9-17-14

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JEFFREY JAMES

(Play of the Day)

#919 Detroit Tigers with Price moneyline -175 (8:10 edt)

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PAUL LEINER

100* Phillies -135
50* Angels -120

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PERRY'S SOCCER CLUB season record (-5.36)

(ENGLAND - CHAMPIONSHIP)- DERBY COUNTY @ BLACKBURN ROVERS - UNDER 2.5 +103 (245PM)

(UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE)- PARIS ST GERMAIN @ AJAX AMSTERDAM - OVER 2.5 -118 (245PM)

(FINLAND DIVISION 1)- SEINAJOEN JK @ IFK MARIEHAMN - UNDER 2.5 -105 (1130AM)

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Cappers Access

Dodgers -115
A's(RL) -1.5(+105)

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Five to Follow MLB Betting: Wednesday September 17, 2014 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

The Los Angeles Angels clinched their first playoff berth since 2009 on Monday night, baseball’s first team to officially make the postseason. L.A. also appears a lock to win at least 100 games, which no team has done since 2001. However, not all the news was potentially good for the Halos. Here’s a look at their game Wednesday, in which they could clinch the AL West, and four other interesting matchups.

Mariners at Angels (-142, 8)

Let’s start with more possible good news for L.A. Josh Hamilton took batting practice on Monday and felt fine. If he has no setbacks on Tuesday he should return to the lineup for Wednesday’s game. He hasn’t played since Sept. 4 due to shoulder issues. However, Albert Pujols might have to sit for a while, He had a big double on Monday but was clutching his hamstring while running to second. The team is just calling it a cramp but will obviously play it safe with the playoffs a done deal. Finally, Monday’s starter and terrific rookie Matt Shoemaker will undergo an MRI on his side after leaving with a bit of discomfort, but he didn’t sound worried. That would be huge if it’s something serious. Lefty C.J. Wilson (12-9, 4.61) goes for the Angels on Wednesday. He is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in two starts vs. Seattle this year. Former Angel Kendrys Morales hits .435 off him in 23 at-bats. Seattle left-hander James Paxton makes the biggest start of his young career to this point. Paxton (6-2, 1.83) has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of his past seven outings.

Key trends: The Mariners are 5-0 in Paxton’s past five vs. teams with a winning record. The Angels are 9-1 in Wilson’s past 10 at home. The “over/under” has gone under in four of Wilson’s past five vs. Seattle.

Early lean: Under at -120.



Giants at Diamondbacks (+176, 7.5)

Here’s a matinee-after-a-night game, so you could see a few guys taking a seat, although probably not for the Giants, who need to win every game possible. While the Giants got good news with the return of Brandon Belt on Monday from the disabled list, outfielder Angel Pagan was scratched with back stiffness and that could be a problem because it’s been bothering him for months. Pagan is hitting .302. A stiff back is exactly the type of injury you rest in a day game after a night one. San Francisco starts Madison Bumgarner (18-9, 2.91), who should get some Cy Young votes (obviously we know who wins). The lefty is 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA this year vs. Arizona. The Snakes’ Randall Delgado (3-4, 5.53) pitched in San Francisco last week, allowing three runs and seven hits in four innings of a loss.

Key trends: The Giants are 7-1 in Bumgarner’s past eight vs. teams with a losing record. Arizona is 1-4 in its past five against lefties. The Giants are 4-0 in Bumgarner’s past four in Arizona.

Early lean: San Francisco at -120 on the runline.



Nationals at Braves (+113, 6.5)

Washington might be resting a ton of guys for this game, and this is something I want to bring up. Always bet against teams the day after they clinch a division title because you know they were up late celebrating the previous night. Most starters will sit. It’s also why you may not see day before lines in situations like this at times. Washington has the chance to clinch Tuesday night. Nats outfielder Bryce Harper might not play regardless. He left Monday’s game with flu-like symptoms. Gio Gonzalez (8-10, 3.79) is set to start for Washington on Wednesday. The lefty has had five straight quality starts. He is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA against the Braves. Justin Upton is a career .313 hitter off him with three homers in 16 at-bats. The fading Braves go with left-hander Alex Wood (10-10, 2.83). He has allowed more than two earned in just one of his past nine starts. Wood is 2-1 with a 1.86 ERA vs. Washington.

