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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Wednesday MLB Play
1/2 Unit
Colorado O 9.5-105
1/2 Unit
Colorado O 9.5-105
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MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
Interleague Faves Pay Off
All five interleague favorites came through on a fairly predictable Tuesday night in the majors. Oakland (-232), Seattle (-157), Milwaukee (-147), Kansas City (-141) and Miami (-139) all prevailed while going 2-2-1 over/under. Wednesday features five more interleague matchups with Miami (-163), Philadelphia (-113), Milwaukee (-117), Oakland (-190) and Kansas City (-119) all favored.
No Love for the Padres
Covers readers have made it known they aren't big fans of the San Diego Padres Wednesday. The Padres (+136, 7.5) are the biggest underdogs in the Covers Consensus listings for the day, with only 24 percent of voters choosing them to beat the host Dodgers.
Kluber Building Value
Cleveland Indians pitcher Corey Kluber looks to continue his red-hot second half Thursday as he faces the host Minnesota Twins. Kluber is 4-0 with a 0.76 ERA in six second-half starts to vault himself to 15th in pitcher value at $655.
Pitching Notes
Oakland righty Jeff Samardzija will look to reverse his fortunes Wednesday as he and the Athletics (-190, 7) host the New York Mets in an interleague tilt. Samardzija is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in eight career appearances - including two starts - against the Mets.
Detroit Tigers lefty David Price makes his return to St. Petersburg for the first time in a different uniform as he faces the Tampa Bay Rays. Price is 2-1 straight up and 1-2 O/U in three starts with the Tigers, earning a win and a pair of no-decisions.
Hitting Notes
Mike Trout's recent slump hasn't affected the Los Angeles Angels (-137, 8.5), who continue their series against the host Boston Red Sox. Trout is just 4-for-27 with 10 strikeouts over his last seven games, but the Angels are 6-1 SU in that span.
Expect a rough night for Will Venable as he and the Padres face Zack Greinke and the Dodgers on Thursday. Venable is just 2-for-15 in his career versus Greinke and has struck out eight times - more than any other member of the San Diego roster.
Totals Streak
Washington Nationals (4-0-1 O/U): Pivotal to the Nationals' recent winning ways is a streaking offense that is averaging 5.6 runs over the past five games. That stretch has moved Washington to 33-23-7 O/U at home for the season, and 61-52-11 overall.
Prop of the Day
Riding the Nationals' recent knack of winning tight games could pay handsomely, with Washington at +320 to win by exactly one run. Five of the Nationals' eight victories during the streak have come by a run, including four of the last five.
Injury Notes
The San Diego Padres are expected to have starter Andrew Cashner back in the rotation this weekend in Arizona. Cashner, who has missed more than two months with a shoulder injury, is 2-6 with a 2.36 ERA and is -$22 for the season
The Dodgers believe that starter Josh Beckett may miss the remainder of the season from a hip injury. If he's done for the year, Beckett (6-6, 2.88 ERA) will finish as one of the worst value plays of 2014 at -$517 in 20 starts.
Weather Watch
Wind at Dodger Stadium will blow out to center field at 7 mph for Wednesday's game between the Padres and Dodgers. Teams averaged 1.96 home runs in 25 games under similar conditions in 2013 - well above the stadium average of 1.65.
Umpire Note of the Day
The home team is 11-1 in umpire Phil Cuzzi's last 12 games calling balls and strikes. Cuzzi will be behind home plate Wednesday when the Rays (-120, 7.5) host Detroit.Comment
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Mike Davis
4* Under 7 Seattle / Philly
4* Giants -125Comment
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Doc Sports
3* Braves +105Comment
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Sports Insurance Adjusters MLB
Wash -1.5 +115
LA Angels -1.5 +115
Balt -1.5 +110
LA Dodgers -1.5 +145
Free Play Miami -1.5 +125
(3*) Unless otherwise notedComment
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BONES BEST BET
What a card we have here! And the timing couldn’t be better as we are on a 6-1 run with our MLB plays! Time to capitalize guys.
BRAVES ML +104 *5* BEST BET
The better team and the hotter team at plus money? We will take it! The Braves have won 5 in a row including outscoring the Pirates 18-6 in the first two games of this series. Atlanta also owns a better record than the Pirates who have now dropped 7 straight games. Alex Wood has been solid for the Braves this season with a 1.23 WHIP and a 3.07 ERA, while owning a 1.86 ERA over his past 3 starts.
ANGELS ML -135 *4*
Another story of hot vs not here. The Angels are winners in 6 of their past 7 games and the Sox have dropped 4 of 5. Richards is a huge reason for the Angels success this season posting a 13-4 record and 2.53 ERA. He takes the hill tonight against an inconsistent and not very good Clay Buchholz. Buchholz has struggled through much of the season with a record of 5-7 and a 5.79 ERA. The Angels are playing for the AL West title and need to stay hot, this is a great spot here for them tonight.
ROYALS ML -120 *3*
Sound repetitive yet? The Royals are too hot to not keep playing on. 22-5 over their past 27 games. Meanwhile Colorado has dropped 5 of their last 8. Duffy has been fantastic this season for the Royals with a 1.09 WHIP and a 2.60 ERA. Have to keep putting our money here while KC is on fire.
