9-5-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFB | NEW MEXICO ST at GEORGIA ST
Play On - A road team (NEW MEXICO ST) poor defense from last season - allowed 400 or more total yards/game, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

CFB | E CAROLINA at S CAROLINA
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (E CAROLINA) after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game
31-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.8% | 0.0 units )

CFB | PITTSBURGH at BOSTON COLLEGE
Play Over - Any team vs the the 1rst half total after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game, with 5+ more offensive starters returning than opponent
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Braves pitcher solid, but team no help
Justin Hartling

Aaron Harang has been steady for the Atlanta Braves, but the team has not been able to help the pitcher. In Harang's last nine starts the Braves are 1-8.

Harang has allowed 24 runs (2.6 per game) while his relief pitching has given up 15. Meanwhile, Harang's offense has scored 36 runs (11 of which were in the lone win).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blue Jays look to remain undefeated at Fenway
Justin Hartling

The Toronto Blue Jays will need to start playing possessed to make the playoffs this season and they may not be in a better position to start. The Jays will travel to Fenway where they are 6-0 so far this season.

The Blue Jays have outscored the Boston Red Sox 44-14 in Boston this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strasburg has dominated the Phillies this season
Justin Hartling

Stephen Strasburg has been on the mound facing the Philadelphia Phillies four times this season. Strasburg and the Washington Nationals are a perfect 4-0 against the Phillies this season.

Strasburg has allowed only four runs in 25.2 innings of work. Most impressive has been Strasburg's strikeouts with the ace notching 35 and hit double-digit K's twice.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Astros have been terrible in Oakland
Justin Hartling

The Houston Astros have not enjoyed travelling to the Bay Area over the past two seasons. In the last nine visits to Oakland, the Astros are 1-8 with their one win coming in extra innings.

The Astros have been outscored 59-26 during those nine contests in Oakland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top road pitcher takes the mound for Royals
Justin Hartling

James Shields has been astonishingly good on the road this season. With Shields on the bump away from home this season, the Kansas City Royals are 12-4.

Shields has sported a 3.32 ERA on the road while allowing less than three runs per game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Kansas City at NY Yankees

The Royals head to New York tonight to face the Yankees and come into the contest with a 7-1 record in James Shields last 8 starts as a road underdog. Kansas City is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 5 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 14.875; Cubs (Wada) 16.245 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); N/A

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Williams) 15.995; Washington (Strasburg) 17.384 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-230); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-230); Over

Game 905-906: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Harang) 13.956; Miami (Cosart) 15.401 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Miami (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-125); Under

Game 907-908: NY Mets at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 16.091; Cincinnati (Simon) 14.774 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Under

Game 909-910: St. Louis at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lackey) 13.273; Milwaukee (Fiers) 14.701 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 8 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125); Over

Game 911-912: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 14.483; Colorado (Matzek) 13.332 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 11 Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 10 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Over

Game 913-914: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Nuno) 15.259; LA Dodgers (Haren) 14.388 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+145); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 14.596; Cleveland (House) 14.939 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 7 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Under

Game 917-918: Kansas City at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 16.076; NY Yankees (Pineda) 14.403 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 16.497; Boston (Webster) 14.762 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 16.292; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 13.811 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Over

Game 923-924: Seattle at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 15.749; Texas (Baker) 13.999 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Seattle (-175); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-175); Over

Game 925-926: LA Angels at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Shoemaker) 16.560; Minnesota (Nolasco) 15.137 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Under

Game 927-928: Houston at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oberholtzer) 16.216; Oakland (Samardzija) 14.311 Dunkel Line: Houston by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Oakland (-230); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+195); Under

Game 929-930: San Francisco at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Peavy) 16.349; Detroit (Porcello) 15.217 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks

Pittsburgh at Boston College

The Eagles host a Pittsburgh team tonight that comes into the contest with a 1-4-1 ATS record in their last 5 Friday games. Boston College is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+4 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 5 Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (9/3)

Game 303-304: Pittsburgh at Boston College (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 82.103; Boston College 82.319 Dunkel Line: Even; 54 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 50 Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+4 1/2); Over

Game 305-306: Washington State at Nevada (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 83.085; Nevada 84.783 Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1 1/2; 68 Vegas Line: Washington State by 3 1/2; 64 Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League

Pirates-Cubs
Worley is 1-3, 6.29 in his last four starts.
Wada is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.

Pittsburgh lost its last four games, scoring ten runs.
Cubs won five of their last seven games.

Five of last seven games at Wrigley Field stayed under.

Phillies-Nationals
Williams is 3-0, 1.82 in four starts for Philly
Strasburg is 3-0, 2.70 in his last four starts.

Philly won seven of its last ten games.
Washington won 11 of its last 12 home games.