Key trends: Washington is 1-5 in Gonazlez’s past six on the road. The Braves are 5-1 in their past six at home vs. lefties. Washington has lost eight straight Gonzalez starts vs. Atlanta.

Early lean: I like Wood here no matter what, but if the Nats clinch on Tuesday jump on Atlanta on the runline.



Red Sox at Pirates (-183, 6.5)

There hasn’t been much reason for Boston fans to watch their team in weeks, but now there might be: the Sox are expected to call up $72 million Cuban signing Rusney Castillo on Tuesday. He might not arrive in time to start that game but certainly should Wednesday as the Sox will no doubt play him every day to close this season. Castillo played pretty well in his short time in the minors, but the jury is still out on him, according to some scouts. Boston likely will be without David Ortiz again, however. Clay Buchholz (8-8, 5.19) looks to continue his late-season turnaround for Boston. The Sox have won his past four, and all have been quality starts. Russell Martin loves facing him, going 4-for-12 with all four hits homers. He has knocked in seven. The Pirates counter with lefty Francisco Liriano (5-10, 3.53). He hasn’t allowed a run in his past two starts, spanning 14 innings. He has struck out 21 and walked four with just seven hits allowed.

Key trends: Boston is 7-1 in its past eight interleague games vs. lefties. Pittsburgh has lost four straight Liriano home starts. The under is 6-0 in Liriano’s past six vs. teams with a losing record.

Early lean: Under at +100 even though it’s a low total. Either pitcher could throw a shutout.



Phillies at Padres (+123, 6.5)

As expected, MLB suspended Philadelphia closer Jonathan Papelbon for his actions during Sunday’s game, which included grabbing his crotch and motioning toward the fans. And that was in Philadelphia! Papelbon, who will sit seven games, actually had the audacity to say he was just, um, shifting himself. Yeah OK. He’s not appealing. Ken Giles is likely to be the fill-in closer. Philly’s Cole Hamels (8-7, 2.51) threw eight scoreless innings against the Padres earlier this season. The lefty has a stellar 1.80 ERA on the road. Eric Stults (7-16, 4.49) has been much better than his record for weeks. For example, he has allowed more than three earned just once in his past eight outings. Ryan Howard is 2-for-2 with two homers and four RBIs off him.

Key trends: The Phillies are 5-2 in Hamels’ past seven on road. San Diego is 1-6 in Stults’ past seven vs. teams with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in Hamels’ past five against teams below .500.

Early lean: Have to lean Hamels over Stults and under as well.



Jays posting ugly stats with Happ on the hill
Stephen Campbell
The Toronto Blue Jays have not been a good moneyline play with J.A. Happ on the mound recently. The Jays have gone just 1-7 in Happ’s last eight outings.

He’ll be on the mound when Toronto takes on Baltimore in Maryland Wednesday. Bud Norris will be on the hill for the O’s.

Baltimore is presently -142 faves with a total of eight.

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EZWINNERS

MLB

2* (902) Colorado Rockies -$100
(2pm Central Time)

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SOCCER BETTING MASTERS

Europe » Champions League » Ath Bilbao – Shakhtar

Champions League group football will be played at the new San Mames
stadium for the first time on Wednesday evening when Athletic
Bilbao host Shakhtar Donetsk.

On paper at least. it appears to be a daunting trip for the
Ukrainian side because Bilbao have lost just one of their last 15
home European encounters, eight of which have been won.

However, the away side can take solace from the fact that they have
won six of their last seven opening group fixtures in European
competition.

In terms of team selection, Athletic head coach Ernesto Valverde
has no major injury concerns. Mikel San Jose and Ibai Gomez were
both on the bench for the weekend’s trip to Barcelona, but they
could return to the starting lineup for the visit of Shakhtar.

Aside from that, Aritz Aduriz is expected to be Athletic’s main
focal point in attack, with Iker Muniain offering support from a
wide position.

As for Shakhtar, a number of the Brazilian contingent at Mircea
Lucescu’s disposal, including Alex Teixeira, Douglas Costa, Luiz
Adriano and Taison, should all start.

