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319 MIA FL +1.5
321 N TEX +12
322 UN Ind /N Tex 57.5 325 OHIO ST -7
331 PITT +6 342 NC +2.5
351 SC -3 351 OV SC / Kent 56
358 AKRON -22
360 K ST -14
364 COLO ST -17
370 USC -12 378 TENN -2.5
383 ALA -4
398 TEX ST -17
400 RUTGERS -2
Where the action is: Saturday's biggest college football line moves
By JASON LOGAN
College football action is picking up with Saturday just around the corner. We talk to Jay Rood, Director of Race and Sports at MGM properties in Las Vegas, about the biggest line moves on the Week 6 board and where those odds could end up come kickoff:
Texas A&M Aggies at Mississippi State Bulldogs – Open: Pick, Move: -2.5
This SEC showdown opened with oddsmakers on the fence, but wiseguys hit Mississippi State hard early in the week and pushed this spread as many as 2.5 points. Rood, however, doesn’t expect a move to the key number of three before the noon ET kickoff.
“The ticket count is fairly even, with a little lean to Texas A&M. But the sharps are all on Mississippi State,” Rood tells Covers. “Hard to say what the public will do now. Depending on where this spread moves, we could have sharps coming in late and laying the favorite.”
SMU Mustangs at East Carolina Pirates – Open: -34.5, Move: -41.5
The cat is out of the bag on East Carolina, which seems to be the mightiest of the mid-major programs. Sharps were all over the Pirates in the opening weeks of the season but now the public has caught on and has moved this spread as much as a touchdown at online books.
“Sharp action laid the big number and the public continues to bet East Carolina,” says Rood. “Everyone is keenly aware of ECU now, they’re not an undercover story now. So we will be needing the Ponies in a big way Saturday, probably need them for two scores. And the way they’ve played recently, they could be hard pressed to do that.”
Wisconsin Badgers at Northwestern Wildcats – Open: +10, Move: +7
Some markets have moved the spread for this Big Ten battle as much as a field goal, while MGM properties opened Wisconsin -9 and are now dealing -8. All the money is on Northwestern, which is a change of pace for the Badgers’ recent games, in which Wisconsin was the overwhelming choice for bettors.
“They’re definitely all over Northwestern,” Rood says of the wiseguys. “This game is dropping as we speak. The home dog is getting all the action, from the sharp perspective. However, it’s all Wisconsin on parlays and teasers.”
Kansas Jayhawks at West Virginia Mountaineers – Open: -24, Move: -28
The firing of Kansas coach Charlie Weis has sparked money against the Jayhawks in Week 6. It’s a tough call whether or not KU will be better or worse without Weis – it can’t get much worse, can it?
“It’s literally all West Virginia money from everywhere – sharps and squares,” says Rood, “Everyone is calling for a lopsided affair. I sometimes look at these situations and expect some extra motivation (from the team that fired its coach). But I just don’t know in this case?”
LSU Tigers at Auburn Tigers – Open: -9, Move: -7.5
This SEC matchup is the big game on the Week 5 schedule, and it looks like Auburn is the popular play even though the line has moved as much as 1.5 points toward LSU, pointing the finger to sharp money. According to Rood, there haven’t been a lot of tickets written on this game yet, but the ones that have come in are substantial.
“We have some decent-sized tickets on this. It’s going to be a pretty high dollar amount game. We’ll write some business on this one,” he says. “Sharps could bring this one down and the public could keep playing it. We could get some decent two-way action on this but if sharps keep chopping it down, we could find ourselves in a spot where we get sided on eight.”
There is plenty of Top 25 action in Week 6 of the college football schedule. If you're having trouble keeping track of it all, here are some essential betting tidbits for all of those ranked matchups:
(18) Ohio State Buckeyes at Maryland Terrapins
* The Buckeyes offense is running on full cylinders tallying 380 rushing yards and 330 passing yards in their last game. This marks only the fourth time in school history the team topped 300 yards in both those categories in one game.
* Maryland will try and continue defensive adjustments from last week to slow down Ohio State's rushing attack. "We wanted to play very aggressive and fit our gaps and run to the ball. We are going to continue to do that as a defense and it'll help us in the long run," Terrapins DL Darius Kilgo said.
