8-22-14

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CFL

Week 9

Montreal (1-6) @ Winnipeg (5-3)-- Bombers (+3) won 34-33 at Montreal in Week 3, even though they were outgained by 105 yards- that game started Als on 5-game losing streak. Winnipeg won three in row, five of last six series games with visitor winning five of last six meetings. Alouettes scored total of 24 points in losing all three road games, by 21-36-5 points (1-2 as road underdog); five of their last seven visits here went over total. Montreal was outscored 64-20 in first half of their last four games. Bombers lost last two games after 5-1 start; they're 1-1 as home favorites, winning first two home games by 24-8 points, losing last two at home.

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX
Play Under – Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, playing with 3 or more days rest
55-24 since 1997. ( 69.6% | 28.6 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

WNBA | CHICAGO at ATLANTA
Play On – Home favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) off a loss against a division rival, in August or September games
243-86 since 1997. ( 73.9% | 0.0 units )
7-2 this year. ( 77.8% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX
Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games
139-78 since 1997. ( 64.1% | 53.2 units )
14-4 this year. ( 77.8% | 9.6 units )

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PAUL LEINER

100* Chicago Bears +7
100* Dodgers -140
50* Orioles -115

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RICH SPORTS

(NFLX)

3* Carolina Panthers+6
2* Chicago vs Seattle - Over 45

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EZWINNERS

MLB

2* (903) Giants +$135
2* (905) Braves -$105
2* (911) Padres -$105

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Friday's Preseason Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider

Week 2 Recap: The home teams started strong last week by winning the first five games, but the road clubs rebounded by going 6-5 in the final 11 contests. The 'over' went 10-6 last week, while the 'over' cashed in last night's Eagles/Steelers contest to kick off Week 3 of the preseason.

Jaguars at Lions (-3, 44½)

2014 Preseason Records:
JAX: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS
DET: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS

Preseason review: The Jaguars have played a pair of low-scoring affairs, while squandering a 19-7 lead in the fourth quarter of a 20-19 setback at Chicago last Thursday. Jacksonville managed to cover as three-point underdogs, but the Jags have scored just 35 points in its first two exhibition games. The Lions are coming off consecutive one-point decisions, as Detroit lost in the final seconds at Oakland last Friday, 27-26 as three-point ‘dogs.

Last preseason meeting: First preseason meeting ever

Panthers at Patriots (-5½, 45½)

2014 Preseason Records:
CAR: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
NE: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Preseason review: New England outlasted Philadelphia, 42-35 as two-point favorites last week in Tom Brady’s preseason debut, as all six quarterbacks that played each threw at least one touchdown pass. The Panthers cruised past the Chiefs, 28-16 in their second preseason contest at home, one week after falling to the Bills. Carolina has cashed the ‘over’ in five of its past six home exhibition contests.

Last preseason meeting: Patriots beat Panthers, 24-7 as one-point road underdogs in 2007.

Expert Analysis: Pat Hawkins - The Panthers under head coach Ron Rivera have proven over the last two seasons that they take the "dress rehearsal" preseason game very seriously going 2-0 last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Pats under Bill Belichick have gone 0-6 in the last six dress rehearsal games. Look for the Carolina defense to be strong limiting Brady and Company as the Pats treat this game as just a warm-up.

Giants at Jets (PK, 42½)

2014 Preseason Records:
NYG: 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS
NYJ: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS

Preseason review: The Giants have won their three exhibition games by a combined nine points, while erasing a 26-0 deficit in a 27-26 victory over the Colts. The Jets are also unbeaten in the preseason, as New York rallied from 14 points down in the third quarter to stun Cincinnati, 25-17 as three-point underdogs.

Last preseason meeting: Jets beat Giants, 24-21 in overtime as one-point road favorites in 2013.

Expert Analysis: The Gold Sheet - The Giants, despite their 27-26 fluke win last week at Indianapoils last week, continue to struggle with their new offense, which was scoreless for the first three quarters until Indy played its deep reserves. This is a Jets "home" game tonight in East Rutherford, and they should have the majority of the fans. These preseason Giants-Jets games have always been more meaningful to the Jets against the more established Giants. This year, the Jets are deeper at RB and sounder on defense than the Giants.

