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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358322

    #16
    Game of the Day: Arizona at Oregon

    Arizona Wildcats at Oregon Ducks (-23.5, 76)

    Two of the final three undefeated Pac-12 teams meet Thursday as Arizona visits fourth-ranked Oregon, which is looking to avenge last season’s 42-16 loss. Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota, who threw two interceptions in last season’s defeat, leads the Heisman Trophy race with 13 touchdowns and no interceptions while completing 74 percent of his passes through four games. Mariota should thrive against the Pac-12’s second-worst passing efficiency defense, but Arizona’s explosive offense has the weapons to keep pace.

    Both teams are playing for the first time since Sept. 20, when the Wildcats used a Hail Mary pass from Anu Solomon to Austin Hill on the final play of the game to record a 49-45 win over California. Mariota was sacked seven times in the Ducks’ 38-31 triumph at Washington State, but he passed for 329 yards and five touchdowns - including the game-winner with less than six minutes remaining. Arizona, which snapped its five-game losing streak against Oregon last season, has won three of its four contests this year by seven points or fewer.

    TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

    LINE HISTORY: Sportsbooks opened the Ducks as 22.5-point faves but that is now -23.5. The total opened at76.

    INJURY REPORT: Arizona - DL Jeffrey Worthy (Questionable, concussion), WR Samajie Grant (Questionable, concussion).

    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s under clear skies. Wind will blow across the field at 4 mph.

    WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Revenge looms large for the Ducks who dropped a 42-16 decision as 18.5-point favorites at Arizona last year. With Wildcats coach Rich Rodriguez 0-6 ATS in his last six games versus undefeated conference opponents, it would be no surprise to see the Wildcats to lose for the 11th time in a row in an away game off a pair of home games when facing a foe off a win." Marc Lawrence.

    ABOUT ARIZONA (4-0 SU 1-0 Pac-12, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U): Solomon, a redshirt freshman, overcame a slow start and completed 47-of-73 passes for a school-record 520 yards and five touchdowns against California. Wide receiver Cayleb Jones is an emerging star for the Wildcats’ offense, which averages 405 yards and features freshman Nick Wilson - who ranks second in the Pac-12 in rushing yards (482) and yards per game (120). The defense allowed 573 yards against California, but linebacker Scooby Wright III has been a bright spot as he leads the Pac-12 with 12.8 tackles per game.

    ABOUT OREGON (4-0 SU 1-0 Pac-12, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U): The bye week came at an opportune time for Oregon, which needed the extra rest to improve an offensive line that lost tackles Tyler Johnstone, Andre Yruretagoyena and Jake Fisher to leg injuries early in the season. The Ducks’ defense allowed 436 passing yards against Washington State and will be tested again by the Wildcats, who are hoping to repeat last year’s effort as they were 6-for-6 inside the red zone. “It’s a new year, and new teams, and I feel like both teams are better,” receiver Keanon Lowe told goducks.com. “That being said, we remember vividly that feeling of going in Arizona and getting our butt whooped.”

    TRENDS:

    * Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
    * Ducks are 0-5 ATS in their last five conference games.
    * Under is 4-0 in Ducks last four Thursday games.
    * Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five Thursday games.

    CONSENSUS: 50.17 percent of bettors are backing the visiting Wildcats.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358322

      #17
      UCF-Houston have history of going Over the total
      Stephen Campbell

      Central Florida and Houston will meet in Week 6 college football action Thursday evening, and based off of recent matchups between the two schools, bettors need to be aware of their high-scoring history.

      In the teams' last five meetings, the Over is 4-1.

      Houston is currently 3-point home faves for the contest.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358322

        #18
        Dogs prevailing between FIU-Florida Atlantic
        Stephen Campbell

        When Florida International and Florida Atlantic have gotten together recently, the underdog has prevailed for bettors in the Sunshine State showdown.

        Dogs have gone 4-1 against the spread in the last five games between the Golden Panthers and the Owls.

        That's a trend that favors Florida International, as they're currently listed as 6.5-point home dogs for the clash.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358322

          #19
          Ducks causing headaches for spread bettors at home
          Stephen Campbell

          The Oregon Ducks have not been a good play against the spread at home, covering in just one of their previous five games at Autzen Stadium.