Southern Methodist Mustangs at (21) East Carolina Pirates
* Tom Mason will be coaching his third game as the interim coach for the Mustangs. This is the second time in his career he has held the distinction, also at Boise State in 1996, and is carrying a lifetime coaching record of 1-12.
* "I personally felt like we needed to cut down our penalties as a team. After the first quarter, I want to be a better team in the second quarter of eliminating penalties," Pirates coach Ruffin McNeill told the media Monday. ECU has given up an average of 75 yards per game due to penalties.
Iowa State Cyclones at (23) Oklahoma State Cowboys
* Cyclones coach Paul Rhoads made quite a commotion at his weekly presser. The sixth-year coach pounded his podium imitating the 'Paddle People' in Stillwater. Iowa State has always been affected by the crowds at Boone Pickens Stadium, going 6-17 SU in its last 23 in Stillwater.
* Oklahoma State ranks 11th nationally with eight tackles for loss per game, is 19th nationally with 3.25 sacks per game and is third nationally with three blocked kicks.
(7) Texas A&M Aggies at (14) Mississippi State Bulldogs
* The Aggies are leading the FBS with 27 completions of 20 yards or longer this season. They will be facing a Bulldogs team that ranks last in the SEC in passing defense.
* Bulldogs head coach Dan Mullen is not kidding himself about this game. "I don't see it being a real low-scoring battle in the trenches," the sixth-year coach said. "If you hold them just below the average, we'll have to score 50."
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at (2) Florida State Seminoles
* Shocking victories are not common in the Demon Deacons' history. Wake Forest has an all-time record of 22-125-1 against top 25 teams with the last victory coming in 2011 versus the Seminoles.
* The Seminoles could be reloading their team this Saturday. FSU is expecting both DE Mario Edwards and RB Mario Pender to be dressed and ready to go against the Demon Deacons.
(6) Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns
* Baylor may be outscoring teams 227-55, but it's not just their offense that is shining. The Bears defense held Iowa State RBs to 28 yards on 20 carries last week.
* It's pretty clear that the Longhorns and Bears are developing a bitter rivalry. "Just because they started playing better in this era, that's good for them. We're still Texas," Longhorns WR John Harris said this week.
(1) Alabama Crimson Tide at (11) Ole Miss Rebels
* Alabama has been training hard this week with full pad practices, but QB Blake Sims does not look 100 percent. The senior is dealing with a shoulder injury and was not throwing as hard as he could during practices.
* After some mediocre years, Ole Miss is finally getting the right attitude in the locker room. "It's daylight (and) dark from our sophomore year when going down to Baton Rouge and just playing with LSU was a moral victory," quarterback Bo Wallace said. "Now it's ‘We have to win these games, we have to win these big games to take our program to the next level."
(16) Wisconsin Badgers at Northwestern Wildcats
* If there is one word to describe how the Badgers' WR feel this season it is frustrated. Kenzel Doe, Rob Wheelwright and Reggie Love all described their seasons as frustrating this week. The three have combined for two catches and 11 yards.
* Wildcats head coach Pat Fitzgerald is far from satisfied with his team. The coach said Jack Mitchell was "terrible," the punting game was "horrendous" and that LB Anthony Walker made 10 mental errors.
(13) Stanford Cardinals at (8) Notre Dame Fighting Irish
* The Cardinals have not forgotten the special teams game this season. "(Korey Drunkee is) probably the best punter I've ever seen," said return man Ty Montgomery. “He was putting the ball all over the field. Most of his punts were over 50 yards. It was incredible.’’
* The Fighting Irish are 15-0 under Brian Kelly when they don't turn the ball over, a record that RB Tony Alford is well aware of. "A fumble is an unacceptable deal. If you feel like the ball is coming out, fall down...there is no forgivable fumble."
(3) Oklahoma Sooners at (25) TCU Horned Frogs
* The Sooners have been dominating TCU defensively in all 13 games they've faced each other. Oklahoma has not once allowed the Horned Frogs to score more than 20 points once.
* TCU ranks second in the nation in total defense, allowing only 2.2 yards per rush and a 49.0 passing completion percentage.
Vanderbilt Commodores at (12) Georgia Bulldogs
* It doesn't seem anyone is going to mistake Vandy for an offensive powerhouse. Last week QB Wade Freebeck went 8-for-25 for 85 yards with three interceptions while getting sacked four times.
