7-31-14

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The Golf Professor
Progolfmoves

2014 WGC Bridgestone Invitational


TO WIN



FUTURES



1 Unit(1%) Plays

*Tiger Woods 16/1

*Henrik Stenson 20/1

*Keegan Bradley 27/1

*Matt Kuchar 32/1

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MLB

National League
Rockies-Cubs
Hernandez is making first '14 start because of 16-10 inning games Rockies had last two nights; he was 3-3, 6.83 in 12 MLB starts LY.
Arrieta is 4-1, 1.96 in his last eight starts.

Colorado lost 14 of is last 16 road games.
Cubs lost ten of their last fourteen games overall.

Last four Arrieta home starts went over total.

Cardinals-Padres
Miller is 0-3, 6.53 in his last six starts.
Despaigne is 2-2, 2.37 in his first six MLB starts.

St Louis lost six of its last eight games.
Padres won last four home games, allowing three runs.

Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Cardinal road games.

Phillies-Nationals
Lee is 1-3, 6.16 in his last five starts.
Gonzalez is 0-2, 4.24 in his last three starts.

Phillies lost seven of their last eleven games.
Washington won nine of its last twelve home games.

Six of Lee's last seven starts went over the total.

Reds-Marlins
Cueto is 3-0, 2.59 in his last four starts.
Koehler is 1-1, 6.00 in his last four starts.

Cincinnati lost 10 of its last 12 games.
Marlins won nine of their last eleven games.

Four of last five Cueto starts stayed under total.

Pirates-Diamondbacks
Locke is 0-1, 5.68 in his last three starts.
Collmenter is 1-1, 5.16 in his last four starts.

Pirates won three of their last four games.
Arizona won five of its last seven home games.

Five of last six Collmenter starts stayed under.


Braves-Dodgers
Teheran is 4-1, 3.86 in his last six starts.
Kershaw is 9-0, 0.94 in his last ten starts.

Atlanta lost six of its last nine road games.
Dodgers won 14 of its last 19 home games.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Kershaw starts.


American League
White Sox-Tigers
Danks is 2-0, 5.63 in his last four starts; Sox scored 26 runs.
Smyly is 2-1, 3.26 in his last three starts.

White Sox won four of their last six games.
Detroit lost eight of its last thirteen games.

Six of last nine Danks starts went over total.

Angels-Orioles
Skaggs is 1-1, 5.63 in his last four starts.
Norris is 1-2, 6.32 in his last three starts.

Angels are 16-7 in last 23 games, but lost last two.
Baltimore won seven of its last nine games.

11 of last 15 Angel games stayed under total.

Mariners-Indians
Young is 4-2, 2.12 in his last eight starts.
McAllister is 1-4, 10.50 in his last six starts.

Mariners lost six of their last eight games.
Cleveland lost seven of its last ten games.

12 of last 13 Seattle games stayed under the total.

Twins-Royals
Correia is 1-5, 5.45 in his last six starts.
Ventura is 0-1, 7.88 in his last three starts.

Minnesota lost eight of last 12 games, but is 6-2 in last eight on road.
Royals won six of their last eight games.

Nine of last eleven Minnesota games stayed under.

Blue Jays-Astros
Hutchison is 1-3, 7.53 in his last four starts.
Cosart is 1-2, 8.86 in his last four starts.

Blue Jays won ten of their last twelve games.
Astros lost eight of their last eleven home games.

Over is 17-8 in last 25 Houston games.


Interleague games
None

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hernandez 0-0; Arrieta 9-6
-- Miller 9-11; Despaigne 3-3
-- Lee 5-7; Gonzalez 10-6
-- Cueto 13-9; Koehler 10-11
-- Locke 6-4; Collmenter 12-6
-- Teheran 14-8; Kershaw 13-3

-- Danks 10-11; Smyly 6-11
-- Skaggs 10-6; Norris 10-7
-- Young 11-8; McAllister 6-7
-- Correia 6-15; Ventura 9-10
-- Hutchison 10-11; Cosart 11-9

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hernandez 0-0; Arrieta 5-15
-- Miller 4-20; Despaigne 1-6
-- Lee 3-12; Gonzalez 6-16
-- Cueto 2-22; Koehler 3-21
-- Locke 5-10; Collmenter 8-18
-- Teheran 6-22; Kershaw 2-16

-- Danks 6-21; Smyly 6-17
-- Skaggs 8-16; Norris 6-17
-- Young 3-20; McAllister 3-13
-- Correia 6-21; Ventura 5-19
-- Hutchison 5-21; Cosart 9-20

Umpires
-- Col-Chi- Favorites won last six Davis games.
-- Atl-LA-- Five of last six Dimuro games went over.
-- StL-SD-- Favorites won last five Gorman games.