Five of last seven Washington games went over.

Braves-Marlins
Harang is 1-3, 6.08 in his last four starts
Cosart is 3-0, 0.65 in his last four starts

Atlanta is 5-6 in its last eleven games.
Marlins lost six of their last eight games.

Last four Cosart starts stayed under total.

Mets-Reds
Colon is 2-3, 4.94 in his last five starts.
Simon is 1-6, 5.33 in his last nine starts.

Mets won three of their last four games.
Cincinnati lost five of its last six games.

Five of last six Colon starts went over total.

Cardinals-Brewers
Lackey is 1-1, 6.03 in his last five starts.
Fiers is 4-1, 1.80 in five starts for Milwaukee.

Cardinals won last six games, scoring 37 runs.
Milwaukee lost its last nine games, outscored 58-18.

Four of five Fiers starts stayed under the total.

Padres-Rockies
Stults is 0-2, 4.91 in his last two starts.
Matzek is 2-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.

Padres are 2-3 in their last five games, scoring eight runs.
Colorado won four of its last five home games.

Over is 4-1-1 in last six games at Coors Field.

Diamondbacks-Dodgers
Nuno is 0-1, 2.02 in his last three starts.
Haren is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.

Arizona lost 12 of its last 18 games, but won last two.
Dodgers lost four of their last six games.

Six of last eight Arizona games stayed under total.


American League

White Sox-Indians
Sale is 1-1, 4.74 in his last three starts.
House is 1-0, 2.66 in his last four starts.

White Sox lost five of their last six road games.
Cleveland lost three of its last four games.

Over is 4-0-1 in Chicago's last five games.

Royals-Bronx
Shields is 4-1, 2.95 in his last six starts.
Pineda is 1-1, 1.93 in his last four starts.

Royals won last three games, allowing five runs.
Bronx won six of its last seven home games.

Under is 6-1-1 in Pineda starts this season.

Blue Jays-Red Sox
Hutchison is 1-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
Webster is 0-2, 9.42 in his last three starts.

Toronto won its last five games, allowing nine runs.
Red Sox lost their last eight home games, are 5-13 in last 18 overall.

Four of last five Boston home games went over total.

Orioles-Rays
Chen is 2-0, 3.46 in his last four starts.
Cobb is 2-1, 1.47 in his last five starts.

Baltimore won nine of its last eleven games.
Rays lost eight of their last eleven games.

Six of last eight Baltimore games went over total.

Mariners-Rangers
Iwakuma is 3-1, 2.70 in his last five starts.
Baker is 2-0, 2.38 in his last couple starts.

Seattle won four of its last five games.
Rangers lost their last six games, scoring eleven runs.

Five of last seven Seattle road games went over total.

Angels-Twins
Shoemaker is 4-0, 0.66 in his last four starts.
Nolasco is 0-4, 7.76 in his last five starts.

Angels won seven of their last nine games.
Minnesota lost nine of its last twelve games.

Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Minnesota games.

Astros-A's
Oberholtzer is 0-2, 7.71 in his last three starts.
Samardzija is 1-1, 2.25 in his last two starts.

Astros won their last four games, allowing six runs.
Oakland lost six of its last seven games.

Five of last seven Oakland games stayed under.


Interleague games

Giants-Tigers
Peavy is 3-1, 1.88 in his last four starts.
Porcello is 2-1, 3.04 in his last three starts.

Giants won seven of their last nine games.
Detroit won nine of its last thirteen games.

Over is 4-1-1 in last six San Francisco games.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Worley 7-6; Wada 4-5
-- Williams 1-1/3-1; Strasburg 16-13 (4-0 last 4)
-- Harang 13-15 (1-8 last 9); Cosart 11-9/4-1
-- Colon 14-12; Simon 16-11 (1-8 last 9)
-- Lackey 12-9/5-1; Fiers 4-1
-- Stults 10-17; Matzek 4-11
-- Nuno 1-9; Haren 13-14

-- Sale 14-8; House 8-5
-- Shields 17-12; Pineda 3-5
-- Hutchison 13-14; Webster 3-4
-- Chen 17-9; Cobb 9-10
-- Iwakuma 15-8 (5-0 last 5); Baker 2-4
-- Shoemaker 13-4 (4-0 last 4); Nolasco 8-14 (0-5 last 5)
-- Oberholtzer 8-12; Samardzija 3-14/7-4

-- Peavy 5-15/3-4; Porcello 16-10

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Worley 3-13; Wada 2-9
-- Williams 1-6; Strasburg 11-29
-- Harang 7-28; Cosart 9-25
-- Colon 8-26; Simon 8-27
-- Lackey 6-27; Fiers 0-5
-- Stults 11-28; Matzek 6-15 (4 of last 6)
-- Nuno 1-10; Haren 13-27

-- Sale 2-22; House 6-15
-- Shields 7-29; Pineda 2-8
-- Hutchison 6-27; Webster 1-7
-- Chen 9-26; Cobb 4-19
-- Iwakuma 5-23; Baker 1-6
-- Shoemaker 1-17; Nolasco 7-22
-- Oberholtzer 9-20; Samardzija 10-28

-- Peavy 6-27; Porcello 9-26

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Giants (74-64) at Tigers (76-63)


Game: 1
Venue: Comerica Park
Date: September 05, 2014 7:08 PM EDT

The Detroit Tigers closed their latest trip in successful fashion with yet another late offensive surge.

