If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
NYM -112 **Despaigne ERA does not tell the whole story as he is gravely overrated per our system. This is a very cheap price to get Wheeler and the Mets**
Cleveland +119 **The hottest team in baseball takes the field against an overrated Drew Smyly. On the other hand Tomlin rates as underrated and should be able to strikeout quite a few Tigers batters in this contest**
Tampa Bay -129 **For this price our system grades this play as a no brainer. If Correia hadn't been pitching better of late this number would probably sitting closer to -140 or -150. We like the value on Tampa Bay and Archer**
2* Plays
CHC -110 **Our system was also surprised to see this number so low as Arrieta has been truly dominate since May 1st going up against Collmenter and the Dodgers. Even though Arrieta has an ERA sitting south of 2 our system still believes he is slightly underrated and makes a good play today**
Kansas City and Boston Under 7.5 **We played it yesterday and it stayed way under the total and one could make the argument that Ventura and Lester are better pitchers. The outcome should be similar to last night with this total staying under 6**
LAA -1.5 +120 **Our system was hoping to see this number a little lower so we could make a big play on the money line but as it stands we will just be making a 2* run line play. We have one of the most overrated pitchers in baseball per our system in Young. His record and ERA paint a different picture but he is truly overrated and should come back down to earth against a very talented Angels roster**
KC is more potent against RHP, while Boston is better versus LHP, making this a good starting point for an UNDER wager. The BoSox have never faced Yordano Ventura, which gives him the early-game edge. He's been very solid in six of his seven road starts & Boston's offense hasn't scared anyone this season. Jon Lester has been pretty dominant, striking out many, walking very few & has been extremely tough at Fenway. And Lester always seems to hold KC to a run or less when he takes the mound against them. He gets very little run support, especially at Fenway where they've given him just 2.9 runs per game in 10 home starts (UNDER is 8-2). Both bullpens have pitched well recently, which only helps our cause. We also have a major UNDER umpire behind the plate today in Kerwin Danley. Danley is 13-3-1 to the UNDER behind the plate in 2014, with those games seeing an average of just 4.94 runs scored. That's no fluke, as Danley was 22-6 to the UNDER last season, with his stints behind the dish seeing an average of just 6.14 runs per game. Add it all up & I like our chances of cashing this UNDER bet in Boston today.
Nationals and Brewers over 7.5 runs Gallardo has really been struggling for the Brewers. He has an ERA over 6.00 his last 3 starts and gave up 8 runs his only start in Washington. Nats starter Gonzalez will have to deal with the hot hitting Braun who has 15 RBI his last 16 games while hitting .377. Take the over in this one.
The Mets have been playing their best baseball of the season despite their 6-0 loss Saturdays and they have still won 8-of-10. Today they start one of their prized young hurlers as Zack Wheeler (5-8, 3.90 ERA) who has had some outstanding outings but need to be more consistent. He has allowed only one run in each of his last three starts and is 0-1 lifetime against the Padres. Look for New York to bounce back against MLB's weakest hitting club.
Comment