-- Chi-Det-- Eight of last ten TWelke games stayed under.
-- Sea-Clev-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Morales games.
-- LA-Blt-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Ripperger games.
-- Min-KC-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last eleven Hamari games.

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Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -160 over Colorado Rockies
(System Record: 70-0, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 70-48

Rest of the Plays
Cincinnati Reds -119 over Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Angels -113 over Baltimore O's
San Diego Padres -116 over St. Louis Cardinals

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Hondo

Hondo suffered an early setback with the Reds on Wednesday but turned a profit for the day by hitting with the Astros and Giants to lower the deficit to 1,375 pendletons.

Thursday: Mr. Aitch will take a sporty ride with Shelby in San Diego — 10 units on the Cardinals to dispose of Despaigne.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday and likes the Tigers on Thursday.

The deficit is 358 sirignanos.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Thurs: Reds w/ Cueto -125

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Thursday

Hamilton Tiger Cats -4.5 (CFL)

Phoenix Mercury +1 (WNBA)

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River City Sharps

3 Units Diamondbacks +107

The Arizona Diamondbacks open up a 10-game home stand tonight as they give the ball to Josh Collmenter, hosting the first of a three-game series with lefty Jeff Locke and the Pittsburgh Pirates. After Wednesday's loss to the Giants in San Fran, the Bucs find themselves two games behind NL Central-leading Milwaukee. This series opener may prove tougher than it looks on paper as Collmenter has done his best work at home this season. The righty has posted a 6-2 record with a 2.94 ERA in 10 starts. Both of these pitchers were shelled their last time out, Locke giving up six runs and 10 hits to the Rockies and Collmenter being hit hard by the Phillies. This may not be an ideal matchup for Locke as he has struggled vs. the D'Backs in his short career and more specifically, against D'Backs slugger Paul Goldschmidt. Locke has posted an 0-1 record with a 6.92 ERA in those appearances and Goldschmidt is 4-for-6 against him. Interesting note that the Bucs are just 1-6 in Locke's last seven starts when following a Pirates loss and 0-4 in his last four starts as a road favorite. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Collmenter's last six home starts and we are expecting another good performance tonight as the home dog.

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StatFox Super Situations

INDIANA at SEATTLE
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a losing record after 15 or more games 41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | 0.5 units )

PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after 1 or more consecutive wins, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games 238-82 since 1997. ( 74.4% | 0.0 units ) 12-1 this year. ( 92.3% | 0.0 units )

PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, off a road win 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

TORONTO at HOUSTON
Play On - Road teams (TORONTO) off 5 straight wins vs. division rivals 56-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.4% | 29.9 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.5 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

ATLANTA at LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 40-12 (+25.6 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: LA DODGERS (4.0) , OPPONENT (2.0)

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Thursday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Mariners at Indians – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
SEA: Young (9-6, 3.04 ERA)
CLE: McAllister (3-6, 5.65 ERA)

Series recap: These two clubs have split the first two games of this set after Cleveland blanked Seattle on Wednesday, 2-0 in a pitcher’s duel between Corey Kluber and Felix Hernandez. Kluber tossed a complete-game shutout to cash as a short favorite, one night after the Mariners knocked around the Indians in a 5-2 triumph on Tuesday.

What to watch for: Seattle continues to be an ‘under’ machine, drilling the ‘under’ in nine consecutive games. The M’s own an impressive record off a road loss since May, posting a 10-2 mark in this situation. The Indians have responded well in home series finales the last two months, putting together a 7-1 record. Cleveland has struggled with McAllister on the mound this season, losing seven of his past nine starts.

Angels at Orioles – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Skaggs (5-5, 4.49 ERA)
BAL: Norris (8-7, 3.94 ERA)

Series recap: The Orioles go for the sweep tonight after holding off the Angels in a pair of one-run victories. Following Tuesday’s walk-off win in extra innings, Baltimore edged Los Angeles on Wednesday, 4-3 as +125 underdogs. The O’s built a 4-0 lead before the Angels rallied to cut the deficit to one run, but Baltimore held on for its fourth win in five tries against Los Angeles this season.

What to watch for: Baltimore’s pitching is cruising lately, allowing three runs or less seven times in the last nine games, resulting in eight ‘unders.’ After going nearly six weeks without a win when Skaggs takes the mound, the Angels are 3-0 in the southpaw’s last three starts. The Orioles have hit six straight ‘unders’ when Norris starts, while Baltimore is 5-2 in his past seven trips to the hill.

