8-30-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATFOX DAVE

FAU (169) AT NEBRASKA (170)
Latest Line: HUSKERS -21.5; Total: 51.5

Gonna fade the line movement in this contest as bettors are overrating FAU QB Jaquez Johnson while underrating Nebraska QB Tommy Armstrong, who went 7-1 as a starter and guided the CORNHUSKERS to the huge bowl upset of Georgia. Close to a "Hammertime" play but not quite.
PLAY ON: NEBRASKA -21.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vincent Rizzo

Indiana -30

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns 10* Game of Month: Ohio +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

75 DIME MONEY MOVE UNDERDOG SHOCKER

Navy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exodus to Black

CFB

NC ST over 58
BC-17
Rice+21.5
Ohio under 48
LSU-4
Florida-36.5
Florida St-19
Alabama-22.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter

CFB

Marshall

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI

Saturday, August 30, 2014	Mid-American Conference	KENT STATE		27.1	Ohio		21.3	18:00 ET
.		Southeastern Conference	AUBURN		49.5	Arkansas		15.1	16:00 ET
.		FBS Non-Conference	INDIANA		53.7	Indiana State		13.8	12:00 ET
.			KENTUCKY		29.3	UT Martin		20.3	12:00 ET
.			MICHIGAN		40.3	Appalachian State		16.4	12:00 ET
.			PITTSBURGH		42.7	Delaware		15.8	12:00 ET
.			PURDUE		32.8	Western Michigan		23.0	12:00 ET
.			Ohio State		40.6	Navy		29.3	12:00 ET
.			Ucla		44.2	VIRGINIA		11.9	12:00 ET
.			ILLINOIS		36.7	Youngstown State		26.7	12:00 ET
.			IOWA		28.1	Northern Iowa		3.4	12:00 ET
.			North Dakota State		38.7	IOWA STATE		16.4	12:00 ET
.			Troy		50.6	UAB		34.7	12:00 ET
.			GEORGIA TECH		37.8	Wofford		10.2	12:30 ET
.			Georgia Southern		28.6	NC STATE		25.9	12:30 ET
.			BALL STATE		44.5	Colgate		17.8	14:00 ET
.			AIR FORCE		44.9	Nicholls State		31.7	14:00 ET
.			Boston College		41.2	MASSACHUSETTS		10.3	15:00 ET
.			NEVADA		34.4	Southern Utah		14.9	15:00 ET
.			BUFFALO		31.7	Duquesne		10.4	15:30 ET
.			MARYLAND		33.6	James Madison		15.2	15:30 ET
.			Marshall		47.5	MIAMI (OHIO)		13.3	15:30 ET
.			OLD DOMINION		50.5	Hampton		24.9	15:30 ET
.			MISSOURI		43.4	South Dakota State		12.3	15:30 ET
.			NEBRASKA		32.5	Florida Atlantic		13.9	15:30 ET
.			NORTHWESTERN		40.0	California		23.2	15:30 ET
.			Alabama		47.9	West Virginia		17.9	15:30 ET
.			NOTRE DAME		32.4	Rice		14.0	15:30 ET
.			VIRGINIA TECH		17.2	William & Mary		7.2	16:00 ET
.			Montana		38.3	WYOMING		35.0	16:00 ET
.			OREGON STATE		54.7	Portland State		20.0	16:00 ET
.			STANFORD		48.1	UC Davis		0.0	16:00 ET
.			Clemson		39.6	GEORGIA		31.3	17:30 ET
.			DUKE		56.0	Elon		6.0	18:00 ET
.			EASTERN MICHIGAN		31.0	Morgan State		27.4	18:00 ET
.			NORTH CAROLINA		44.3	Liberty		17.4	18:00 ET
.			Bethune-Cookman		25.5	FIU		13.9	19:00 ET
.			FLORIDA		43.5	Idaho		9.3	19:00 ET
.			SOUTH FLORIDA		31.1	Western Carolina		12.6	19:00 ET
.			New Hampshire		31.2	TOLEDO		30.1	19:00 ET
.			ARKANSAS STATE		37.8	Montana State		15.9	19:00 ET
.			UL LAFAYETTE		43.9	Southern		14.8	19:00 ET
.			MEMPHIS		39.8	Austin Peay		1.7	19:00 ET
.			MIDDLE TENNESSEE		49.1	Savannah State		2.6	19:00 ET
.			OKLAHOMA		56.1	Louisiana Tech		0.0	19:00 ET
.			TCU		37.3	Samford		16.1	19:00 ET
.			TEXAS STATE		47.4	Arkansas-Pine Bluff		19.9	19:00 ET