Raiders at Packers (-7, 44)

2014 Preseason Records:
OAK: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
GB: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Preseason review: The Raiders have looked clunky through two preseason games, losing at Minnesota in the opener, 10-7, while rallying to top Detroit at home, 27-26 last Friday, but failed to cover each time. The Packers put together a solid effort in a 21-7 triumph at St. Louis last Saturday, racking up 386 yards on offense, while cashing as 2½-point road underdogs.

Last preseason meeting: Raiders beat Packers, 24-13 as five-point home favorites in 2001.

Bears at Seahawks (-7, 45)

2014 Preseason Records:
CHI: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
SEA: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Preseason review: The Bears hit the road for the first time this preseason after coming off a pair of close home wins over the Eagles and Jaguars. Chicago erased deficits in each win, including coming back from a 28-17 hole against Philadelphia in a 34-28 victory in the opener. The Seahawks saw their eight-game preseason winning streak come to an end in the opener at Denver, but Seattle rebounded in a huge way by dominating San Diego, 41-14 last week as six-point home favorites.

Last preseason meeting: Seahawks beat Bears in overtime, 29-26 as one-point home underdogs in 2006.

Expert Analysis: Bruce Marshall - Pete Carroll's team looks to have rebounded quickly from its opening loss at Denver with a characteristic solid exhibition romp past San Diego last Friday. That marked the 10th SU win in 11 preseason games and 11th cover in 12 exhibitions for Carroll. Moreover, only one of those ten Seahawks wins was by a single-digit margin, and even that was by seven points and a spread cover last August at Green Bay. We'll stick with recent preseason history and ride with Seattle once more.

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Advanced sports investments

perry’s soccer club (-1.15)

germany – 2nd bundesliga
1230pm- tsv 1860 munchen @ 1. Fc heidenheim – over 2.5 -105

france – ligue 2
2pm- tours fc @ ac ajaccio – over 2 -140
2pm- ajaccio gfco @ clermont foot – under 2 -107

brazil – serie b
845pm- vasco da gama rj @ icasa ce – under 2.5 -130

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PJ’ TENNIS CORNER (+3.85)
ATP – WINSTON-SALEM OPEN @ WINSTON SALEM, NC
3PM- Y LU -190 vs L ROSOL

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MLB betting cheat sheet: Diamondbacks limp home

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend’s major-league action:

Unders Galore

Thursday was the most profitable Under day of the season, with teams combining to go 0-8-1 O/U. Only two teams – Atlanta and San Francisco – scored more than four runs, while the Braves, New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays, Los Angeles Angels and Washington Nationals all recorded shutouts.

Diamondbacks Limp Home

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-121, 8.5) return home Friday for their series-opening tilt with the San Diego Padres. The Diamondbacks went 2-8 on their 10-game road trip through Cleveland, Miami and Washington, scoring just 21 runs on the entire trip en route to a 4-6 O/U mark.

Lester’s Home-Field Advantage

Jon Lester should have a decided upper hand Saturday as he and the Oakland Athletics face fellow lefty C.J. Wilson and the visiting Angels. Lester is 7-4 with a 1.88 ERA and a 3-10 O/U mark in home starts this season, while Wilson is 3-6 with a 5.22 ERA on the road.

Sale Owns Yankees

Best of luck to the Bronx Bombers on Sunday, as they tangle with Chris Sale and the Chicago White Sox. Sale is 3-0 with a 0.85 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 31 2/3 career innings versus the Yankees, and tossed six innings of one-hit, 10-strikeout ball against them earlier this season.

Pitching Notes

* Felix Hernandez will look to start a new streak of impressive starts Friday as he and the Seattle Mariners (-180, 7) face the host Boston Red Sox. Hernandez went just five innings in his last start, ending his streak of outings with seven or more innings and two or fewer runs allowed at 16.

