7-20-14

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Cubs pitcher making competition look bad
Justin Hartling

Though many have just checked out on the Chicago Cubs, you can’t ignore Jake Arrieta. The Cubs are 5-1 in Arrieta’s last six starts.

In those six starts Arrieta has allowed a mere seven runs while striking out 50 hitters. Before this six game span, Arrieta had a 3.00 ERA, but is entering Sunday’s action with a fine 1.95.

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Brewers pitcher spells high totals for bettors
Justin Hartling

Yovani Gallardo certainly has not shown his top notch pitches to the Washington Nationals. The total has gone 1-4-1 in Gallardo’s past six starts against the Nats.

Gallardo has himself given up more than four runs per game and the two teams have combined for an average of 11 runs per game during that span.

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Pitcher paying out for total bettors this season
Justin Hartling

The Atlanta Braves are a team toiling in mediocrity recently, but bettors have been banking on Alex Wood. In Wood’s 22 starts this season, he is carrying a 6-15-1 over/under for bettors.

Wood has given up a mere 32 runs this season, averaging less than two per outing, and has held the opposing team to two runs or less 18 times this season.

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Red Sox pitcher dominant against Royals
Justin Hartling

If there is one team that Jon Lester has dominated in his career it’s the Kansas City Royals. In Lester’s 10 career starts he has given up only 12 runs, while the Royals and Boston Red Sox have averaged six runs a game.

Bettors have loved this matchup with these 10 games carrying an over.under record of 0-8-2.

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Brandon Watson - San Fransisco Giants -126

MLB Around the league on Sunday

Texas / Toronto — Buerhle has been hanging with the fountain of youth this year. He's won 10 games but has kind of stalled out right there for the time being. I still can't believe that Texas has the worst record in baseball. They're looking at a 100-loss season as well. They are almost unbackable without YU on the mound. Won't pay .70 cents for Mark.

Cleveland / Detroit — Tigers just can't get hits with guys on base. They've lost three straight to Cleveland and can't hit the baseball. Of all teams struggling after the All-Star break offensively, Detroit has the most problems. They ended the first half with the biggest lead of any team in baseball, so they have some room. A simple bad streak won't keep this team from October (again). But won't pay the premium here as oddsmakers adjust to Detroit losing three straight.

Reds / Yanks — This is going to be an awesome pitching matchup. Both Cueto and Kuroda can get guys out effectively and if the Reds weren't completely banged up, we might back JC here. But the Yankees have looked solid recently. The total is just 7.5 so I'm looking for a decent game.

Giants / Marlins — The Freak is pitching like he used to, so that's good for the Giants. Miami has been pretty solid at home this season but the Giants are AWESOME on the road. I look for them to pick up a win here against a guy like Hand.

Milwaukee / Washington — Gio got pushed back from yesterday and it obviously didn't make a difference as they beat up on Milwaukee, who we backed. There's been a lot of discussion on here about the Brewers in the second half and I'm one of the few (I think) that will continue backing them. I won't here, especially with Gallardo on the bump — despite him being solid on the road.

Rockies / Pirates — I really like Jeff Locke. I don't like Matzek. I also don't like this total sitting at only eight runs. But then again, what is eight runs among friends? Do think the Pirates are the right side here, obviously, but I think this is an overreaction because of Tulo pulling up early on Saturday night. CarGo is coming back but I don't think he's back at 100 percent either. Rocks can't win if they are still banged up.

Phillies / Braves — Good win by Phillies last night. I honestly think they are going to put together a solid run and find a way to get back into this race. I don't think they are going to win the division, but if Hamels and a guy like Cliff Lee can get back to pitching well for them, I think they can make this interesting. Kyle Kendrick? Don't like him here. Alex Wood? Not going to pay .94 cents for him, either.

KC / Boston — Couple good games put together by these two teams. Ventura is a guy that can dial it up. Lester is going to get paid at the end of the season, but he's the kind of guy that isn't going to let that bother him on the hill. His numbers are impressive, with 79 punchouts in less than 68 innings at home. He's affordable in this position, I think.

