8-16-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes

Soccer English Premier League - Manchester United vs Swansea City

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 2.5 @ -131 / 1.76 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -135 / 1.74 on 5 Dimes)

PREMIUM PLAY***

***Game Starts @ 7:45 AM EST / 1:45 PM CET***

Manchester United is coming from a surprisingly good preseason (note that all their games were against top European Clubs) as it looks like their players quickly absorbed Louis Van Gaal’s ideas in the blink of an eye. I’ve watched some of those games, and I really loved their passing and pro-active approach to the game. Ander Herrera and Juan Mata combined pretty well in the center midfield and we are dealing with a team that will look completely different than the United’s version of the last season.

However, I have some doubts regarding their defensive scheme. Van Gaal will use a 3-5-2 formation, and while their 3 center backs will need some time to mix together in terms of positioning, my main concern is around their 2 wing-backs. Ashley Young has been tested at Right Wing-back but he is a forward, so his defensive positioning isn’t the best. Luke Shaw and Antonio Valencia are injured, so I see the Red Devil’s suffering a bit against Swansea’s powerful attacking unit w/ W. Bony and Gylfi Sigurdsson.

The Welsh side made a decent pre-season and they look more dangerous on the front than exactly having a stronger defense. I expect them to struggle defensively early on the season as they lost some key defensive players in this offseason like Vorm, Ben Davis and more recently Chico Flores. I expect Man Utd to explore this potential Swansea’s weakness and therefore, this should be a fun game to watch with both offenses having key edges.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2Halves2Win

MLB COMP

PHI +1.5 RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Sat

Seattle w/ Hernandez + 110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Indians on Friday and likes the Rays on Saturday.

The deficit is 502 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Middletown (N.Y.) High’s Mike Aviles rushed to Hondo’s financial rescue Friday night, going yard in extras to give the Tribe a win over the Birds that reduced the deficit to 1,480 skinners.

Saturday night: Mr. Aitch will pick a Locke in D.C. — 10 units on the Pirates to patch together a victory against the Nats. Also, 10 on King Felix and the M’s to rule in Detroit and 10 on the Native Americans to trim Ubaldo.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data


Free Plays Saturday

Seattle +105


Phils/Giants over 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

10* Seattle /Detroit Under Under 6.5
8* SD Padres +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, AUGUST 16th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#901 PHILADELPHIA @ #902 SAN FRANCISCO - 4:05 PM
•Phillies RH Kyle Kendrick (5-11, 4.88 ERA, WHIP: 1.373) - After pitching seven innings of one-run ball against Houston, Kendrick followed by yielding six runs (five earned) on 10 hits over five frames against the Mets on Sunday. Opponents are batting .279 against the 29-year-old, who has allowed 163 hits in 149 1/3 innings. Kendrick is 2-2 with a 4.55 ERA in seven career games (four starts) against San Francisco while limiting Angel Pagan to five hits in 31 at-bats.

--KEY STAT: KENDRICK is 7-0 OVER (+7.5 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.3, OPPONENT 7.3.

•Giants RH Tim Hudson (8-9, 2.81 ERA, WHIP: 1.138) - Hudson has allowed exactly three runs in three consecutive starts, including last Saturday when he tossed six-plus innings against Kansas City. The four-time All-Star boasted a 1.81 ERA on June 12, but he has gone 1-7 with a 4.28 ERA in his last 10 starts. Ryan Howard is batting .328 with seven homers against Hudson, who is 11-10 with a 3.60 ERA in 30 career starts against the Phillies, including six strong innings July 24.

--KEY STAT: HUDSON is 31-9 (+17.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.0, OPPONENT 2.8.

--HUDSON is 52-18 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.6, OPPONENT 3.5.

--HUDSON is 53-20 (+27.1 Units) against the money line after a game where he did not walk a batter since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 4.7, OPPONENT 3.3.

#903 PITTSBURGH @ #904 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Pirates LH Jeff Locke (4-3, 3.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.233) - Despite issuing a season-high four walks in five frames during Monday’s 11-6 victory over Detroit, Locke managed to win his second straight outing after yielding four runs on eight hits. The 26-year-old New Hampshire native was able to avoid giving up a homer as well after surrendering eight over his previous four outings. Locke gave up four runs (three earned) on three hits and three walks over five innings in his only other career start versus the Nationals last season, but did not factor into the decision.

--KEY STAT: LOCKE is 5-15 (-13.7 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOCKE 3.3, OPPONENT 5.2.