Shakhtar have made eight previous trips to Spain, but have only won
on two occasions.

Opinion: Ath Bilboa to win

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Raphael esparza

mlb

3*-Angels-115

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Stevewins
MLB
Arizona RL +1.5 -160

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J.R. Stevens/SMOOTH44

(927) Texas +185

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OMEGA SPORTS PICKS

Colorado Rockies +102 1 unit

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MLB betting cheat sheet: Price stumbles as big road fave

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the mid-week major league games:

Texas-Sized Upset

The Texas Rangers pulled off one of the most unlikely victories of the season Tuesday, prevailing 6-3 over the host Oakland Athletics despite being a whopping +217 underdog. The Rangers have been a ‘dog of +200 greater twice this season, and won both times.

Is the Price Right.?

Detroit left-hander David Price will look to reverse a disturbing road trend Wednesday as he leads the Tigers (-179, 7.5) against the host Minnesota Twins. Price is just 1-3 straight up as a road favorite of -150 or greater, though he’s 2-0 against Minnesota so far this season.

Blue Jays’ Bronx Beating

The Toronto Blue Jays have struggled mightily at Yankee Stadium heading into Thursday’s opener of a four-game set in New York. The Blue Jays are a stunning 7-30 over their previous 37 games at the hallowed ballpark, though they took two of three there earlier in the season.

Pitching Notes

* Chicago lefty Chris Sale looks to strengthen his Cy Young candidacy Wednesday as he guides the visiting White Sox (102, 6.5) against the Kansas City Royals. Sale is 4-2 with a 1.85 ERA since the All-Star break, with the White Sox going 6-4 SU and 4-6 O/U during that span.

* Oakland right-hander Sonny Gray seeks to build off back-to-back solid starts Thursday as the Athletics host the Texas Rangers. Gray has allowed four earned runs on nine hits over his previous 15 innings; the Athletics are 2-7 SU in his last nine outings overall.

Hitting Notes

* The Detroit Tigers have been mashing this month as they prepare to square off against the Twins. Miguel Cabrera and J.D. Martinez are tied for the major-league lead with six September home runs, while Victor Martinez is close behind with four.

* Milwaukee right-hander Kyle Lohse will try to be extra careful with St. Louis catcher Yadier Molina when the Brewers visit the Cardinals on Thursday. Molina is a red-hot 11-for-20 in his career versus Lohse, with three home runs, eight RBIs and just one strikeout.

Totals Streak

Los Angeles Dodgers (8-1-1 O/U): It has been an unusual stretch for the Dodgers, who have been the league’s strongest Over option in the past 10 games despite playing in three shutouts over that span. Los Angeles is 74-69-8 O/U for the year.

Prop of the Day

Bettors should consider shrinking the total in the White Sox-Royals tilt to Under 5 (+200). Sale is 3-0 with a 1.41 ERA in nine road starts in 2014, while Royals counterpart Yordano Ventura has been one of the strongest home Under plays of the year at 5-11 O/U.

Injury Notes

* The Texas Rangers aren’t sure when outfielder Alex Rios will return from a thumb injury that has sidelined him since September 4. The Rangers haven’t fared badly in his absence, going 5-4 SU, 4-5 O/U and +340 units entering Wednesday.

* Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez isn’t expected to play Wednesday as he continues to deal with a nagging elbow injury. Ramirez has already missed 30 games this season; the Dodgers are 18-12 SU, 11-19 O/U and +456 units over that span.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Citi Field will experience winds blowing out to center field at 5 mph for Wednesday’s game between the host Mets (-117, 6.5) and the Marlins. Teams combined to score nearly 12 runs in five games with the wind blowing out to center field last season.

Umpire Note of the Day

Over is 14-3-1 in umpire Joe West’s last 18 games calling balls and strikes involving the Yankees. West will be behind home plate Wednesday when New York (+127, 6.5) visits the Tampa Bay Rays.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:25 a.m. ET Wednesday.

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PAUL LEINER

100* Phillies -135
50* Angels -120

2000* Dodgers -110 3:00 ET start

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Doc

mlb

3*-under-8-Clev/Hou

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EZWINNERS

2* Colorado Rockies +100