.			TEXAS TECH		53.6	Central Arkansas		21.8	19:00 ET
.			SAN DIEGO STATE		34.7	Northern Arizona		17.0	19:00 ET
.			KANSAS STATE		70.7	Stephen F. Austin		15.1	19:10 ET
.			USC		44.1	Fresno State		26.2	19:30 ET
.			MISSISSIPPI STATE		50.4	Southern Miss		5.4	19:30 ET
.			EAST CAROLINA		49.0	North Carolina Central		8.1	20:00 ET
.			TEXAS		26.5	North Texas		18.9	20:00 ET
.			Florida State		42.0	Oklahoma State		27.4	20:00 ET
.			NEW MEXICO		44.0	Utep		32.6	20:00 ET
.			Lsu		25.4	Wisconsin		22.0	21:00 ET
.			OREGON		52.0	South Dakota		0.7	22:30 ET
.			Washington		53.3	HAWAI'I		22.7	22:30 ET
.			Penn State	10	24.8	Ucf	3	31.3	HALF
.		FCS Non-Conference	GEORGETOWN		20.1	Wagner		17.8	12:00 ET
.			MONMOUTH		23.2	Delaware State		13.4	13:00 ET
.			UALBANY		29.8	Holy Cross		22.5	18:00 ET
.			BUCKNELL		28.6	Vmi		10.8	18:00 ET
.			FORDHAM		32.4	Saint Francis (Pa.)		16.1	18:00 ET
.			MAINE		32.2	Norfolk State		0.2	18:00 ET
.			RICHMOND		62.0	Morehead State		10.1	18:00 ET
.			TOWSON		56.3	Central Connecticut State		10.2	18:00 ET
.			Coastal Carolina		36.6	THE CITADEL		31.6	18:00 ET
.			SACRED HEART		31.1	Marist		20.1	18:00 ET
.			FURMAN		29.1	Gardner-Webb		7.3	19:00 ET
.			Sacramento State		31.2	INCARNATE WORD		20.6	19:00 ET
.			JACKSON STATE		24.6	Florida A&M		14.7	19:00 ET
.			SAM HOUSTON STATE		47.0	Alabama State		24.4	19:30 ET
.			SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA		56.9	Jacksonville		19.1	20:00 ET
.			LAMAR		44.6	Grambling State		23.0	20:00 ET
.	Sunday, August 31, 2014	FBS Non-Conference	Utah State		21.6	TENNESSEE		18.7	19:00 ET
.			BAYLOR		51.1	Smu		20.1	19:30 ET
.		Southwestern Athletic Conference	Prairie View A&M		40.7	TEXAS SOUTHERN		25.9	17:00 ET
.		FCS Non-Conference	North Carolina A&T		24.4	Alabama A&M		14.5	11:45 ET
.	Monday, September 1, 2014	Atlantic Coast Conference	LOUISVILLE		35.1	Miami (Fla.)		17.6	19:00 ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat Jack

#155 Central Florida UNDER 46.5

#157 OHIO STATE -16

#204 Wisconsin OVER 50

#170 NEBRASKA -21

#176 NOTRE DAME -21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

Washington -17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley

2 Units UMass +17

The bottom line is that both sides are breaking in “new look” offensive attacks so I will gladly “take” the generous points even though Massachusetts is coming off consecutive 1-11 disasters. Mark Whipple is the “new” head coach of UMass after spending most of the past decade as an NFL assistant. But the big news is that Whipple once actually was the head coach of a SUCCESSFUL Minutemen program from 1998-through-2003 which included a Division I-AA National Championship trophy. I am aware that Boston College made a dramatic turnaround a year ago finishing above the .500 mark thus reversing a 2-10 campaign the season prior. But the Boston College defense last year had an extremely low national ranking (#113) versus the pass. On offense the Golden Eagles must replace the now departed Andre Williams who a year ago was the nation’s NUMBER ONE ranked rusher. Today’s game will be played on the home turf of the NFL New England Patriots and marks the first time these pair of geographic rivals have met since way back in 2011 which brings extra “energy” to a Massachusetts program in desperate need of a positive

