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ARIZONA by 12 over Southern California
CENTRAL MICHIGAN by 2 over Northern Illinois
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL by 3 over Utsa
MISSISSIPPI by 14 over Texas A&M
4 Unit Play. #125 Florida St -23 ½ over Syracuse (12:00p.m., Saturday, Oct 11 ESPN)
So a bunch of my colleagues had Florida St last week and they got an easy cover at home against Wake Forest and this week I'm drinking the FSU kool-aid. Yes I know Syracuse gets this game in their backyard but the Orange have to play the defending champs with a rookie QB. Syracuse offense has been horrible only scoring an average of 13.6ppg in their last 3 games and I see Florida St putting pressure on them all game long. I smell back-to-back covers from FSU and the Orange will be having a very long afternoon. Syracuse is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and Florida St is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record.
3 Unit Play. #154 Mississippi St +3 over Auburn (3:30p.m., Saturday, Oct 11 CBS)
Both of these schools have some pretty good records against stellar teams and I really like this Bulldogs squad. Mississippi St is coming off a blowout victory over Texas A&M 48-31 and before that performance the Bulldogs grabbed a victory in Baton Rouge 34-29. Bulldogs QB Dak Prescott has been outstanding this young season and if he continues to play mistake free football the and the Bulldogs defense stops the run I see another big Mississippi St victory. Still a bit shocked that the Bulldogs are a 3-point underdog at home in this matchup and wouldn't shock me to see the winner of this game winning by 3 points or less. Mississippi St is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games and the Bulldogs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
6 Unit Play. #168 Arizona +3 over USC (10:30p.m., Saturday, Oct 11 ESPN2)
(PAC-12 Game of the Month) I would still bet this game if the number is +2.5 or +2! It seems pretty easy on how to beat USC as of late! How do you ask? Fast tempo offense and play action pass with an easy throw to the middle of the field. USC has dropped two out of three games and last week they gave 13 points in 3 minutes to lose at home against Arizona St. Arizona is coming off a big road win in Eugene to beat the Ducks 31-24 and Arizona is a perfect 5-0 so far this year. I really like the composure of red-shirt freshman Anu Solomon and how he played last week on the road was outstanding and if the Trojans can't slow down the Wildcats ground game this game will be won in the second half. Still a bit scared on the defense of Arizona but if they can get some stops and keep this game close I believe the 2nd half will be won by Arizona and the Wildcats will stay perfect. USC have struggled on the road as of late and they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games and USC is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning home record. Arizona is 7-2 ATS against USC and my mind is still shocked that this number is still +3 or +2.5 on Arizona. The underdog in this series is also 8-1 ATS and the Wildcats win this game.
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