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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359701

    #46
    Who's Hot - AL
    By Mike Rose
    VegasInsider

    There are only around 50 games left in the baseball's regular season, and it's tough to believe that the campaign has gone by this quickly. MLB betting fanatics have certainly been having a field day with some of the American League teams this year, and these are the three who have given you the most bang for your buck.

    Baltimore Orioles (63-48, +$2,029) – We're not really all that sure how the O's are doing all of this. They really haven't gotten much this year out of J.J. Hardy or Chris Davis or Manny Machado, yet they still rank second in the league in home runs (thank you, Nelson Cruz) and 12th in run production on average. There isn't a legitimate ace pitcher on this team, and though Zach Britton has been good in relief, the rest of this bullpen is only so-so. Then again, maybe that's why the oddsmakers keep making Baltimore a dog on the road! Logic would tell you that the Orioles really shouldn't be able to win the AL East this year, but they really could. They're 33-23 on the road this year, and virtually all of the damage they have done for bettors has come away from Camden Yards. Winning those close games is what really makes the difference, especially on the road. Baltimore is doing just that.

    Los Angeles Angels (67-44, +$1,538) – The Tigers went out and got David Price, and the A's have been doing all they can to go pitcher for pitcher with every team in the American League (more on them in a minute). Yet it's the Angels who are really flying high at the moment as the second best money team in the AL West. The Halos are just a game back of Oakland for the best record in baseball, and there is no doubt that they have the horses to get the job done. Sending out there Jered Weaver and Garrett Richards in the first two games of any short series is as good as anything that any team will be able to do, but beyond that, we have our concerns. The difference? Los Angeles can mash with any team in the game.

    Oakland Athletics (68-43, +$1,053) – Pitching wins in the postseason, and that's why the A's have completely reworked their rotation. They have Jon Lester and Jeff Samardzija to build up the top of that rotation for the playoffs, and Sonny Gray as a third option isn't too shabby either. Our concern? How much will giving up Yoenis Cespedes really end up costing Oakland come the postseason? It's not often that you see a team give up its leadoff hitter in a trade to try to get better, but the Athletics did just that. They've still statistically got one of the best offenses in the league, but can it hold up? This pitching will do what it can otherwise, but there's still a long road ahead yet for Oakland.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359701

      #47
      Joe Williams

      Reds -101
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359701

        #48
        BOB BALFE

        HOUSTON ASTROS -110
        (Keuchel/Kendrick)

        For starters this Phillies team is in a bad spot. From top to bottom this lineup has been as poor as you can get and they will be facing an Astros team that might have one of the most underrated pitchers in all of baseball in Dallas Keuchel. The Phillies are not putting up runs while the Astros are. This is not a good Philadelphia team and the fans have had about enough of them including the management who decided to not make any moves at the trade deadline. Take Houston.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359701

          #49
          Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Money Line

          dime bet – 972 MIN (-117) vs 971 SDP
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359701

            #50
            VEGAS RUNNER

            NFAC Move

            #961 Baltimore O’s RL+1.5 & ML
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359701

              #51
              GOODFELLA

              MLB Team Total

              BALTIMORE ORIOLES – OVER 4 RUNS (-125 @BOL)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359701

                #52
                SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS


                Free Play: Kansas City -120 vs Arizona


                Tuesday 8/5 Service Play's


                MLB
                Pittsburgh RL -1.5 +160


                Washington RL -1.5 +135


                Houston RL -1.5 +145
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359701

                  #53
                  Dave Aquino
                  Adding one more handicapper to the trial.


                  Mike: (0-2) - St. Louis


                  John: (0-1) - none


                  Jim: (1-1) - St. Louis


                  BD: (0-0) - Miami

                  Today's Selections


                  WNBA: New York +3.5, Indiana +4.5, sky/sun under 154, lynx/fever under 153.5, shock/sparks under 161
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359701

                    #54
                    geoff Weigel
                    5* A's
                    5* KC
                    4* Twins
                    4* Tigers
                    3* White Sox
                    3* Reds
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359701

