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SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
2-Unit Play. Take #319 Akron (-3) over Ohio (2 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
Akron's starting quarterback, Kyle Pohl, has been ruled out this week with a concussion. I am 100 percent OK with that because Kyle Pohl sucks. He completes about 56 percent of his passes and has just seven touchdowns to three interceptions. So he's not some big loss. In fact, I'm glad they aren't trotting the shell-shocked signal caller out there. Akron has sextuple revenge in this series. They have gotten hammered in the last six meetings, including a bloody 43-3 loss at home last year. But it is obvious that Ohio is not the same caliber team this season. They lost a ton to graduation and they los their own quarterback earlier in the year. They have a win over an FCS team and FCS-caliber teams in Kent State and Idaho. And none of the wins was convincing. Akron has a solid roster. They are on a three-game wining streak and won at Pittsburgh. They have the better, generally healthier roster and I think they are going to take it to the Bobcats in this one.
2-Unit Play. Take #324 Maryland (-4.5) over Iowa (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 18)
Iowa has played one of the worst schedules in the country. They are a completely unimpressive team and I don't think they are going to do well traveling East for the noon kickoff. Maryland is coming off a bye and they have been much more impressive against much stiffer competition this season. I think the Terps are on a mission this year. They are a veteran team that wants to prove that it belongs in the Big Ten. And they do. I think they will earn a little respect with a 20-point win over an overrated Hawkeyes team.
3-Unit Play. Take #326 West Virginia (+8.5) over Baylor (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 18)
I know that I am an idiot for jumping in front of the Art Briles train. All this guy does is cash tickets. The Bears are 20-6 ATS in his last 26 games and 18-7 ATS in his last 25 conference games. But I just think that this is a trap and I just do not really like this year's Baylor team. They should have lost outright last week to TCU but were gifted a couple key calls late in that one. They are on the road now and probably won't get those calls this week. Morgantown is not the type of place that you just walk into and get a win. Those mountain folk are crazy. And this one looks like an ambush. This is a Texas team that is traveling East and will have to adjust the body clocks to the early start. They are in a letdown situation after that thrilling win over an in-state rival at home last week. The Mountaineers have revenge for a 73-42 ass-kicking that they took last year. But as you may have noticed, this year's WVU team is significantly better than last year's. I think that this is going to be another wild Big 12 shootout and I can't say for certain who will win. But the fact that I think that West Virginia could pull the outright upset is enough of a reason for me to jump on the points.
2-Unit Play. Take #331 N.C. State (+17.5) over Louisville (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
I think that Louisville's best role this year is as an underdog. They just haven't shown the offensive firepower to be trusted as a huge favorite like this. They've only managed 20, 28 and 17 points the last three weeks and none of those games came against quality defensive opponents. Louisville last home game saw them as 21-point favorites and they only beat a horrid Wake Forest team by 10. N.C. State has lost three straight games - all blowouts - but I still think they are an OK team. Louisville is in the middle of a Clemson-Florida State sandwich here and I think some of their finals have been misleading the last two weeks. Louisville will win this game but the back door is going to be open all game long and I think that State will find a way to punch through it.
4-Unit Play. Take #340 Arkansas (+3.5) over Georgia (4 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
I still think that Georgia is one of the most overrated teams in the country. They have a bad quarterback, an overrated defense, and their running game is missing its best player (who happens to be a Heisman Trophy candidate). Georgia maxed out last week against an overrated Missouri team and won 34-0 thanks to revenge, a weak opponent, and five turnovers. But this week offers a much stiffer test. Arkansas has been knocking on the door of getting that first SEC win for weeks. In fact, it seems like it has been 12 years since they won a league game. But they will be jazzed up playing in Little Rock for this game and I think that it is very telling that the ?No. 10 team in the country? is only a token favorite on the road against a 3-3 foe. Arkansas should've beaten both A&M and Alabama the last two weeks. If they had then they would be 5-1 and they would probably be a Top 15 team. The SEC West is head and shoulders above the SEC East this year and I think that Arkansas finally gets the monkey off its back with a big win this weekend. I live outside of Atlanta and I can already tell that Georgia fans are bracing themselves for a loss this weekend and they are already making excuses. This one is going to feel good for the Razorbacks and I think they win going away.
