9-13-14

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Maddux Sports

20* Arizona -15.5
10* Virginia +7
10*Ohio ST -30
10*Duke -17
10* Duke/Kansas over 54
10* USC/Boston College over 53
10* Indiana/Bowling Green over 71

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Dr. Bob :

I have 8 Best Bets this week

**OLD DOMINION (-16.5) 2 Stars at -17 or less, 1-Star up to -19.
***IOWA (-10) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -13, 1-Star up to -14.
*MICHIGAN (-31) 1-Star at -32 or less.
*UNDER (54) - Miami-Ohio at MICHIGAN 1-Star Under 51 or higher.
*Georgia Southern (+18) 1-Star at +17 or more, 2-Stars at +19.
*UNDER (51.5) – UL Monroe at LSU 1-Star Under 49 or higher.
*Notre Dame (-27) 1-Star at -30 or less.
**ARIZONA (-16) 2-Stars at -17 or less, 1-Star up to -19.

3 Strong Opinions on
Georgia (-6 1/2) Strong Opinion at -7 or less.
Stanford (-28) Strong Opinion at -28 or less
Texas State (+10) Strong Opinion at +10 or more

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

5*-Georgia -6
3*-Indiana -7.5
3*-nc.state -1.5
3*-ohio.state -3.5
3*-w.virginia +3.5
2*-v.tech -10
2*-ucla -7.5
1*-e.michigan +18.5
1*-Kansas +14.5
1*-Arkansas +2
1*-tcu -15
1*-Rutgers +3
1*-usc -17
1*-texas.a&m -31.5
1*-col +15.5
1*-under 60 Georgia / S Carolina
1*-over 58.5 ul-laf / miss
1*-over 71 rice / tex am


SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
3-Unit Play. Take #111 Indiana (-7.5) over Bowling Green (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 13)
Indiana is going to demolish Bowling Green. Bowling Green couldn't even handle Western Kentucky to open the season, giving up 59 points. There is no way in hell they are going to slow down Indiana. The Hoosiers beat Bowling Green 42-10 last year. It will be worse this season. Yes, I know: Bowling Green is at home. The crowd will be all giddy and everyone will be amped up to knock off a Big Ten team. I don't care about that. Indiana has had two weeks to prepare for this game and they are better in all facets. Sure, they only beat Indiana State 28-10 in the opener. But they outgained the Sycamores by 400 yards! All week all we've heard, nationally, is how awful the Big Ten is. You think the Hoosiers weren't listening to that? You think they don't want to prove something? Bowling Green has a new coach this year and we have no idea if this guy is the least bit competent or not. What we do know is the Falcons massively overachieved last year and were due to come back to earth. And the coup de grace: Bowling Green just lost its stud quarterback, Matt Johnson, for the season. You don't just replace a guy like that overnight. If Indiana loses to Bowling Green the Big Ten should be disbanded immediately. But I think they are going to put the pedal to the metal and they are going to win this one by at least three touchdowns.

3-Unit Play. Take #117 N.C. State (-1.5) over South Florida (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
The Bulls had a +5 turnover differential against Maryland last week - and still lost. This is just a bad football team and I don't really understand this line at all. The Wolfpack haven't played well yet this year. But they actually played two pretty good ?mid-major? schools with Old Dominion and Georgia Southern coming to Raleigh. I think that USF could be on par with either of those two teams. But the difference is that the Wolfpack were favored by 21 and 15 points in those games. N.C. State is now 0-7 ATS in their last seven games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games. This is now an overcorrection by the books and you'd have to think that State is going to accidentally cover a spread here pretty soon. I have a hard time seeing South Florida pulling the upset and winning this game so I'll take the short line with N.C. State.

3-Unit Play. Take #122 Ohio State (-32) over Kent State (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 13)
Let's get one thing out of the way: Kent State is awful. They are a terrible, terrible football team. They lost to Ohio despite a +4 turnover differential and they were handled by double-digits by South Alabama last week. Both of those games were at home. They have a second-year coach that really hasn't shown that he knows what he's doing and if you look back over the last three years the Golden Flashes - even decent Flashes teams like the 2012 version that went 11-3 - have gotten hammered by power schools. They have lost by 41, 37, 33, 32 and 34 points against teams from power conferences. Now they are going to Columbus to face a pissed off Ohio State team that has endured a frustrating couple of weeks. Urban Meyer has proven in his time at Florida and Ohio State that he will not take it easy on weaker teams and he has no problem running up the score. I thought this spread would be closer to 40 so I think there is some value here. I expect Ohio State to be up at least four touchdowns at halftime and I think they will do enough to win the second half. I can see this one settling somewhere around 41-7 and I think the Buckeyes will cash.

