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top play chicago white sox
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King Creole
Milwaukee Under 7Comment
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Andre Gomes | MLB Total
MLB Pick #1: 965 Texas Rangers @ 966 Seattle Mariners
(Starting Pitchers: C. Lewis vs. E. Ramirez)
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Over 7.5 @ +100 / 2.00 on BetOnline
My fair line for this contest is 8-runs so we are getting some value in my opinion w/ OVER @ plus money. This series has been a low scoring one w/ the first 2 games going bellow the total posted, but I think that both offenses will have some edge vs. SP's in this matchup.
TEX SP's Colby Lewis has been ultra inconsistent lately w/ some high pitch count numbers on his L3 starts. His problems vs. LH batters this season are well noticed as he is allowing LH bats to have .352 BA + .406 wOBA against him! Now, here's SEA lineup for today:
1. Austin Jackson (R) CF
2. Dustin Ackley (L) LF
3. Robinson Cano (L) DH
4. Kendrys Morales (S) 1B
5. Kyle Seager (L) 3B
6. Mike Zunino (R) C
7. Logan Morrison (L) RF
8. Chris Taylor (R) SS
9. Brad Miller (L) 2B
6 LH batters on the lineup! This SEA lineup is a bad matchup for him and no wonder, Lewis had some problems vs. SEA on his 3 starts against them this season by allowing 5, 3 & 4 ER's!
On the other side, SEA will send Erasmo Ramirez to the mound and he is basically just filling a spot for them to give some rest to SEA's elite SP's. Ramirez' numbers in this season aren't that good w/ 4.06 ERA, 5.15 FIP & 4.67 xFIP! TEX struggled in the first 2 games of the series because they have faced 2 young LHP's who are pitching well lately in Elias and Paxton. The same cannot be said about Ramirez and therefore, I also expect them to put some runs in the scoreboard in this contest.Comment
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LineCatchers
The Orioles were swept at the hands of the Cubs over the weekend and have recovered by taking the first two games of this series against the Rays, but in my view, tonights matchup is very favourable for Tampa Bay, especially on the mound.
Drew Smyly gets the nod for the Rays and has been solid since joining the Tampa rotation after the David price trade to Detroit, Smyly has gone 2-1 with a 1.55 ERA and 0.76 WHIP over four starts and has struck out 23 batters. In his last 2 road outings, Smyly has pitched 16 2/3 innings of scoreless baseball and allowed just 3 walks to 13 punch outs. The lefty has faced the Orioles once this campaign, allowing just 1 ER in 6 IP.
Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for Baltimore who will be looking to take a 3-0 lead in this 4 game series tonight. Gausman has allowed at least 3 ER in 4 of his last 5 trips to the mound and has issued 11 walks in that span. In 7 home starts, Gausman is 4-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. The righty has faced the Rays 3 times in is career, going 1-2 with a lofty 7.05 ERA and 1.83 WHIP, 2 of those starts were in 2014. The Rays collectively have a combined .286 BA against Gausman to go with a .375 OBP this year.
The Rays are an impressive 8-1 in their last nine Game 3’s of a road series, I look for them to make to 9-1 tonight.
Tampa Bay Rays + 105Comment
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SHAKER’S SHORTS
#968 Tampa Rays/Baltimore Orioles – UNDER 4.5 -115 – 1st 5 InningsComment
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Topshelfpicks
Carson K
1* Mets
1* RaysComment
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DAVE COKIN
Welcome to the first installment of “Wise Guy Wednesday”, a new feature that should prove interesting to follow throughout the coming football season. Each Wednesday, I’ll be running through the college and NFL schedule with a rundown of games that are drawing pro action, thus the “wise guy” title.
A few important notes before glancing at this week’s slate. First off, these are not necessarily plays I’m on myself. I really don’t care what anyone else is playing, be they a pro or a Joe. But like many bettors, I at least like to know where the supposed sharper dollars are going. This can be of substantial value in determining when to play. I might be strictly playing just my own opinions, but the idea is to try and get the optimum number, and being able to garner a good idea of where the betting line on a game is likely to go will undoubtedly pay dividends over the course of a full season.