1-Unit Play. Take #349 Southern Miss (+9) over North Texas (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #357 Army (-3.5) over Kent State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #365 UAB (-1) over Middle Tennessee State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
2-Unit Play. Take #367 Rutgers (+21.5) over Ohio State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
I know it seems crazy to bet against Ohio State at home off a bye. But how seriously were they taking Rutgers in the lead-up to this game? Everyone thinks that Rutgers and Maryland don't belong in the Big Ten. I was one of the only analysts in the country saying that not only do they belong but they are going to be really competitive this season. If Ohio State can lose to Virginia Tech at home they can let Rutgers hang around. Those kids from New Jersey aren't scared of anyone. They are tough and experienced and they have had some success on the road. Ohio State has three straight blowouts. But who did they blowout? Yes, they impressed against Maryland. But they only beat a bad Cincinnati team (that got blown out by Memphis) by 22 points. Other than that they beat horrid Kent State and they slid past Navy in the opener. Not exactly a murderer's row. I think this line is too thick. The Buckeyes are at Penn State next week and that is a much bigger game for them. They will win this game against the Scarlet Knights but I don't see Rutgers rolling over at all.
7-Unit Play. Take #373 Michigan State (-15) over Indiana (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
I have no idea what the hell is going on with Michigan State's defense in the second half. But they keep falling asleep and costing people money. I benefitted from it in their game against Oregon, where they got blasted in the second half. But the last two weeks the Spartans have let Nebraska and Purdue sneak in the back door and make games closer than they needed to be. I'm going to give them another shot this week. Indiana just lost its starting quarterback. Now they are going with one of two true freshman at quarterback. One was originally recruited to play on the defensive side of the ball and is a converted linebacker. The other was a freshman that was set to redshirt. Now he is starting against a pretty talented Michigan State defense that is ranked No. 12 in the country. Yeah, I think that's a bad matchup. The Hoosiers are going to try to counter by running the ball 100 times with Tevin Coleman. Well, that's a problem because the Spartans have the No. 5 rushing defense in the country. They held Nebraska, who has one of the top running backs in the country in Ameer Abdullah, to just 47 yards on 37 rushes. With no threat of the passing game that will allow the Spartans to be even more aggressive against the run. Indiana, like last year, had high hopes for getting back to a bowl game. But their bubble burst last week with Sudfeld going down in that 16-point loss at Iowa. The Hoosiers already have an ugly loss to Bowling Green on their resume and they were blown out at home (by 22) by Maryland. I think that this one will be a 27-point game as the Hoosiers defense rolls over without any offensive support. If Michigan State is as good as everyone thinks they are - let's put it this way: if they are as good as Maryland - they will beat a third-string freshman quarterback and a reeling team from one of the worst programs in the country.
1-Unit Play. Take #378 Oklahoma (-7) over Kansas State (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #386 Colorado State (-5) over Utah State (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #387 Tennessee (+16.5) over Mississippi (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #392 Florida (-5.5) over Missouri (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #396 TCU (-10) over Oklahoma State (4 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
2-Unit Play. Take #400 Northwestern (+7) over Nebraska (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
Note: This play is from the KING System.
You can just pencil Nebraska in for four losses every year. It is clockwork. They have lost four games in six straight years. I think they will lose this one this year. This team is simply not that good. If they were they wouldn't have almost lost to McNeese State. At home. The rest of Nebraska's resume this year is pretty feeble. They have beaten a bunch of joke teams like Florida Atlantic, Fresno State and Illinois. And their 27-22 loss at Michigan State two weeks ago was completely misleading because they were getting wrecked for three quarters of that game. Northwestern routed Penn State in Happy Valley and they beat Wisconsin straight up at home. They are a little better than their record suggests and this game is kind of a last stand if this team wants to be a player in the Big Ten this year. These teams have met each of the last three years and they have all been really tight games, decided by 3, 1 and 3 points. Northwestern covered all three as an underdog. I think they can win this game outright so I will take the points.
SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
2-Unit Play. Take #319 Akron (-3) over Ohio (2 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
Akron's starting quarterback, Kyle Pohl, has been ruled out this week with a concussion. I am 100 percent OK with that because Kyle Pohl sucks. He completes about 56 percent of his passes and has just seven touchdowns to three interceptions. So he's not some big loss. In fact, I'm glad they aren't trotting the shell-shocked signal caller out there. Akron has sextuple revenge in this series. They have gotten hammered in the last six meetings, including a bloody 43-3 loss at home last year. But it is obvious that Ohio is not the same caliber team this season. They lost a ton to graduation and they los their own quarterback earlier in the year. They have a win over an FCS team and FCS-caliber teams in Kent State and Idaho. And none of the wins was convincing. Akron has a solid roster. They are on a three-game wining streak and won at Pittsburgh. They have the better, generally healthier roster and I think they are going to take it to the Bobcats in this one.
2-Unit Play. Take #324 Maryland (-4.5) over Iowa (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 18)
Iowa has played one of the worst schedules in the country. They are a completely unimpressive team and I don't think they are going to do well traveling East for the noon kickoff. Maryland is coming off a bye and they have been much more impressive against much stiffer competition this season. I think the Terps are on a mission this year. They are a veteran team that wants to prove that it belongs in the Big Ten. And they do. I think they will earn a little respect with a 20-point win over an overrated Hawkeyes team.
3-Unit Play. Take #326 West Virginia (+8.5) over Baylor (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 18)
I know that I am an idiot for jumping in front of the Art Briles train. All this guy does is cash tickets. The Bears are 20-6 ATS in his last 26 games and 18-7 ATS in his last 25 conference games. But I just think that this is a trap and I just do not really like this year's Baylor team. They should have lost outright last week to TCU but were gifted a couple key calls late in that one. They are on the road now and probably won't get those calls this week. Morgantown is not the type of place that you just walk into and get a win. Those mountain folk are crazy. And this one looks like an ambush. This is a Texas team that is traveling East and will have to adjust the body clocks to the early start. They are in a letdown situation after that thrilling win over an in-state rival at home last week. The Mountaineers have revenge for a 73-42 ass-kicking that they took last year. But as you may have noticed, this year's WVU team is significantly better than last year's. I think that this is going to be another wild Big 12 shootout and I can't say for certain who will win. But the fact that I think that West Virginia could pull the outright upset is enough of a reason for me to jump on the points.
2-Unit Play. Take #331 N.C. State (+17.5) over Louisville (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
I think that Louisville's best role this year is as an underdog. They just haven't shown the offensive firepower to be trusted as a huge favorite like this. They've only managed 20, 28 and 17 points the last three weeks and none of those games came against quality defensive opponents. Louisville last home game saw them as 21-point favorites and they only beat a horrid Wake Forest team by 10. N.C. State has lost three straight games - all blowouts - but I still think they are an OK team. Louisville is in the middle of a Clemson-Florida State sandwich here and I think some of their finals have been misleading the last two weeks. Louisville will win this game but the back door is going to be open all game long and I think that State will find a way to punch through it.
4-Unit Play. Take #340 Arkansas (+3.5) over Georgia (4 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
I still think that Georgia is one of the most overrated teams in the country. They have a bad quarterback, an overrated defense, and their running game is missing its best player (who happens to be a Heisman Trophy candidate). Georgia maxed out last week against an overrated Missouri team and won 34-0 thanks to revenge, a weak opponent, and five turnovers. But this week offers a much stiffer test. Arkansas has been knocking on the door of getting that first SEC win for weeks. In fact, it seems like it has been 12 years since they won a league game. But they will be jazzed up playing in Little Rock for this game and I think that it is very telling that the ?No. 10 team in the country? is only a token favorite on the road against a 3-3 foe. Arkansas should've beaten both A&M and Alabama the last two weeks. If they had then they would be 5-1 and they would probably be a Top 15 team. The SEC West is head and shoulders above the SEC East this year and I think that Arkansas finally gets the monkey off its back with a big win this weekend. I live outside of Atlanta and I can already tell that Georgia fans are bracing themselves for a loss this weekend and they are already making excuses. This one is going to feel good for the Razorbacks and I think they win going away.