Rays/ Twins — Tampa can win this game. I don't like Correia at all. But we aren't going to pull that trigger just yet.

Houston / Chicago — Took the Sox last night and won. They have proven this season that they can win at home, so we might be backing them again here. Astros actually hit better on the road AND against lefties. Interesting here.

Mariners / Angels— Skaggs and Young. The Angels have been AWESOME at home this season, sitting at 17 games over the .500 mark if they lose against Seattle Saturday while I'm typing this. Young has been pretty solid for the Ms this season, a very nice acquisition. He's lost his last two starts but gave up a combined five earned runs total in that time. On the road, though, we probably won't back him.

Baltimore / Oakland — SHOULD have played Baltimore on Saturday. Won't take them here with Gascan Gausman on the hill. He's actually not terrible, but I think the nickname is pretty sweet. Oakland, of course, is awesome at home and Gray is a guy that can eat up innings and mow down opposing offenses, but I won't pay that premium price against a team like Baltimore.

Mets / Padres — Could back the Mets and Wheeler here. Maybe. But Despaigne has thrown well this year. Could back the Pads and the young pup here, too.

Cubs / Dbacks — Arizona is a terrible home team. It's why they are in last place and won't be sniffing October this year, despite having a halfway decent team. The Cubs are awful too. Both of these cellar dwellers might play spoiler the remainder of the season, though. The RL here for Chicago is -205. Seriously? I know Arrieta has been good for them this year, but that's a serious price even with them +109 on the line. Not sure here.

Dodgers / Cardinals — Sunday Night Baseball. Clayton on the bump. Dodgers RL possible. Will dive into them tomorrow, more than likely.

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SleepyJ (New Capper Pregame)

Play LA Dodgers -1.5 (-105) RL

The St. Louis Cardinals are looking for a series sweep of NL West contender Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday night. They are looking to avenge an earlier season series meeting that left them losers of 3 of 4 against the Dodgers. The one issue the Cardinals may have is they have to face P Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw is just on a tear right now. He supports a record of 11-2 and also has a no-hitter to his credit. His 1.77 ERA and WHIP of 0.83 is just remarkable.

St. Louis has played very well in the most recent 2 games limiting the Dodgers to just 5 runs. Cardinals have only scored 7 runs themselves. So neither team is actually lighting up the scoreboard. How will the Cardinals handle Kershaw? Will the Dodgers be able to avoid this sweep? I guess we will have these two questions answered by tomorrow night.

This is a play more on Kershaw tomorrow night. I feel he will not lose his mid season dominating play against this line-up. Last time Kershaw faced this St. Louis line he gave up 6 hits and 0 runs in his game on June 29th. I'd say that will only give him more confidence on the mound tomorrow night.

More than anything the Dodgers do not want to start out the 2nd half with a series losing sweep. Kershaw does not want to lose the form that he has show the league over the first half.

The total in this game is rather low at 6.5, but i dont know if the Cardinals can muster up more than a run or two. I think LA gets some runs under the belt on Martinez and puts this series sweep to bed.

**Yasel Puig did suffer a hand injury in the game on Saturday night in the 8th inning and is listed as day to day as of now.

Even though Kershaw is a beast i can't back him with a price tag nearing -185. Instead I will back the Dodgers on the RL.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Rockies-Pirates
Colorado lost last six Matzek starts (0-4, 5.45).
Locke is 2-0, 2.86 in his last six starts.

Rockies lost 11 of their last 12 road games.
Pittsburgh is 11-2 in last thirteen home games.

Under is 8-4 in Pittsburgh's last 12 home games.

Brewers-Nationals
Garza is 2-1, 2.31 in his last three starts.
Roark is 5-2, 2.64 in his last seven starts.

Milwaukee lost 12 of its last 15 games.
Washington won 11 of its last 16 games.

Six of last eight Brewer games went over the total.


Giants-Marlins
Lincecum is 4-0, 0.30 in his last four starts.
Hand is 0-2, 6.23 in five starts this season.

Giants won four of their last five games.
Miami lost seven of its last eight games.