--LOCKE is 4-17 against the run line (-14.0 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOCKE 3.7, OPPONENT 5.3.

--LOCKE is 19-3 against the run line (+14.3 Units) as an underdog when the run line price is -190 to +165 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOCKE 4.0, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (6-9, 4.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.306) - Gonzalez lost his fourth consecutive start and recent struggles continued in Sunday’s 3-1 setback to the Braves as he needed 111 pitches to make it through 4 2/3 innings. The two-time All-Star, who allowed two runs and matched a season high with four walks in the loss, is 0-5 with a 5.17 ERA in his last six turns after pitching three consecutive scoreless outings from June 23-July 5. Gonzalez has fared much better in four career starts against the Pirates, going 2-0 with a 3.28 ERA.

--KEY STAT: GONZALEZ is 19-4 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against National League Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.7, OPPONENT 2.7.

--GONZALEZ is 18-6 OVER (+11.8 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 6.0, OPPONENT 3.5.

#905 CHICAGO CUBS @ #906 NY METS - 7:10 PM
•Cubs RH Dan Straily (1-2, 4.93 ERA, WHIP: 1.252) - Acquired in the deal that sent Jeff Samardzija to Oakland, Straily has recorded a 3-3 mark with a 3.00 ERA in his initial seven starts with Triple-A Iowa. "We have a stretch of no days off, so we're going to have Straily come up and give us a start," Chicago manager Rick Renteria said. The 25-year-old Straily, whose last start in the majors came on May 7, is expected to be shipped back to the minors after the game.

•Mets LH Jonathon Niese (6-8, 3.46 ERA, WHIP: 1.263) - Niese snapped a four-start losing streak and posted his first win since June 28 as he allowed two runs on five hits in seven innings against Philadelphia on Monday. The 27-year-old owns a 2-4 career record versus the Cubs while allowing the opposition to bat .323 against him. Niese is just 2-3 at home this season, with his last victory at Citi Field coming against the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 22.

--KEY STAT: NIESE is 18-6 UNDER (+11.2 Units) in home games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 2.5, OPPONENT 4.2.

--NIESE is 10-1 UNDER (+8.6 Units) in home games versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 2.0, OPPONENT 3.4.

--NIESE is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in home games against National League Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 2.0, OPPONENT 4.0.
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#907 ARIZONA @ #908 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (7-8, 4.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.318) - Miley rebounded from a disastrous performance to limit Colorado to three runs over six innings Sunday but was forced to settle for a no-decision. The 27-year-old was lit up for 10 runs on nine hits and three walks over 4 2/3 frames in a loss to Kansas City on Aug. 5. Miley was superb in his three previous career starts against Miami, going 2-1 while allowing only two earned runs in 20 1/3 innings (0.89 ERA).

--KEY STAT: MILEY is 14-4 against the run line (+11.4 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 4.3, OPPONENT 3.1.

--MILEY is 12-2 UNDER (+9.5 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 3.4, OPPONENT 3.0.

•Marlins RH Henderson Alvarez (8-5, 2.48 ERA, WHIP: 1.220) - Alvarez has not pitched since July 29, when he scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings in a triumph over Washington. The 24-year-old has been sensational since mid-May, allowing fewer than three runs in 12 of his last 13 starts. Alvarez, who will be facing Arizona for the first time, is 5-2 with a 1.48 ERA in 11 home outings this season.

--KEY STAT: ALVAREZ is 13-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4.

--ALVAREZ is 15-6 (+10.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 3.9, OPPONENT 3.1.

--ALVAREZ is 8-1 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 3.7, OPPONENT 3.1.

#909 SAN DIEGO @ #910 ST LOUIS - 7:15 PM
•Padres RH Jesse Hahn (7-3, 2.52 ERA, WHIP: 1.104) - Hahn did not figure in the decision against Colorado on Monday after yielding three runs on five hits and three walks in five innings. The 25-year-old has impressed during his rookie season, allowing three runs or fewer in each of his last 10 starts after surrendering four in his major-league debut June 3 against Pittsburgh. Hahn won his first career outing versus St. Louis on July 30, giving up just one run and four hits over seven frames.

•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (8-9, 4.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.376) - Miller had his four-game unbeaten streak - which included a relief appearance - snapped Sunday at Miami as he was reached for five runs and eight hits in five innings. The 23-year-old allowed a total of five runs over 19 2/3 frames during his unbeaten stretch but has posted just one victory in his last 10 starts. That triumph came July 31 at San Diego, where Miller yielded two runs and three hits - two homers - over six innings.