* Jordan Lyles has an impressive string on the line Saturday as he leads the host Colorado Rockies into a showdown with the Miami Marlins. Lyles has racked up five consecutive overs – going 1-0 with four no-decisions over that span – and is 11-4 O/U for the year.

* Stephen Strasburg has had plenty of success against San Francisco as he and the Washington Nationals entertain the Giants on Sunday. Strasburg is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in four career starts versus the Giants, including an impressive win as a -127 favorite back in June.

Hitting Notes

* The Mariners may have some trouble containing David Ortiz. The Boston Red Sox slugger has been red-hot over the past seven days, going 12-for-21 with four home runs and eight RBIs – and he’s the only one hitting well for Boston, which has dropped five straight.

* It could be a long Saturday for Rays outfielder David DeJesus. He’s hitting just .179 with two doubles and a homer in 78 career at-bats versus Toronto Blue Jays left-hander Mark Buehrle, who gets the call in the second game of the series.

* John Jaso will look to end his struggles versus Jered Weaver when the Athletics and Angels do battle Sunday. Jaso has just one hit in 17 career at-bats against Weaver, though he has drawn five walks – the most of any Oakland hitter versus Weaver.

Totals Streak

Baltimore Orioles (1-5-1 O/U): Solid pitching has been the catalyst for the Orioles’ four-game winning streak; they’ve allowed just seven runs during that stretch, which was capped by a sweep of the host Chicago White Sox. Baltimore is 54-68-3 O/U for the year.

Prop of the Day

Bettors may want to take a chance on the Miami Marlins prevailing by exactly one run Friday night in Colorado (+600). The Marlins have played one-run games in nine of right-hander Henderson Alvarez’s last 14 starts – and won all nine.

Injury Notes

* The Angels have lost starter Garrett Richards for the rest of the season with a torn patellar tendon. Richards was one of the best value plays in the majors this season, racking up $1,060 as the Angels went 19-7 in his 26 starts.

* The Dodgers are expected to have shortstop Hanley Ramirez (oblique) back in the lineup Sunday afternoon against the Mets. Ramirez has missed the last 12 games with the injury; Los Angeles is 6-6 SU, 5-7 O/U and -131 units in his absence.

Weather Watch

* Wind at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington will blow in from right field at 9 mph for Friday’s game between host Texas (+134, 9) and Kansas City. Teams averaged 8.19 runs and 1.85 homers in 27 games under similar conditions in 2013, slightly below stadium averages.

* A 9 mph wind will blow in from center field Saturday when the Red Sox host the Mariners. Teams averaged just 1.57 homers while batting a paltry .227 in seven games with the wind blowing in from center a year ago – well below Fenway Park averages.

** Odds, stats, weather forecasts and probable pitchers as of 9:45 a.m. ET Friday.

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RIVER CITY SHARPS

While the Pirates are trying to stay in touch with the NL wildcard, they find themselves travelling to an unfriendly place as they open up a series with the Milwaukee Brewers this weekend. The big problem for the Pirates is that the Brewers have absolutely owned the Pirates in Milwaukee and really overall. This season, the Brewers are 5-1 at Miller Park vs. Pittsburgh and since 2007, the Brewers are 53-13 at home vs. the Pirates! Tonight the Pirates give the ball to lefty Jeff Locke, who has struggled on the road and vs. the Brewers over his career. He will be opposed by Yovani Gallardo, who was absolutely brilliant in his last win over Clayton Kershaw and the LA Dodgers. While the Pirates did get a win Wednesday over the Braves, they have been struggling mightily over the last couple of weeks. They are 1-7 in their last eight games vs. teams with a winning record and 0-4 in Locke’s last four road starts. Milwaukee is playing good baseball as they lead the NL Central, going 10-4 in their last 14 games as a home favorite and a perfect 6-0 in the last six series openers. Gallardo is going to give the Brew Crew another solid effort and the Milwaukee domination of the Bucs continues tonight. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – MILWAUKEE BREWERS (-130)

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NEWSLETTER Major League Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports

