pitching with 7 or more days of rest and he has won 5 of the last 6 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.

• Play New York Mets +125 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  8:40 PM EST

Tyson Ross has lost 27 of the last 38 night games and he has lost 24 of the last 33 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125. Tyson Ross has lost 11 of the last 17 games when pitching in the 2^nd half of the season and he has lost 16 of the last 25 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
A winner for me last night with the Cardinals beating the Dodgers. Today I've got no play going, and I'm taking the day off. Kyle's pick is below..

Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Hudson vs. Alvarez
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
Come back from the break and have my streak snapped, as the Tigers completely fall apart in the 7th inning going from a 3-0 nothing game to 7-3 in just a few minutes. That means it is time to start a new streak up today.
Like a bottle of wine Tim Hudson has aged exceptionally well. After entering the league in 1999, Hudson is having one of his best campaigns here in 2014. He's been one of the most consistent, reliable pitchers that has been around in the majors. He brings a 2.87 ERA into tonight against the Marlins in Miami. His numbers dip slightly on the road where it currently stands at 2.52. Hudson also has a 1.08 WHIP and .282 OBP on the road. He tailed off towards the end of the first half, getting hit for an ERA of 4.19. However, for a guy his age I think a brief rest will do wonders for him, and I expect him to have a big bounce back outing tonight. Hudson hasn't played the Marlins since 2011, where he allowed only 2 runs. Note that the current Marlins haven't seen any of him. Conversely, Henderson Alvarez has made the sting of losing Jose Fernandez a little more easier to bare. He has one bad spot recently, which was his last against the Mets on the road in a 6 runs against effort. That is all that sticks out negatively for Alvarez of late, though. He's been solid as a rock at home in Miami, pitching a 1.56 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP and .273 OBP. Three of his last five starts at home he did not allow a run. I think this matchup warrants a total of 7 so I'll gladly hop on the UNDER 7.5 for Saturday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Cincinnati Reds +122 over the New York Yankees (Bet Level 1) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 1:05PM EST - EARLY Play Alert