9-20-14

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RAS (Right Angle Sports)
1.5 Units Ball St vs Toledo – Under 60
1.5 Units Middle Tenn St vs Memphis – Under 63.5
Indiana vs Missouri – Under 73.5
Troy vs Georgia – Under 67
Tulane vs Duke – Over 55
San Jose St. vs Minnesota – Under 54.5
Eastern Michigan vs Michigan St. -Under 54.5
Hawaii vs Colorado – Under 63
New Mexico vs New Mexico St. – Under 66
NCAAF Sides
Indiana
Memphis
UMass
Wisconsin
Miami OH

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BRYAN LEONARD

362 Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
The Yellow Jackets enter conference play on Saturday at 3-0 on the season, but all is not well in Atlanta. A case can be made that Georgia Tech has yet to play a quality game. GT faced two teams with similar offensive styles to their own, Wofford and Georgia Southern. In each of those games the Jackets were beaten at what they do best, running the football. Wofford had a 5.8 to 5.3 ypr edge, while Georgia Southern was even more alarming at 7.4 to 4.7. That means that even though Georgia Tech faces that type of offense everyday at practice they couldn’t stop it. Against Tulane the Yellow Jackets trailed by a touchdown with three minutes to go until halftime before pulling away.

Virginia Tech had a letdown last week after knocking off Ohio State on the road. East Carolina is a very well coached team that took it to the Hokies. You can bet it will be all business at practice this week in Blacksburg. Virginia Tech is very familiar with the option offense of Paul Johnson. The last five years VT has held GT to final point totals of 10, 17, 26, 21, and 28 points. Keep in mind that in those years Georgia Tech averaged 35, 34, 34, 26 and 34 points per game. So in the last five meetings Frank Beamer’s crew held them to an average of 12 points less than their season average. With the Hokies now possessing a quarterback who can open the field we see Virginia Tech winning this one by a margin.

2* PLAY VIRGINIA TECH

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PHIL STEELE / INSIDE THE PRESSBOX

BEST BETS

Army 30 vs Wake Forest 24

Virginia Tech 31 vs Georgia Tech 20

Arkansas 44 vs Northern Illinois 26

Boise St. 44 vs UL 20

High Scoring Game South Alabama 31 vs Georgia Southern 30

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NEWSLETTER College Football Prediction From Raphael Esparza

Take ‘Over’ 72 – Indiana at Missouri (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 20)
I won my 7-Unit NFL Game of the Year last week with New England and am 3-0 on my top football plays this year. I’m going to have another one Saturday in college football, and I see a big favorite set to unload a blowout winner. Last weekend Bowling Green racked up 45 points against the Indiana Hoosiers. Missouri’s offense has been a big surprise in my eyes, and in their first three games the Mizzou Tigers are averaging 41.6 ppg and they should have no problem scoring on the Hoosiers defense. Mizzou quarterback Maty Mauk has already thrown for 12 touchdowns (yes, 12 touchdowns!), and with question marks that IU has in the secondary I see Mauk throwing for at least three or more Saturday afternoon against a weak Big Ten opponent. Indiana is 21-6 O/U following a SU loss, and the Hoosiers are 20-8 O/U in their last 28 road games. Missouri is 4-1 O/U in their last 5 games, and again the Mizzou offense will be unstoppable at home.

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NEWSLETTER College Football Prediction From Allen Eastman

Take #346 Memphis (-12) over Middle Tennessee (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20)
Last week I told you I loved my 8-Unit college play, and it was an easy winner. This weekend I am going with two 6-Unit plays, one in college and one in the pros, and they are both underdogs that I think have a great chance to win their games outright. But in this free play I will back the favorite. This is an in-state rivalry game, and this one should be testy. Justin Fuentes is really doing strong work with Memphis. This team nearly upset UCLA on the road two weeks ago. They are coming off a bye and have had extra time to rest and prepare for this game, which they get at home. Middle Tennessee is drained after playing a barnburner last week. They won 50-47 in triple overtime in another regional rivalry game against Western Kentucky. Both of those teams threw the ball all over the field, and it was a back-and-forth scoring affair. But Memphis is much stronger on defense. And I think they will be able to slow down the Red Raiders attack with one of the AAC’s top defenses. This is the same defense that had great games against Louisville and Central Florida last year. I also think Memphis will move the ball at will against the weak MTSU defense that is exhausted from last week. Memphis has revenge for a tough loss last year, 17-15, and that was a game they thought they should win. Memphis has a lot of things working in its favor here, and I think that they are set up well for a blowout. Lay the points in this one.