--KEY STAT: MILLER is 2-9 (-9.5 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 2.5, OPPONENT 5.0.

--MILLER is 11-2 UNDER (+8.6 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 3.2, OPPONENT 2.7.

#911 CINCINNATI @ #912 COLORADO - 8:10 PM
•Reds RH Dylan Axelrod (NR) - Axelrod was 8-8 with a 4.09 ERA in 23 games (21 starts) at the Triple-A level this season, including 2-1, 3.06 with Louisville after being acquired on July 17 from the Chicago White Sox for cash. The 29-year-old Californian, who was drafted in the 30th round (927th overall) by the San Diego Padres in 2007, is 7-13 with a 5.36 over three seasons (48 games) with Chicago, including 4-11, 5.68 in 2013. Axelrod is 5-10 with a 5.32 ERA in 30 major-league starts.

•Rockies RH Jordan Lyles (6-1, 3.70 ERA, WHIP: 1.295) - Lyles received a no-decision after allowing two runs and four hits in 5 1/3 innings of Colorado's 4-3 loss in San Diego on Monday in his second start since fracturing his left hand June 4. The 23-year-old South Carolina native worked on a new grip for his change-up during his recuperation period, prompting manager Walt Weiss to tell reporters: “I think it’s going to be a game-changer for him. It’s more of a split change. It's got some depth to it. I really think it’s going to change him as a pitcher, take him to the next level.” Lyles defeated Cincinnati 4-2 on May 10, when he allowed two runs and four hits while striking out eight in six innings.

#913 MILWAUKEE @ #914 LA DODGERS - 9:10 PM
•Brewers RH Yovani Gallardo (7-6, 3.44 ERA, WHIP: 1.234) - Gallardo missed the series with Los Angeles last weekend but started Monday at Chicago and came out with a win, allowing one run on six hits in seven innings. The Mexico native has surrendered one or no runs in three of his last four outings. Gallardo does not own a strong track record against the Dodgers, posting a 1-4 record with a 5.98 ERA in seven career starts.

--KEY STAT: GALLARDO is 7-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.0, OPPONENT 2.3.

•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (14-2, 1.78 ERA, WHIP: 0.851) - Kershaw breezed to his 14th win in Milwaukee on Sunday, yielding one run in eight innings while striking out six. The Cy Young winner has allowed two or fewer earned runs in 14 of his 19 starts in 2014. Kershaw has not lost since May 28 against Cincinnati and owns a 5-3 career record with a 3.05 ERA in nine starts against the Brewers.

--KEY STAT: KERSHAW is 34-9 (+15.8 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 4.2, OPPONENT 2.2.

--KERSHAW is 30-7 (+16.1 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 4.4, OPPONENT 2.2.

--KERSHAW is 9-24 against the run line (-15.7 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.0, OPPONENT 2.6.

--KERSHAW is 5-16 against the run line (-12.6 Units) in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.1, OPPONENT 2.6.

--KERSHAW is 15-5 UNDER (+9.3 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 4.3, OPPONENT 2.0.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, AUGUST 16th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#915 NY YANKEES @ #916 TAMPA BAY - 4:10 PM
•Yankees RH Shane Greene (3-1, 2.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.206) - Greene allowed three runs or fewer in five of his first six major-league starts, including eight scoreless innings to beat Detroit on Aug. 7 in his last outing. The 25-year-old Florida native, who faces Tampa Bay for the first time, has yielded 32 hits in 37 1/3 innings overall. Greene went 5-2 with a 4.61 ERA in Triple-A this season while opponents are batting only .227 against him in the majors.

•Rays LH Drew Smyly (7-10, 3.73 ERA, WHIP: 1.383) - Smyly recorded career highs with 7 2/3 innings and 116 pitches while blanking Texas on Monday for his first victory with the Rays. The 25-year-old gave up three runs over 5 1/3 innings in his other outing since being acquired from Detroit and has struck out 15 in his last 13 frames. Ichiro Suzuki is 3-for-7 versus Smyly, who is 1-0 with a save while permitting one run in 11 2/3 career innings against New York.

--KEY STAT: SMYLY is 1-9 (-10.5 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SMYLY 2.7, OPPONENT 5.4.