They'll hope to get to Jake Peavy much sooner, considering the trouble they've given him over the years.

Detroit seeks its 10th interleague victory in 13 games Friday night when it hosts the San Francisco Giants.

The Tigers (77-63) gained a half-game on idle Kansas City Thursday with an 11-4 win at Cleveland in 11 winnings, moving within one game of the AL Central leader. Victor Martinez's three-run homer keyed Detroit's seven-run 11th - two days after J.D. Martinez's three-run ninth-inning blast powered the Tigers to a 4-2 victory.

"Two of the better ones (wins) I think we've had all year," manager Brad Ausmus said.

Ian Kinsler was 3 for 6 and finished 13 for 39 with seven RBIs on Detroit's 5-3 trip.

Peavy (3-4, 2.66 ERA) seems to have found a groove, going 3-1 with a 1.26 ERA over his last four starts. He's thrown at least seven innings in four straight outings for the first time since June 30-July 20, 2012.

He took a no-hitter into the eighth inning Saturday against Milwaukee, giving up one hit over 7 2-3 shutout innings in a 3-1 victory.

The right-hander suffered a 6-2 loss to Detroit while with Boston on May 18, allowing five runs and 11 hits over six innings. He fell to 1-4 with a 6.81 ERA over his last six matchups, and his 5.03 career ERA against the Tigers is his worst against any opponent he's faced at least seven times.

The Giants (76-64) failed to capitalize on the first-place Los Angeles Dodgers' loss Wednesday, also falling 9-2 at Colorado to remain two games back. They had won a season best-tying six straight before dropping two of three in Colorado, giving up 26 runs on 37 hits. Ryan Vogelsong yielded a career high-matching eight runs - six from four home runs - in five-plus innings in the finale.

San Francisco, which on Monday won the completion of a suspended game against the Rockies, had played 16 consecutive days prior to Thursday's off-day.

"It's a long stretch these guys have been through," manager Bruce Bochy said.

Rick Porcello (15-9, 3.10) will look to become the AL's first 16-game winner. However, he lost for the fourth time in six starts Sunday, yielding six runs - three earned - and 11 hits over 6 2-3 innings of a 6-2 loss to the Chicago White Sox. He's been backed by a total of three runs of support in those four losses.

Porcello won his only previous start versus San Francisco, allowing three runs over seven innings in a 6-3 victory on July 3, 2011.

The Tigers are hopeful Torii Hunter will be back in the lineup after not starting Thursday due to a bone bruise on his left foot. He struck out as a pinch-hitter in the extra-inning win.

The five-time All-Star has hit .378 with 18 RBIs over his last 23 home games and is 8 for 19 against Peavy.

San Francisco's Hunter Pence has hit .385 with 15 RBIs and 17 runs scored during a major league-leading 16-game hitting streak.

Miguel Cabrera is 18 for 39 with 11 RBIs over his last 11 interleague games. Meanwhile, the Giants are 2-9 in interleague play since winning their first six against AL squads.

These clubs haven't met since 2011, when San Francisco took two of three in Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | KANSAS CITY at NY YANKEES
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY YANKEES) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.50) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts
73-27 since 1997. ( 73.0% | 36.0 units )
16-9 this year. ( 64.0% | 3.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at TAMPA BAY
BALTIMORE is 47-27 (+21.5 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.3) , OPPONENT (3.3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

10* Nevada +4

This game features the 0-1 Washington State at the 1-0 Nevada. We hit Rutgers big week one as they won outright over Washington State I just think this team is way over rated the only thing keeping this from being a bigger play is that Wash St is in must win mode tonight and Nevada really has not been tested as they beat Southern Utah in Game 1. The public has pushed this from a PK all the way to a +4 for Nevada usually a recipe for disaster and gives us huge value in Nevada. 76% of the public are Riding the road Wash St. here I'll take Nevada plus the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Washington St / Nevada Over 66.5
100* Tigers -130
50* Marlins -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Boston College+4.5
Nevada+3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

3* Boston College +4.5
3* Nevada +3.5