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NEWSLETTER College Football Prediction From Mike Davis

Take #339 South Carolina (-22) over Vanderbilt (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 20)
I have three big plays this weekend that I’m real excited about, starting off Thursday night, and I’m trying to stay perfect (4-0) on my plays of 6.0 or higher this year. But let’s start with a free winner. The South Carolina Gamecocks roll into Nashville coming off of an upset victory over the Georgia Bulldogs. Many would think this is a perfect spot for a letdown. However, that will not be the case as the Gamecocks need to solidify their spot in not only the SEC East but the national rankings. Vanderbilt is the perfect opponent to do just that. Vandy is horrible. Period. They don’t have any playmakers on offense or defense. South Carolina will have the advantage at every single position on the field, with the biggest advantage coming at the head coaching position. Derek Mason is in over his head, and he has proven that so far this season. His handling of the quarterback position has been pathetic. The Gamecocks will make another statement this week as they roll over Vanderbilt. Take South Carolina.

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | SEATTLE at HOUSTON
Play Against – All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) terrible offensive team – scoring <=4.2 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more
116-65 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.1% | 45.9 units )
19-16 this year. ( 54.3% | 0.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets

MLB | BOSTON at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 30-15 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.0) , OPPONENT (3.6)

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PORT PORT SPORTS / Jeff Porter

(NCAA FB)
*2 UNITS* GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS (+7.5)

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Andy Iskoe | CFB Side Sat, 09/20/14


344 Colorado -8.0 (-110) Hilton vs 343 Hawaii
Analysis: triple-dime bet
Both teams appear to be much improved based on early results although Hawaii has played all three games at home and is making its first trip to the mainland and will be playing at an early "body clock" time. Add in the altitude and the situation for Hawaii deteriorates even further. Colorado has played a less challenging schedule than has Hawaii but the Buffaloes do own a road win at Massachusetts (although they failed to cover). After playing very well in their 17-16 loss to Washington to open the season Hawaii was outplayed by Oregon State but several late scores got their supporters the back door cover in OSU’s 38-30 win. Colorado has recruited well under second year coach Macintyre. Although not ready to challenge for a winning record within the Pac 12 Colorado is more than capable of defeating lesser talented foes, such as the team they face here. Away from home, and at altitude, we should not see a fourth quarter Hawaii comeback.
Pick Made: Sep 20 2014 12:43AM PST


331 North Carolina 2.5 (-110) Hilton vs 332 East Carolina
Analysis: triple-dime bet
ECU is riding high after giving South Carolina a competitive game 2 weeks ago and then pulling the upset at Virginia Tech last week. The Pirates again step up in class to face another ACC team, and one they whipped 55-31 last season as 12 ½ point road underdogs! It was North Carolina’s worst loss of the season and its second in a stretch of 4 straight losses. It was also the Tar Heels’ most lopsided home loss since 2008. UNC was off last week after starting 2014 with a pair of non-covering home wins. After several seasons of false hope and unrealized potential there have been early signs that this is the season UNC will finally be a factor in the ACC. Both teams start conference play next although ECU will have next week off while UNC plays at Clemson. UNC is arguably the more talented team and are in a favorable spot. They are playing with revenge for a humiliating home loss against a team off of a major upset. Unlike the pros, these intangibles have long carried weight in the colleges.
Pick Made: Sep 20 2014 12:44AM PST


384 Arkansas St. -1.5 (-110) Hilton vs 383 Utah St.
Analysis: triple-dime bet
Both teams have played, and lost, at Tennessee, although Arkansas State was much more competitive in its week 2 covering 34-19 loss than was Utah State in its opening week non-covering 38-7 loss. Utah State does have home wins over FCS Idaho State and Wake Forest while ASU opened with a home win over FCS Montana State and a loss last week at Miami, Fla. Utah State QB Keeton was injured last week and will miss this game. He has struggled this season after missing most of last season and the Aggies are 0-3 ATS as a result. Arkansas State has been a solid Sun Belt team the past few seasons that has continued to play well despite losing coaches to Ole Miss, Auburn and Boise State after each of the past 3 seasons. Both programs are on similar planes and can be best described as solid mid-majors. Utah State appears to be declining since ex-coach Anderson left for Wisconsin after 2012 while Arky State continues to recruit and perform well despite the consistent coaching turnover. ASU is the healthier team and gets an extra edge returning home after those big road tests.
Pick Made: Sep 20 2014 12:49AM PST