15 of last 22 Marlin games went over the total.


Phillies-Braves
Kendrick is 1-3, 6.40 in his last five starts.
Wood is 0-1, 4.92 in his last three starts.

Phillies lost three of their last four games.
Atlanta won six of its last eight home games.

Nine of last thirteen Philly games went over the total.


Dodgers-Cardinals
Kershaw is 8-0, 0.74 in his last eight starts.
Martinez is 2-1, 4.81 in his last five starts.

Dodgers lost five of their last six road games.
St Louis won seven of its last nine games.

Six of last seven Dodger games stayed under the total.


Cubs-Diamondbacks
Arrieta is 4-0, 1.30 in his last seven starts.
Collmenter is 2-1, 3.09 in his last four starts.

Cubs lost ten of their last twelve games.
Arizona won four of its last five home games.

Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Cub games.


Mets-Padres
Wheeler is 1-0, 1.40 in his last three starts.
Despaigne is 2-1, 1.35 in four starts this season.

Mets won eight of their last ten games.
San Diego lost eight of its last eleven games.

17 of last 23 San Diego games stayed under.


American League
Rangers-Blue Jays
Tepesch is 1-3, 4.81 in his last four starts.
Buehrle is 0-5, 3.74 in his last seven starts.

Rangers lost 24 of their last 29 games.
Toronto lost eight of its last eleven games.

Four of last five Tepesch starts stayed under.


Indians-Tigers
Tomlin is 1-4, 6.63 in his last six starts.
Smyly is 1-2, 8.16 in his last three starts.

Indians won nine of their last twelve games.
Detroit lost its last four games.

Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Detroit home games.


Royals-Red Sox
Vemtura is 4-2, 3.05 in his last seven starts.
Red Sox won last six Lester starts (3-0, 2.00).

Royals lost eight of their last eleven games.
Boston won six of its last seven games.

Seven of last ten Kansas City games stayed under.


Astros-White Sox
Cosart is 5-1, 3.72 in his last six starts.
Danks is 2-0, 2.23 in his last four starts.

Astros lost 12 of their last 16 road games.
White Sox wn five of their last six home games.

Seven of last eleven Houston games went over the total.


Rays-Twins
Archer is 1-1, 4.61 in his last four starts.
Correia is 1--2, 2.37 in his last three starts.


Tampa Bay won ten of its last eleven road games.
Twins lost six of their last seven home games.

Eight of last twelve Tampa Bay games went over total.


Mariners-Angels
Young is 3-2, 2.13 in his last six starts.
Skaggs is 1-4, 5.36 in his last six starts.

Seattle won eight of its last eleven road games.
Angels won 13 of their last 16 games.

Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Mariner games.


Orioles-A's
Gausman is 4-1, 2.76 in his last six starts.
Gray is 4-0, 2.67 in his last five starts.

Baltimore won six of its last eight road games.
A's won 12 of their last 14 home games.

Under is 7-3-3 in last thirteen Oakland games.


Interleague games
Reds-Bronx
Cueto is 4-1, 3.28 in his last five starts.
Kuroda is 2-1, 3.55 in his last eight starts.

Cincinnati lost three of its last four games.
Bronx won three of its last four games.

Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Bronx home games.


Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Lincecum 13-6; Hand 1-4
-- Gallardo 9-10; Gonzalez 9-5
-- Matzek 1-6; Locke 5-3
-- Kendrick 8-10; Wood 4-7
-- Wheeler 8-11; Despaigne 2-2
-- Arrieta 9-4; Collmenter 10-6
-- Kershaw 11-3; Martinez 5-1


-- Tepesch 4-6; Buehrle 13-6
-- Tomlin 5-7; Smyly 5-10
-- Ventura 8-9; Lester 12-7
-- Archer 9-10; Correia 6-13
-- Cosart 10-8; Danks 9-10
-- Young 10-7; Skaggs 8-6
-- Gausman 5-2; Gray 13-6

