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WNBA | PHOENIX at MINNESOTA Play Under – Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season 62-28 since 1997. ( 68.9% | 31.2 units ) 7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at MINNESOTA Play On – Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) off an home win scoring 85 or more points 67-39 since 1997. ( 63.2% | 0.0 units ) 6-1 this year. ( 85.7% | 0.0 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at MINNESOTA Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning record on the season 382-244 since 1997. ( 61.0% | 113.6 units ) 12-19 this year. ( 38.7% | -8.9 units )
MLB | TEXAS at HOUSTON Play Against – Road teams (TEXAS) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 on the season 166-69 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.6% | 60.1 units ) 36-23 this year. ( 61.0% | 4.4 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets
MLB | MINNESOTA at BALTIMORE BALTIMORE is 16-5 (+12.7 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span this season. The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.1) , OPPONENT (2.8)
MLB | TEXAS at HOUSTON Play Against – Road teams (TEXAS) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 on the season 166-69 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.6% | 60.1 units ) 36-23 this year. ( 61.0% | 4.4 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets
MLB | MINNESOTA at BALTIMORE BALTIMORE is 16-5 (+12.7 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span this season. The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.1) , OPPONENT (2.8)
The Padres don’t have much of an offense and even worse when they face left handed pitching. It gets even worst for the Padres when they play in day games. The Dodgers are a better ball club with a better starting pitcher. Take LA.
TENNESSEE (-6½) Utah State (51½) 6:00 PM
While season 1 did not result in a bowl trip for Butch Jones and Tennessee, the Volunteers competed well through a tough schedule and picked up a big upset win over South Carolina, while also taking Georgia to overtime. The schedule is very tough again in 2014 so it will be difficult for the Volunteers to make a big move forward, especially with only 10 starters back in action. Tennessee dramatically improved its defense compared with the 2012 numbers but the offense has not done its part. After losing star QB Chuckie Keeton to injury last season, Utah State still rallied for a 9-5 season, narrowly losing in the MWC title game and taking the Poinsettia Bowl. Keeton is back for his senior season but most of the roster for the Aggies has turned over. Utah State is 15-4 ATS the past five seasons as a road underdog and this is not a program to underestimate with a great recent track record. Tennessee has young lines that could be vulnerable.
TENNESSEE BY 4
BAYLOR (-33) Smu (73) 6:30 PM
The Bears are 26-12 ATS the past three seasons and after posting huge numbers last year Baylor is a candidate to face inflated lines in 2014. The
Bears only have 10 starters back from last season and this was a team that had great turnover fortune last season. The offense should be very tough to stop however and Baylor crushed SMU when these teams met to open the 2012 season. A four-year run of bowl bids ended for the Mustangs with a 5-7 season and the schedule is daunting in 2014. SMU out-gained its foes last season despite a losing record but the Mustangshave even less experience returning on offense compared with Baylor. The Bears went 7-0 ATS at home last season despite being favored by an average of 22 points per game and until signs of weakness emerge this will be a tough team to go against given the high scoring potential and willingness to pour it on. This is the biggest game for Baylor in the first month so focus will be high.
My 50 Dime Winner for tonight is on the ANGELS at home against Oakland. As I release this game at 8:30 a.m. eastern, I see the line on the game is Angels -120.
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