                      #55
                      SPORTS WAGERS


                      Baltimore +101 over TORONTO


                      The Blue Jays have been extremely streaky so when they’re hot, they’re hot and when they’re cold, they’re freezing, which happens to be right now. The Blue Jays won the opener of a three-game series in Houston but subsequently lost the final three games of that series and were outscored 17-4 in the process. More disturbing, however, is the Jays inability to produce against two of the worst starters (Brad Oberholtzer and Scott Feldman) in the majors in the final two games of that series. When the Jays went cold back in June, they went cold for practically the entire month and appear headed in that direction again. Now they’ll face Bud Norris. Norris injured his groin on June 21 while pitching against the Yanks and missed a couple of starts. He has had a steady 2014 season thus far, with a 50%/0% dominant start/disaster start split. He’s also been sharp since returning with 20 K’s in his last 23 innings and a nice 47%/29% groundball/fly-ball split. Norris has a swing and miss slider, outstanding control and while his K is down on the year, it’s been creeping up lately.


                      Baltimore’s win yesterday may have been one of the most impressive of the season. After a three-game set against the Mariners on the weekend, the O’s had to play a make-up game against the first place Nats in Washington yesterday for one game before this huge three-game series with the second place Jays. The O’s fell behind twice and we’re trailing 3-1 in the seventh before going off for six answered in a 7-3 victory. Instead of “looking ahead” to this important series they responded with a focused effort and the task at hand. That gives you an idea of the mindset and determination of the Orioles. More importantly, the O’s went off for 14 hits and that’s the first time in their past 16 games that they had 10 or more hits in a game. They could easily duplicate that against Mark Buehrle. Since opening the year on an 8-1 tear with a low ERA, Buehrle has gone 3-7 since. His ERA is still low at 3.11 but it’s still a mirage. His base skills profile him as a mid-4 ERA pitcher. Buehrle has just 82 K’s in 142 innings to go along with a WHIP of 1.33. A 79% strand rate and 6% hr/f are the only reasons he has a helpful ERA and we can assure more of those fly-balls he surrenders are going to leave the yard in the final seven weeks of the season and we’re all over it.




                      Boston +140 over ST. LOUIS


                      The Red Sox will play out the string in the role of the spoiler and it would come as no surprise if they thrived in that role. This is an extremely dangerous offense that can go off at any time and they certainly have a chance to do that against Lance Lynn. Lynn’s 2.98 ERA is almost a full run higher than his xERA of 3.81. He’s posted a 1.96 ERA over his last three starts but an alarming 44% line-drive rate over that span reveals a ton of hard hit balls right at people. Lynn is also walking far too many batters and has now issued 52 free passes in 133 innings and 12 over his past 26 innings. Lynn is living on the edge with his 84% strand rate since the beginning of June but when a pitcher is giving up line drives and walks, disaster is waiting in the not too distant future.


                      Rubby De la Rosa had a really rough July, both on the surface (5.32 ERA, 1.68 WHIP) and beneath it: 2.9 K’s/9, 3.3 BB/9, 44% groundball rate. However, with mid-90s heat, a potentially impact changeup, and an ability to induce groundballs, De La Rosa has the tools to become an impact starter. He's a work-in-progress to be sure but he also has the ability to dazzle. Facing a weak hitting NL team in a favorable park may just be the recipe he needs right now to get back on track. What we know for sure is that Lynn is an overvalued pitcher, which provides us with this a nice buy-low/sell-high opportunity.




                      N.Y. Mets +147 over WASHINGTON


                      The Nationals are not the same team with Ryan Zimmerman on the rack. Zimmerman is on the DL and with him the lineup the Nationals are 33-19 this season. Without him they are just 28-32 but over their past 27 games without him, Washington is just 9-18. Gio Gonzalez missed a month from mid-May to mid-June and it appears that more trouble is brewing. Gonzalez has failed to make it out of the fourth inning in two of his past three starts. Gonzalez had a coming out party during his inaugural season in Washington with a sub-3.00 ERA and 21 wins. However, he's struggled at times since then and he's flirting with a .500 record and a very ordinary ERA as the season enters the stretch drive. Gonzalez is issuing more walks, he’s giving up more hits and he’s not lasting deep into games.