          No. 4 ranked Oregon will try and buck that trend Thursday when they host the Arizona Wildcats in Week 6 college football action.

          The Ducks are presently 23.5-point home faves for the matchup.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358322

            #20
            NCAAF

            Thursday's games
            Appalachian State trailed Southern Miss 20-14 last week, scored tying TD with 0:06 left, then had PAT blocked and lost 21-20, even though ASU outgained Southern Miss by 66 yards. ASU beat Eagles last three years, by 7-3-21 points- they won three of last four visits here. Eagles are pretty good, losing to NC State/Ga Tech on road by combined total of five points- they won 28-6 at South Alabama last week, even though they only completed six passes the whole game.

            Oklahoma State doesn't play a road game until October 11, because they lost 7 starters on both sides of ball; OSU lost 37-31 to Florida State on a neutral field, so they're pretty good- they're 24-9 in last 33 games as a home favorite. Cowboys won last five games with Texas Tech, scoring 59 ppg in last three meetings, winning by 18-38-60 points. Tech failed to cover its last four visits here. Red Raiders gave up 438 rushing yards in last game, a 49-28 home loss to Arkansas- it was so bad they fired their defensive coordinator, saying he coached under the influence. Really.

            Arizona State is 2-3 in last five games with UCLA; last three series tilts were decided by total of 8 points. Sun Devils lost QB Kelly; major step down to backup Bercovici, who threw four passes LY, is 9-17 this year. ASU won easily at New Mexico/Colorado, but they have to scale back their offense bigtime now. Bruins gutted out 20-17 win at Texas behind backup QB Neuheisel; check Hundley's (elbow) status for this. There is a big dropoff for them if Hundley sits, but not as much as ASU has. UCLA lost four of last six visits here; they're 5-2 as road underdogs in Mora era. Sun Devils are 9-4 as home favorites under Graham.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358322

              #21
              marc lawrence late phone plays

              OREGON
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              Comment

              • TunsFish51
                Junior Member
                • Aug 2014
                • 1

                #22
                any RAS plays

                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358322

                  #23
                  StatFox Super Situations

                  NFL | MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
                  Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points versus division opponents, off a upset win as an underdog
                  75-37 over the last 10 seasons. ( 67.0% | 34.3 units )
                  2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

                  NFL | MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
                  Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) off a upset win as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9
                  156-64 since 1997. ( 70.9% | 0.0 units )

                  NFL | MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
                  Play Against - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (MINNESOTA) off an upset win as a home underdog
                  221-134 since 1997. ( 62.3% | 73.6 units )
                  1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358322

                    #24
                    Thursday Night Football: Vikings at Packers

                    Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-9, 47.5)

                    Aaron Rodgers implored anxious fans of the Green Bay Packers to "relax" and then went out and made sure they were able to do just that with a brilliant performance in a lopsided rout at bitter rival Chicago on Sunday. With a much brighter outlook surrounding the team, Rodgers and Green Bay will host another NFC North opponent when the Minnesota Vikings pay a visit on Thursday night. The Packers are 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings, including a 26-26 tie at home last November.

                    Minnesota is hoping it won't have to start its third quarterback in as many weeks after rookie Teddy Bridgewater injured an ankle during last week's 41-28 victory over visiting Atlanta. Bridgewater, the No. 32 pick in this year's draft, threw for 317 yards and ran for a touchdown Sunday in his first career start, but exited the game in the fourth quarter due to an ankle injury. Vikings coach Mike Zimmer said he is "hopeful" Bridgewater will play after an MRI exam came back clean, but the quarterback did sit out Monday's practice.

                    TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network. LINE: Packers -9. O/U: 47

                    LINE HISTORY: After opening as Green Bay -10, the line has since dropped to -9 on Wednesday. The total has seen a big drop after opening at 50, it now rests at 47.5.

                    INJURY REPORT: Vikings - LB Chad Greenway (Out-Ribs), QB Teddy Bridgewater (Ques-Thurs) Packers - WR Jarrett Boykin (Out-Knee).

                    WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 78 percent chance of thunderstorms in Green Bay. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.