As to how this information is obtained, I can tell you it’s not based on bet percentages that can be found at various websites. Not that there’s anything wrong with that info, but there are times when it can be misleading even though it’s factual. I prefer to rely on what I’ll simply call excellent sources on both sides of the window here in Las Vegas, from faraway places, and from contacts at key locations back east.
Enough with the preliminaries. Let’s get to the games. I’ll be including the scheduling rotation numbers with these games so they’ll be easy to locate.
#136 UL Monroe drew some sharp early play, but now it’s a major case of follow the leader. One of my contacts said that “everyone and their uncle” is playing the Warhawks at this point, and this is the biggest mover of the week. I would expect some Wake Forest buy back at some point as those who scored UL-Monroe at the early price will be unable to resist a huge middling opportunity.
#141 Temple is a sharp side. The Owls were hit hard by pros a couple days ago, and the sheep are now firing away as well, driving the spread through a key number in the process. My info is that this line will continue to drop.
#151 UTSA is sharp vs. square with the pros grabbing the points. As this will be a later start on Friday, public dollars could push the line back up a bit when it gets close to post time.
#153 UNLV is getting a little support from the pros, while favored Arizona is preferred by the other side, although it’s not overwhelming either way.
#164 UAB took some serious action on Tuesday. I’ll be candid, I’m pretty good at knowing where lines will go before they actually do so, but this one caught me by surprise.
$169 Florida Atlantic is a clear pro/Joe battleground, with, according to two of my contacts, “all” of the sharper bucks on the underdog.
#187 Western Michigan is getting some sharp play, but not as much as the line drop might indicate. Apparently, it’s more a case of scant action, but what exists is more on the dog.
#205 Utah State is drawing some good play, prompting a “$%^&* Tennessee” response from one of my contacts. Bookies have very good memories, and fading the Vols was good for the bettors and bad for the accountants last season, especially down the stretch. So I wasn’t surprised to hear a bit of profanity when assessing the action on this game.
#210 Louisville is getting the sharper early dollars and note that this line has gone through a key number. The opinions offered seemed to indicate it’s more likely to continue ascending as we get closer to post time.
That’s it for the first edition of “Wise Guy Wednesday.” Back with more next week.Comment
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Umpire Streakers
#955 UN 6.5 -105 ATL/NYM 1.05u/1.00u
Muchlinski 8ov/15un L23gms 65.2%
#967 UN 8 -105 TB/BAL 1.05u/1.00u
Barry 7ov/15un L22gms 68.2%
#971 UN 8.5 -110 BOS/TOR 1.10u/1.00u
Guccione 9ov/14un L23gms 60.9%
#959 UN 7 -110 MIL/SD 1.10u/1.00u
Ripperger 10ov/15un L25gms 60.0%Comment
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Rooster
960 SD PADRES under 7Comment
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THE CAPTAIN (NCAAF)
2 Unit Abilene Christian +4.5Comment
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Locksmith Sports
2* - Oakland -156
2* - Tampa Bay +101
2* - New York Mets +114
3* - Tampa Bay/Baltimore Under 8 -110Comment
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Sports Pick Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays/Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8, -105 (2 units)
Tampa Bay Rays +100 (EVEN MONEY) (2 units)
Boston Red Sox/Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9, -105 (2 units)
Minnesota Twins +100 (EVEN MONEY) (2 units)Comment
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Cappers Finest:
Prez: Yankees +1.5 RL, -140, 2 units
Prez: Rays ML, 2 units
Prez: Rockies F5, RL +.5, 2 units
Nuggz: Yankees +1.5 RL, -140, 2 units
Nuggz: Yankees, ML +160, 2 units
Nuggz, Rays, ML, 2 units
Nuggz, Mets +115, 2 units
Nuggz: Cubs +160, ML, 2 unitsComment
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Sammy P
20* under 7.5 Det/YanksComment
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Docs Sports Investors Plays
System A
Tampa Bay ML
System B
Colorado/San Fran ov7
System C
Oakland/Houston ov8.5Comment
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