* The Bulldogs offense is set to get WR Malcom Mitchell back in the lineup according to coach Mark Richt. "He would have to have a setback to not play," the coach said. Mitchell tore his ACL celebrating in the season opener against Clemson.
(15) LSU Tigers at (5) Auburn Tigers
* LSU is going to be putting the ball in the hands of a freshman against Auburn. QB Brandon Harris will get the start for the Tigers Les Miles said Monday. The freshman went 11-for-14 against New Mexico State with three TD's.
* Auburn QB Nick Marshall ranks third in the nation in rushing yards among active QB's since the beginning of last season. The senior could have a big day against a LSU defense that is surrendering the sixth-most rushing yards to QB's.
Texas Tech Red Raiders at (22) Kansas State Wildcats
* The Red Raiders may be going into Bill Snyder Family Stadium down their starting QB. David Webb is listed as day-to-day after suffering a shoulder injury against Oklahoma State last week. The sophomore QB has 1356 yards with 14 TD's this season.
* Wildcats head coach Bill Snyder's biggest concern about Texas Tech's offense is the speed. "From a defensive standpoint, the thing is that you do not have time to really sit and process things as well as you would like to."
(24) Arizona State Sun Devils at (20) USC Trojans
* It does not appear that QB Taylor Kelly will be healthy enough to play against USC, so the Sun Devils will need to call on Mike Bercovici again. The junior threw for 488 yards with three TD's and two interceptions against UCLA.
* No defense in the nation has been quite as overpowering than the Trojans. USC ranks sixth in the nation with a turnover differential of +7 and the have not allowed a passing touchdown through four games.
(17) Nebraska Cornhuskers at (10) Michigan State Spartans
* Tommy Armstrong Jr. was abused by the Spartans last year throwing an interception and losing two fumbles, but he understands what happened. ""I was kind of wide-eyed when I played against them my first year. But now I know what to expect, I know what our offense is capable of just by what we’ve been doing the whole year."
* It may seem a bit extreme, but Spartans LT Jack Conklin attributes his offseason weight loss to a Cornhuskers DE. "I learned about the speed facing (Randy Gregory), because he's very fast,'' Conklin said. "That's partially why I went about losing my weight because I looked at the film and I had to do something to help me against these kinds of guys."
Utah Utes at (9) UCLA Bruins
* Utah is one of the best starting teams in college football. The Utes have outscored their opponents 55-10 in the first quarter this season.
* UCLA's Brett Hundley lit up the Utes while scoring a touchdown passing, running and receiving last season as the Bruins beat Utah by seven points for the second straight year.
Fifth-ranked Auburn puts its 12-game home winning streak on the line when it hosts No. 15 LSU for a Southeastern Conference West Division showdown Saturday night. It's the beginning of a brutal stretch for Auburn as it tries to defend its SEC crown and claim a spot in the inaugural four-team playoff. LSU has won three straight meetings and six of the last seven, including a 35-21 home win last season, but the home team has won 12 of the last 14 contests in the series.
After surviving a scare at Kansas State on Sept. 18, Auburn cruised to a 45-17 win over Louisiana Tech last week. LSU couldn't complete a furious comeback in a 34-29 loss to Mississippi State in its SEC opener two weeks ago but was sharp in a 63-7 tuneup versus New Mexico State last Saturday. A victory would be coach Les Miles' 100th at LSU, while Auburn seeks its 300th all-time victory in SEC play.
TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Auburn -7.5
LINE REPORT: The line opened at Auburn -8.5, but bettors have pushed it down to -7.5. The total has been shifting upwards after opening at 56.5, it now sits at 58.5.