77 San Diego St. 10.0 (-110) Hilton vs 378 Oregon St.
Analysis: double-dime bet
Both teams are off of Bye weeks and met around this same time last season in San Diego. Oregon State won 34-30 but failed to cover as 6 ½ point road favorites. Both programs have been respectable in recent seasons with SDSU having made 4 straight Bowl appearances and OSU has been to 2 in a row and to 6 Bowls in 8 seasons. SDSU is 1-1 SU but 2-0 ATS whereas OSU is 2-0 SU but 0-2 ATS. Both teams have well respected, long established coaches. Each has its conference opener up next with OSU having a much tougher test at USC than does SDSU which hosts UNLV. Since rising to Bowl team status the Aztecs are 4-2 ATS as double digit road favorites. Oregon State arguably has the edge at QB and on offense overall but the Beaver defense is leaky. SDSU has a competent QB with an ability to play from behind. An upset may be a stretch but expect a competitive game.
Pick Made: Sep 20 2014 12:52AM PST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDRE GOMES (Soccer)


Soccer Pick #1: Aston Villa vs. Arsenal
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Arsenal (-0.5) @ -115


Soccer Pick #2: Burnley vs. Sunderland
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Sunderland (+0.25) @ -120


Soccer Pick #3: Newcastle United vs. Hull City
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Hull City (+0.25) @ +110


Soccer Pick #4: Swansea City vs. Southampton
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Both Teams to Score @ -123

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BeatYourBookie

SATURDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Tampa Bay -160 over Chicago White Sox (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago is 26-46 when playing in the month of September
Chicago is 32-47 when playing on a Saturday
Chicago is 65-89 after having won two of the last three games


10* Play St. Louis -180 over Cincinnati (MLB TOP PLAY)

St. Louis is 47-25 when playing in the month of September
St. Louis is 46-34 when playing on a Saturday
St. Louis is 48-19 when playing as a favorite of -175 to -250

=============================================

5* Play New York Yankees +110 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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BeatYourBookie

SATURDAY

10* Play Georgia Tech +9 over Virginia Tech (Top NCAA Play)

Virginia Tech is 5-13 ATS when playing as a favorite the last three seasons
Virginia Tech is 6-10 ATS vs. ACC Conference Opponents
Virginia Tech is 0-4 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games


10* Play Duke -16.5 over Tulane (Top NCAA Play)

Tulane is 1-8 ATS vs. ACC Conference Opponents
Tulane is 2-9 ATS coming off three or more OVER the totals
Tulane is 2-10 ATS when playing as a road underdog


10* Play Utah +5 over Michigan (Top NCAA Play)

Utah is 54-32 ATS when playing as an underdog
Utah is 28-12 ATS when playing with two weeks or more of rest
Utah is 45-22 ATS coming off a game where 60 points or more were scored


10* Play Mississippi State +10 over LSU (Top NCAA Play)

LSU is 1-5 ATS coming off a two game home-stand
LSU is 3-7 ATS after allowing 14 points or less in their last game
LSU is 49-68 ATS when playing as a home favorite


10* Play West Virginia +7.5 over Oklahoma (Top NCAA Play)

Oklahoma is 8-12 ATS when playing as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
Oklahoma is 17-31 ATS coming off two or more non-conference games
Oklahoma is 19-42 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games

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Kevin's Pick(s):
Another winning 2-1 night, even with the Indians blowing a 9th inning lead and losing in extra innings. Lets try to keep it going with two system picks from me and Kyle is back with a play...
2 UNIT = New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves - BRAVES -1.5 (+165)
Listed Pitchers: Niese vs Minor
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.30 units)
2 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles - ORIOLES -1.5 (+115)
Listed Pitchers: De La Rosa vs Tillman
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.30 units)

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Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins - INDIANS TO WIN (-129)
Listed Pitchers: House vs. May
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.56 units)
I hit a multi-game win streak earlier in the season and look to duplicate that today. 12-1 last thirteen picks, one loss in September, and looking to make it ten in a row today.
With some teams already clinching division championships, it can be a little trickier with some teams having less to play for other than getting ready for the playoffs. The Indians are a team that are on the outside looking in on a wildcard spot, but are still alive in the race. Trevor May should give them a boost today. Yes, the Twins pitcher, who has been looking forward to the offseason. May brings an ERA of 7.71 to the game today. The ERA is better at home, 6.60, but he is putting almost 2 runners per inning on base as his 1.93 WHIP indicates. He also holds a .408 OBP. May only has one start of over 5 innings to his credit. His opponent T.J. House has had considerable success against the Twins this season. Note that in his last two starts against the Twins, House held them down each time. In 12.1 innings against the Twins he didn't give up a single run with only 8 hits in total. House has been on fire lately as well, posting a 0.86 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, and .247 OBP his last three starts. In his first season as a starter in the majors, House has all but solidified a spot in the rotation for next season. He's been locked in, and should be locked in once again against the Twins Saturday afternoon. The Indians got tripped up in extra innings last night, but should comeback with a victory behind House.

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Gordon24

$400 cfb - utah+4