--SMYLY is 0-6 (-8.0 Units) against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SMYLY 2.0, OPPONENT 3.8.

#917 BALTIMORE @ #918 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
•Orioles RH Ubaldo Jimenez (4-8, 4.51 ERA, WHIP: 1.533) - Jimenez will be making his second start since coming off the disabled list last week. His return to the mound was a solid one, as he let up three runs in six innings of a 10-3 win over St. Louis on Saturday. Jimenez, who gave up five runs in four innings against Cleveland on May 24 at home, has allowed one run or fewer in five of his last seven road appearances.

--KEY STAT: JIMENEZ is 16-27 against the run line (-19.9 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JIMENEZ 3.8, OPPONENT 4.6.

--JIMENEZ is 31-17 UNDER (+12.0 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JIMENEZ 4.2, OPPONENT 4.3.

•Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (4-4, 3.60 ERA, WHIP: 1.114) - This will mark Carrasco's second start since rejoining the rotation after 26 straight relief appearances. He tossed five scoreless innings Sunday at the New York Yankees, easily his best showing in a starting role after going 0-3 with a 6.95 ERA in four starts earlier in the year. The Venezuela native is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA in two games (one start) in his career against Baltimore.

--KEY STAT: CARRASCO is 2-13 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CARRASCO 2.7, OPPONENT 6.6.

--CARRASCO is 5-17 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CARRASCO 3.3, OPPONENT 6.1.

#919 SEATTLE @ #920 DETROIT - 7:05 PM
•Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (13-3, 1.95 ERA, WHIP: 0.860) - Hernandez is enjoying a historic run with 16 straight starts of seven innings or more and two earned runs or fewer as he makes his bid toward another Cy Young Award. The Venezuelan struck out eight and scattered three hits over seven frames against the Blue Jays on Monday without issuing a walk. Hernandez last faced Detroit on April 17, 2013, and allowed one run on five hits in eight innings while striking out 12.

--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 18-5 UNDER (+11.9 Units) after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 2.7, OPPONENT 2.8.

•Tigers LH David Price (11-8, 3.21 ERA, WHIP: 1.052) - Price is being asked to carry an even bigger load with Anibal Sanchez on the disabled list and Justin Verlander dealing with shoulder issues. The trade deadline prize has yet to notch a win since joining the Tigers, allowing a total of seven runs and 13 hits in 14 2/3 innings spread across a pair of no decisions. Price faced Seattle twice earlier this season as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays and went 1-1 while surrendering a total of four runs and striking out 22 in 17 innings.

--KEY STAT: PRICE is 0-6 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 1.3, OPPONENT 5.5.

--PRICE is 14-3 UNDER (+10.4 Units) in home games versus an American League team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.1, OPPONENT 2.4.

--PRICE is 20-7 UNDER (+12.2 Units) in home games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.2, OPPONENT 3.2.
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#921 HOUSTON @ #922 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
•Astros RH Brad Peacock (3-8, 5.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.617) - Peacock is attempting to halt a four-start winless drought, which included back-to-back rocky outings in which he was pulverized for 15 runs on 14 hits over 8 2/3 innings. He limited Minnesota to two runs (one earned) last time out but needed 115 pitches to get through five frames. Peacock has been knocked out early in two career starts against the Red Sox, allowing six runs and six walks in only 3 2/3 innings.

•Red Sox RH Rubby De La Rosa (4-4, 3.21 ERA, WHIP: 1.292) - De La Rosa matched his career high with eight strikeouts and held the Los Angeles Angels to one run over seven frames last time out. That followed up six innings of one-run ball at St. Louis for De La Rosa, who has notched three consecutive quality starts. He made his major-league debut versus the Astros in 2011, striking out two in an inning of relief, but was knocked around by Houston for five runs in 4 2/3 innings just 3 1/2 weeks later.

#923 TORONTO @ #924 CHI WHITE SOX - 7:10 PM
•Blue Jays LH Mark Buehrle (11-8, 3.31 ERA, WHIP: 1.413) - Buehrle receives his third shot against the team with which he spent the initial 12 seasons of his career. The 35-year-old allowed two runs on six hits in eight innings to take the hard-luck loss versus Chicago on June 29. Buehrle has recorded just one win since that outing and was fortunate to walk away with a no-decision Sunday after permitting five runs in 3 1/3 innings versus Detroit.

--KEY STAT: BUEHRLE is 11-2 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 6.1, OPPONENT 3.0.