                    WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Coming off the upset of Atlanta, Minnesota heads to Green Bay on short rest as big dog on Thursday. The Vikes are 1-5 ATS after scoring 30 or more points. Green Bay halted its two-game skid and has a short turnaround for its 3rd straight divisional game Thursday. The Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games." Matt Fargo,

                    WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Thursday night's game opened Green Bay 9.5 and to our surprise smart money came on the dog and currently we have -9 -105. Teddy Bridgewater sprained his ankle in the last game and even though the team says his ankle is doing much better he has yet to practice on Monday or Tuesday. If he cannot play Christian Ponder will get the start so you can expect the line to go to 10.5." Scott Kaminsky.

                    ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Bridgewater was not the only rookie to make a big impression in Sunday's win. Running back Jerick McKinnon, a converted quarterback out of Georgia Southern, ran for 135 yards on 18 carries as Minnesota rolled up 241 of its 558 yards on the ground after failing to score a TD in its previous seven quarters. Jarius Wright added eight catches for 132 yards to help spark an offense that has already lost stud running back Adrian Peterson following allegations of child abuse as well as starting quarterback Matt Cassel and tight end Kyle Rudolph to injury. Bridgewater on Tuesday declined to give a percentage on his chances of playing and his unavailability would open the door for former first-round pick Christian Ponder.

                    ABOUT THE PACKERS (2-2 SU, 1-2-1 ATS, 3-1 O/U): Following pair of meager offensive outputs in losses sandwiched around a come-from-behind victory over the New York Jets, Rodgers was spectacular in the 38-17 romp in Chicago, throwing for 302 yards and fourth touchdowns while compiling a 151.2 passer rating. Jordy Nelson caught two more scoring passes and leads the league with 33 catches and 459 yards while fellow wideout Randall Cobb also went over 100 yards receiving and added two touchdowns to give him five on the season. There are concerns about second-year back Eddie Lacy, who has yet to surpassed 48 yards in a game following his 1,178-yard campaign as a rookie. The defense also is struggling, allowing 235 yards rushing and 496 total to the Bears.

                    TRENDS:

                    *Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
                    *Packers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
                    *Over is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings.
                    *Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay.

                    CONSENSUS: 54.71 percent are taking the Packers -9 with 69.8 percent taking the over.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358322

                      #25
                      NFL

                      Vikings (2-2) @ Packers (2-2)— Minnesota won 41-28 in Bridgewater’s first career start; he sprained ankle late in game, is expected to play here, but it is his first road start. Vikings scored 34-41 points in their two wins, 7-9 in losses- they ran ball for 186-241 yards in their two wins, 54-59 in losses. Pack is 23-15 in last 38 games as a home favorite, 3-5 in last eight. Vikings are 8-4 in last 12 games as a road underdog. Green Bay is 7-1-1 in last nine series games, 4-0-1 in last five here, winning by 4-38-9-14 points; their OL struggles show up in running game- they’re averaging 73 ypg on ground, not good. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 5-7 vs spread. Three of four Viking games stayed under total; three of four Packer games went over.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358322

                        #26
                        StatFox Super Situations

                        MLB | KANSAS CITY at LA ANGELS
                        Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
                        285-114 since 1997. ( 71.4% | 91.0 units )
                        56-32 this year. ( 63.6% | 1.0 units )

                        StatFox Situational Power Trends

                        MLB | DETROIT at BALTIMORE
                        BALTIMORE is 49-38 (+22.9 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.
                        The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.1)
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358322

                          #27
                          Gamblers Data

                          Free Play Thursday

                          Florida Atlantic -3.5 first half

                          Arizona +13.5 first half
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358322

                            #28
                            Arthur Ralph Sports

                            Free play Thurs Tigers w/ Scherzer -110
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358322

                              #29
                              Mighty Quinn

                              Mighty hit with the Giants on Wednesday and likes the Tigers on Thursday.

                              The deficit is 573 sirignanos.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358322

                                #30
                                Hondo

                                Hondo flying with Birds

                                Volquez was nowhere near up to the task so the Pirates were unable to patch together a victory Wednesday night, causing Hondo’s deficit to expand to 1,525 ellises.

                                Thursday night: Mr. Aitch will take a 10-unit shot with the Birds over the Tigers in their division series. Also, 10 on Tillman to help the Orioles nip Scherzer in Game 1.
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