MARINERS @ PHILLIES – UNDER 7 -125 *3*
Incredible pitching match up here, and getting 7 is HUGE! Paxton has not had a start with more than 3 ER in his career and owns a 0.94 WHIP and a 2.20 ERA this season. Hamels ha gone 10 straight starts with 3 ER or less and owns an impressive 1.14 WHIP and a 1.71 ERA over his last 3 starts.
MARLINS -1 -116 *2*
The Rangers are a mess – having dropped 7 of 10 and sitting at a disastrous 25-39 on the road this season. Miami is the opposite of all of that with a 37-30 home record and wins in 7 of 10. Meanwhile the pitching matchup heavily favors Miami as well with Eovaldi who has been decent this season and great of late up against Martinez who has had a terrible season (1.61 WHIP, 5.27 ERA) and an equally disastrous time over his past 3 starts (1.56 WHIP, 6.19 ERA).
REDS @ CARDINALS – UNDER 7 -112 *3*
REDS ML +106 *2*
With Cueto and Lynn on the mound we expect a low scoring pitchers dual. These pitchers are a combine 18-31 o/u this year. In games pitched by Cueto the Reds have scored an average of 3.7 runs and given up an average of 2.5. In games pitched by Lynn the Cards have scored an average of 3.6 and given up an average of 3.1. There is a ton of value at a 7 run total. In Cueto’s last 5 games he has pitched 39 innings and given up a total of 7 runs while striking out 39 and giving out 24 hits. Cards have went under in 8 of Lynn’s last 10 starts. He has been much better at home and at night with a 1.21 WHIP and 1.11 WHIP respectively.
Despite how good Lynn and the Cards have been there is value in the Reds. The Reds have faced Lynn twice this year. They have lost both games but scored 11 runs in those 2 games. This is a hedge on the under too because we are very confident in Cueto shutting down any team. The Reds have won Cueto’s last 5 starts and 8 of his last 10.Comment
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Road teams dominating American League action
Justin Hartling
The American League has been absolutely dominated by the travelling teams. Road teams are a stunning 13-2 since Sunday, including winning all eight on Monday and Tuesday.
The road team has outscored their hosting counterparts 92-48 in AL action over the past three days.Comment
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What early matchup is trending towards the under?
Andrew Caley
When the Blue Jays and Brewers finish of a mini two-game series in Milwaukee, it’s a matchup leaning towards the under.
The under is 14-3 in R.A. Dickey’s last 17 road starts against opponents with winnings records, while the Brewers are 2-8 over/under in their last 10 home games.
The total for game is currently at 8.5.Comment
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Ecks and Bacon
Ben lee lost on Tuesday in MLB in the National League with the Pirates -$140/Braves.
For Wednesday in MLB in Interleague play "Mr Chalk" likes the Marlins -$160/Rangers.
Ben lee is 1-1 -$20 for week forty three 191-222-5 -$2982
"Mr Chalk" is 65-48 -$375 for the 2014 MLB season.
All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.Comment
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ArthurnRalph's
Super pick Night Baltimore w/ Chen -150
AFTERNOON Blue Ribbon Miami w/ Eovaldi -170Comment
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Robert Ferringo
3* Giants -125
3* Under 7 Seattle / Philly
2* NYY -1.5 -105
2* Under 7.5 ATL / PITT
1* ATL +105
1* LAA -140
1* KC -125
1* Under 8 HOU/NYY
1* Under 7.5 DET/TB
1* Under 7.5 SD / LADComment
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Indian Cowboy
3* under-8.5-balt-wsoxComment
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Burns' 10* MLB Personal Favorite! Prediction: Pittsburgh PiratesComment
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Cappers Finest:
Prez: Padres/Dodgers F5, OVER 4, 2 units
Prez: Rays ML, 3 Units
Nuggz: Rangers ML 1 unit
Nuggz: Phillies/Mariners Under 7, 3 unitsComment
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MLB Premium PicksJack Jones 2014-08-23 (3 days)
Top Pick
MLB Aug 20 ,2014 7:15p [905] Cincinnati Reds
[906] St. Louis CardinalsCincinnati Reds +107
at BMaker20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cincinnati Reds +107
The Cincinnati Reds are highly motivated for a victory. They have lost four straight and seven of eight, but they are still just five games out in the NL wild card race with plenty to play for the rest of the way. Their lone victory during this rough stretch came with tonight's starter on the mound.
Johnny Cueto is one of the best starters in baseball. He can be the majors' first pitcher to 16 victories while winning a sixth straight start Wednesday. Cueto is 15-6 with a 2.06 ERA and 0.906 WHIP in 26 starts this season. He has allowed a total of seven runs while winning each of his last five starts.
In his last two starts against St. Louis, Cueto has pitched 14 innings while allowing just two runs on a pair of solo homers. Lance Lynn has not fared well against Cincinnati, posting a 4.80 ERA in eight career starts. In two starts against the Reds this year, Lynn has posted a 6.55 ERA while yielding eight runs in 11 innings.
Cueto is 13-3 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Dating back further, Cincinnati is 42-16 in Cueto's last 58 starts with a total set of 7 to 8.5. The Reds have not been swept in St. Louis since Sept. 26-28, 2008, which is something that Cueto and company will be looking to avoid tonight. Bet the Reds Wednesday.Comment
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