7-23-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

WNBA

1st Half Under 74 Washington/Connecticut & 1st Quarter Under 37

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

4 Detroit
3 Kansas City
3 Boston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Indians -120

W. Sox +102

Giants -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

2* San Diego Under 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spretizer MLB Afternoon Annihilator

Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Toronto Blue Jays -115

50* Seattle Mariners -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Portfolio

MLB

Washington Nationals -159

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT

#913 CLEVELAND @ #914 MINNESOTA - 1:10 PM
•Indians RH Trevor Bauer (4-4, 3.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.398) - Bauer improved to 2-0 in his last four outings by recording a quality start versus Detroit on Friday. The 23-year-old allowed three runs on six hits and struck out five in the 9-3 victory. Bauer has struggled on the road, posting a 1-3 mark with a 5.29 ERA while permitting the opposition to bat .298 against him.

•Twins RH Anthony Swarzak (1-0, 4.34 ERA, WHIP: 1.363) - With scheduled starter Kyle Gibson scratched due to back stiffness, Swarzak officially received the nod shortly after the conclusion of Tuesday's tilt. The 28-year-old has made 30 relief appearances this season and hasn't started a contest since the 2012 campaign. Swarzak hasn't fared well against Cleveland, posting a 1-5 career mark with a gaudy 7.34 ERA while allowing the Indians to bat .343 against him in 16 appearances, including four starts.

#915 KANSAS CITY @ #916 CHI WHITE SOX - 2:10 PM
•Royals RH James Shields (9-5, 3.70 ERA, WHIP: 1.284) - Shields got the first start after the All-Star break and struggled at Boston, allowing four runs - three earned - and eight hits in 5 2/3 innings. The veteran did not factor in the decision and is 1-2 in his last six outings. Shields was reached for 10 hits in six frames at Chicago on June 15 but limited the damage to three runs to earn the win.

--KEY STAT: SHIELDS is 13-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.6, OPPONENT 2.7.

--SHIELDS is 12-4 against the run line (+10.5 Units) versus an American League team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

--SHIELDS is 12-4 against the run line (+10.5 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

--SHIELDS is 15-2 against the run line (+15.5 Units) on the road when the run line is (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.3, OPPONENT 2.9.

--SHIELDS is 12-3 OVER (+9.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.2, OPPONENT 4.7.

•White Sox LH Jose Quintana (5-7, 3.26 ERA, WHIP: 1.190) - Quintana is winless in his last three turns despite allowing three or fewer runs in each. The Colombian surrendered two runs and three hits while striking out eight over five innings on Friday but did not factor in the decision. The last time Quintana allowed more than three runs was against Kansas City on June 13, when he was rocked for six runs on eight hits in six innings.

--KEY STAT: QUINTANA is 13-2 UNDER (+10.7 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 3.0, OPPONENT 3.4.

--QUINTANA is 16-4 UNDER (+11.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 3.4, OPPONENT 3.4.

#917 BOSTON @ #918 TORONTO - 7:05 PM
•Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (5-5, 5.46 ERA, WHIP: 1.518) - Buchholz could not replicate the shutout he tossed prior to the All-Star break but did enough to earn a win over Kansas City on Friday. The Texas native scattered four runs and 10 hits over six innings and did not walk a batter, giving him a total of one free pass yielded in his last five starts. Buchholz won at Toronto on April 26 but was reached for five runs - four earned - on nine hits in 4 2/3 frames to suffer a loss to the Blue Jays at home on May 21.

--KEY STAT: BUCHHOLZ is 13-3 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 5.3, OPPONENT 3.4.

--BUCHHOLZ is 8-0 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 6.5, OPPONENT 2.4.

--BUCHHOLZ is 8-0 against the run line (+9.0 Units) in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 6.5, OPPONENT 2.4.

--BUCHHOLZ is 8-0 OVER (+8.3 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 6.0, OPPONENT 4.6.

•Blue Jays RH R.A. Dickey (7-10, 3.95 ERA, WHIP: 1.295) - Dickey got his team’s first post-All-Star break start as well and was knocked around by Texas for five runs in seven innings to suffer a loss. The knuckleball specialist surrendered a pair of home runs in that outing after going three straight without yielding a blast. Dickey faced Boston at home on April 27 and allowed one run on five hits without walking a batter in 6 1/3 frames to pick up the win.

--KEY STAT: DICKEY is 12-2 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DICKEY 4.1, OPPONENT 2.8.
__________________________________________

#919 TEXAS @ #920 NY YANKEES - 7:05 PM
•Rangers RH Yu Darvish (9-5, 2.88 ERA, WHIP: 1.213) - Darvish allowed one run on five hits in 6 2/3 innings to pick up the victory against Toronto on Friday. The Japanese star has dominated the Yankees in three career starts, posting a 2-0 mark with a 1.35 ERA while limiting the opposition to a .211 batting average. Darvish has allowed a home run in each of his last three outings after yielding just seven in his previous 15.

