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The Teddy Bridgewater era finally begins in Minnesota on Sunday as their number one draft pick and franchise QB gets his first NFL start. Normally, analysts and bettors alike would we running as far from the Vikings as possible, but we really like Bridgewater and what he can bring to the table. He was clearly the most “NFL ready” QB in this draft and we think you will see a fairly conservative offense in his first start with plenty of check downs and dump offs to Asiata and others out of the backfield. That said, the main reason we are siding with the home team regards their opponent, the Atlanta Falcons. While they completely dismantled the Tampa Bay Bucs in their last game, the Falcons are clearly a different team away from home, most notably QB Matt Ryan. Keep in mind that this game isn’t being played in a dome as the Vikings new stadium is being constructed, so this will be played at the University of Minnesota’s TCF Bank Stadium. Ryan has traditionally struggled on the road in outdoor stadiums. The Vikings are 10-1 ATS in home games vs. excellent teams, outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992, and are 13-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta is just 14-29 ATS off a home win against a division rival since 1992. Bridgewater has given the Minnesota fans something to smile about in what has already been a tough season and that starts with a win over the Falcons on Sunday. The Sharps say…
4* Green Bay Packers-1 4* Atlanta Falcons-3 4* New Orleans Saints-3 4* Houston Texans-3 4* Baltimore Ravens-3 3* Tennessee Titans +8 1* Detroit Lions-1.5 1* Philadelphia Eagles+4
7-Unit Play. Take Over 46 – Tennessee vs Indianapolis 3* Over 46.5 – Atlanta vs Minnesota 3* Over 50.5 – Philadelphia vs San Francisco 2* Over 51 – Green Bay vs Chicago 2* Over 40.5 – Miami vs Oakland 2* Over 41 – Buffalo vs Houston 2* Over 45 – Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh
8 Unit Play Take #253 Green Bay -1.5 over Chicago (1:00pm est):
The schedule is undervalued early in the year in every NFL season as who all teams have played thus far can really dictate on how good or bad they’ve played overall. I think were seeing a great example of that here with these Green Bay Packers. Most folks are asking what’s wrong with the Green Bay Packers offense and Aaron Rodgers going into week number four. The answer to that question is that there’s nothing wrong with the Packers other than the fact they’ve had to play two of the better defenses and do so on the road to start their year (at Detroit and Seattle). Most of the NFL offenses would have struggled in these two games. Once again were seeing the thing most NFL bettors do wrong when looking for point spread winners and that is overreacting to one or two games. This Packers offense is still one of the elite offenses in all of the NFL. Don’t let one bad game change your mind about a team that will once again be post big offensive numbers by years end. The Chicago Bears have pulled a few rabbits out of their hats to pull out two road wins to start the year. They are an overvalued team coming into this game due to winning back to back primetime games away from home and for the whole nation to see. The Bears shouldn’t have won their week two game at San Francisco and probably didn’t deserve a win last week as well over the New York Jets. They were outgained by over 150 yards in the contest and averaged 1.7 yards per play less than New York in the game. The Jets got inside the Bears 25 yard line seven times overall in the game but somehow were only able to score 19 points doing so. It’s also never easy for any road team to come back after playing a Monday night game. This means one less day of preparation coming into this contest. It already won’t be an easy task for Chicago as their going up against what should be a determined and frustrated 1-2 Green Bay Packers squad. The Bears have already had to deal with the season ending injury to their two-time Pro Bowl cornerback Charles Tillman in week two and there were more injuries piling up in their secondary last weekend also. These type of injuries are tough a team that was already a below average defense coming into this 2014 season.
Kevin’s Pick(s): 2 UNIT = Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears – PACKERS -1 (-110) (Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Kyle’s Pick(s) 2 UNIT = Carolina Panthers @ Baltimore Ravens – PANTHERS +3.5 (-115) (Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units) I guess the consensus among the public after the Panthers took a beating in primetime is that they are suddenly a bad team. Hold on a second. This is the same team that finished 2nd in total defense last season, and while their numbers are skewed this season due to the 37 points they gave up a year ago, this is still a very good defense. The week prior they gave up just 7 points to a very good Detroit offense. The Panthers’ defense should respond after getting embarrassed against the Steelers in that matchup and come back to being a team that allowed only 15 points per game in 2013. I give an edge to the Panthers in the defensive department in this game, facing what I would call an average Ravens’ defense. The defense is average, and the offense has taken a big step back since winning the Super Bowl. Of course Ray Rice is absent giving the rushing attack a less than desirable attack, but Joe Flacco and the passing game has looked shaky. The offense picked the defense up when they won the Super Bowl, but I don’t think they have the offense to do that this season. Note that Flacco only has a quarterback rating of 82.3 heading into week 4. Despite getting shellacked a week ago, the Panthers’ defense has allowed an average of only 202 yards per game through the air. I feel like this is a 3 point game either way. The Panthers’ offense doesn’t get me all that excited, but the defense should make life tough on Flacco Sunday afternoon. I expect a low-scoring contest with a field goal separating the Panthers and Ravens.
Sunday card has the NFL Non Conference Total Of The Year with a 100% system and 6 Perfect angles, their is a triple perfect Teaser, an Early Double Perfect 5*, a Late Afternoon Triple system side and the Sunday night 5* Total. This is a Powerful card and NFL is 57 games over.500 the last 6 seasons after cashing Thursday on the Giants. Free NFL System Club Play below.
The Free NFL System Club Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 260 at 1:00 eastern. Baltimore has quietly played very well this season and comes off a nice road win vs the Browns. The Ravens have covered 8 of 9 off a win vs Cleveland vs a team who lost and failed to cover. Balty is a cool 10-1 ats as a home favorite if they won and covered and have 2+ road games up next. The Panthers were crushed last week at home the Steelers and have failed to cover 10 of 11 vs AFC Teams off an AFC Game if their opponent today is a winning team. The Ravens are playing their 3rd home game in week and teams in that scenario have covered 7 straight if they won their last 2 games and their opponent lost as a favorite in their last game. Look for Baltimore to get the win today. On Sunday a huge NFL Card is up with the Non Conference Total Of The Year backed with a 100% Killer system and angles that combine to go 64-3. Their is also a teaser with 3 perfect Teaser trends, an Early 5* Power system play and a Triple system Late afternoon winner and the Sunday night Total with 11 power angles. Don t miss out on the Strongest NFL Card to date, NFL is 57 games over. 500 the last 6+ seasons. Contact at goldencontender@aol.com or at 646-269-5269 to Jump on now and put these powerful League wide systems on you side. For the free play take Baltimore. GC
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