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PREZ

Arkansas +21
OU -38
Hawaii +17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRANDON WATSON

Wisconsin
Arkansas
Rice
California
Navy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Saturday
By Vince Akins

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Rockies are 0-11 since May 26, 2014 as a dog after a loss in which they drew 1 or fewer walks and it is not the last game of a series for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Max Scherzer starts his teams are in his career as a favorite after winning as an away favorite in his last start where he threw 103-116 pitches for a net profit of $1070.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Cardinals are 17-1 since September 16, 2010 at home after a loss in which they had at least five more team-lefton- base than their opponent. 4-1 this season.

CHOICE TREND:

The Angels are 13-0 since May 20, 2014 at home with a total of at least seven vs a divisional foe that is behind them in the divisional standings for a net profit of $1310.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Chris Tillman starts the Orioles are 11-2 since June 04, 2013 after winning as a home favorite in his last start for a net profit of $1015.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 1

Saturday's action
Top 13 games
Central Florida (+4.5) won 34-31 at Penn State LY, running ball for 219 yards; total yardage was 507-455, but UCF has new QB, 3 new starters on OL. Lions have new HC in former Vandy mentor Franklin. Penn State lost 4 starters on OL; they're 2-4 in last six neutral field games; its soph QB had 12 starts LY. UCF covered four of last six on neutral field. This game is being played in Ireland, for some reason.

Ohio State lost senior QB Miller for season, a damaging blow; they beat Navy 31-27 (-22) in last meeting five years ago. Buckeyes are 5-8-1 vs spread in last 14 games as road favorite; they lost 4 starters on OL from LY. Middies have 15 starters back and junior QB with 21 starts- they're 20-9 as an underdog under coach Niumatololo. Buckeyes are in trouble at QB, experience-wise- they had 12 days to prep new QB to start.

UCLA has 17 starters back, a QB with 27 starts, an NFL HC and is 5-2 in last seven tries as road favorites; they covered seven of last eight out of conference games. Virginia is 4-8-1 in last 13 games as home dog; they have 3 starters back on OL, soph QB with 7 starts, are just 3-9-1 in last 13 non-ACC games. Long road trip for Bruins, who don't play Texas for two weeks, shouldn't be looking past Cavaliers.

Troy won four of last five games with UAB, with three of last four won by 3 or less points; Trojans are 2-3 in last five visits here, with underdog 3-2 vs spread in those games. Blazers have new coach, new QB, but also has 15 oiher starters back- they're 4-12 vs spread in last 16 games when favored. Troy has new QB, 6 starters back on both sides of ball- they are 5-2-1 in last 8 games as dogs. Average total last four series games, 61.8.

Northwestern (-5.5) won 44-30 at Berkeley in LY's opener, running ball for 209 yards. Wildcats were 5-0 as home favorites LY, after being 5-18 as HFs under Fitzgerald before that. NW has all five starters back on OL, but has senior QB with only 3 career starts. Cal has 4 starters back on OL; they're 2-7 in last nine games as road dogs. Bears have a soph QB with 12 starts- they had 460 passing yards in LY's game.

Notre Dame gets mobile QB Golson back after he was suspended LY; he led Irish to national title game in 2012. Irish have 3 starters back on OL, are 8-11-3 as home favorites under Kelly, 27-48 overall when favored in last decade. Rice covered six of last seven games as road underdog- they have 3 starters back on OL, junior QB is making only 2nd start. Notre Dame plays Michigan next week, figure to hold back a little here.