--BUEHRLE is 25-12 (+15.3 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 4.8, OPPONENT 3.8.

--BUEHRLE is 13-24 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 4.3, OPPONENT 4.6.

•White Sox LH John Danks (9-8, 4.96 ERA, WHIP: 1.469) - Danks suffered his second straight loss after yielding four runs on eight hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 4-2 setback to Seattle on Sunday. The 29-year-old has allowed at least four runs in each of his last five starts while surrendering a total of nine homers. Danks improved to 2-4 in his career versus Toronto after permitting two runs on five hits in six innings in a 5-4 win June 27.

--KEY STAT: DANKS is 18-30 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.5, OPPONENT 5.1.

--DANKS is 9-23 (-13.1 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.7, OPPONENT 5.5.

--DANKS is 29-41 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 4.1, OPPONENT 5.3.

#925 KANSAS CITY @ #926 MINNESOTA - 7:10 PM
•Royals RH Yordano Ventura (9-8, 3.45 ERA, WHIP: 1.301) - Ventura battled control issues but also turned in his third straight quality start Monday, permitting two runs in six innings against Oakland in a no-decision. The 23-year-old rookie is 4-1 over his last eight appearances, including a win over Minnesota on July 31 in which he allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits over seven innings. Ventura is 5-2 with a 3.57 ERA in nine starts away from home.

•Twins RH Phil Hughes (12-8, 3.88 ERA, WHIP: 1.221) - Hughes bounced from a three-start losing streak by winning each of his last two outings, going seven innings and yielding one runs on four hits to beat Oakland last time out. He struck out a season high-tying nine in six innings of one-run ball in his previous turn against San Diego. Although Hughes is 6-3 in 11 appearances (10 starts) versus the Royals, he has surrendered 10 homers in 54 1/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: HUGHES is 10-3 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUGHES 4.5, OPPONENT 3.0.

--HUGHES is 3-11 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUGHES 2.4, OPPONENT 6.1.

--HUGHES is 1-13 against the run line (-12.8 Units) in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUGHES 2.4, OPPONENT 6.1.

--HUGHES is 13-4 UNDER (+8.4 Units) after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUGHES 3.8, OPPONENT 2.9.
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#927 LA ANGELS @ #928 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Angels RH Matt Shoemaker (10-4, 3.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.207) - Shoemaker did his teammates a favor by coming out of the bullpen in a 19-inning marathon against Boston last Saturday and struck out four over three perfect frames to notch the win. The Michigan native has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last four appearances and issued only two walks in his last 30 1/3 innings. Shoemaker yielded one run and eight hits in 7 2/3 innings to earn a win over Texas on June 22.

•Rangers RH Colby Lewis (8-9, 5.42 ERA, WHIP: 1.659) - Lewis followed up his best start of the season - a shutout at Chicago - with a loss to Tampa Bay on Monday. The veteran lasted only five innings against the Rays and was charged with five runs - two earned - on five hits and four walks. Lewis had the worst start of his career against Los Angeles on July 10, allowing a franchise-record 13 runs - 11 earned - and a career-worst 13 hits in just 2 1/3 innings.

Interleague
#929 OAKLAND @ #930 ATLANTA - 7:10
•Athletics RH Sonny Gray (12-6, 2.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.208) - Gray rebounded from his worst showing of the season his last time out, holding Kansas City to two earned runs in seven innings of a 3-2 loss Monday. Gray allowed six earned runs on 10 hits in 4 1/3 innings during his previous start against Tampa Bay, and has a 4.42 ERA in the three losses this month. The Nashville native has never faced the Braves, but is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA in four appearances against National League competition.

•Braves RH Julio Teheran (10-9, 3.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.090) - Teheran is 15 innings shy of the 185 2/3 frames he pitched last season, and the 23-year-old may be showing some signs of fatigue. Like Gray he also has lost his past three starts, allowing 13 runs on 23 hits with seven walks in 21 1/3 innings and a .280 opponents batting average. Teheran, a National League All-Star selection, is 1-3 with a 4.46 ERA in the second half after going 9-6 with a 2.71 ERA before the break.

--KEY STAT: TEHERAN is 20-8 UNDER (+10.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.7, OPPONENT 2.6.