Reds at Marlins – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
CIN: Cueto (11-6, 2.08 ERA)
MIA: Koehler (7-7, 3.91 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Reds continue to fall backwards in the NL Central race after losing two of three to the Diamondbacks at home. Cincinnati dropped a 5-4 decision to Arizona on Wednesday, as the four runs scored by the Reds were the most they have plated since the All-Star break. The Marlins couldn’t pull off the home sweep of the Nationals, losing on Wednesday 4-3 to snap a six-game winning streak.

What to watch for: This is the first meeting between these teams this season, as Cincinnati put together a 6-1 record against Miami in 2013. The Reds ended a nine-game ‘under’ streak with Wednesday’s ‘over’ against Arizona in which Cincinnati scored three runs in the ninth inning to bust the total of 7. Cincinnati has lost nine consecutive road games, but the club is 7-2 in Cueto’s past nine starts. Koehler is making his first home start since July 2, as Miami is 1-4 in his last five outings at Marlins Park.

Pirates at Diamondbacks – 9:40 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
PIT: Locke (2-2, 3.54 ERA)
ARZ: Collmenter (8-5, 4.03 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Pirates continue their venture through the NL West after grabbing two of three from the Giants at AT&T Park. Pittsburgh fell to San Francisco in the series finale on Wednesday, 7-5 as a short underdog, snapping a three-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks return home following a 3-3 road trip at Philadelphia and Cincinnati in which Arizona alternated wins and losses during the six-game stretch, capped off by Wednesday’s one-run triumph over the Reds.

What to watch for: Pittsburgh beat Arizona two of three times at PNC Park earlier this month, which included a 3-2 walk-off victory as Pittsburgh scored each of its three runs in the ninth inning to capture the series opener. Locke took the mound in that contest, tossing eight innings while receiving a no-decision. Arizona owns a 5-1 record in Collmenter’s past six starts, which includes a pair of solid performances in home wins over the Cubs and Marlins.

Braves at Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
ATL: Teheran (10-6, 2.71 ERA)
LAD: Kershaw (12-2, 1.76 ERA)

Series recap: The Dodgers remain hot following last night’s walk-off victory in 10 innings, 3-2 as a -170 favorite. Los Angeles is riding a five-game winning streak, while improving to 4-0 in its past four home matchups with Atlanta dating back to last season’s NLDS.

What to watch for: Kershaw has been unbeatable in the last two months, as the Dodgers are 10-0 in his past 10 trips to the mound, while tossing at least seven innings in eight consecutive appearances. The Braves have stumbled to a 3-6 record in their past nine road contests, but Atlanta has put together a solid 6-2 record in its last eight series finales.

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MLB

'Dodgers Go for Sweep'

The closing matchup of a three game series is today’s baseball betting focus as the Los Angeles Dodgers aim for a series sweep of the Atlanta Braves. According to the current betting odds, Los Angeles is a -$2.00 home favorite. That whopping nod by the oddsmaker is due to the success of the LA starter. That pitcher is Clayton Kershaw, with the left-hander sporting a 12-2 record, miniscule 1.76 ERA and who is undefeated in ten trips to the hill. The Dodgers' have not only flourished when Kershaw has faced the Braves at home posting a 3-1 mark last four encounters, they've won 12 of his last 16 home starts in the month of July and have won 22 of his last 27 starts against a National East opponent. Kershaw will be matching pitches with Braves' right-hander Julio Teheran, carrying a 10-6 record, 2.71 ERA to the mound. Teheran who does much better at home (4-1, 1.48 ERA) than on the road (6-5, 4.09 ERA) has faced Dodgers just once in his career lasting just 2 2/3 innings getting smacked for 6 runs in a loss. A final few betting nugget, Dodgers are 3-0 at home this season as heavy chalk (-$2.00 or higher), the Braves have had issues on the road in game-three of a series with Teheran as they're 1-3 including 0-2 when underdogs.

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POWER PLAY WINS

Plays Of The Day

1 Unit Los Angeles Angels -115 (Skaggs)
1 Unit Cincinnati Reds -115 (Cueto)
1 Unit Toronto Blue Jays -125 (Hutchison)

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EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Thursday

A solid 2-1 day on Wednesday cashing in a big dog with the Brewers over the Rays! Just one play on my card for Thursday. Best of luck!

4 STAR SELECTION

(908) Miami Marlins +$105

(Risking $400 to win $420) (Action)

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Leo Carosielli

Uefa Europa League

Play the over 2.5 between Elfsborg vs Hafnarfjordur

Kickoff 12pm est