                      Zach Wheeler offers up nothing but value at this price. Wheeler has posted outstanding skills in two separate months (April and July). His skills in July featured excellent command and a continued groundball tilt. Overall, Wheeler has posted an elite 53% groundball rate. He has 125 K’s in 128 innings and his swing and miss rate in July was also elite at 11%. Only two starters in the NL had a higher four-seam fastball velocity than Wheeler's 94.7 mph fastball in July; Wily Peralta (95.5 mph) and Stephen Strasburg (95.1 mph). Wheeler is a future ace with major breakout potential but he’s not being priced as such, which makes him a must play in this range. Definite overlay.




                      Tampa Bay +116 over OAKLAND


                      Despite being issued nine free passes by the Rays pitching last night, the A’s scored just three runs and two of them came on seeing-eye singles. Oakland has been struggling miserably at the plate recently and they are hitting just .242 against lefties this year, which ranks 27th out of the 30 MLB teams. Lefty Drew Smyly began to piece things together as a starter with Detroit in July. Smyly has always had great stuff but the transition from reliever to starter has been a slow one. When you’re the main piece in a trade for David Price, it says something. Smyly has 19 K’s over his past 17.2 innings. His combination of a 10% swing and miss rate and 65% first pitch strike rate gives his underlying skills strong support. No question that Smyly will be a little extra jacked up here in his first start with his new team.


                      Meanwhile, Jason Hammel has had a terrible time since joining the A's, going 0-4 in four starts, with a 9.53 ERA, 2.12 WHIP and 12/10 K/BB. This after going 8-5 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 17 starts with the Cubs. It hasn't been bad luck that has derailed Hammel since arriving in Oakland, as his plummeting skills are to be blamed. Should we be surprised at Hammel’s struggles in his new digs? The answer is a resounding no. The A’s are Hammel’s fourth team in eight years. In 2012 he posted a 3.43 ERA with the Orioles but his other years saw him post ERA’s of 7.77, 6.14, 4.60, 4.81, 4.97 and 4.33. That 2012 ERA and first half with the Cubbies this year looks like a blind squirrel finding a nut. Hammel’s history says it all. He’s an average pitcher with average stuff that has never thrived for an extended period of time. That first win (with his new team) becomes more elusive with each loss and it’s safe to say that Hammel is not very comfortable in his new surroundings. Hammel is starter to avoid rightnow, especially when spotting a tag.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359701

                        #56
                        firefox
                        under phillies
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359701

                          #57
                          Indian Cowboy

                          MLB


                          3* Washington Nationals -152
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359701

                            #58
                            INDIAN COWBOY

                            WNBA

                            7* Washington Mystics -3.5 over New York Liberty


                            Free Video play – Under 153.3 – Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359701

                              #59
                              SHAKER’S SHORTS

                              Chicago Cubs Team Total OVER 4.5 -120
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 359701

                                #60
                                ANDRE GOMES

                                MLB

                                967 Houston Astros @ 968 Philadelphia Phillies

                                (Starting Pitchers: D. Keuchel vs. K. Kendrick)

                                Probably, this might be the first time I’ll ride the Astros on the road being favored by the Sportsbooks, but we have some good factors working in their favor.

                                Dallas Keuchel made 3 decent starts since the All Star break has his 3.00 FIP + 3.33 xFIP can attest. He had some outstanding numbers vs. LH batters w/ .244 BA + .280 wOBA + 2.69 FIP + 2.47 xFIP and for tonight, PHI’s lineup is loaded w/ LH batters:

                                1. Ben Revere (L) CF
                                2. Jimmy Rollins (S) SS
                                3. Chase Utley (L) 2B
                                4. Ryan Howard (L) 1B
                                5. Marlon Byrd (R) RF
                                6. Carlos Ruiz (R) C
                                7. Darin Ruf (R) LF
                                8. Cody Asche (L) 3B
                                9. Kyle Kendrick (R) P

                                In my opinion, Keuchel has a good spot to perform quite well tonight.

                                On the other end, PHI’s SP Kendrick is coming from another subpar performance, this time against the offensively challenged NYM offense. He had the awful mark of 4.97 FIP + 5.32 xFIP in that game! HOU offense has been decent for quite some time. I have ranked them #10 in L30 days and therefore, I expect Kendrick’s struggles to carry on for this contest.

                                Pick: 3 Units (Single Dime Play) 967 Houston Astros ML (w/ D. Keuchel) @ -105
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