1-Unit Play. Take #123 Eastern Michigan (+18.5) over Old Dominion (6 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
Old Dominion is favored by nearly three touchdowns? Really? Look, I don't know anyone that's running to the window to get down on Eastern Michigan. EMU is one of the worst college football programs in the country and has been for about 20 years. But Old Dominion has only been an FBS team for about 15 minutes. They also just wound up and took a shot at an ACC school (N.C. State) last week. Do you think anyone - fans, players, coaches - care about this game at all? Eastern Michigan was a sacrificial lamb at Florida last week, losing 65-0. But that game didn't tell us anything about this team. I just think EMU can hang around here and I think that this one is worth a short stab.

2-Unit Play. Take #126 Virginia Tech (-10) over East Carolina (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 13)
I am just not a fan of Ruffin McNeil's East Carolina team. They were able to confound a struggling South Carolina defense last week - and they still managed just 23 points. I know the theory working against this play: Virginia Tech is going to have a letdown after their big win over Ohio State. No way, no how. This isn't some small MAC school that just pulled an upset over a Big Ten power. Virginia Tech is a top program that's coming off a couple tough years. They have something to prove this year and they aren't going to slow down at all. Their offense is much better now that Logan Thomas is gone and the defense matches up perfectly with East Carolina. VT has an outstanding secondary that I think is going to make life hard on Shane Carden. ECU could be a little banged up after going blow-for-blow with a physical USC team last week and I think it is going to be hard for them to gear back up this week for a trip to Blacksburg. I think Virginia Tech is going to slowly grind them down. This one may be a close game for a half or even three quarters. But I think all of a sudden we'll look up and Tech is up 17 or 24 points and they are going to win this one going away. These two rivals have played a bunch in the last few seasons (this is the seventh meeting since 2007). But the last two - and three of the last four - meetings have been at East Carolina. The last time ECU came to Blacksburgh they were 20-point underdogs and lost by 22. I see another blowout.

3-Unit Play. Take #137 West Virginia (+3.5) over Maryland (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 13)
Note: This play is from the KING System.
This one is all about revenge. Maryland demolished West Virginia 37-0 last year. But as we have seen early in this year: this is a completely different Mountaineers squad. They gained a lot of confidence in that loss to Alabama and I think they are going to handle the Terps here. Maryland hasn't exactly been a worldbeater to start the season, only outgaining James Madison by 170 yards (WVU outgained their FCS tune-up opponent by 480) and barely beating South Florida last week in a sloppy game. This is a make-or-break season for Dana Holgersen and you can see his team playing with a little edge. They were undervalued coming into the season and I think they are still being overlooked. West Virginia has dominated this series, winning seven straight before falling last year. They are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and they have won 37-31, 31-14 and 31-19 in three of their last four trips to College Park. I think West Virginia is the better team here and I think that they are going to take advantage of Maryland mistakes in the second half to win this game outright.

5-Unit Play. Take #151 Georgia (-6) over South Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
Note: This play is from the KING System.
This game hit our radar as soon as the line came out. The fact that Georgia is such a strong favorite in a game being played at Columbia speaks volumes about what people think of South Carolina right now. This USC team is on tilt. Their defense has been terrible through the first two weeks, missing tackles, blowing assignments and struggling to adjust to either a 3-4 or a 4-3 alignment. They were blown out by Texas A&M and that took a lot of wind out of their sails. But then they were lackluster against a weak East Carolina team last week, winning by just 10. Georgia has had two weeks to prepare for this game and they are fresh off their ass kicking of Clemson in Week 1, which we used as a 5-Unit winner. The favorite has covered four straight in this series. And even though the Bulldogs have flopped time and time again in big situations like this, I have a feeling that something different will occur on Saturday. If Georgia wins the turnover battle they should win this game by double-digits. Their offensive line looks strong and I think that new defensive coordinator Jeremy Pruitt is going to have some nice wrinkles that the team would've worked on during the off week. South Carolina is really missing Connor Shaw, the all-time winningest quarterback in school history, and they lack the top-end talent we've seen from them in years past. South Carolina is also one of those SEC teams that has skated by the last three years by playing a comically easy schedule. To wit: despite playing in the alleged POWERHOUSE SEC they have only played six league games (out of 24) the past three years against teams in the Top 25. They've only won two of them, and one of those wins was an absolute fluke at Missouri last year. I think Georgia is the better team and I think the line movement on this game tells the tale.

