7-22-14

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StatFox Super Situations

BOSTON at TORONTO
Play On - Road teams (BOSTON) after allowing 4 runs or less 5 straight games against opponent after allowing 9 runs or more 47-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.3% | 27.4 units ) 3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends.

TAMPA BAY at ST LOUIS
TAMPA BAY is 43-18 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in Road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was: TAMPA BAY (5.2) , OPPONENT (3.8)

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American-Predictor

MLB
TEX Rangers vs NY Yankees
Yankees -1
1.83 Pinnacle

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Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -114 over San Diego Padres
(System Record: 65-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 65-44
Soccer Crusher
Olimpo Bahia Blanca + Atletico Rafaela UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 611-21, won last game)
Overall Record: 611-504-87

Here are the rest of his baseball plays for today...


Milwaukee Brewers -133 over Cincy Reds
Cleveland Indians -131 over Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays -112 over Boston Red Sox

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HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Nationals(-160)



Find out what trend cashed in for bettors Monday
Andrew Avery
The Under posted a 10-2 record in the 12 games on Major League Baseball’s schedule Monday.

Since action has resumed post All-Star break, the Under has gone 35-21-2 in 68 games, good enough for 62.5 percent.

Tuesday provides a full schedule of games to choose from, but the total for the San Diego Padres-Chicago Cubs matchup remains off the board.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Who’s Not Hot – AL
By Mike Rose

It gets more and more interesting every week in the American League, as three of the teams that were in the thick of the fight for the playoffs last season, including the defending champs, are at the bottom of the league and the bottom of the money standings as well. Check out who is really burning your bankroll as we near 100 games into the 2014 season.

Texas Rangers (39-59, -$2,354) – Is it ever going to end for the Rangers? They’ve only won four games since the middle of June, and it is only a matter of time until they really just blow this whole thing apart. SS Elvis Andrus is one of the many who should probably be traded before the end of the month. OF Shin Soo-Choo has reached base once in his last 22 at bats. The whole lineup is in shambles, and the starting rotation could be made up of just guys who are on the DL. It’s really all over for the Rangers, who are 20 games below .500, and we have a feeling that it could end up getting a heck of a lot worse for them before the end of the season.

Tampa Bay Rays (47-53, -$1,930) – Meanwhile, the Rays have managed to cut a massive dent into their deficit for the season. They’ll never get back to the break-even point, but they could get a heck of a lot closer by the end of the year. They’re 23-11 in their last 34 games, and they have shaved 7.5 games off of what was once a 15-game deficit in the AFC East. The starting pitching is starting to come back together with RHP Alex Cobb healthy. However, the bullpen still has some problems, as there really isn’t a bona fide closer for this team right now. GM Andrew Freidman still has a big decision to make about the future of LHP David Price, but the feeling in Tampa Bay is that the team is still in it and can really win the whole thing.

Boston Red Sox (46-52, -$1,681) – These Red Sox just don’t look nearly as good as the ones who won the World Series last year. 3B Brock Holt, OF Mookie Betts, RHP Rubby De La Rosa… Who are these guys? 2B Dustin Pedroia is having as bad of a season as he has ever had, and it feels like it’s wearing off on the whole lineup. The Sox have a number of games this season in which they have been shut out either literally or figuratively, and it just isn’t going to get any better than this in all likelihood. The question is whether men like RHP Jake Peavy can really get going again. When LHP Jon Lester is on the mound, these Red Sox are able to be backed. When he isn’t out there though, there are all sorts of questions, and it feels like Russian Roulette backing the boys from Beantown.

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Soccer Plays
vip-picks


Debrecen - Cliftonville
Tip: >2,75


Odds: 1,95

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PAUL LEINER

100* Over 8.5 – Twins/Indians
50* Redsox -110

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XpertPicks

MONDAY BASEBALL

• Play Pittsburgh -110 over Los Angeles Dodgers----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Josh Beckett has lost 28 of the last 39 night games and he has lost 25 of the last 40 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Josh Beckett has lost 26 of the last 37 road games when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +125 and he has lost 4 of the last 5 games when pitching with seven or more days of rest.

• Play Kansas City -100 over Chicago White Sox----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  8:00 PM EST

Bruce Chen has won 62 of the last 106 games vs. division opponents and he has won 3 consecutive games when pitching with seven or more days of rest. Bruce Chen has won 45 of the last 73 games when pitching as a favorite of -100 or higher and he has an ERA of 3.22 vs. Chicago over his career.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Teheran pitched an awesome game last night for the Braves (7 innings, 4 hits, 1 run, 11 strikeouts) but they couldn't get much going against the Marlins pitchers and lost in extra innings. Tonight's pick is below and I'm going 5 units on it...
5 UNIT = Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies - NATIONALS -1.5 (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Zimmerman vs Flande
(Note: I'm risking 5.00 units to win 4.76 units)
The Nationals won the first game of this series last night by a score of 7-2. They've now won 5 of their last 6 games scoring 35 runs over those wins. On the other hand the Rockies continue to struggling losing 6 straight scoring 3 or fewer runs in five of those games. Jordan Zimmermann will be on the mound for Washington and he is 6-5 with a 3.03 ERA, .267 OBA and 1.21 WHIP. On the road he has a 3.16 ERA, .239 OBA and 1.05 WHIP. He faced Colorado at the end of June going 6 innings allowing 2 earned runs. Over his career Zimmermann has great numbers vs Colorado over 7 starts with a 1.64 ERA, .244 OBA and 1.18 WHIP. In a hitters friendly Coors Field he has a 2.70 ERA over 3 starts as well. The Rockies will have Yohan Flande making his fourth start of the year and his careeer. So far he is 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA, .350 OBA and 1.70 WHIP. He pitched against Washington and Zimmermann back on June 30th giving up 3 earned runs over 5.1 innings in a 7-3 loss. Over two starts at Coors Field he has a 8.68 ERA. Not only is he struggling at the Major League level, he also was 2-10 with a 5.00 ERA at Triple-A this year. Take note that the Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall, 5-1 in their last 6 vs a lef thanded starter, 6-2 in their last 8 road games, 45-22 in Zimmermann's last 67 starts overall and 16-5 in his last 21 starts as a road favorite. The Rockies are just 14-39 in their last 53 games overall, 8-20 in their last 28 home games, 16-35 in their last 51 games vs a right handed starter, 1-7 in their last 8 as a home underdog, and 5-21 in their last 26 vs a team with a winning record. Washington is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings overall, 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Colorado, and 5-1 in Zimmermann's last 6 starts vs the Rockies. I'm taking the Nats by 2+ here tonight for 5 units as I expect them to rock a struggling Flande.


Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ St. Louis Cardinals - CARDINALS -1.5 (+134)
Listed Pitchers: Odorizzi vs. Wainwright
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.72 units)
The White Sox eked past the Royals, as far as our bet was concerned anyway, and cashed us a winner. It shouldn't have been that difficult, the Sox had many chances to add to their lead. Oh well, a win is a win and it is nice to be on the winning side.
I told myself after the All-Star break I was going to back Adam Wainwright in his next start. If you weren't paying attention there was some controversy regarding the first batter he faced in the All-Star game, Derek Jeter. Wainwright let it slip that he gave Jeter a meatball down the middle of the plate to hit. I think Wainwright is going to come out and have a very strong showing and do what he's been doing all season long. I have a strong feeling he'll quiet some of the critics down and put the All-Star controversy in the past. Wainwright got the nod to start the game for a reason, he's been razor sharp in the first-half of the season. He enters the back end of 2014 with a 1.83 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and .245 OBP. If didn't get absolutely destroyed for 7 runs against the Giants near the end of May his ERA would be even much lower than that 1.83. Since then he hasn't given up more than 2 runs in seven starts. Note Wainwright's ERA is only 0.83 in his last three starts, including two games in which he didn't give up a run. His last start against the Rays didn't yield a run either. Jake Odorizzi has been just okay this season with an overall ERA of 4.01. Where he hasn't been okay is on the road, where he's been terrible. Note the 6.10 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, and .371 OBP. Odorizzi is putting them on base and allowing them to score with great regularity in this regard. He was excellent against the Cardinals on June 10th giving up only 1 run. Wainwright may very well duplicate his last performance against the Rays, but you can't say the same for Odorizzi. He'll need to produce a similar start for this bet to lose. +136 on the -1.5 behind Wainwright against a far inferior pitcher seems like great value.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

TUESDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Pittsburgh -110 over LA Dodgers (MLB TOP PLAY)

Pittsburgh is 86-59 coming off an UNDER the total in their last game
Pittsburgh is 84-53 in home games the last two seasons
Pittsburgh is 57-36 after having won three of the last four games


10* Play Kansas City -100 over Chicago White Sox (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago is 5-18 after having won four or five of the last six games
Chicago is 22-36 at home vs. division opponents
Chicago is 51-69 when the line posted is between +125 to -125

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5* Play Arizona +120 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Cincinnati +135 over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Washington -150 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Washington has won 71 of the last 121 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have won 49 of the last 83 games vs. NL West Division Opponents.Washington has won 84 of the last 121 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 34 of the last 60 games when playing on a Tuesday.

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50* Play New York Yankees -160 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play St. Louis -160 over Tampa Bay (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[golden contender]

GC: MLB PLay

Tuesday MLB Power Card is led by the 16-0 Inter league Game of the Month and a 91% Totals system. Free MLB System Play for Tuesday below.


On Tuesday the free MLB System Play is on the NY, Yankees. Game 964 at 7:05 Eastern. The Yankees are a tad too high of favorite to unit rate. However they fit an excellent system that has cashed 11 of 12 times since 2004 and will be looking for payback for last nights 4-2 loss to the Last Place Texas Rangers. Home favorites in this range that lost last night a a home favorite at -140 or higher by 2 or more runs, while scoring 2 or less runs on 5 or more hits and making 3+ errors are winning by an average 4 runs vs an opponent off a road dog win that had 10+ hits. As mentioned earlier these home teams bounce back to win 11 of 12 times long term. Texas has lost 14 of 17 in July and 10 of the last 12 vs winning teams. The Yankees have a pitching advantage with Whitley over Martinez who has an elevated 7.54 era over his past 3 starts. Look for the Yankees to bounce back and take game 2. On Tuesday we have another Solid Power card led by the 16-0 Inter league Game of the Month and a powerful 91% Totals system, similar to the one we cashed big with last night. Jump on now and put the most comprehensive data in the industry on your side. For the free play take New York. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

brad wilton
50 dime
yanks and texas under 9

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LBSmuggler
40* 17-7+322 units
20* 50-22+541 units
10* 98-71+253 units

20* Royals -115
10* Pirates -113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Boston -115

Peavy/Happ
The RedSox are finally starting to hit and they are putting on a show. This is a team that always starts slow and come 2nd half of the year start to make their push. Jake Peavy is too good of a pitcher to be 1-8 this season. If this team can start giving their guys some run support the sky is the limit. Take Boston.