Take ‘Over’ 8.5 – San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m., Friday, Aug. 22)
We should see runs aplenty in Friday night’s matchup in Arizona. First and foremost, we have two starting pitchers that are overrated in my book. Odrisamer Despaigne comes in with a 3.28 ERA, but that’s extremely deceiving. First of all, half of his starts have been in pitcher-friendly Petco Park in San Diego. But even beyond that, Despaigne has a horrid 37-23 K/BB ratio and he’s been fortunate with a low BABIP of .269 thus far. As a result, we’re going to see Despaigne getting knocked around a little bit before this season ends. Chase Field is much less forgiving for pitchers, so there’s a good chance he gets roughed up a little bit tonight. For the Diamondbacks, right-hander Josh Collmenter toes the rubber. His numbers aren’t terrible, but a 4.31 ERA and 1.30 WHIP are certainly nothing to get excited about. He did work out of the bullpen a little bit and that generally is much easier work than facing hitters multiple times in the same game. I’ve never liked Collmenter’s stuff very much as he doesn’t throw hard and relies too much on deceiving hitters and hitting the corners of the plate. He was able to get by like that over the first few years of his career, but hitters are finally catching up with him. The Padres have been swinging the bats better than anyone else in the NL since the All-Star break, so no reason for that to end tonight. This one has all the makings of a slugfest, so we’ll sit back and tally the runs as they cross the plate. Take the over here.

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NEWSLETTER NFL Preseason Prediction From Jason Sharpe

Take #254 Detroit (-3) over Jacksonville (7:30 p.m., Friday, Aug. 22)
The Detroit Lions love to impress their loyal fan base and they will usually try to do so by putting on a good show when at home in the preseason. Look no further than the fact the Lions are 12-1 in their last 13 preseason home contests. Not only do the Lions usually win these meaningless contests but will do so in very strong fashion usually as their winning margin has been by an average of 12 points per victory during this stretch.

Last year the Lions won their Week 3 preseason game at home by a 40-9 score. The one before that was a 34-10 home win in the week three preseason home game back in 2011. In 2010 the Lions also played at home in week three and scored 35 points in that game as well meaning the last three times in this spot they’ve averaged 36 points per game and scored 34 or more points in each one. This is obviously a franchise looking to entertain their fan base here in what is considered by many the so called “dress rehearsal” contest for NFL teams.

Jacksonville is a team in rebuilding mode. The Jaguars went 4-12 last year in what was head coach Gus Bradley’s first season. The goal right now for the Jaguars is to try and restore some pride and excitement back into what was not only a very bad but also boring football team last year. The Jaguars scored the fewest points in the NFL last season and because of that they made it a point to go out and take the first quarterback in this year’s 2014 NFL draft by grabbing Blake Bortles. Developing Bortles seems to be priority number one for them this preseason as Bradley stated he will let Bortles play with the first team this week against Detroit despite the fact he will not be their opening day starter. A move like this proves that is that Jacksonville is concerned more about Bortles getting some quality playing time over them winning this meaningless game here. Take Detroit minus the points

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NEWSLETTER NFL Preseason Prediction From Robert Ferringo

Take ‘Under’ 45.5 - Carolina at New England (7:30 p.m., Friday, Aug. 22)
There is just never any telling what Bill Belichick is going to do with his starters in the preseason. He could play Tom Brady for an entire game. He could play him one series. He could not play him at all. With a fierce Carolina pass rush on tap this week I think that Belichick will protect his star player. Also, the Patriots offense got a lot of work in last week against the run-run-run Philadelphia system. The Panthers defense looked really good last week against Kansas City and I expect the Panthers to play full bore in this game. Carolina knows what it is: a team that runs the ball and plays great defense. They aren’t going to find the going too easy against an improved Patriots defense. But I also don’t see Carolina trying to get too creative to score points in this one. The Panthers have gone ‘over’ in both of their preseason games this year. But I don’t see that trend continuing. They are 1-3 against the total in Weeks 3 and 4 the last two years and I think that this one will go ‘under’.

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DIY SPORTS BETTING SYSTEMS / SAM OCONNEL

Pittsburgh Pirates at +135

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NFLPredictions/Kevin

Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks – SEAHAWKS -7 (-105)