2-Unit Play. Take #189 UCLA (-7.5) over Texas (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
It is transition time at Texas. I though the Longhorns would be in a position to shock some people this year. They are not. They don't have a quarterback or any decent skill players. And if you took the Texas jersey off them and put them in different uniforms no one would give this team a second thought. UCLA has been bad to start the year. And I 100 percent do not think that they are a real contender to either A) win the Pac-12 or B) go to the four-team playoff. The reason is simple: Jim Mora Jr. That guy is a total loser and he is going to find a way to screw the pooch with this team. He has already almost done so twice, flopping his way past Virginia and Memphis. However, Texas is probably on par with those teams right now so UCLA should give a top effort in this one. The Bruins won by 20 in their trip to Nebraska last year and they also have wins at Utah, at Arizona, at USC, and at Arizona State over the past two seasons. You know the Bruins circled this game as soon as the schedule came out and that should get a focused effort out of them. Anything can happen. But I don't know that even Mora can blow this one.

1-Unit Play. Take #149 Kansas (+14.5) over Duke (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
1-Unit Play. Take #153 Arkansas (+2) over Texas Tech (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
1-Unit Play. Take #164 TCU (-15) over Minnesota (4 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
1-Unit Play. Take #192 Rutgers (+3) over Penn State (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
1-Unit Play. Take #193 USC (-17) over Boston College (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
1-Unit Play. Take #196 Texas A&M (-31.5) over Rice (9 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
1-Unit Play. Take #200 Colorado (+15.5) over Arizona State (10 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)

Note: These are 7-point teasers.
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #126 Virginia Tech (-3) over East Carolina (Noon) AND Take #145 Air Force (-4) over Georgia State (2 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #108 Cincinnati (-3) over Toledo (7 p.m.) AND Take #122 Ohio State (-25) over Kent State (Noon)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #192 Rutgers (+10) over Penn State (8 p.m.) AND Take #193 USC (-10) over Boston College (8 p.m.)

This Week's Totals
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 60.0 Georgia at South Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 58.5 UL-Lafayette at Mississippi (4 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 71.0 Rice at Texas A&M (9 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 13)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSBOSS

Missouri Tigers
Virginia Cavaliers

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From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER
Georgia (151) AT South Carolina (152)
Latest Line: Gamecocks +6.5; Total: 59.5

Georgia snapped a three-game losing streak against the Gamecocks when they won 41-30 in Athens behind 536 yards of offense, including 227 on the ground. The Bulldogs had last week off after hammering Clemson at home in their opener. However, they were 0-3-1 ATS in SEC road games last year. South Carolina has not looked good through two games, getting hammered at home by Texas A&M in their opener and outlasting East Carolina last week. They allowed 300-plus passing yards in both those games.

STATFOX TRENDS:
GEORGIA is 11-1 OVER in the first half of the season over the L3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 8-0 OVER in September games over the L3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 11-3 OVER off 1 or more straight overs over the L3 seasons.

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | CINCINNATI at MILWAUKEE
Play On – Home teams (MILWAUKEE) after having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% | 23.7 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -1.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 46-21 (+28.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.7)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

SAN DIEGO PADRES -115
(Ross/Anderson)

We cashed in with the Padres last night as their bullpen held a 1 run victory in the final few innings. Tonight the Padres have the better starter and bullpen and like I said last night struggling teams find a way to lose close games like AZ did last night. Take San Diego.

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HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Mississippi St.(-13.5)

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charlie sports

500
middle st over 64
georgia over 54
old dominion over 72

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North Coast

B9 CFB TOTALS PLAY: OVER 53 FLOR/KENTUCY
B3 SAT TV PLAY IS VIRGINIA +6.5

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Northcoast

4* over 64' Washington
3* over 59 western michigan
3* over 55' N Illinois

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POWER PLAY WINS

Power Plays Of The Day

* Maryland -3
* Georgia -6.5
* Florida -18.5
* Oklahoma -21
* Arizona State -15
* Nebraska -13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob - East.

Ole Miss Over 59

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JEFF BARONE SPORTS

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
SEPTEMBER SELECTIONS (-3.67)

NYY +125 BALTIMORE (1PM)
TAMPA +120 TORONTO (1PM)
NYM +110 WASHINGTON (7PM)

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
SEASON SELECTIONS (7-12 -6.20)

CFB 3:30PM Miami Ohio at Michigan -33½
CFB 3:30PM Georgia -6½ at South Carolina
CFB 4:00PM UL Lafayette at Mississippi -27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worse Picker

Nc St -1.5
Ind -8
Wy/oregon under65