Alabama didn't name #1 QB this week; they've got three starters back on OL. Tide is 17-11 as road favorites under Saban, covering eight of last 10 on neutral fields, but are just 6-8 vs spread out of SEC last three seasons. West Virginia is 7-7 as underdogs under Holgorsen; they've got senior QB (9 starts) but only two starters back on OL. WVa is 8-16 vs spread in last 24 non-conference games.

Arkansas won four of last six games with Auburn; underdogs are 9-5 vs spread in last 14 series games, 5-2 in last seven here, with Hogs winning three of last four visits here. Marshalll will play but won't start at QB for Tigers after weed bust this spring. Auburn has 4 starters back on OL, is 22-12 vs spread in SEC last four years. Arkansas is 5-12 vs spread in last 17 games as underdog, 3-8 in last 11 games as a road dog.

Clemson (+2.5) beat Georgia 38-35 LY, first renewal since '03 of an old intense rivalry; Dawgs had 545-467 yardage edge LY, 222-197 running ball. Both sides have new QB; Georgia's QB is senior who made couple starts LY, including bowl loss to Nebraska. Dawgs are 5-8 as favorite at home since '12, 10-15 in non-league tilts since '09. Tigers are 6-3 as road underdogs under Swinney, 14-10 vs spread overall on foreign soil.

Kent State won four of last five games with Ohio U; underdogs covered three of last four. Bobcats lost last two visits here, both by an identical 28-6 score. Ohio is 1-6 as road underdogs since 2011; they've got a new QB but have 3 starters back on OL. Kent has 7 starters back on both sides of ball; they're 10-6 as home favorites since '09, 1-1 under Haynes, in his first year at Kent.

Purdue (-1.5) beat Western Michigan 37-32 in last meeting three years ago; Boilermakers have soph QB (7 starts), three new starters on OL, no senior starters on OL but are 5-4 in last nine tries as home favorite- they have 15 starters back overall. Western was 1-11 in Fleck's first year as HC; they're 8-6 as roads underdogs since '11. Broncos could go with a freshman QB, as new coaches usually prefer their own recruits.

Florida State returns Heisman winner Winston at QB, has four starters back on OL (5 senior starters) and has covered 12 of last 15 games on a neutral field. Seminoles are 13-11 vs spread away from home with Fisher as coach. Oklahoma State has junior QB (8 starts) but lost 3 starters on OL; they're 5-3 vs spread in last eight games as underdogs. OSU lost 7 starters on both sides of ball from last year.

LSU will use two QBs, but Jennings played in Outback Bowl win over Iowa LY; Tigers have 4 starters back on OL, are 7-6 in last 13 games as road favorites, 11-17 vs spread in last 28 non-SEC games. Wisconsin will use more mobile QB rather than experienced (19 starts) returning starter Stave. Badgers covered five of last seven games as underdogs, are 8-5-1 vs spread in last 14 games on neutral fields.

Notes on other Saturday games
-- Michigan is 11-7 as home favorites under Hoke, 6-3 in its last nine as a double digit favorite.
-- NC State is 11-4 as home favorites since 2010, but 5-9 in last 14 non-league games.
-- Florida Atlantic fired Bo Pelini’s brother as HC LY. You think Nebraska will run it up, if they can.
-- Boston College is 5-11 in last 16 non-league games, 3-13 as road favorite since 2006.

-- Marshall is 1-8-1 in its last ten games as a road favorite.
-- Louisiana Tech covered only four of last 18 games. Oklahoma covered nine of last 12 out of conference.
-- Florida is just 3-8 as a home favorite the last two seasons.
-- USC is 10-6 in last 16 games as a home favorite; they beat Fresno State 45-20 in Las Vegas Bowl last December.

-- Southern Miss is 6-18 vs spread since Fedora bolted for Chapel Hill; they’re 3-10 in last 13 tries as a road dog.
-- North Texas covered 11 of last 14 games; this is their Super Bowl, playing the Longhorns. First game at Texas for Charlie Strong, who has tossed seven players already.
-- New Mexico covered four of last five games as a home favorite

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

200 Tex

100 Purdue