INJURY REPORT: LSU - FB Connor Neihgbors (Prob-Concussion), DT Quentin Thomas (Ques-Arm) Auburn - LB LaDarius Owens (Prob-Undisclosed), OL Patrick Miller (Ques-Undisclosed)
WEATHER REPORT: Clear skies are projected for the game, but thunderstorms are expected for the night before. Winds will be blowing NW 12-14 miles per hour.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The party could be over for the [Auburn] Tigers, with five of their next six games coming against ranked teams, three of those coming on the road. LSU will start freshman QB Brandon Harris on the road at Auburn this week." - Covers Expert Jesse Shule
WHAT BOOKS SAY: “We opened this at -9 and it moved to -7.5 in less than 12 hours on the board. Bettors believe the freshman at quarterback is an upgrade for LSU as we’ve seen more than 63 percent of our wagers on that side. The total has steadily climbed since the open as almost 76 percent of our action has come on the over. I think Auburn takes care of business.” - John Lester, lines manager for Bookmaker.eu
ABOUT LSU (4-1, 0-1 SEC): Despite the early slip-up versus Mississippi State, the Tigers' stock is rising since freshman quarterback Brandon Harris took the reins of the offense. Harris led LSU to touchdowns on all seven possessions he played against New Mexico State and has led TD drives on nine of his last 10 possessions since taking over against the Bulldogs. The Tigers dominated inferior opponents but dug early holes against Wisconsin and Mississippi State and must be much more sound defensively in the first half against Auburn.
ABOUT AUBURN (4-0, 1-0): The Tigers continue to move the ball at will under coach Gus Malzahn, particularly on the ground. Tailback Cameron Artis-Payne (117 yards per game, 5 TDs) and quarterback Nick Marshall (68.2 yards per game, 2 TDs) are dangerous runners, and Marshall has done enough damage as a passer to keep defenses honest, averaging 137 yards through the air with six TDs and one interception. Defensively, the Tigers have given up large chunks of yardage through the air but have gotten nine takeaways to limit the damage.
TRENDS:
*Auburn is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
*LSU is 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
*Over is 8-1 in Auburn's last 9 home games.
*Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Auburn.
COVERS CONSENSUS: 53.47 percent of Covers users are backing LSU +7.5, with 55.3 percent taking the over.
Huge Double 6* Saturday led by 100% BIG 10 Game Of The Year, 6* Triple system Nebraska vs Michigan. St Side + 6 more Powerful League Wide system plays 3 are rated 5*. Football combined is 72 games over.500 the last 6 seasons combined. In MLB Playoff action there is a 36-2 Power Angle play. A tremendous card with most games Televised. Free College system play below.
The free College Football system club play is on Rice. Game 362 at 7;00 eastern. Rice fits a solid game 5 system that pertains to bowl teams off their first win which was in conference play these teams are Perfect to the spread over the last 25 years. Rice has covered all 6 games in the series vs Hawaii. The Rainbow warriors don't have much fight on the main land. In fact they are 1-7 ats in the 2nd of back to back road games, Rusty with rest at 0-4 ats and 0-17 straight up vs teams that have a win percentage of .333 or more. Hawaii is 1-5 ats vs Conference USA and 4-12 ats as a road dog of +3.5 to +7. Look for Rice to win and cover. On Saturday we have The Biggest and Strongest card thus far in NCAAF Action. In Afternoon action its the 100% 6* BIG 10 Game of the year and 4 More Afternoon plays. In Evening action its the 6* Triple system side on ABC between Nebraska at Michigan. St. There are alos 3 big 5* plays most from Perfect or near perfect College Power systems. In playoff bases a 36-2 Power angle takes center stage. Football is 72 games over .500 combined heading into Saturday. Message to Jump on and flatten your book all day and night with the most powerful data in the industry. For the free play take Rice. GC
Norm Hitzges
NFL pre-season: 14-9
College Football: Last week 11-9......Season 40-30
NFL: Last week 2-2........Season: 10-20
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
DOUBLE PLAYS:
Memphis +4 Cincinnati...I'd recommend taking part of this play on Memphis on the money line at +185
USC -11 1/2 Arizona St.
SINGLE PLAYS:
Mississippi +5 1/2 Alabama....I'd recommend taking a part of this play on Ole Miss on the money line at +190
Mississippi St. -2 1/2 Texas A&M
Georgia -33 1/2 Vanderbilt
Florida St. -38 Wake Forest
Ohio St. -8 1/2 Maryland
E. Carolina -41 SMU
Virginia Tech -3 No. Carolina
Akron -25 E. Michigan
Kansas State -14 Texas Tech
No. Illinois -24 1/2 Kent St.