--KEY STAT: DARVISH is 8-1 against the run line (+8.1 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 5.7, OPPONENT 1.7.

--DARVISH is 1-9 against the run line (-11.0 Units) versus an American League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 2.8, OPPONENT 4.2.

--DARVISH is 1-8 against the run line (-10.0 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.1, OPPONENT 4.6.

--DARVISH is 14-3 UNDER (+10.6 Units) against American League East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.7, OPPONENT 2.5.

•Yankees RH David Phelps (4-4, 3.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.354) - Phelps improved to 3-0 in his last seven starts after permitting three runs on six hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 4-3 victory over Cincinnati on Monday. The 27-year-old overcame two homers in that outing and has allowed seven in his last six. Phelps pitched well in his last meeting versus Texas, yielding two runs in five innings to pick up the win.

--KEY STAT: PHELPS is 1-14 against the run line (-15.3 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PHELPS 4.1, OPPONENT 5.4.

--PHELPS is 5-18 against the run line (-15.3 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PHELPS 4.1, OPPONENT 5.0.

#923 BALTIMORE @ #924 LA ANGELS - 10:05 PM
•Orioles RH Chris Tillman (7-5, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.352) - Tillman continued to go unrewarded despite pitching well in Friday’s 5-4 setback against the Athletics, settling for a no-decision after allowing two runs on four hits while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings. Over his last eight turns, the 26-year-old Anaheim native has allowed three or fewer runs every time, but is only 2-3 over that stretch. Tillman, who is 6-0 in 12 road turns, has enjoyed much better luck versus the Angels in his career, winning both his starts against them while posting a 1.84 ERA.

--KEY STAT: TILLMAN is 19-9 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 5.1, OPPONENT 3.4.

--TILLMAN is 13-6 (+14.8 Units) against the money line versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 5.7, OPPONENT 3.8.

--TILLMAN is 8-1 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 7.2, OPPONENT 4.3.

•Angels RH Jered Weaver (10-6, 3.43 ERA, WHIP: 1.142) - Although he was unable to extend his three-game winning streak after giving up a two-run lead in the seventh inning, Weaver helped the Angels improve to 6-0 over his last six outings in a 3-2 victory over the Mariners on Friday. The three-time All-Star did not factor into the decision after yielding two runs on six hits while fanning eight in six frames. Weaver has fared well against the Orioles in his career, going 6-4 with a 3.06 ERA in 10 all-time starts.

--KEY STAT: WEAVER is 27-9 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.6, OPPONENT 3.3.

--WEAVER is 14-2 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.7, OPPONENT 2.5.

--WEAVER is 42-19 UNDER (+20.3 Units) in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.3, OPPONENT 2.6.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

5* Colorado Rockies +1.5 -125

3* Colorado Rockies +148

3* Tampa Bay Rays +104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatSystemsSports
Rounding The Bases - Wednesday

#909 MIAMI @ #910 ATLANTA

TV: 7:10 PM EST, SportSouth Atlanta

Line: Braves -165, Total: 7.5, -120

Buy or sell is the question facing the Miami Marlins as the July 31 trade deadline approaches, and at 6 1/2 games out of the final National League wild-card spot the next few days could determine their strategy. The Marlins visit the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday, riding a three-game winning streak, and published reports Tuesday indicated Miami may have renewed interest in Oakland reliever Jim Johnson to bolster its fatigued bullpen. The Braves may stand pat at the deadline, although their feast-or-famine offensive showing of late may change that approach.

Atlanta has averaged 8.8 runs in its past four victories and 2.3 in its past three defeats, and the upcoming schedule is not kind to the Braves’ hopes of outlasting Washington in the NL East. The Braves play the Los Angeles Dodgers seven times while taking on Washington and Oakland three games each by Aug. 17. Miami’s relief corps has pitched a major-league high 119 innings since June 15, and gave up three runs in four innings Tuesday as the Marlins held on for a 6-5 victory.

PITCHING MATCHUP

•Marlins RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-5, 4.08 ERA, WHIP: 1.262) - Eovaldi started the second half with a thud, giving up a season-high eight runs on nine hits in four innings Friday against the Giants. He is 1-3 in his past seven starts with a 6.15 ERA, giving up five or more runs four times. Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in three starts against the Braves this season, allowing one run on three hits in seven innings to win at home April 30.