1-Unit Play. Take #349 Southern Miss (+9) over North Texas (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #357 Army (-3.5) over Kent State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #365 UAB (-1) over Middle Tennessee State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
2-Unit Play. Take #367 Rutgers (+21.5) over Ohio State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
I know it seems crazy to bet against Ohio State at home off a bye. But how seriously were they taking Rutgers in the lead-up to this game? Everyone thinks that Rutgers and Maryland don't belong in the Big Ten. I was one of the only analysts in the country saying that not only do they belong but they are going to be really competitive this season. If Ohio State can lose to Virginia Tech at home they can let Rutgers hang around. Those kids from New Jersey aren't scared of anyone. They are tough and experienced and they have had some success on the road. Ohio State has three straight blowouts. But who did they blowout? Yes, they impressed against Maryland. But they only beat a bad Cincinnati team (that got blown out by Memphis) by 22 points. Other than that they beat horrid Kent State and they slid past Navy in the opener. Not exactly a murderer's row. I think this line is too thick. The Buckeyes are at Penn State next week and that is a much bigger game for them. They will win this game against the Scarlet Knights but I don't see Rutgers rolling over at all.
7-Unit Play. Take #373 Michigan State (-15) over Indiana (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
I have no idea what the hell is going on with Michigan State's defense in the second half. But they keep falling asleep and costing people money. I benefitted from it in their game against Oregon, where they got blasted in the second half. But the last two weeks the Spartans have let Nebraska and Purdue sneak in the back door and make games closer than they needed to be. I'm going to give them another shot this week. Indiana just lost its starting quarterback. Now they are going with one of two true freshman at quarterback. One was originally recruited to play on the defensive side of the ball and is a converted linebacker. The other was a freshman that was set to redshirt. Now he is starting against a pretty talented Michigan State defense that is ranked No. 12 in the country. Yeah, I think that's a bad matchup. The Hoosiers are going to try to counter by running the ball 100 times with Tevin Coleman. Well, that's a problem because the Spartans have the No. 5 rushing defense in the country. They held Nebraska, who has one of the top running backs in the country in Ameer Abdullah, to just 47 yards on 37 rushes. With no threat of the passing game that will allow the Spartans to be even more aggressive against the run. Indiana, like last year, had high hopes for getting back to a bowl game. But their bubble burst last week with Sudfeld going down in that 16-point loss at Iowa. The Hoosiers already have an ugly loss to Bowling Green on their resume and they were blown out at home (by 22) by Maryland. I think that this one will be a 27-point game as the Hoosiers defense rolls over without any offensive support. If Michigan State is as good as everyone thinks they are - let's put it this way: if they are as good as Maryland - they will beat a third-string freshman quarterback and a reeling team from one of the worst programs in the country.
1-Unit Play. Take #378 Oklahoma (-7) over Kansas State (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #386 Colorado State (-5) over Utah State (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #387 Tennessee (+16.5) over Mississippi (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #392 Florida (-5.5) over Missouri (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #396 TCU (-10) over Oklahoma State (4 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
2-Unit Play. Take #400 Northwestern (+7) over Nebraska (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 18)
Note: This play is from the KING System.
You can just pencil Nebraska in for four losses every year. It is clockwork. They have lost four games in six straight years. I think they will lose this one this year. This team is simply not that good. If they were they wouldn't have almost lost to McNeese State. At home. The rest of Nebraska's resume this year is pretty feeble. They have beaten a bunch of joke teams like Florida Atlantic, Fresno State and Illinois. And their 27-22 loss at Michigan State two weeks ago was completely misleading because they were getting wrecked for three quarters of that game. Northwestern routed Penn State in Happy Valley and they beat Wisconsin straight up at home. They are a little better than their record suggests and this game is kind of a last stand if this team wants to be a player in the Big Ten this year. These teams have met each of the last three years and they have all been really tight games, decided by 3, 1 and 3 points. Northwestern covered all three as an underdog. I think they can win this game outright so I will take the points.
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