Texas St. -17 Idaho
Michigan St. -6 1/2 Nebraska
2.5u Kentucky +7 2u, Fla +3 (not out there currently but be patient, it should come back) - if not, 1.5u on anything plus points. 1.5u Bama -6.5 1u FIU +9 1u USC -10 1u Memphis +4
Pez
370 USC -10 (1 unit) 371 LSU/Auburn over 57 (1 unit) 331 Pitt +6 (1 unit) 345 Wiscy/Northwestern OVER 47 (1 unit) 387 Utah/UCLA UNDER 64 (1 unit) 395 Cal/Wazzou UNDER 76.5 (1 unit) 399 Michigan +2 (1 unit)
GoSooners
USC -10 (1 Unit) 386 Miss St -2.5 (1 Unit) 377 Florida +2.5 (1 Unit) 331 Pitt +5 (1 Unit) 383 Bama -4.5 (1 Unit) 399 Michigan +2 (1 Unit) 387 UCLA/Utah Under 64 (1 Unit) 346 Wisky/NW Over 47 (1 Unit) 381 Okie State/Iowa State under 65 (1 Unit)
CFL | EDMONTON at TORONTO Play Against - Home favorites (TORONTO) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games 38-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.0% | 24.8 units ) 5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )
VANDERBILT at GEORGIA Dores slaughtered last two in Athens (91-3 combined score). Richt has now won and covered big last three as home chalk after dropping 8 of previous 12 in role.
Georgia, based on team trends.
WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE Noles now 0-4 vs. line TY, Wake has covered last three for Clawson. But Noles have won last two vs. Deacs by combined 111-3 score. FSU 4-1 vs. line last five years in series after losing three straight to Grobe 2006-08.
Slight to FSU, based on recent series trends.
MIAMI-FLA. At GEORGIA TECH This has been a bad matchup lately for GT, which has lost and failed to cover last five years vs. Canes. Jackets 0-2 as home chalk TY.
Miami, based on series trends.
NORTH TEXAS at INDIANA UNT 13-5 last 18 vs. number, and 7-3 last 10 vs. spread away from Denton. Even after Mizzou win, IU just 6-13 vs. spread last 19 on board, and 3-7 last 10 as home chalk.
UNT, based on team trends.
PURDUE at ILLINOIS Last three decided by 7 or fewer, and home team has covered each. But Illini 1-2 as home chalk TY and Beckman 4-7 laying points since 2012. Hazell 6-10 vs. line since LY but has split six spread decisions as dog away from home.
Slight to Purdue, based on Illini Beckman chalk woes.
OHIO STATE at MARYLAND Bucks just 3-6 last 9 on board since late 2013 (though 2-1 TY). Meyer 5-4 as road chalk with Buckeyes. Edsall 6-4 vs. line last 10 at College Park, 6-3 last 8 as dog.
Maryland, based on team trends.
SMU at EAST CAROLINA Ponies 0-4 SU and vs. line in terrible 2014 break from gate. Ruffin McNeill has covered five straight and 8 of last 9 since late LY, and ECU 8-4 last 12 as home chalk.
ECU, based on recent trends.
MEMPHIS at CINCINNATI Tigers 3-1 vs. line early in 2014. Justin Fuente also 5-2 last seven as road dog.
Memphis, based on recent trends.
PITT at VIRGINIA Cavs 5-0 vs. line in 2014, including 4-0 at home. Pitt 1-5 vs. spread as visitor since 2013.
Slight to Virginia, based on team trends.
OHIO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN Solich 1-5 vs. spread last six away from Athens, and 3-11 last 14 vs. number away from Peden Stadium.
Slight to CMU, based on recent Solich road woes.
KANSAS at WEST VIRGINIA Revenge for WVU after losing to Weis LY. Weis just 10-18 vs. line since 2012 with KU, 4-8 as road dog. Mounties 3-1 vs. line TY for Holgorsen.
WVU, based on KU negatives.
TOLEDO at WESTERN MICHIGAN Broncs surprising 4-0 vs. line in early 2014. Rockets, however, have won and covered big last two vs. WMU, which was 0-4 as home dog in 2013.
Slight to Toledo, based on recent series trends.
MARSHALL at OLD DOMINION Herd 2-6 last eight as visiting chalk since LY but did win and cover handily at Akron last chance in role. Herd 12-6 last 18 on board.
