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The Chicago White Sox lost 99 games last season while the Twins lost 96. Both teams are likely to improve upon those marks, but there is no doubt that the White Sox are the more improved team, and getting this one at home at slightly better than even odds puts them on the right side of this one. Chicago recovered from allowing a 5 run inning last night to get the win. The Twins send Yohan Pino to the mound, and he has not fared well on the road where his ERA stands at 6.75. The Twins own a 1-7 record in their last eight vs. a losing team, and have not fared well on the road as they are 7-15 in their last 22. The Twins are just 2-5 here in their last seven played. Back the White Sox.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have played great baseball to get themselves right back in contention for postseason action. They were 4-0 down last night before scoring 8 runs in the last 2 innings to win 9-4. I believe they are showing good value on Saturday to get another W to in their pursuit of 1st place in the NL Central.
Vance Worley has been outstanding since being called up by the Pirates this year, going 4-1 with a 2.27 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP. Being a follower of the Phillies, I knew Worley had the potential to be a solid number 3/4 guy in a rotation in the NL. He did struggle last season with the Twins but in 53 starts in the NL, he is 22-14 with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.18. Worley has had success against the Diamonbacks in the past going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 3 career starts against Arizona.
Chase Anderson gets the nod for Arizona and he has pitched fairly well in his 12 starts in 2014. he is 6-4 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. He has issued 13 walks in his last 5 starts and in 9 ‘Night’ outings this year, opponents have hit .280 against Anderson and he has pitched to a 1.53 ERA under the lights. In his only career start against the Bucs, Anderson gave up three ER on 8 hits and 3 walks over 3 2/3 IP of a 5-1 loss in early July.
I like the Pirates to get the Win tonight with an advantage on the mound and a team pushing for October baseball.
In 5 games between these two teams this season they have yet to see an over (and have yet to see more than 7 runs!). Both the Mariners and Orioles have played to the under in 9 of their last 10 games. Phenom Paxton is back on the mound for the Mariners after suffering an injury after 2 starts. Before his injury Paxton owned a 0.67 WHIP and a 2.25 ERA. Gonzalez for Baltimore has been good this season and great of late (1.06 WHIP, 2.08 ERA). Add in that the Mariners have seen an average of just 5.1 runs per game over their past 10 contests and the Orioles just 5.4.
TIGERS RL (-1.5) -115 *5*
The Rockies have lost five of their last six games and tonight are in trouble again with these Tigers. Detroit needs to step up their game to ensure an AL Central title and coming off a 4-2 win last night we think they should get another one here. Taking the mound for Detroit tonight is Rick Porcello, who is 12-5 with a 3.24 ERA, facing the Rockies Tyler Matzek who is 2-5 with a 4.39 ERA. Big lean to the Tigers here as The Rockies are 0-4 in Matzeks last 4 road starts and 1-7 in Matzeks last 8 starts overall. The Tigers are 11-4 in Porcellos last 15 home starts and 24-10 in Porcellos last 34 starts.
REDS ML +110 *3*
We can’t believe we are getting the Reds as an underdog again. They own the Marlins winning again last night. They have now won 7 straight and 9 of 10 vs the Marlins. The Reds also have an advantage on the mound with Bailey pitching. He has been pitching well with a 0.84 WHIP his last 3 starts. Eovaldi has been struggling for the Marlins with a 1.59 WHIP and ERA just under 10.00 his last 3 starts. And he has struggled at home his year with an ERA over 5.00.
ORIOLES ML -111 *4*
The Mariners are really struggling to score now with just 20 total runs scored in their last 10 games. They have James Paxton taking the mound tonight who has not pitched since April and has just 12 innings under his belt this season. The Orioles meanwhile have won 8 of their last 11 and have Gonzalez going tonight who has allowed 1, 2, 2, and 1 run in each of his last 4 starts
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