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Today's MLB Picks

Philadelphia at San Francisco

The Phillies look to follow up last night's 5-3 win in extra innings as they face a Giants team that is 1-5 in Tim Hudson's last 6 starts following a team loss. Philadelphia is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+170). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 16 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Philadelphia at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.414; San Francisco (Hudson) 14.521 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-200); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+170); Under

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 16.332; Washington (Gonzalez) 14.813 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-165); 7 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+145); Over

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Straily) 14.992; NY Mets (NIese) 15.811 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-155); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-155); Under

Game 907-908: Arizona at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.908; Miami (Alvarez) 16.423 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Miami (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-150); Over

Game 909-910: San Diego at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Hahn) 16.390; St. Louis (Miller) 14.412 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Under

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Axelrod) 15.765; Colorado (Lyles) 14.809 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 10 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 913-914: Milwaukee at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.806; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 17.521 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 6 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Under

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Greene) 15.624; Tampa Bay (Smyly) 16.436 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 7 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over

Game 917-918: Baltimore at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Jimenez) 14.366; Cleveland (Carrasco) 15.978 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125; Under

Game 919-920: Seattle at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 17.342; Detroit (Price) 18.867 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Over

Game 921-922: Houston at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 15.425; Boston (De La Rosa) 13.906 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-185); 9 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+165); Under

Game 923-924: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 14.221; White Sox (Danks) 16.309 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 11 Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Over

Game 925-926: Kansas City at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 16.339; Minnesota (Hughes) 15.487 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Shoemaker) 15.978; Texas (Lewis) 16.877 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (+145); Under

Game 929-930: Oakland at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gray) 17.502; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.198 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Over

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Chicago at Indiana

The Sky head to Indiana tonight and come into the contest with a 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games versus an Eastern Conference opponent. Chicago is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3). Here are all of today's WNBA picks

SATURDAY, AUGUST 16 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Chicago at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.411; Indiana 114.197 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 151 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 146 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3); Over

Game 653-654: New York at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 108.231; Washington 112.156 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 4; 149 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 6; 143 Dunkel Pick: New York (+6); Over

Game 655-656: Tulsa at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 105.325; Minnesota 113.847 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 8 1/2; Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 164 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Under

Game 657-658: Los Angeles at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 110.281; Phoenix 120.834 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 152 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 157 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8 1/2); Under

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Today's NFL Picks

Buffalo at Pittsburgh

The Steelers return home following last week's 20-16 loss to the Giants in New York as they host Buffalo on Saturday night. Pittsburgh is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL preseason picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 16 Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (8/12)

Game 411-412: Green Bay at St. Louis (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 117.284; St. Louis 121.856 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 4 1/2; 45 Vegas Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 40 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-2 1/2); Over

Game 413-414: NY Giants at Indianapolis (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 120.028; Indianapolis 119.488 Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 46 Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 2 1/2; 41 Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+2 1/2); Over

Game 415-416: Baltimore at Dallas (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 126.112; Dallas 119.132 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 7; 37 Vegas Line: Dallas by 1; 41 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+1); Under

Game 417-418: NY Jets at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 118.838; Cincinnati 125.989 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 7; 45 Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 41 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3 1/2); Over

Game 419-420: Buffalo at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 117.315; Pittsburgh 121.786 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 36 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 40 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2 1/2); Under

Game 421-422: Miami at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.514; Tampa Bay 117.249 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 33 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 37 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2); Under

Game 423-424: Atlanta at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 119.476; Houston 119.042 Dunkel Line: Even; 46 Vegas Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 40 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+2 1/2); Over

Game 425-426: Arizona at Minnesota (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 120.519; Minnesota 124.930 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 42 Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 38 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

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Today's CFL Picks

Calgary at Hamilton

The Stampeders head to Hamilton this afternoon and come into the contest with a 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Calgary is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-4). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 16 Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (8/11)

Game 125-126: Calgary at Hamilton (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 120.554; Edmonton 114.036 Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6 1/2; 46 Vegas Line: Calgary by 4; 51 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-4); Under

Game 127-128: Montreal at Saskatchewan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 103.872; Saskatchewan 120.826 Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 17; 44 Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 13 1/2; 48 Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-13 1/2); Under

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EZWINNERS

3* Yankees +115
3* Blue Jays -120
3* Rangers +1.5 -106

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | NY YANKEES at TAMPA BAY
Play On – Road teams (NY YANKEES) cold hitting team – batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest
122-100 over the last 5 seasons. ( 55.0% | 55.1 units )
14-15 this year. ( 48.3% | 1.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE is 96-78 (+50.7 Units) against the money line in Road games as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.1)