•Braves RH Ervin Santana (8-6, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.284) - Santana has pitched well since a three-game losing streak, winning three of his past four starts while allowing only one homer in 27 innings. He beat the Phillies on Friday, allowing three earned runs on six hits in six innings despite striking out only one. Santana is 1-0 in two starts against Miami in 2014, giving up three runs on seven hits in six innings to win at Miami on May 31.

•PREGAME NOTES: Miami 2B Donovan Solano is hitting .405 in his past 13 games following his career-best, four-hit performance Tuesday.... Atlanta LF Justin Upton homered Tuesday and is 11-for-27 during his current seven-game hitting streak.... Miami LF Christian Yelich has a 16-game road hitting streak, recording two or more hits in 10 of those contests.

•KEY STATS
--MIAMI is 12-40 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 2.9, OPPONENT 4.9.

--MIAMI is 11-40 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 2.8, OPPONENT 4.7.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: ATLANTA is 32-15 (+10.1 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons. 24 of 43 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons (Under= +1.8 Units).

--Games This Season: MIAMI is 5-5 (+0.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season. 6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season (Under= +1.6 Units).

--All Games at ATLANTA Over The Last 3 Seasons: ATLANTA is 14-8 (-0.6 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons. 13 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons (Under= +4.6 Units).

--Under is 5-1-2 in Eovaldis last 8 starts vs. Braves.
--Under is 3-0-2 in Eovaldis last 5 road starts vs. Braves.

--Marlins are 20-43 in the last 63 meetings.
--Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

•RECENT TRENDS
--MIA is 0-4 in Eovaldis L4 starts as an underdog.
--MIA is 0-6 in Eovaldis L6 starts during game 3 of a series.
--MIA is 0-5 in Eovaldis L5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

--ATL is 6-1 L6 after allowing 5 runs or more LG.
--ATL is 7-2 L9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
--ATL is 40-13 L53 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MIAMI) - poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL.
(119-39 since 1997.) (75.3%, +59.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -153.9
The average score in these games was: Team 5.2, Opponent 3.2 (Average run differential = +1.9)

The situation's record this season is: (9-2, +5.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-7, +15.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (57-17, +31.2 units).

**StatSystemsSports Prediction: Braves 5, Marlins 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

Sorry guys unlucky yesterday with Lynx -5 , they blow a 14 point lead in the last quarter,and on top Maya Moore who scored 48 points was not able to made the last free throw in double OT to bring home the PUSH at least, these are those plays that makes you mad I know,but there is nothing you can do

We have one of those SUPER early tip offs this morning in Washington, and I have a strong opinion in this, the Washington Mystics struggled at home all season,i like them more on the road, but the Mystics have won 5 of the last 6 meetings against the Connecticut Sun include 2 games this season

but, this is a new game and I really like the chances from The Sun today, there is a big injury concern for the Mystics today, 3 players have to deal with, especially missing Tiarra Ruffin Prat would be a huge blow for the Mystics, she comes from a career high game 18 points against the Sparks and also missing veteran Kara Lawson would have much impact against this young, high caliber Connecticut Sun team

07/23/14 G Tierra Ruffin-Pratt Ankle "?" Wednesday vs. Connecticut Sun
07/22/14 G Kara Lawson Back "?" Wednesday vs. Connecticut Sun
07/22/14 F Jelena Milovanovic Knee "?" Wednesday vs. Connecticut Sun

Connecticut Sun have the problem sometimes to finish out games and protect their leads,thats why the Sun made another late transfer and signed former LA Sparks forward Ebony Hoffmann, she is a experienced WNBA player and can surely support Katie Douglas in leading this young and talented Connecticut players

We will see which players will be available this morning, but have an eye on the line, I cant imagine it stays at 4.5 when all 3 questionable Mystics players will be ruled out.


Connecticut Sun +4.5

is what i recommend to jump on this morning, good luck all

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

The Tampa Bay Rays seem to do this every season, falling behind the 8-ball early in the season and making a furious rally in the second half to gain a playoff spot. The Rays give the ball to Alex Cobb (5-6, 4.08) tonight against Lance Lynn (11-6, 3.13) and the St. Louis Cardinals. This line seems really, really fishy to us with Lynn currently on a three-game winning streak and pitching well. There are some really interesting trend lines here tonight that are worth noting...The Rays are 14-2 in their last 16 road games and 19-7 in their last 26 games overall. They are also a perfect 4-0 in Cobb's last four road starts and the Cardinals are 1-4 in Lynn's last five interleague starts. This seems like a really good spot to back the visitors as they lots of confidence after beating Wainright last night in St. Louis. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - TAMPA BAY RAYS +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Behind The Bets

MLB

Toronto Blue Jays

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

20 DIME DOUBLE YOUR WAGER MONEY MOVE

Cleveland Indians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd

60 Dime Winner # 6 in a Row

Texas Rangers