-- Cueto 12-8; Kuroda 8-11

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Lincecum 6-19; Hand 1-5
-- Gallardo 6-19; Gonzalez 6-14
-- Matzek 2-7; Locke 4-8
-- Kendrick 4-19; Wood 5-11
-- Wheeler 6-19; Despaigne 1-4
-- Arrieta 4-13; Collmenter 8-16
-- Kershaw 2-14; Martinez 1-6


-- Tepesch 3-10; Buehrle 5-19
-- Tomlin 3-12; Smyly 6-15
-- Ventura 4-17; Lester 6-19
-- Archer 3-19; Correia 4-19
-- Cosart 8-18; Danks 5-19
-- Young 2-18; Skaggs 7-14
-- Gausman 1-7; Gray 7-19

-- Cueto 2-20; Kuroda 6-19

Umpires
-- SF-Mia-- Six of eight Randazzo games stayed under.
-- Mil-Wsh-- Over is 5-0-2 in Campos games this year.
-- Col-Pitt-- Four of last five Hudson games stayed under.
-- Phil-Atl-- Favorites won 11 of last 12 Davis games.
-- NY-SD-- Underdogs are 8-6 in Guccione games this year.
-- Cubs-Az-- Both Scheurwater games stayed under total.
-- LA-StL-- Five of last six Hickox games stayed under.

-- Tex-Tor-- Favorites won 12 of last 14 Hoye games.
-- Cle-Det-- Three of last four Carlson games went over.
-- KC-Bos-- Last nine Danley games stayed under total.
-- TB-Min-- Six of last seven Morales games went over.
-- Hst-Chi-- Under is 7-4 in Pattillo games this season.
-- Sea-LA-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Schrieber games.
-- Balt-A's-- Five of last seven Baker games stayed under.

-- Cin-NY-- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven Hernandez games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Chicago Cubs at Arizona

The Cubs look to salvage a game in the series and come into today's contest with a 7-3 record in Jake Arrieta's last 10 starts as a road underdog. Chicago is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 20 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: San Francisco at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Linececum) 15.629; Miami (Hand) 13.298 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.385; Washington (Gonzalez) 18.239 Dunkel Line: Washington by 3; 7 Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under

Game 955-956: Colorado at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Matzek) 16.300; Pittsburgh (Locke) 18.251 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 9 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 8 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-185); Over

Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.556; Atlanta (Wood) 17.033 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-195); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-195); Under

Game 959-960: NY Mets at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.740; San Diego (Desapigne) 14.216 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Over

Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 16.608; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.290 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Under

Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.710; St. Louis (Martinez) 12.548 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3; 5 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-195); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-195); Under

Game 965-966: Texas at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 13.910; Toronto (Buehrle) 16.138 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 8 Vegas Line: Toronto (-175); 9 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-175); Under

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 16.379; Detroit (Smyly) 15.516 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+140); Over

Game 969-970: Kansas City at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 16.488; Boston (Lester) 15.349 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+125); Under

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.769; Minnesota (Correia) 13.498 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 8 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Over

Game 973-974: Houston at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Cosart) 11.284; White Sox (Danks) 15.947 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 4 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-145); Under

Game 975-976: Seattle at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 13.509; LA Angels (Skaggs) 14.834 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-165); Over

Game 977-978: Baltimore at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 16.379; Oakland (Gray) 17.639 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-170); Under

Game 979-980: Cincinnati at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.134; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 18.239 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 6 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105); Under

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EZWINNERS

2* Blue Jays-170

2* Tigers-145

2* Reds-112

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Maddux

20* Mets

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Cappers Access

Giants
Cubs

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Nationals on Saturday and likes the Angels on Sunday.

The correct deficit should be 354 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo was no rocket scientist with his Astros investment Saturday night, suffering a second straight second-half setback that sent the debt skyrocketing to 1,375 bedrosians.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch expects the Giants to enjoy some fast times against Mr. Hand — 10 units on The Freak. Also, His Aitchness is of the opinion you shouldn’t be hatin’ on Clayton, so he will drop 10 units on Kershaw against his Arch enemy.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play 19-6 run Sun: Cinci w/ Cueto-115