Marshall, based on team trends.
VIRGINIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA UNC no covers first four TY but Beamer 13-30-2 vs. number since late 2010. If Beamer chalk note 0-6 mark laying points as visitor since 2012. Fedora was 10-4 vs. line at Chapel Hill past two seasons .
UNC, based on extended trends.
KENT STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS Flashes no covers first four in 2014, now 5-11 vs. line for Paul Haynes since LY (2-2 as DD dog).
NIU, based on Kent State negatives.
WISCONSIN at NORTHWESTERN Pat Fitz 2-12 last 14 on board dating to mid 2013 but off rousing Penn State win. Cats 2-5 last seven as Evanston dog. Badgers 11-6 vs. line for Gary Andersen, whose Utag and Badger teams are 21-9 vs. line since 2012.
Wisconsin, based on team trends.
UMASS at MIAMI-OHIO RedHawks have lost 21 in a row SU so tough tech argument to make for Miami, though a bit better 4-5-1 vs. line last 10 at Oxford. Mass only 1-16 SU its last 16 and 5-10 as visiting dog since 2012 (1-1 TY).
Slight to Miami, based on Mass negatives.
SOUTH ALABAMA at APP STATE USA 8-2 vs. spread last eight on road and 12-5 last 17 vs. number away from Mobile.
USA, based on road marks.
SOUTH CAROLINA at KENTUCKY Spurrier only 1-4 vs. line early in 2014, and SC 1-4-1 last six as visiting chalk. UK 3-1-1 vs. spread last five in series.
Kentucky, based on team trends.
BALL STATE at ARMY Ball has won last three and covered last four in series. Lembo 9-3 vs. line last 12 as visitor.
Ball, based on series trends.
BUFFALO at BOWLING GREEN BGSU has won and covered last three meetings, and Falcs now 13-6 last 19 vs. points at home (2-0 TY for Dino).
BGSU, based on series and team trends.
EASTERN MICHIGAN at AKRON EMU 1-3 vs. line TY, now 7-21 vs. spread since 2012, 4-12 last 16 as road dog.
Akron, based on EMU negatives.
TEXAS TECH at KANSAS STATE TT now 1-8 vs. line last nine reg.-season games after OSU cover. Snyder has won and covered last three years vs. Red Raiders and is 28-14 vs. spread since 2011.
K-State, based on team and series trends.
HAWAII at RICE In WAC days, the Kenny Hatfield Owls covered all six meetings from 1999-2004. Rice 15-9-1 last 25 vs. spread at home, Hawaii 5-7 last 12 vs. line on mainland for Norm Chow.
Rice, based on team trends.
TULSA at COLORADO STATE Tulsa 0-4 vs. line as road dog since 2013. CSU on 16-5 spread run since mid 2012 and 7-2 last 9 as Fort Collins chalk.
CSU, based on team trends.
GEORGIA STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE GSU 5-1 as road dog since 2013, ULL 1-8 vs. line last nine reg.-season games.
GSU, based on team trends.
STANFORD at NOTRE DAME If Shaw is a dog note 5-0-1 spread mark in role since 2011. Tree 16-6 vs. spread as visitor since 2010.
Stanford, especially if dog, based on team trends.
ARIZONA STATE at SOUTHERN CAL ASU put 62 on SC in 2013, tying most-ever points allowed by Trojans (which was 62 previous year vs. Oregon). Graham ran up 53-24 score on Sark's UW last year, too. But Sun Devils just 1-6 as dog under Graham, and Trojans 10-6 as Coliseum chalk since 2011.
SC, based on team trends.
LSU at AUBURN Auburn has covered the last two meetings at Jordan-Hare, and Malzahn 13-2 last 15 vs. spread. Les Miles 4-2 last six as dog.
Auburn, based on team trends.
NAVY at AIR FORCE Mids 10-1 SU, 9-1-1 last 11 vs. line in series. Navy 7-2 vs. spread last nine away from Annapolis and 12-6 overall vs. number since 2013. Force 1-4 as home dog since LY.
Navy, based on series trends.
OKLAHOMA at TCU... TCU had been 5-12 vs. line as host past three seasons before opening two wins TY. OU has now covered five straight away from Norman.
