If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
NEWSLETTER NFL Football Prediction From Raphael Esparza
Take ‘Under’ 46.0 – NY Giants at Washington (8 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 25)
I want to start a big weekend with a Thursday winner. I have a pair of 6-Unit football winners – one in college and one in the NFL – and I am 5-0 so far this season with my plays of 6.0 or higher. What are you waiting for? The public has already pushed this total up to 46 as the oddsmakers posted this game at 45. The public always bets key TV games over, but again I believe the public is wrong on this game. The Giants defense is not that bad, and last week the Giants held the Texans to 17 points. Washington at times shows that their D is improved, and if you throw away last weeks game you would think this game is a dead under. When these two teams meet the under has been money, going 0-5 O/U in their last 5 meetings. The Giants in their last 19 road games are 5-14 O/U, and the Redskins are 1-6 O/U at home against a team with a losing record.
(Risking $220 to win $200)
The Redskins offense suddenly has life with Kirk Cousins at quarterback taking over for an injured RGIII. Washington came up short last week, but I expect them to pick up the win this week. The Giants knocked off the Texans on Sunday in New York, but I don’t believe that they have fixed all of their issues. New York still made some key mistakes against Houston last week, but the Texans were not able to capitalize on those mistakes. The Texans were without running back Arian Foster which severely limits their offensive production. Without the threat of a running game you are counting on quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick to win the game throwing the ball which is never a good thing. I also don’t expect the Giants to have the same success running the ball this week that they had on Sunday. The Redskins will be a bit thin in the secondary with the loss of DeAngelo Hall to injury, but Washington has greatly improved their run defense. If this becomes an aerial shootout, it will be just a matter of time before Eli throws one to the wrong team. Thursday night road teams have not fared well this season going 0-3 and losing those games be a combined score of 118-36. Lay the points with Washington.
CFB | TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA ST.
Play Under – Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG)
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
Comment