OU, based on recent Sooner road mark.
FLORIDA at TENNESSEE If Vols chalk note 3-9 mark at home in role since 2012 (2-4 for Butch). But Muschamp 2-5 vs. line last seven away from home.
UT, based on recent Gator road mark.
BAYLOR at TEXAS Briles 29-13 overall vs. line since 2011. Bears just 5-10 vs. mark as visitor that span, but have covered last 4 vs. Texas. Charlie Strong teams 9-1 as dog since 2011.
Baylor, based on team and series trends.
IOWA STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE OSU has won and covered handily the past two seasons vs. ISU since the big Cyclone upset in 2011. Cowboys 1-2 as home chalk TY after Texas Tech but were 23-9 in role since 2008 in role entering this season.
OSU, based on team trends.
ALABAMA at OLE MISS Road team had covered five straight in series prior to LY's Bama 25-0 win. Hugh Freeze 7-4 as dog with Rebs and he is now 31-11 vs. spread since 2011 with Ark State and Rebs. Nick just 1-5 last six as chalk away from home.
Ole Miss, based on Hugh Freeze marks.
TEXAS A&M at MISSISSIPPI STATE Bulldogs now 8-1 vs. line last 9 on board since late 2013. MSU 14-8 vs. line at Starkville since 2011. Ags were 0-4 vs. spread as visitor in 2013.
MSU, based on recent trends.
UTAH at UCLA Bruins 0-1 vs. line at home TY but 41-22 vs. spread at Rose Bowl since early 2004.
UCLA, based on extended home trends.
UTEP at LA TECH Skip 4-1 v. line in 2014. UTEP lost at home to Skip LY and is 0-7 as visiting dog since 2013.
La Tech, based on team trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at MTSU USM 4-11 as road dog since 2012 (3-6 for Monken since LY). MTSU now 4-1 vs. line TY after ODU win and 8-4 since 2012 vs. line at Murfreesboro.
MTSU, based on team trends.
OREGON STATE at COLORADO OSU 1-3 as visiting chalk since since 2012. CU 6-2 vs. spread at Boulder since LY for MacIntyre (2-0 TY).
Slight to Colorado, based on team trends.
CAL at WASHINGTON STATE Cougs had lost 8 in a row SU vs. Bears prior to 44-22 win LY at Berkeley. Wazzu 4-0 as Pullman chalk since 2013. Leach 13-6 last 19 on board since late 2012.
Slight to WSU, based on team trends.
IDAHO at TEXAS STATE Vandals have covered first two away TY (road team 4-0 vs. spread in Idaho games TY).
Slight to Idaho, based on recent trends.
MICHIGAN at RUTGERS Rutgers 3-6 last 9 as chalk. But Brady Hoke 2-5 as road dog since 2012, 3-7-1 as dog same span.
Rutgers, based on recent trends.
NEW MEXICO at UTSA Davie 0-4 vs. line TY after Fresno loss and now 7-14 against line last 21 on board since mid 2012. Lobos, however, were 4-2 as road dog LY.
UTSA, based on team trends.
ULM at ARKANSAS STATE Ark State has won and covered last four meetings.
Ark State, based on series trends.
NC STATE at CLEMSON Pack has covered last four meetings though won only one of those outright. Clemson, however, 6-2 last eight as ACC home chalk. Pack has covered last three on board after dropping seven straight vs. line for Doeren.
NCS, based on series trends.
UAB at WESTERN KENTUCKY Blazers 1-5 as away dog LY but 1-0 in role for new HC Clark in 2014.
WKU, based on extended team trends.
NEBRASKA at MICHIGAN STATE Road team has won and covered last two years in series. Bo Pelini 3-1 as dog LY and has covered 5 of last six away from Lincoln.
Slight to Nebraska, based on team trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at NEW MEXICO STATE GSU a revelation now 5-0 vs. line this season after App State win!
GSU, based on current trends.
UNLV at SAN JOSE STATE Rebs now 8-21 vs. spread away since late 2009.
SJSU, based on UNLV road woes.
BOISE STATE at NEVADA Nevada has covered last five and 6 of last 7 vs. Boise. Pack has also covered last four and five of last six as dog since late 2013, and 6-1 as home dog since 2010.
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